甲醇期货
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伊装置逐渐兑现检修 甲醇期货预计以震荡思路对待
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-11-27 06:04
库存方面,截至2025年11月26日,中国甲醇港口库存总量在136.35万吨,较上一期数据减少11.58万吨。 其中,华东地区去库,库存减少8.03万吨;华南地区去库,库存减少3.55万吨。 后市来看,国信期货表示,伊装置逐渐兑现检修,沿海心态企稳,关注后期多套装置运行动态,主力延 续减仓。操作建议:震荡思路对待。 11月27日,国内期市能化板块涨跌互现。其中,甲醇期货盘中高位震荡运行,截至发稿主力合约报 2114.00元/吨,小幅上涨1.20%。 基本面来看,五矿期货指出,国内产量进一步提升,企业利润持续走低,到港有所回落,供应依旧维持 在相对高位。 需求方面,创元期货分析称,国内需求端近期总体变动不大,近一个月周度表观需求维持于230-240万 吨之间,后续烯烃端关注富德装置检修动态。 ...
20251127申万期货品种策略日报-聚烯烃(LL&PP)-20251127
Shen Yin Wan Guo Qi Huo· 2025-11-27 03:55
申银万国期货研究所 陆甲明 (从业编号F3079531 交易咨询号Z0015919) 免 责 声 明 本公司具有中国证监会核准的期货交易咨询业务资格 (核准文号 证监许可[2011]1284号) 研究局限性和风险提示 报告中依据和结论存在范围局限性,对未来预测存在不及预期,以及宏观环境和产业链影响因素存在不确定性变化等风险。 分析师声明 作者具有期货交易咨询执业资格,保证报告所采用的数据均来自合规渠道,分析逻辑基于作者的职业理解,本报告清晰准确地 反映了作者的研究观点,力求独立、客观和公正,结论不受任何第三方的授意或影响,作者及利益相关方不曾因也将不会因本 报告中的具体推荐意见或观点而直接或间接获取任何形式的不当利益。 免责声明 本报告的信息均来源于第三方信息提供商或其他已公开信息,本公司对这些信息的准确性、完整性、时效性或可靠性不作任何 保证,也不保证所包含的信息和建议不会发生任何变更。市场有风险,投资需谨慎。我们力求报告内容的客观、公正,但文中 的观点、结论和建议仅供参考,报告中的信息或意见并不构成所述品种的买卖出价,投资者据此做出的任何投资决策与本公司 无关。 本报告所涵括的信息仅供交流研讨,投资者应合 ...
股指期货将震荡整理,白银期货将震荡偏强,黄金、多晶硅、碳酸锂期货将偏强震荡,螺纹钢、铁矿石期货将偏弱震荡
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2025-11-27 02:50
2025 年 11 月 27 日 股指期货将震荡整理 白银期货将震荡偏强 黄金、多晶硅、 碳酸锂期货将偏强震荡 螺纹钢、铁矿石期货将偏弱震荡 陶金峰 期货投资咨询从业资格号:Z0000372 邮箱:taojinfeng@gtht.com 【正文】 【声明】 本报告的观点和信息仅供风险承受能力合适的投资者参考。本报告难以设置访问权限,若给您造成不 便,敬请谅解。若您并非风险承受能力合适的投资者,请勿阅读、订阅或接收任何相关信息。本报告不构 成具体业务或产品的推介,亦不应被视为相应金融衍生品的投资建议。请您根据自身的风险承受能力自行 作出投资决定并自主承担投资风险,不应凭借本内容进行具体操作。 【期货行情前瞻要点】 通过宏观基本面分析和黄金分割线、水平线、日均线等技术面分析,预期今日期货主力合约行情走势大概率如 下: 股指期货大概率将震荡整理:IF2512 阻力位 4521 和 4539 点,支撑位 4457 和 4439 点;IH2512 阻力位 2977 和 2990 点,支撑位 2959 和 2952 点;IC2512 阻力位 7000 和 7054 点,支撑位 6871 和 6827 点;IM2512 阻 ...
【早盘直通车】行情回顾及操作建议2025/11/27
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-27 02:08
(来源:国元期货研究) 来源:国元期货研究 国内主要期货品种日度涨跌幅 截至2025年11月26日 截至2025年11月26日15:00收盘,国内期货主力合约涨跌不一,花生涨近4%,多晶硅涨近3%,玻璃、沪 银涨近2%,碳酸锂、尿素、生猪涨超1%。跌幅方面,集运欧线跌近8%,聚丙烯(PP)、焦炭、焦 煤、塑料、燃油跌超1%。 截至2025年11月26日23:00收盘,国内期货主力合约涨多跌少,甲醇、玻璃涨超1%,苯乙烯、纯苯、对 二甲苯、BR橡胶、橡胶小幅上涨。跌幅方面,沥青跌超1%,焦炭、纸浆小幅下跌。 【股指】 品种预测合集 | 偏多 | 玉米、原油、原木、鸡蛋、玻璃、尿素、甲醇 | | --- | --- | | 中性 | 沪锡、沪金、菜籽油、PE、橡胶、PTA、MEG、PX、PVC、PP、铁矿石、螺 纹钢、热卷、白糖、棉花、花生、生猪、沪银、沪铝、沪铝、沪锌、多晶硅、碳酸 锂、工业硅、沪铜、沪铝、沪镍、IF、IC、烧碱、TL、焦煤、焦炭、纯碱、苹 果 | | 偏空 | 豆粕、菜粕、豆油、棕榈油 | 1、美国9月零售销售在8月未修正的0.6%增幅之后,仅上涨0.2%,增幅低于预期的0.2%,显示在关税推 ...
一、动力煤:宝城期货品种套利数据日报(2025年11月27日)-20251127
Bao Cheng Qi Huo· 2025-11-27 01:30
期货研究报告 宝城期货品种套利数据日报(2025 年 11 月 27 日) 一、动力煤 | 商品 | | | | | | 动力煤 | (元/吨) | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 日期 | 基差 | | | | 5月-1月 | | | 9月-1月 | | 9月-5月 | | 2025/11/26 | 17 . | 6 | 0 . | 0 | | | 0 | 0 . | 0 . | 0 | | 2025/11/25 | 21 . | 6 | 0 . | 0 | | | 0 | 0 . | 0 . | 0 | | 2025/11/24 | 32 . | 6 | 0 . | 0 | | | 0 | 0 . | 0 . | 0 | | 2025/11/21 | 32 . | 6 | 0 . | 0 | | | 0 | 0 . | 0 . | 0 | | 2025/11/20 | 32 . | 6 | 0 | 0 | . | | 0 | 0 . | 0 . | 0 | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2 ...
金信期货日刊:看多玻璃次主力合约的3大可能性分析-20251127
Jin Xin Qi Huo· 2025-11-27 00:57
金信期货日刊 本刊由金信期货研究院撰写 2025/11/27 GOLDTRUST FUTURES CO.,LTD 看多玻璃次主力合约的3大可能性分析 ibaotu.com 热点聚焦 当前玻璃期货次主力合约处于"弱现实"与"强预期"的博弈中,从成本、供应、库存、政策及盘面资金等维度 看,存在诸多支撑因素,长期具备抄底价值,以下五大理由为看多逻辑提供核心支撑。 感谢您下载包图网平台上提供的PPT作品,为了您和包图网以及原创作者的利益,请勿复制、传播、销售,否则将承担法律责任!包图网将对作品进行维权,按照传播下载次数进行十倍的索取赔偿! 一,成本端形成强力托底,下跌空间受限 行业盈亏平衡点约980 - 1000元/吨,而玻璃次主力合约11月21日报1113元/吨,虽当前部分企业仍能承压,但 价格若进一步下探,将触发更多企业限产停产,成本硬约束下,合约价格下跌空间已十分有限。 二,供应收缩持续加码,供需格局逐步优化 供应端收缩动作不断落地,沙河地区4条燃煤生产线已集中停产冷修,合计日熔量达2650吨,直接带动全国浮法 玻璃日产量环比下降1.33%。此外广东有企业公示平板玻璃生产线产能出让方案,进一步减少市场供应。 三 ...
橡胶甲醇原油:多空延续分化能化涨跌互现
Bao Cheng Qi Huo· 2025-11-26 11:13
投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2011】1778 号 期货研究报告 宝城期货金融研究所 姓名:陈栋 宝城期货投资咨询部 从业资格证号:F0251793 投资咨询证号:Z0001617 电话:0571-87006873 邮箱:chendong@bcqhgs.com 作者声明 本人具有中国期货业协会授 予的期货从业资格证书,期货 投资咨询资格证书,本人承诺 以勤勉的职业态度,独立、客 观地出具本报告。本报告清晰 准确地反映了本人的研究观 点。本人不会因本报告中的具 体推荐意见或观点而直接或 间接接收到任何形式的报酬。 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2011】1778 号 11615 专业研究·创造价值 2025 年 11 月 26 日 橡胶甲醇原油 多空延续分化 能化涨跌互现 核心观点 橡胶:本周三国内沪胶期货 2601 合约呈现放量减仓,震荡偏弱, 略微收低的走势,盘中期价重心略微下跌至 15195 元/吨一线运行。收 盘时期价略微下跌 0.10%至 15195 元/吨。1-5 月差贴水幅度收敛至 60 元/吨。随着宏观驱动减弱以后,国内胶市重回由供需基本面所主导的 行情中。 甲醇:本周三国内甲醇期货 2601 合 ...
俄乌和谈进展主导油价,聚烯烃期价创近年新低
Zhong Xin Qi Huo· 2025-11-26 02:41
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the report. 2. Core Views of the Report - The progress of the Russia-Ukraine peace talks dominates oil prices, and the prices of polyolefin futures have reached new lows in recent years. The situation of strong current and weak expectations in the crude oil market continues, and the key variable lies in the progress of the Russia-Ukraine peace talks. Investors should temporarily adopt a volatile mindset [2]. - The weakening of crude oil leads to a decline in the cost of oil-based chemicals. The production capacity growth rates of PP and PE in 2025 both exceed 10%, and the maintenance efforts are insufficient. The production of polyolefins has been at the highest level in the same period in the past five years, and the monthly production of both varieties in October reached a record high [3]. - The energy and chemical industry will continue its weak and volatile trend, with olefins being weak and the aromatics pattern being slightly stronger [4]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Market Views 3.1.1 Crude Oil - **View**: Geopolitical premium fluctuates, and supply pressure persists. If geopolitical support gradually weakens, it is expected to be volatile and weak [8]. - **Main Logic**: The progress of the Russia-Ukraine peace plan is becoming more optimistic, but uncertainties remain high. API data shows that the US crude oil inventory decreased last week while gasoline and diesel inventories increased. The pressure of inventory accumulation due to oversupply still exists, and there is a lack of marginal positive factors after the reduction of Russian oil production. Macro and geopolitical factors have had an increasing impact on oil prices recently [8]. 3.1.2 Asphalt - **View**: Due to raw material supply disruptions and optimistic sentiment, the asphalt futures price rebounded. The absolute price of asphalt is overestimated, and the monthly spread of asphalt is expected to decline as warehouse receipts increase [9]. - **Main Logic**: OPEC+ will continue to increase production in December, and White House officials expect Russia and Ukraine to reach a framework agreement by the end of November. The increase in crude oil and rebar prices driven by optimistic expectations has boosted the asphalt futures price. Reuters reported that Venezuela is seeking key raw material supplies from Chevron, and the shortage of Venezuelan diluted naphtha supply may lead to a decline in its crude oil exports. After the futures pricing returned to the Shandong spot price, the recent stability of the Shandong spot price has strengthened the support for the futures price [9]. 3.1.3 High-Sulfur Fuel Oil - **View**: The fuel oil futures price is in a weak and volatile state. Geopolitical escalation will only cause short-term price disturbances, and attention should be paid to changes in the Russia-Ukraine situation [9]. - **Main Logic**: OPEC+ will continue to increase production in December, and White House officials expect Russia and Ukraine to reach a framework agreement by the end of November. The three major drivers supporting high-sulfur fuel oil, namely the Russia-Ukraine conflict, refinery purchases, and the Palestine-Israel conflict, are currently weak. The refinery operating rate has dropped significantly in the off-season, and the refinery processing demand is weak. The United States is currently using gas oil as a substitute for residue oil, and the fuel oil demand in the Middle East is still weak during the off-season [9]. 3.1.4 Low-Sulfur Fuel Oil - **View**: The low-sulfur fuel oil futures price is in a weak and volatile state. It is affected by the substitution of green fuels and high-sulfur fuels, and the demand space is limited. However, the current valuation is low, and it will fluctuate with crude oil [10][11]. - **Main Logic**: Low-sulfur fuel oil follows the decline of refined oil products, and the pressure level of 3500 is temporarily effective. Recently, the decline in Russian refined oil exports has driven the rebound of gasoline and diesel cracking spreads, which has supported low-sulfur fuel oil. However, White House officials expect Russia and Ukraine to reach a framework agreement by the end of November, and diesel prices have dropped significantly, causing low-sulfur fuel oil to follow the decline. Low-sulfur fuel oil faces negative factors such as a decline in shipping demand, the substitution of green energy, and the substitution of high-sulfur fuels. Its valuation is low and is expected to fluctuate with crude oil [11]. 3.1.5 Methanol - **View**: The rebound has reflected the confirmed expectations, and high inventories will suppress the upward space of the futures price. It is expected to be in a short-term volatile consolidation state, and there may be a possibility of repeated bottoming in the long term [30][31]. - **Main Logic**: On November 25, methanol continued to rise but showed signs of weakness. The trading atmosphere in the inland market was active, and the demand for long-term contracts and replenishment by traders was obvious. Olefin enterprises purchased in normal quantities, smoothly digesting the enterprise inventories. After the confirmation of the shutdown information of Iranian methanol plants, the expectations have been basically reflected in the futures price through the reduction of short positions on the 24th. However, considering the high expected import volume, the high coastal inventories are expected to remain at a historical high level, continuing to suppress the upward space of the futures price after the rebound [30]. 3.1.6 Urea - **View**: Downstream demand is weak, and the futures price has declined slightly. The fundamental pattern of strong supply and weak demand remains unchanged, with high inventories suppressing prices and spot prices providing support. The market is expected to be in a narrow and volatile consolidation state, and attention should be paid to the impact of environmental protection restrictions on the operation of downstream compound fertilizers [31]. - **Main Logic**: On November 25, the daily production on the supply side remained at a high level. Some devices are expected to resume operation soon, while others have started maintenance. The demand side lacks sustainability, and the market lacks continuous upward momentum. Some regional prices have loosened, and the futures price has declined slightly following the spot price [31]. 3.1.7 Ethylene Glycol - **View**: Without further positive support, the price has entered an adjustment range. The long-term inventory accumulation pressure is large, the rebound height is limited, and the price will maintain a wide and volatile range at a low level [21][22]. - **Main Logic**: The ethylene glycol price rose and then fell during the day. After the short-term sentiment was further released, there was no other obvious positive support. The early implementation of the maintenance plan at Sinochem Quanzhou has relieved the supply-side pressure to some extent, and the price has experienced an emotional recovery. However, there is still an expectation of the return of coal-based devices, and the expectation of inventory accumulation from November to December has not been reversed. With the expectation of future production capacity expansion, the price increase is under pressure [21]. 3.1.8 PX - **View**: The cost-side support is slightly insufficient, but the demand-side support maintains the profitability. In the short term, it is expected to shift from the previous strength to an adjustment phase, and the price will fluctuate with the cost, waiting for the fermentation of sentiment and further feedback from downstream industries [13]. - **Main Logic**: International oil prices are volatile and weak, and the cost-side support for PX is slightly insufficient. After the price increase, PX has entered a correction phase. The market news is relatively calm, and there have been no significant changes in PX devices. The sentiment for blending into gasoline has cooled down slightly, but PX supply still remains at a high level. The demand side still provides some support for PX prices, which will fluctuate within a certain range under the influence of cost and sentiment [13]. 3.1.9 PTA - **View**: The spot basis is strong, and the processing fee has been slightly repaired. The price will fluctuate with the cost, and the support for the processing fee has increased. The basis has emerged from a weak state. There may be an opportunity for a positive spread arbitrage in TA01 - 05 when it is below -50 [14][15]. - **Main Logic**: The cost-side support from upstream is average, and the market sentiment has cooled down, resulting in average negotiations. However, the PTA supply-demand pattern has improved compared to the previous period, leading to a stronger basis. There is a possibility of inventory reduction from November to December. Attention should be paid to the export performance after the cancellation of BIS [15]. 3.1.10 Short Fiber - **View**: Downstream demand is temporarily maintained, and it will passively follow the upstream. The short fiber price will fluctuate with the upstream, and the processing fee is expected to be compressed. A light long position in TA and short position in PF can be considered [24][25]. - **Main Logic**: The cost-side support is limited, and the price increase is modest even with the rebound of ethylene glycol. The current supply-demand pattern of polyester staple fiber is in a weakening cycle, and demand only meets the basic needs. Polyester staple fiber factories are mainly focused on sales [25]. 3.1.11 Bottle Chip - **View**: The price fluctuation is limited, and the profit is stagnant. The absolute price will fluctuate with the raw materials, and the overall support for the processing fee has increased [26]. - **Main Logic**: The upstream raw material futures prices rose and then fell. Polyester bottle chip factories slightly increased their prices in some areas. The trading atmosphere in the polyester bottle chip market was average, and there was a large price difference among different brands. The short-term upstream cost is expected to fluctuate within a certain range, providing no clear directional guidance, and the profit of polyester bottle chips will have limited fluctuations [26]. 3.1.12 Propylene - **View**: The spot is strong, and PL is volatile. PL is expected to be volatile in the short term [35]. - **Main Logic**: The restart of supply has been delayed, and the overall supply remains tight. Propylene enterprises have controllable inventories, and some offer prices have increased slightly. Downstream demand has been positive, with an increase in the premium for actual orders, and the trading center has shifted upwards significantly. The PP - PL spread has narrowed in the short term, and the operating rate of downstream powder plants has declined [35]. 3.1.13 PP - **View**: Oil prices are weakening, and there are still fundamental pressures. Attention should be paid to changes in maintenance. It is expected to be volatile and weak in the short term [34][35]. - **Main Logic**: Oil prices are volatile and declining. The progress of the Russia-Ukraine negotiations has led to a lack of marginal positive factors after the reduction of Russian oil production. The macro and geopolitical factors point to a pessimistic outlook for oil prices. The fundamental support for PP itself is still limited. Although maintenance has increased slightly, the high growth of production capacity still exerts pressure on output. The midstream inventory is at the highest level in the same period in the past five years, and weak demand will continue to suppress the price [35]. 3.1.14 Plastic - **View**: Oil prices are falling, and the downstream is entering the off-season. Maintenance provides limited support, and it is expected to be volatile and weak. It is expected to be volatile and weak in the short term [33][34]. - **Main Logic**: Oil prices are volatile and declining. The progress of the Russia-Ukraine negotiations has led to a lack of marginal positive factors after the reduction of Russian oil production. The macro and geopolitical factors point to a pessimistic outlook for oil prices. The fundamental support for plastics itself is still limited. The upstream and midstream still have the intention to reduce inventories at high prices, which will suppress the upward space of prices. Short-term maintenance provides limited support, and the increase in production capacity still exerts pressure on output. The profit support is limited, and the downstream demand is gradually entering the off-season, with a cautious purchasing attitude [34]. 3.1.15 Styrene - **View**: The narrative of blending into gasoline has faded, and styrene has returned to a volatile state. It is expected to be volatile for the time being. Attention should be paid to the expected difference between the de - stocking of styrene ports and the inventory accumulation of pure benzene ports [19]. - **Main Logic**: The gasoline crack spread and the Asia - US aromatic hydrocarbon spread indicate that the driving force of blending into gasoline is questionable. After the speculative premium is squeezed out, the downward space for styrene is limited. There are some positive factors such as exports and the reduction of Korean aromatic hydrocarbon production. The supply - demand balance between pure benzene and styrene from December to January is not a major issue, with only minor de - stocking and inventory accumulation, so it will be mainly volatile for the time being [19]. 3.1.16 PVC - **View**: High inventories suppress prices, and PVC may be anchored to production cuts. If low profits lead to upstream production cuts or export volume exceeds expectations, the downward pressure on the futures price will be relieved [37]. - **Main Logic**: At the macro level, attention should be paid to the Politburo meeting in December and the Fed's interest rate decision to guide market expectations. At the micro level, the de - stocking of high PVC inventories is slow, and attention should be paid to whether low profits can lead to enterprise production cuts. Specifically, PVC production is at a high level, the profits of marginal enterprises are poor but there are no clear production cut plans; downstream operating rates are seasonally weak, and only low - price purchases increase; the anti - dumping measures in India have been cancelled, and with the new low in Chinese PVC prices, last week's PVC export orders were booming; the supply and demand of calcium carbide have both increased, and the price is weakly stable; the supply - demand expectation of caustic soda is different, and the downward space of the price may be restricted by liquid chlorine [37]. 3.1.17 Caustic Soda - **View**: With low valuation and weak supply - demand, caustic soda is in a volatile state. If low profits lead to upstream production cuts or the logic of warehouse receipts in December takes effect, the futures price may stabilize [37]. - **Main Logic**: At the macro level, attention should be paid to the Politburo meeting in December and the Fed's interest rate decision to guide market expectations. At the micro level, the supply - demand expectation of caustic soda is poor, and attention should be paid to whether low profits can lead to upstream production cuts. Specifically, the marginal profit of alumina plants is poor, and the operating capacity may decline; Weiqiao's caustic soda inventory is high, and the purchase volume is still large; the commissioning of a 4.8 million - ton alumina plant in Guangxi in Q1 2026 will boost the demand for caustic soda, and the purchase of caustic soda is in progress, but the delivery time has been postponed; the non - aluminum operating rate has slightly weakened, and the willingness to replenish inventory is not high; the maintenance in November will end one after another, and the production of caustic soda will increase month - on - month; the price of liquid chlorine is 50 yuan/ton and may decline in the future, and the cost of caustic soda (2250 yuan/ton) may increase [37]. 3.2 Variety Data Monitoring 3.2.1 Energy and Chemical Daily Indicator Monitoring - **Cross - Period Spread**: The report provides the cross - period spreads and their changes for various varieties such as Brent, Dubai, PX, PTA, MEG, etc. [40]. - **Basis and Warehouse Receipts**: It shows the basis, its changes, and the number of warehouse receipts for varieties like asphalt, high - sulfur fuel oil, low - sulfur fuel oil, etc. [41]. - **Cross - Variety Spread**: The cross - variety spreads and their changes are presented, including 1 - month PP - 3MA, 5 - month TA - EG, etc. [42]. 3.2.2 Chemical Basis and Spread Monitoring - Although specific data and analysis for each variety (methanol, urea, styrene, etc.) are mentioned, no detailed content is provided in the given text, so a summary cannot be made. 3.3 Commodity Index - **Comprehensive Index**: The comprehensive index, special index, and plate index of the commodity are provided. The comprehensive index shows an increase, and the energy index has declined in the short term [284][285].
宏观金融类:文字早评2025/11/26星期三-20251126
Wu Kuang Qi Huo· 2025-11-26 01:56
4、美联储理事米兰表示,经济需要大幅降息,货币政策正在拖累经济,美联储应该尽快将利率降至中 性水平。 文字早评 2025/11/26 星期三 宏观金融类 期指基差比例: 股指 【行情资讯】 1、外交部:中美元首通话是美方发起的通话氛围是积极的、友好的、建设性的; 2、离岸、在岸人民币均升破 7.09 触及逾一年盘中新高; 3、阿里巴巴公告,2026 财年第二季度财报营收 2,478.0 亿元,同比增长 4.8%;云智能集团收入 398.2 亿元,同比增长 34%。阿里巴巴称,未来三年内不太可能出现人工智能泡沫; IF 当月/下月/当季/隔季:-0.39%/-0.74%/-1.03%/-2.02%; IC 当月/下月/当季/隔季:-0.79%/-1.55%/-3.14%/-6.09%; IM 当月/下月/当季/隔季:-1.08%/-2.02%/-4.08%/-7.23%; IH 当月/下月/当季/隔季:-0.30%/-0.47%/-0.48%/-0.77%。 【策略观点】 经过近期的持续下跌后,指数有望阶段性企稳。从大方向看,政策支持资本市场的态度未变,科技成长 仍是市场主线,指数中长期仍是逢低做多的思路为主。 ...
宝城期货品种套利数据日报(2025年11月26日)-20251126
Bao Cheng Qi Huo· 2025-11-26 01:38
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating There is no information about the industry investment rating in the provided report. 2. Core View of the Report The report presents the daily arbitrage data of various futures varieties on November 26, 2025, including power coal, energy chemicals, black metals, non - ferrous metals, agricultural products, and stock index futures, mainly showing the basis, inter - period, and inter - variety data of each variety. 3. Summary by Directory Power Coal - The basis data of power coal from November 19 to November 25, 2025, is presented, with the basis on November 25 being 21.6 yuan/ton, and it was 32.6 yuan/ton from November 19 to 24 [1][2]. Energy Chemicals - **Energy Commodities**: The basis, ratio, and other data of fuel oil, crude oil, and asphalt from November 19 to November 25, 2025, are shown. For example, the basis of INE crude oil on November 25 was 1.72 yuan/ton [7]. - **Chemical Commodities**: - Basis data of rubber, methanol, PTA, LLDPE, PVC, and PP from November 19 to November 25, 2025, are provided. For instance, the basis of rubber on November 25 was - 275 yuan/ton [9]. - Inter - period data of rubber, methanol, PTA, LLDPE, PVC, PP, and ethylene glycol are given. For example, the 5 - month minus 1 - month inter - period of rubber was 80 yuan/ton [10]. - Inter - variety data of LLDPE - PVC, LLDPE - PP, PP - PVC, and PP - 3*methanol from November 19 to November 25, 2025, are presented. For example, the LLDPE - PVC value on November 25 was 2288 yuan/ton [10]. Black Metals - **Basis**: The basis data of rebar, iron ore, coke, and coking coal from November 19 to November 25, 2025, are shown. For example, the basis of rebar on November 25 was 164 yuan/ton [21]. - **Inter - period**: The inter - period data of rebar, iron ore, coke, and coking coal are provided. For example, the 5 - month minus 1 - month inter - period of rebar was 23 yuan/ton [20]. - **Inter - variety**: The inter - variety data of rebar/iron ore, rebar/coke, coke/coking coal, and rebar - hot - rolled coil from November 19 to November 25, 2025, are presented. For example, the rebar/iron ore value on November 25 was 3.90 [20]. Non - Ferrous Metals - **Domestic Market**: The domestic basis data of copper, aluminum, zinc, lead, nickel, and tin from November 19 to November 25, 2025, are shown. For example, the basis of copper on November 25 was 70 yuan/ton [29]. - **London Market**: The LME premium/discount, Shanghai - London ratio, CIF, domestic spot price, and import profit/loss data of LME non - ferrous metals (copper, aluminum, zinc, lead, nickel, tin) on November 25, 2025, are presented. For example, the LME premium/discount of copper was 9.52 [32]. Agricultural Products - **Basis**: The basis data of soybeans No.1, soybeans No.2, soybean meal, soybean oil, and corn from November 19 to November 25, 2025, are shown. For example, the basis of soybeans No.1 on November 25 was - 88 yuan/ton [38]. - **Inter - period**: The inter - period data of soybeans No.1, soybeans No.2, soybean meal, soybean oil, rapeseed meal, rapeseed oil, palm oil, corn, sugar, and cotton are provided. For example, the 5 - month minus 1 - month inter - period of soybeans No.1 was 52 yuan/ton [38]. - **Inter - variety**: The inter - variety data of soybeans No.1/corn, soybeans No.2/corn, soybean oil/soybean meal, soybean meal - rapeseed meal, soybean oil - palm oil, rapeseed oil - soybean oil, and corn - corn starch from November 19 to November 25, 2025, are presented. For example, the soybeans No.1/corn value on November 25 was 1.85 [37]. Stock Index Futures - **Basis**: The basis data of CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 from November 19 to November 25, 2025, are shown. For example, the basis of CSI 300 on November 25 was 17.40 [49]. - **Inter - period**: The inter - period data of the next - month minus current - month and next - quarter minus current - quarter for CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 are provided. For example, the next - month minus current - month inter - period of CSI 300 was - 152 [49].