申银万国期货研究所 陆甲明 （从业编号F3079531 交易咨询号Z0015919） 免 责 声 明 本公司具有中国证监会核准的期货交易咨询业务资格 （核准文号 证监许可[2011]1284号） 研究局限性和风险提示 报告中依据和结论存在范围局限性，对未来预测存在不及预期，以及宏观环境和产业链影响因素存在不确定性变化等风险。 分析师声明 作者具有期货交易咨询执业资格，保证报告所采用的数据均来自合规渠道，分析逻辑基于作者的职业理解，本报告清晰准确地 反映了作者的研究观点，力求独立、客观和公正，结论不受任何第三方的授意或影响，作者及利益相关方不曾因也将不会因本 报告中的具体推荐意见或观点而直接或间接获取任何形式的不当利益。 免责声明 本报告的信息均来源于第三方信息提供商或其他已公开信息，本公司对这些信息的准确性、完整性、时效性或可靠性不作任何 保证，也不保证所包含的信息和建议不会发生任何变更。市场有风险，投资需谨慎。我们力求报告内容的客观、公正，但文中 的观点、结论和建议仅供参考，报告中的信息或意见并不构成所述品种的买卖出价，投资者据此做出的任何投资决策与本公司 无关。 本报告所涵括的信息仅供交流研讨，投资者应合 ...

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided on the industry investment rating. 2. Core View of the Report - Polyolefin futures continued to rebound. Spot prices of linear LL and拉丝 PP from Sinopec and PetroChina remained stable. Fundamentally, market enthusiasm has cooled, and the polyolefin spot market is still mainly driven by supply - demand. Summer maintenance is in balance, and inventory is slowly being digested, but short - term petrochemical inventory may fluctuate. The de - stocking process in summer is tortuous. Domestically, the macro - level is still driven by domestic demand, and terminal stocking demand may gradually pick up in mid - and late August. The market should focus on the autumn stocking rhythm after supply - demand digestion and possible changes in supply and cost [2]. 3. Summary by Directory Futures Market - **LL Futures**: For the 1 - month, 5 - month, and 9 - month contracts, the previous day's closing prices were 7386, 7383, and 7331 respectively, with increases of 39 (0.53%), 43 (0.59%), and 23 (0.31%) compared to two days ago. The trading volumes were 381879, 6260, and 52643 respectively, and the open interests were 386389, 21714, and 75937 respectively, with changes of +4826, +1249, and - 14155 [2]. - **PP Futures**: For the 1 - month, 5 - month, and 9 - month contracts, the previous day's closing prices were 7048, 7068, and 7016 respectively, with changes of - 8 (-0.11%), +6 (0.08%), and - 10 (-0.14%) compared to two days ago. The trading volumes were 252769, 12288, and 31224 respectively, and the open interests were 453181, 32678, and 54053 respectively, with changes of +10598, +837, and - 7840 [2]. - **Spreads**: For LL, the 1 - month to 5 - month, 5 - month to 9 - month, and 9 - month to 1 - month spreads were 3, 52, and - 55 respectively (previous values: 7, 32, - 39). For PP, the spreads were - 20, 52, and - 32 respectively (previous values: - 6, 36, - 30) [2]. Raw Materials and Spot Market - **Raw Materials**: The current values of methanol futures, Shandong propylene, South China propane, PP recycled materials, North China powder, and mulch film were 2428 yuan/ton, 6470 yuan/ton, 571 dollars/ton, 5600 yuan/ton, 6800 yuan/ton, and 8800 yuan/ton respectively. Compared with the previous values, Shandong propylene increased, while others remained stable [2]. - **Mid - stream Spot**: In the mid - stream spot market, the price ranges of LL in the East China, North China, and South China markets were 7250 - 7700 yuan/ton, 7150 - 7450 yuan/ton, and 7350 - 7750 yuan/ton respectively. The price ranges of PP in these three markets were 6900 - 7000 yuan/ton, 6850 - 7000 yuan/ton, and 6850 - 7100 yuan/ton respectively, remaining stable compared to the previous values [2]. Market News - On Thursday (August 21), the settlement price of WTI crude oil futures for October 2025 on the New York Mercantile Exchange was $63.52 per barrel, up $0.81 (1.29%) from the previous trading day, with a trading range of $62.52 - $63.67. The settlement price of Brent crude oil futures for October 2025 on the London Intercontinental Exchange was $67.67 per barrel, up $0.83 (1.24%) from the previous trading day, with a trading range of $66.74 - $67.80 [2].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core View - The polyolefin futures closed positive yesterday. The spot prices of linear LL and拉丝 PP from Sinopec and PetroChina remained stable. The market heat has cooled down, and the polyolefin spot market is still mainly driven by supply and demand. Summer maintenance is in balance, and inventory is slowly being digested, but short - term petrochemical inventory may fluctuate. The domestic macro - level is still driven by domestic demand, and the terminal stocking demand may gradually pick up in mid - to late August. The future market should focus on the autumn stocking rhythm after supply - demand digestion and possible changes on the supply side [2]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Futures Market - **Prices**: For linear LL futures, the previous day's closing prices for January, May, and September contracts were 7347, 7340, and 7308 respectively, with increases of 40, 49, and 40 and涨幅 of 0.55%, 0.67%, and 0.55% respectively. For拉丝 PP futures, the previous day's closing prices for January, May, and September contracts were 7056, 7062, and 7026 respectively, with increases of 40, 30, and 39 and涨幅 of 0.57%, 0.43%, and 0.56% respectively [2]. - **Volume and Open Interest**: The trading volumes of linear LL futures for January, May, and September contracts were 400529, 7534, and 95001 respectively, and the open interests were 381563, 20465, and 90092 respectively. The open interest changes were 21423, 1614, and - 35644 respectively. For拉丝 PP futures, the trading volumes were 341106, 14955, and 58830 respectively, the open interests were 442583, 31841, and 61893 respectively, and the open interest changes were 25989, 2844, and - 19500 respectively [2]. - **Spreads**: For linear LL, the current spreads of January - May, May - September, and September - January were 7, 32, and - 39 respectively, compared with previous values of 16, 23, and - 39. For拉丝 PP, the current spreads of January - May, May - September, and September - January were - 6, 36, and - 30 respectively, compared with previous values of - 16, 45, and - 29 [2]. Raw Materials and Spot Market - **Raw Materials**: The current prices of methanol futures, Shandong propylene, South China propane, PP recycled materials, North China powder, and mulch film were 2427 yuan/ton, 6390 yuan/ton, 570 dollars/ton, 5600 yuan/ton, 6770 yuan/ton, and 8800 yuan/ton respectively, with some changes compared to previous values [2]. - **Spot Market**: In the middle - stream market, the current price ranges of linear LL in East China, North China, and South China were 7250 - 7700 yuan/ton, 7150 - 7450 yuan/ton, and 7350 - 7750 yuan/ton respectively. For拉丝 PP, the current price ranges in East China, North China, and South China were 6900 - 7000 yuan/ton, 6850 - 7000 yuan/ton, and 6850 - 7100 yuan/ton respectively [2]. News - On Wednesday (August 20), the settlement price of WTI crude oil futures for September 2025 on the New York Mercantile Exchange was $63.21 per barrel, up $0.86 or 1.38% from the previous trading day, with a trading range of $62.39 - $63.55. The settlement price of Brent crude oil futures for October 2025 on the London Intercontinental Exchange was $66.84 per barrel, up $1.05 or 1.60% from the previous trading day, with a trading range of $65.81 - $67.06 [2].

行业 MEG 日报 日期 2025 年 08 月 21 日 料油） 021-60635738 lijie@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3031215 021-60635737 renjunchi@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3037892 业硅）028-8663 0631 penghaozhou@ccb.ccbfutures.c om期货从业资格号：F3065843 021-60635740 pengjinglin@ccb.ccbfutures.c om期货从业资格号：F3075681 021-60635570 liuyouran@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F03094925 021-60635727 fengzeren@ccb.ccbfutures.com 能源化工研究团队 研究员：李捷,CFA（原油燃 研究员：任俊弛（PTA、MEG） 研究员：彭浩洲（尿素、工 研究员：彭婧霖（聚烯烃） 研究员：刘悠然（纸浆） 研究员：冯泽仁（玻璃纯碱） 期货从业资格号：F03134307 请阅读正文后的声明 ＃summary＃ 每日报告 ...

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core View of the Report - Polyolefin futures are running weakly. The spot market of polyolefins is mainly driven by supply - demand factors. The market heat has cooled down, and the inventory is slowly being digested after the previous rebound. The short - term petrochemical inventory may fluctuate, and the destocking process in summer is tortuous. However, domestic demand is the main driver at the macro level, and the terminal备货 demand may gradually pick up in the middle and late August. The focus should be on the autumn stocking market rhythm after supply - demand digestion and the potential changes in the cost side [2]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Futures Market - **LL and PP Futures Prices**: For LL, the previous day's closing prices for January, May, and September contracts were 7307, 7291, and 7268 respectively, with changes of - 27, - 21, and - 24 compared to the day before, and percentage changes of - 0.37%, - 0.29%, and - 0.33% respectively. For PP, the previous day's closing prices for January, May, and September contracts were 7016, 7032, and 6987 respectively, with changes of - 32, - 16, and - 39 compared to the day before, and percentage changes of - 0.45%, - 0.23%, and - 0.56% respectively [2]. - **Trading Volume and Open Interest**: The trading volumes of LL for January, May, and September contracts were 195031, 3873, and 54494 respectively, and the open interests were 360140, 18851, and 125736 respectively, with changes of 18234, 761, and - 22109 respectively. For PP, the trading volumes for January, May, and September contracts were 198360, 7393, and 50844 respectively, and the open interests were 416594, 28997, and 81393 respectively, with changes of 24874, 1950, and - 18050 respectively [2]. - **Price Spreads**: The current price spreads of LL for January - May, May - September, and September - January are 16, 23, and - 39 respectively, compared to previous values of 22, 20, and - 42. For PP, the current price spreads for January - May, May - September, and September - January are - 16, 45, and - 29 respectively, compared to previous values of 0, 22, and - 22 [2]. Spot Market - **Raw Materials**: The current prices of methanol futures, Shandong propylene, South China propane, PP recycled materials, North China powder, and mulch film are 2395 yuan/ton, 6410 yuan/ton, 560 dollars/ton, 5600 yuan/ton, 6800 yuan/ton, and 8800 yuan/ton respectively. The previous values were 2400 yuan/ton, 6425 yuan/ton, 564 dollars/ton, 5600 yuan/ton, 6800 yuan/ton, and 8800 yuan/ton respectively [2]. - **Intermediate and Final Products**: The current price ranges of LL in the East China, North China, and South China markets are 7250 - 7700 yuan/ton, 7200 - 7450 yuan/ton, and 7400 - 7750 yuan/ton respectively. The previous price ranges were 6950 - 7100 yuan/ton, 7250 - 7700 yuan/ton, and 7200 - 7450 yuan/ton. For PP, the current price ranges in the East China, North China, and South China markets are 6950 - 7050 yuan/ton, 6900 - 7000 yuan/ton, and 6850 - 7100 yuan/ton respectively, and the previous price ranges were 7400 - 7750 yuan/ton, 6900 - 7000 yuan/ton, and 6900 - 7100 yuan/ton [2]. News - On Tuesday (August 19), the settlement price of West Texas Intermediate crude oil futures for September 2025 on the New York Mercantile Exchange was $62.35 per barrel, down $1.07 or 1.69% from the previous trading day, with a trading range of $62.25 - $63.39. The settlement price of Brent crude oil futures for October 2025 on the London Intercontinental Exchange was $65.79 per barrel, down $0.81 or 1.22% from the previous trading day, with a trading range of $65.61 - $66.58 [2].

Group 1: Report Summary - The report focuses on the polyolefin (LL&PP) futures and spot markets, providing data on prices, trading volumes, and inventories, along with market analysis and strategies [2]. Group 2: Market Rating - No investment rating for the industry is provided in the report. Group 3: Core View - Polyolefin futures are running weakly. The spot market is mainly driven by supply - demand. The market heat has cooled down, and the inventory is slowly being digested. It is in a stage of stopping the decline after the previous rebound. The destocking process in summer is tortuous, but the terminal备货 demand may pick up in mid - to late August. The key is to focus on the autumn stocking market rhythm and potential cost changes [2]. Group 4: Futures Market - **Price and Change**: For LL, the previous day's closing prices for January, May, and September contracts were 7334, 7312, and 7292 respectively, with declines of - 17, - 34, and - 14 and percentage drops of - 0.23%, - 0.46%, and - 0.19%. For PP, the closing prices were 7048, 7048, and 7026, with declines of - 36, - 32, and - 32 and percentage drops of - 0.51%, - 0.45%, and - 0.45% [2]. - **Trading Volume and Open Interest**: The trading volumes of LL for January, May, and September contracts were 210483, 3872, and 77466. The open interests were 341906, 18090, and 147845, with changes of 23091, 1252, and - 25485. For PP, the trading volumes were 198520, 7133, and 56805. The open interests were 391720, 27047, and 99443, with changes of 28363, 1051, and - 11273 [2]. - **Spread**: For LL, the current spreads of January - May, May - September, and September - January were 22, 20, and - 42, compared to previous values of 5, 40, and - 45. For PP, the current spreads were 0, 22, and - 22, compared to previous values of 4, 22, and - 26 [2]. Group 5: Spot Market - **Raw Materials**: The current prices of methanol futures, Shandong propylene, South China propane, PP recycled materials, North China powder, and mulch film were 2400 yuan/ton, 6425 yuan/ton, 562 dollars/ton, 5600 yuan/ton, 6800 yuan/ton, and 8800 yuan/ton respectively, with some price changes from the previous values [2]. - **Intermediate Products**: For LL, the current price ranges in East China, North China, and South China markets were 7250 - 7700 yuan/ton, 7200 - 7450 yuan/ton, and 7400 - 7750 yuan/ton. For PP, the ranges were 6950 - 7100 yuan/ton, 6900 - 7000 yuan/ton, and 6900 - 7100 yuan/ton, with some price changes from the previous values [2]. Group 6: News - On August 18, 2025, the settlement price of WTI crude oil futures for September 2025 on the New York Mercantile Exchange was $63.42 per barrel, up $0.62 or 0.99% from the previous day. The settlement price of Brent crude oil futures for October 2025 on the London Intercontinental Exchange was $66.60 per barrel, up $0.75 or 1.14% from the previous day [2].

Group 1: Report General Information - Report Name: MEG Daily Report [1] - Date: August 18, 2025 [2] - Research Team: Energy and Chemical Research Team of Jianxin Futures [4] Group 2: Market Review and Operation Suggestions - Futures Market: EG2509 closed at 4369 yuan/ton, down 18 yuan; EG2601 closed at 4412 yuan/ton, down 24 yuan. The trading volume of EG2509 was 71,884 lots, and the open interest was 148,452 lots, a decrease of 10,835 lots. The open interest of EG2601 was 60,953 lots, an increase of 11,568 lots [7] - Market Outlook: The supply - demand structure of ethylene glycol and its downstream polyester devices has not changed substantially, but the macro - market still has certain expectations for policy. It is expected that ethylene glycol may maintain a relatively strong oscillating trend [7] Group 3: Industry News - Crude Oil: After Trump warned of "serious consequences" if negotiations with Putin on the Ukraine issue failed, Brent crude futures rose to a one - week high. On August 14, the settlement price of WTI crude oil futures for September 2025 was $63.96 per barrel, up $1.31 or 2.09%. The settlement price of Brent crude oil futures for October 2025 was $66.84 per barrel, up $1.21 or 1.84% [8] - Ethylene Glycol Market: In Zhangjiagang, the spot negotiation price of ethylene glycol this week was 4456 - 4457 yuan/ton, down 6 yuan/ton from the previous working day. The mainstream transaction price was 4450 - 4465 yuan/ton, down 5 yuan/ton. In Dongguan, the negotiation range was 4350 - 4400 yuan/ton, unchanged from the previous trading day. The ethylene glycol market was weak and the trading volume was average [8] Group 4: Data Overview - Data Charts: Include charts of MEG futures price, spot - futures price difference, international crude oil futures main contract closing price, raw material price index (ethylene), PTA - MEG price difference, MEG price, MEG downstream product price, and MEG downstream product inventory [10][15][16][18] - Data Source: Wind, Research and Development Department of Jianxin Futures [7][11][12]

申银万国期货研究所 陆甲明 （从业编号F3079531 交易咨询号Z0015919） 20250818申万期货品种策略日报-聚烯烃（LL&PP） 免 责 声 明 本公司具有中国证监会核准的期货交易咨询业务资格 （核准文号 证监许可[2011]1284号） 研究局限性和风险提示 报告中依据和结论存在范围局限性，对未来预测存在不及预期，以及宏观环境和产业链影响因素存在不确定性变化等风险。 分析师声明 作者具有期货交易咨询执业资格，保证报告所采用的数据均来自合规渠道，分析逻辑基于作者的职业理解，本报告清晰准确地 反映了作者的研究观点，力求独立、客观和公正，结论不受任何第三方的授意或影响，作者及利益相关方不曾因也将不会因本 报告中的具体推荐意见或观点而直接或间接获取任何形式的不当利益。 免责声明 本报告的信息均来源于第三方信息提供商或其他已公开信息，本公司对这些信息的准确性、完整性、时效性或可靠性不作任何 保证，也不保证所包含的信息和建议不会发生任何变更。市场有风险，投资需谨慎。我们力求报告内容的客观、公正，但文中 的观点、结论和建议仅供参考，报告中的信息或意见并不构成所述品种的买卖出价，投资者据此做出的任何投资决策 ...

行业 PTA 日报 日期 2025 年 08 月 15 日 一、 行情回顾与操作建议 | 表1：期货行情 | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 合约 | 收盘价（元/吨） | 涨跌 | 总量 | 增减 | | TA2509 | 4640 | -66 | 342285 | -62460 | | TA2601 | 4666 | -74 | 527922 | 123308 | 油） 021-60635738 lijie@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3031215 021-60635737 renjunchi@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3037892 硅）028-8663 0631 penghaozhou@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3065843 021-60635740 pengjinglin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3075681 021-60635570 liuyouran@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F0309492 ...

Report Information - Report Name: MEG Daily Report [1] - Date: August 13, 2025 [2] Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core View - The short - term macro - market sentiment has improved, but the supply - demand structure and cost support of ethylene glycol are weak. It is expected that the short - term spot price of ethylene glycol may fluctuate within a range [7] Summary by Section 1. Market Review and Operation Suggestions - Futures market: For EG2509, the closing price was 4432 yuan/ton, up 28 yuan, with a position of 190,590 contracts, a decrease of 8,974 contracts; for EG2601, the closing price was 4478 yuan/ton, up 34 yuan, with a position of 57,197 contracts, an increase of 9,162 contracts. On the 12th, the opening price of the main ethylene glycol futures contract 2409 was 4395, the highest was 4416, the lowest was 4365, the settlement price was 4392, and the closing price was 4409, up 29 yuan or 0.66% from the previous trading day's settlement price. The total volume was 207,424 lots, and the position was 433,890 lots [7] 2. Industry News - Oil prices: Investors are concerned about the upcoming negotiations between the US and a European country on the Ukraine crisis. On Monday (August 11), the settlement price of WTI crude oil futures for September 2025 on the New York Mercantile Exchange was $63.96 per barrel, up $0.08 or 0.13% from the previous trading day, with a trading range of $63.02 - $64.44; the settlement price of Brent crude oil futures for October 2025 on the London Intercontinental Exchange was $66.63 per barrel, up $0.04 or 0.06% from the previous trading day, with a trading range of $65.81 - $67.13 [8] - Ethylene glycol market in Zhangjiagang: The spot negotiation price this week is 4507 - 4509 yuan/ton, up 20.5 yuan/ton from the previous working day. The spot negotiation price next week is 4508 - 4510 yuan/ton, and the negotiation price for the end of August is 4509 - 4511 yuan/ton. The basis of this week's spot is at a premium of 75 - 77 yuan/ton compared to EG2509, next week's spot basis is at a premium of 76 - 78 yuan/ton compared to EG2509, and the basis at the end of August is at a premium of 77 - 79 yuan/ton compared to EG2509 [8] - Polyester market: The price of polyester filament continued to rise locally to repair profit margins, but downstream buying was limited as most completed restocking last weekend and are currently digesting inventory. The main futures price of polyester staple fiber was running warmly. The price of staple fiber factories was stable, and the price of traders increased slightly. The downstream purchasing willingness was low, and the trading volume in the market was differentiated, with some low - price transactions showing an increase [8] 3. Data Overview - Multiple data charts are provided, including PTA - MEG spread, MEG price, MEG futures price, spot - futures price difference, international crude oil futures main contract closing price, raw material price index (ethylene), MEG downstream product price, and MEG downstream product inventory, with data sources from Wind and the Research and Development Department of CCB Futures [10][15][16][18]