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摩根资管中国:今年A股机会大于风险 关注扩内需等四大方向
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2026-01-21 07:50
Group 1 - Morgan Asset Management's China Equity Team believes that the opportunities in A-shares will outweigh risks by 2026, with a structural market trend expected to continue [1] - Key investment directions include: 1. Consumer electronics, which are still in an innovation cycle, with leading companies' valuations at relatively low levels, presenting medium to long-term allocation value 2. The lithium battery industry chain, supported by trade-in subsidy policies, is expected to see continued growth in domestic electric vehicle demand 3. The large financial sector, where if the equity market maintains a slow bull trend, the fundamentals of non-bank financials may remain robust 4. Emerging sub-sectors worth continuous tracking, aligned with domestic demand expansion policies [1] Group 2 - Global economic growth is expected to slow, but with gradually declining interest rates, the tightening pace of monetary policy in major developed markets is likely to ease, providing support to the economy in a low-interest-rate environment [1] - For China, reduced external uncertainties, a friendly policy environment, and a recovery in corporate earnings are expected to accelerate the profit recovery process for industrial enterprises [1] - In terms of asset allocation, improving corporate earnings are likely to support global equity market performance, but investors should lower return expectations and diversify to mitigate risks amid high valuations and geopolitical uncertainties [2] - A-shares are expected to become more attractive, with a focus on high-prosperity core assets, overseas-related sectors, and industries with improved supply-demand dynamics [2]
华泰证券A股策略:沿着高性价比方向布局
Core Viewpoint - The recent report from Huatai Securities indicates that the A-share market is experiencing a period of fluctuation, with increased investor caution and a focus on when the "main upward wave" will form [1] Market Conditions - The A-share market is currently in a state of oscillation, with investors adopting a wait-and-see approach [1] - There is a need for cumulative forces for the market to break through, considering A-share earnings elasticity, policy direction, and overseas influences [1] Key Focus Areas - Future attention will be on Nvidia's earnings report, the Politburo meeting, and the evolution of the A-share capacity cycle [1] Investment Opportunities - Short-term rebound logic exists for low-position sectors, with potential for performance improvement [1] - Specific areas to watch include: 1. The AI industry chain, which has seen a decrease in crowding to the lowest level since July, focusing on Hang Seng Technology, domestic computing power, AI edge computing, and application sectors [1] 2. Low-position sectors such as engineering machinery, textile manufacturing, photovoltaic equipment, general equipment, railway and highway, building materials, and consumer goods, which show potential for performance improvement [1] 3. Within the lithium battery industry chain, attention can be directed towards fluorochemical sectors that are relatively less heated [1]