Core Viewpoint - The article argues that a long-term trend of economic decline will be prevalent in society, leading individuals to seek alternative investment strategies, particularly in high-risk areas like cryptocurrency and prediction markets, as traditional wealth accumulation pathways have become blocked [1][3][5]. Group 1: Economic Disparities - The traditional wealth accumulation mechanisms have failed, with the Baby Boomer generation holding 50% of national wealth while Millennials only possess about 10% [3][5]. - The cost of living has increased significantly, with housing costs doubling while wages have only grown by 8%, leading to a 33% increase in debt burdens for younger generations [5][11]. - The current economic structure has created a sense of entrapment for many, as they struggle to find realistic paths to achieve financial stability and success [3][4]. Group 2: Changing Work Dynamics - The implicit contract of job security and loyalty in exchange for stable returns has broken down, making long-term employment a disadvantage rather than an advantage [4][5]. - The rise of artificial intelligence threatens white-collar jobs, leading to increased anxiety among workers about job security and the future of their careers [11][12]. - Social media exacerbates feelings of inadequacy, as individuals constantly compare themselves to others who appear to be more successful, further driving the desire for quick financial gains [13][14]. Group 3: Rise of High-Risk Investments - Younger generations are increasingly turning to high-risk investments like cryptocurrency and prediction markets as traditional career paths seem less viable [18][19]. - The gambling-like nature of these investments provides a sense of agency and control that is lacking in conventional job markets, making them appealing despite the inherent risks [19][24]. - The prediction market and sports betting industries are experiencing explosive growth, with significant increases in transaction volumes and participation rates among younger demographics [21][26]. Group 4: Investment Opportunities - Companies that facilitate high-risk investments, such as Polymarket and Coinbase, are positioned to benefit from the growing demand for these services, regardless of individual success rates [25][26]. - The entrepreneurial landscape is expanding, with many opportunities aimed at helping individuals escape traditional employment structures, further driving interest in high-risk ventures [25][27]. - The underlying economic conditions that drive young people towards speculative behavior are unlikely to change, suggesting a sustained demand for platforms that cater to these needs [27][28].

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - There is a divergence in the outlook for the cryptocurrency market in 2026 among leading global crypto institutions, primarily concerning the existence of Bitcoin's four-year market cycle and the uncertainty of the U.S. interest rate cuts [1][11] - The transition of crypto mining companies to AI data centers is seen as a positive trend, with companies expected to benefit from the growing demand for AI computing power [3][38] - The U.S. is expected to see significant developments in asset tokenization and prediction markets, which may drive the next wave of crypto market growth [4][46] Summary by Sections 1. Observing the Fed's Rate Cut Rhythm - The total market capitalization of cryptocurrencies fell by 8.6% in 2025, with Bitcoin's price declining by 6.1%, marking the first year to break a three-year growth streak [2][12] - The price of Bitcoin is correlated with global M2 growth rates, which are currently weaker than in previous cycles, suggesting that the performance of the industry in 2026 will depend on the pace and scale of monetary easing by major economies [2][16] 2. U.S. Crypto Mining Transitioning to AI Data Centers - The cost of Bitcoin mining has risen significantly, with the average cost including depreciation reaching $111,557 per BTC, exceeding the current Bitcoin price [3][39] - The U.S. energy department anticipates a need for an additional 100GW of peak power supply by 2030, with a significant portion allocated for data centers, making the transition of mining companies to AI services a natural choice [3][38] 3. U.S. Rapidly Advancing Asset and Prediction Market Tokenization - The Nasdaq has applied to the SEC to launch tokenized stocks, with expectations for tokenized stocks to trade alongside traditional stocks by the third quarter of 2026 [4][46] - The monthly betting amounts on platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi have surged from under $100 million in early 2024 to over $13 billion by November 2025, indicating explosive growth in demand for event contracts [4][48] 4. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies with substantial self-owned power capacity, low debt ratios, and low market value per watt of power, as well as those collaborating with major firms like Google and Amazon [5][43] - It also recommends prioritizing investments in leading cryptocurrency companies during this cyclical opportunity [5]

美股频道更多独家策划、专家专栏，免费查阅>> 12月18日，美国最大加密货币交易所Coinbase Global Inc. 宣布，将正式进军预测市场和股票交易领域。 该公司于周三表示，上述两项服务已启动推出流程，未来几周内将向美国所有符合条件的用户开 放。"如今的 Coinbase 已成为交易各类资产的理想平台，而不仅限于加密货币。" 公司首席执行官布莱 恩・阿姆斯特朗在产品发布会上表示。 责任编辑：栎树 此番举措是 Coinbase 打造 "全能应用" 战略的重要一环 —— 平台将为交易者提供多元化的资产与市场 选择，同时紧跟竞品机构的多元化布局步伐。Coinbase 在发布会中提到，用户可使用美元稳定币 （USDC）进行股票购买。德意志银行研究所分析师在一份报告中指出："这一战略有望显著拓宽公司 的目标市场（涵盖零售与机构客户），丰富产品与服务矩阵，同时助力缓解零售加密货币交易领域未来 可能面临的定价压力。" 分析师还称，预测市场这类全新服务，是推动公司增长的关键因素之一。 ...

本文源自：格隆汇 Gemini Space Station(GEMI.US)盘前大涨18.31%，报13.44美元。消息面上，公司衍生品交易部门Titan获 得了美国商品期货交易委员会(CFTC)颁发的指定合约市场(DCM)许可证，可以开始向美国客户提供预 测市场服务。 ...

Gemini Space Station(GEMI.US)盘前大涨18.31%，报13.44美元。消息面上，公司衍生品交易部门Titan获 得了美国商品期货交易委员会(CFTC)颁发的指定合约市场(DCM)许可证，可以开始向美国客户提供预 测市场服务。(格隆汇) | GEMI Gemini Space Station | | 03 | | --- | --- | --- | | 11.360 ↓-0.080 -0.70% 收盘价 12/10 15:59 美东 | | | | 13.440 * 2.080 +18.31% | | 盘前价 12/11 04:31 美东 | | 一 72 24 4 8 8 5 日 0 時 2 | | ● 快捷交易 | | 最高价 11.570 | 开盘价 11.210 | 成交量 276.7万 | | 最低价 10.574 | 昨收价 11.440 | 成交额 3411.02万 | | 平均价 12.327 | 市盈率TM 亏损 | 总市值 13.37亿 (... | | 振 幅 8.71% | 市盈率(静) 亏损 | 总股本 1.18亿 | | 换手率 17.36% | 市净率 ...

Core Insights - Robinhood Markets announced an acquisition agreement with Susquehanna International Group to jointly acquire a majority stake in LedgerX, a regulated exchange previously owned by the bankrupt FTX Group [1][2] - This acquisition will significantly expand Robinhood's predictive market business, allowing the company to offer diverse predictive market services related to sports events and election outcomes [1] - The acquisition is seen as a strategic move towards diversifying Robinhood's offerings, transitioning from a single stock trading platform to a comprehensive financial services provider [2] Company Overview - LedgerX is a fully regulated derivatives exchange in the U.S., focusing on digital asset derivatives trading and possessing complete regulatory licenses [1] - Susquehanna International Group is a well-known market maker with extensive experience in derivatives trading, which will provide liquidity support for the new platform [1] Market Reaction - The market reacted positively to the news, with Robinhood's stock price increasing by 8%, indicating investor confidence in the company's growth prospects [1] - Predictive markets are viewed as a rapidly growing emerging sector with significant development potential [1] Regulatory Approval - The transaction is subject to approval from relevant regulatory authorities, with both parties expecting to complete all approval processes in the coming months [2] - Upon completion, Robinhood will become one of the few platforms in the U.S. to offer both stock trading and predictive market services [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that Trump Media & Technology Group (DJT.US) has seen a pre-market increase of 7.6% as the company plans to enter the prediction market [1] Group 2 - The company's strategic move into the prediction market indicates a potential expansion of its business model [1]

Core Viewpoint - Coinbase's stock price significantly declined after the release of its latest earnings report, primarily due to second-quarter revenue falling short of analyst expectations despite a year-over-year revenue increase [1][2] Group 1: Financial Performance - Coinbase reported $1.5 billion in revenue for the second quarter, a 3.3% year-over-year increase, but below the market expectation of $1.59 billion and a notable decline from $2 billion in the first quarter [1] - The company's net profit surged to $1.43 billion from $36.13 million in the same period last year, translating to earnings per share of $5.14 compared to $0.14 [1] - Subscription service revenue grew by 9% year-over-year to $655.8 million, but fell short of the expected $705.9 million [2] Group 2: Trading Volume and Market Conditions - Retail trading volume increased by 16% year-over-year to $43 billion, yet it was below the analyst forecast of $48.05 billion [2] - The overall cryptocurrency market capitalization remained stable, leading to a decline in Coinbase's spot trading volume in both the U.S. and global markets [2] - Analysts noted that the market's downturn in the second quarter was anticipated following a strong first quarter driven by favorable regulatory expectations from the Trump administration [2] Group 3: Business Diversification and Strategy - To reduce reliance on cryptocurrency trading volume, Coinbase is actively expanding into new business areas, including traditional stocks, prediction markets, foreign exchange, government bonds, and commodities [3] - The company’s CFO indicated that the technology and regulatory frameworks are maturing, marking a critical turning point for the industry [3] - Following the acquisition of the options exchange Deribit, Coinbase plans to continue its merger and acquisition strategy [4]