消息面上，津上机床中国今年6月披露的2025财年（2024年4月-2025年3月）年报显示，公司实现纯利 7.82亿元人民币，同比增长63%；收入42.62亿元，同比增长36.6%。公司执行董事兼常务副总经理李泽 群表示，新财年销售收入将挑战50亿元，有望超越2022财年创下新高。公司对AI液冷接头、汽车电动 制动系统等新市场的开拓，预料可带动收入增长。 智通财经APP获悉，津上机床中国(01651)涨超7%，截至发稿，涨7.28%，报28.58港元，成交额7925.53 万港元。 据悉，津上机床中国持续丰富生产线，对现有机型优化设计，同时积极布局人形机器人、医疗、AIDC 液冷等新兴下游领域，公司产品可用于行星滚珠丝杠、机器人灵巧手加工，主要对应设备为自动车床、 刀塔车床、滚丝机和螺纹磨床。东北证券此前指出，下游产业升级叠加设备更新政策推动，高端机床国 产化持续提速。此外，人形机器人量产带动核心零部件需求，机床设备增量空间有望达到百亿。 ...

津上机床中国(01651)涨超7%，截至发稿，涨7.28%，报28.58港元，成交额7925.53万港元。 据悉，津上机床中国持续丰富生产线，对现有机型优化设计，同时积极布局人形机器人、医疗、AIDC 液冷等新兴下游领域，公司产品可用于行星滚珠丝杠、机器人灵巧手加工，主要对应设备为自动车床、 刀塔车床、滚丝机和螺纹磨床。东北证券此前指出，下游产业升级叠加设备更新政策推动，高端机床国 产化持续提速。此外，人形机器人量产带动核心零部件需求，机床设备增量空间有望达到百亿。 消息面上，津上机床中国今年6月披露的2025财年(2024年4月-2025年3月)年报显示，公司实现纯利7.82 亿元人民币，同比增长63%；收入42.62亿元，同比增长36.6%。公司执行董事兼常务副总经理李泽群表 示，新财年销售收入将挑战50亿元，有望超越2022财年创下新高。公司对AI液冷接头、汽车电动制动 系统等新市场的开拓，预料可带动收入增长。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The global grinding machine market is projected to reach $6 billion in 2024, with China accounting for 20% of this market. The market is characterized by a fragmented competitive landscape due to the specialized nature of grinding processes, which presents both opportunities for growth and challenges for consolidation [3][12][29]. Market Overview - The global grinding machine market size is expected to be approximately $6 billion in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 3.7% [3][8]. - China's grinding machine market is estimated at 8.43 billion yuan in 2024, with a domestic production rate of 52% [12][16]. - The market is expected to recover to 9.5 billion yuan by 2025 and reach 10.31 billion yuan by 2028, indicating robust growth potential [12]. Competitive Landscape - The Chinese grinding machine market is highly fragmented, with a CR5 market concentration of only 28.4% as of Q1 2025. The flat grinding machine market is highly concentrated, while external and internal grinding machines have intense competition with many small and medium-sized players [29][31]. - The specialized nature of grinding machines leads to low economies of scale, limiting market consolidation [31]. Supply Chain and Production - The grinding machine production process involves four main stages: casting processing, mechanical processing and forming, assembly and debugging, and quality inspection. Each stage requires strong technical capabilities and resource integration [26][28]. - The cost structure of grinding machines is dominated by spindle, structural components, and CNC systems, which account for 25%, 20%, and 15% of total costs, respectively [24]. Import and Export Dynamics - In 2024, China's grinding machine imports are projected to be $830 million, while exports are expected to be $240 million, resulting in a net import of $590 million [16][20]. - The average export price of Chinese grinding machines is $19,000 per unit, significantly lower than the average import price of $187,000 per unit [16]. Technological Advancements and Market Drivers - The demand for grinding machines is being driven by the growth of humanoid robots, which require high-precision components such as lead screws. The global market for lead screw grinding machines is expected to reach 3.2 billion yuan by 2028 [4][36]. - The acceleration of product iteration and capital operations in the grinding machine sector indicates a golden development period, with local manufacturers making significant technological advancements [4][37]. Future Outlook - The humanoid robot industry is expected to significantly impact the grinding machine market, with projections indicating a demand for 1 million units by 2028, leading to an estimated market size of 3.4 billion yuan for lead screw grinding machines [36]. - Local manufacturers are increasingly focusing on high precision and automation, narrowing the performance gap with imported equipment [37].

Core Insights - The industrial mother machine, also known as machine tools, is essential for modern manufacturing and is experiencing significant advancements in China, particularly in the Shaanxi and Gansu provinces [1][2]. Group 1: Industry Overview - The Shaanxi-Baoji-Hanzhong-Tianshui industrial mother machine cluster has over 600 enterprises, with 272 above-scale companies, achieving an output value exceeding 31.5 billion yuan in 2023 [1]. - The cluster was recognized as a national advanced manufacturing industry cluster in December 2024, indicating its strategic importance in China's industrial landscape [1]. Group 2: Technological Advancements - Qin Chuan Machine Tool Group has adapted its products to meet the increasing demands of the electric vehicle industry, achieving a 70% domestic market share for its high-efficiency gear grinding machines [2]. - The company has received the National Science and Technology Progress Award six times, highlighting its commitment to long-term technological innovation [2][4]. Group 3: Market Position and Collaboration - The Gansu Xinghuo Intelligent CNC Machine Tool Company is leading in the domestic market for large and heavy machine tools, focusing on the localization of high-end CNC machine manufacturing [5]. - Collaborative efforts among companies like Qin Chuan, Xinghuo, and Baoji Machine Tool are fostering innovation and addressing key technological challenges through the establishment of innovation alliances [9]. Group 4: Product Development and Market Expansion - The production of various types of grinding machines, including external cylindrical grinding machines and specialized grinding machines, has expanded significantly, with over 150 specifications developed [6]. - New entrants like Baoji Yamazaki Precision Equipment are also making strides in niche markets, contributing to the overall growth of the industrial mother machine sector [8].

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Industry Overview - The humanoid robot industry is accelerating its commercialization, with a focus on "brain" and "cerebellum" technologies, creating investment opportunities for companies like Goko and Huazhong, as well as in the sensor and new retail sectors [1][2][6] Core Insights and Arguments - Several domestic manufacturers, including ZhiYuan, ZhiGuan, and XinDongJiYuan, have production targets for humanoid robots, indicating a clear upward trend in hardware demand, particularly in the four-axis manufacturing sector where there is a shortage of thread grinding machines [1][3][4] - The domestic thread grinding machine industry presents significant investment opportunities due to low comprehensive costs and high demand elasticity, with companies like RiFa Precision, QinChuan Machine Tool, and HuaChen Equipment actively innovating [1][7] - HuaChen Equipment is a leader in the thread grinding machine sector, offering a wide range of products and high precision, which meets diverse downstream needs [1][8] Investment Opportunities - The humanoid robot sector is experiencing short-term fluctuations, but long-term investment opportunities remain, especially in high-tech areas [2][6] - The thread grinding machine supply shortage is a critical issue, with the market space being limited and dominated by a few players, indicating a clear investment opportunity as humanoid robot commercialization progresses [4][5][6] - The domestic thread grinding machine industry has a significant market potential, with estimates suggesting that 1 million robots could correspond to a market demand of approximately 6 billion yuan [7] Technological Developments - Linear actuators are more energy-efficient and suitable for lower limb applications, while rotary joints are used for upper limbs, indicating a trend towards mixed solutions in humanoid robots [9] - Cost reduction strategies include domestic production and specialized equipment development, as well as adopting mature technology routes like turning instead of grinding [10] Equipment and Manufacturing Insights - The hard turning process can enhance the efficiency and surface finish of threaded components, with companies like QinChuan Machine Tool leading in this area [3][12] - The current market environment presents risks for humanoid robot commercialization, particularly regarding equipment supply, but the long-term outlook remains positive for related equipment stocks [6] Competitive Landscape - Domestic grinding machine precision is currently lower than that of Japanese leader Mitsui, but the gap is manageable, and domestic manufacturers are making strides in technology and production capabilities [25][32] - The market for high-end grinding machines is competitive, with domestic prices ranging from 2 million to 3 million yuan, while imported machines can cost significantly more [19][31] Future Prospects - The development of new technologies and equipment, such as the use of hard turning and synchronous multi-tool processing, is expected to improve manufacturing efficiency and product quality in the humanoid robot sector [11][14] - Companies like HuaChen are focusing on high-value products and have made significant progress in domestic substitution, indicating a strong competitive position in the market [21][30] Conclusion - The humanoid robot industry is poised for growth, with substantial investment opportunities in equipment and technology, particularly in the domestic market where supply shortages and high demand create favorable conditions for innovation and expansion [1][6][7]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The humanoid robot production year is seen as a pivotal moment, with significant capital expenditure expected in the supply chain, particularly for core equipment and key consumables [5][11] - Major manufacturers like Tesla have set ambitious production targets for humanoid robots, aiming for a tenfold increase in output over the next two years [5][11] - The domestic supply chain is rapidly preparing for increased production capacity, with companies like Top Group and Sanhua Intelligent Control announcing substantial investments [12][11] Summary by Sections 1. Humanoid Robot Production - The first automated factory by Figure aims to produce 12,000 humanoid robots annually, marking the start of commercial operations [5][11] - The financing scale for domestic embodied intelligent robots in early 2025 is approaching the total for the entire year of 2024 [5][11] 2. Key Components and Market Opportunities 2.1 Motors - Each humanoid robot is expected to use approximately 62 motors, leading to a projected market expansion of 25.4 billion yuan for motors when producing one million robots [6][13] - Key equipment for motor production includes automatic winding machines and balancing machines, with market demands estimated at 2.71 billion yuan and 930 million yuan respectively for these machines [20][21] 2.2 Reducers - Each humanoid robot will utilize around 38 reducers, with a total market expansion of 9.6 billion yuan anticipated for one million robots [24][27] - The core processes for reducers involve gear processing precision and dynamic balance stability, with market demands for gear processing machines and balancing machines estimated at 1.2 billion yuan and 670 million yuan respectively [31][32] 2.3 Screws - Each robot is expected to use about 44 screws, leading to a market expansion of 23 billion yuan for screws when producing one million robots [35][38] - The core processes include thread processing and precision detection, with market demands for screw thread grinding machines and automatic straightening machines estimated at 2.67 billion yuan and 730 million yuan respectively [40][41] 2.4 Bearings - Each humanoid robot will require approximately 70-90 bearings, with a projected market expansion of 1.54 billion yuan for bearings when producing one million robots [42][45] - The core processes for bearings include grinding and detection, with market demands for grinding machines and detection equipment estimated at 200 million yuan and 90 million yuan respectively [49][50] 3. Investment Recommendations and Beneficiary Companies - Focus on core equipment manufacturers with high elasticity and excellent competitive landscape [54] - Recommended beneficiary companies include: - For balancing equipment: Jizhi Co., Ltd. - For winding equipment: Tianzhong Precision - For processing machines and grinding machines: Qin Chuan Machine Tool, benefiting companies include Zhejiang Haideman, Huachen Equipment, and Rifa Precision [54]