Market Overview - The textile and apparel sector has shown a performance in line with the broader market since August, with textile manufacturing outperforming branded apparel, recording increases of 4.2% and 3.4% respectively [13][19] - Key companies leading the upward trend include Xtep International (+9.4%), Bosideng (+8.5%), and Li Ning (+8.1%) [13][19] Brand Apparel Insights - In July, the retail sales of clothing grew by 1.8% year-on-year, reflecting a slight deceleration compared to the previous month [21] - E-commerce sales saw a significant rebound, particularly in outdoor apparel, with growth rates of 26% for outdoor clothing and 11% for sportswear [21][28] - Notable brands with double-digit growth include Descente (+63%), Puma (+41%), and Lululemon (+39%) [21] Textile Manufacturing Insights - Vietnam's textile exports accelerated in July, with a month-on-month growth of 16.7%, while China's textile exports showed a modest increase of 0.5% [2] - The PMI for Vietnam, Indonesia, and India rose by 3.5, 2.3, and 0.7 respectively, indicating improved manufacturing conditions [2] - The cotton prices have shown slight fluctuations, with domestic prices decreasing by 0.7% and international prices increasing by 1.8% since August [2] Company Performance and Forecasts - Non-sport apparel brands have generally faced challenges due to macroeconomic conditions, leading to a decline in revenue and increased inventory impairment [4] - Sports apparel brands have maintained robust fundamentals, with management teams optimistic about meeting annual performance targets despite a slowdown in growth [4] - Companies like Shenzhou International and Huayi Group are expected to show significant earnings resilience post the current low point in Q2 and Q3 [4][7] Investment Recommendations - Focus on companies with strong fundamentals and low valuations, particularly those with high performance in mid-year reports [3][7] - Recommended stocks include Anta Sports, Xtep International, and Li Ning for branded apparel, and Shenzhou International and Huayi Group for textile manufacturing [7][8]

Core Insights - The global fishing market has exceeded $100 billion, with significant growth in regions like North America and Europe, where fishing is a popular outdoor activity [4][8] - In China, the fishing population exceeds 150 million, with younger demographics increasingly participating in the sport [4] - The leading fishing tackle brand globally is Shimano, which reported revenue of 5.22 billion yuan from fishing gear last year [4] Company Overview - Lexin Outdoor International Co., Ltd. has submitted its prospectus to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange for a second time, aiming to transform from an OEM manufacturer to a brand owner [4] - Lexin Outdoor's performance has declined for three consecutive years, with revenues of 818 million yuan in 2022, 463 million yuan in 2023, and projected 573 million yuan in 2024 [6][11] - The company's net profit decreased from 114 million yuan to 59 million yuan during the same period, indicating a nearly 50% reduction [6] Market Dynamics - The fishing equipment market is projected to reach $160.1 billion in 2024 and grow to $165.8 billion in 2025, with an average growth rate of 3.6% from 2025 to 2033 [8] - Lexin Outdoor's primary business involves fishing chairs, tents, and bags, while the core fishing market is dominated by fishing tackle, which presents a larger market opportunity [10] Competitive Landscape - Lexin Outdoor relies heavily on OEM/ODM business, with over 90% of its revenue coming from this model, making it vulnerable to the loss of major clients [10][17] - The company's revenue from the North American market has plummeted from 18.8% in 2022 to just 3.4% in 2024, highlighting its limited competitiveness in a key market [11] Strategic Initiatives - Lexin Outdoor has attempted to diversify by acquiring brands, such as the UK fishing brand Solar, but self-owned brand revenue remains low, increasing from 35.5 million yuan to 40.6 million yuan from 2022 to 2024 [14] - The company plans to expand its OBM (Original Brand Manufacturer) business by introducing new fishing gear categories and collaborating with more retailers [15] Financial Considerations - Lexin Outdoor's reliance on OEM/ODM revenue is significant, with percentages of 94.1%, 90.2%, 92.3%, and 92.9% for the years 2022 to 2025 [17] - The company distributed a cash dividend of 65 million yuan to its controlling shareholder shortly before its IPO, raising concerns about its financial health given its net profit was below 60 million yuan [20] Future Outlook - The company's ability to become the "first fishing stock" remains uncertain, as it faces numerous challenges, including declining performance and heavy reliance on OEM business [21]

Group 1: Industry Overview - The global fishing market has surpassed $100 billion, with the U.S. being the second-largest outdoor activity after hiking, and Europe spending €10.5 billion annually on fishing activities and related equipment [1] - In China, there are over 150 million fishing enthusiasts, with younger generations becoming the main demographic [1] - The global fishing tackle market is dominated by Shimano, which reported revenue of ¥5.22 billion from fishing tackle last year [1] Group 2: Company Performance - Lexin Outdoor International Co., Ltd. has experienced declining performance, with revenues dropping from ¥818 million in 2022 to ¥463 million in 2023, and net profit halving from ¥114 million to ¥59 million [2][8] - Despite a 27.8% year-on-year revenue increase in the first four months of 2025, overall performance has not returned to pre-pandemic levels [2] - The company's production capacity has significantly decreased, with actual output dropping from 7.93 million units in 2022 to 4.17 million units in 2024 [2] Group 3: Market Dynamics - The global fishing tackle market is projected to grow from $160.1 billion in 2024 to $165.8 billion in 2025, with an average growth rate of 3.6% from 2025 to 2033 [3] - There are approximately 785,000 fishing-related enterprises in China, with over 245,000 new registrations in the first half of 2023, a 109.8% increase compared to the same period in 2022 [3] Group 4: Business Model and Challenges - Lexin Outdoor primarily focuses on fishing chairs, tents, and bags, while the core fishing market is dominated by fishing tackle, which has a retail value of ¥131 billion compared to ¥6.8 billion for fishing equipment [4] - The company relies heavily on OEM/ODM business, with over 90% of its revenue coming from this model, making it vulnerable to the loss of major clients [4][8] - Lexin Outdoor's revenue from North America has plummeted from 18.8% in 2022 to 3.4% in 2024, indicating limited competitiveness in the largest fishing market [6] Group 5: Strategic Initiatives - Lexin Outdoor has attempted to diversify by acquiring brands, such as the British fishing brand Solar, but this has not significantly impacted overall revenue, which remains heavily reliant on OEM [7] - The company plans to expand the Solar brand and its product line, aiming to increase its original brand manufacturing (OBM) business [7] - Despite having over 9,000 SKUs, Lexin Outdoor's patent portfolio is limited, raising concerns about its commitment to product development and future competitiveness [9]