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国家队开挖数据金矿
3 6 Ke· 2025-12-08 00:37
这些会议,是为可能即将签署的数据合作开发协议铺路。国家管网运营的全国"油气一张网",不仅是物 理的能源动脉,也是汇集了生产、运输、交易、设备状态等海量信息的"数据一张网"。当下的任务,是 思考如何让这些"硬设施"里的数据实现"软联通",以打破市场壁垒,激活产业链。 行动的紧迫感,源于一项顶层设计的落地。2025年11月25日,国家数据局与国务院国资委联合启动"国 有企业数据资源开发利用试点工作"。试点工作明确了国家管网、中国移动、国机集团、中国汽车技术 研究中心、中国南方电网等12家中央企业作为首批试点牵头单位,要求它们联合民营企业、科研院所等 组建"合作阵营",共同探索数据从资源到资产再到资本的跃迁路径。 在国家数据局副局长陈荣辉的表述中,这并非普通的信息化升级,而是"国有企业数据效能提升行动"与 新一轮国企改革深化提升行动的"有机结合",旨在驱动公司治理和经营模式的"深度变革"。 一名国资委人士表示,试点工作的意义在于,首次系统性推动占据国民经济关键领域、坐拥海量高价值 数据的"国家队",向数据要素市场的深水区进发。最具挑战性的任务,是正面回答数据要素化进程中三 个核心堵点:确权难、定价难、流通难。 随着 ...
巨汇2025全球经济导航:从混沌市场提炼确定性机遇
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-26 02:03
Market Trend Analysis - Macro Global Markets processes 120 million market data points every minute, providing effective intelligence equivalent to a medium-sized library for each user every second [3] - The "Three-Dimensional Policy Shock Model" quantifies central bank interest rate paths, fiscal stimulus scales, and regulatory frameworks into tradable parameters, predicting that a one-month delay in the Fed's balance sheet reduction could narrow emerging market bond spreads by 8-12 basis points [3] Investment Strategy Core - The global macro strategy of Macro Global Markets is regarded as a "decision-making bible" due to its three-layer penetrating analysis framework, focusing on economic fundamentals, political cycles, and technological leaps [5] - The "Volatility Quadrant Tool" redefines risk-return ratios by categorizing assets into four types, with a recommendation to increase allocation to low correlation, high volatility assets to hedge against geopolitical risks, achieving a 3.2% positive return during a 9% drop in the Nasdaq index [5] Risk Quantification - The "Stress Test Matrix" offers a solution that surpasses traditional VaR models, simulating both sudden shocks and chronic risks, predicting a 12%-15% valuation correction for China's new energy vehicle sector if EU carbon tariffs expand [6] - The "Options Implied Volatility Surface Anomaly Scanning System" has successfully captured early signs of multiple black swan events, providing a 72-hour window for institutional investors to adjust their positions ahead of potential Fed rate cuts [6] Future Economic Forecast - Predictions indicate that 2026 may become the "year of AI productivity realization," driven by breakthroughs in general artificial intelligence, brain-computer interfaces, and controllable nuclear fusion [8] - The "Geopolitical Heat Index" suggests Southeast Asia is emerging as a new value area, with significant growth in infrastructure investment and digital payment penetration, recommending a focus on tech-consumer hybrid sectors in the region [8] Conclusion - Macro Global Markets' "anti-fragile analysis system" combines machine learning with human insights to navigate market uncertainties, helping professional investors create a "wealth navigation map" for the current era [9]
Velos Markets威马证券如何成为金融分析师的“透视眼”?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-07 10:30
在2025年复杂多变的经济环境中,市场参与者亟需穿透噪声的"望远镜",而Velos Markets威马证券凭借其全息视角分析工具,正成为专业投资者解码趋势的 关键装备。其技术团队开发的模型能同步整合宏观经济指标(如通胀数据)、行业轮动规律及地缘政治事件,生成多维度的投资热力图,如同为市场绘制了 一张动态的"气象云图"。这种能力在当下结构性机会与风险并存的环境中尤为重要——美联储货币政策调整可能引发黄金市场剧烈波动,而全球经济复苏的 差异化节奏则要求投资者具备更精细的导航工具。 经济预测:从数据到叙事的双重验证 威马证券的预测模型特别强调"叙事一致性检验"。例如在分析新兴市场时,会将GDP增长数据与当地企业高管调研、社交媒体情绪进行交叉验证——这如同 既用卫星遥感又派地面侦察兵确认地形。其2025年中期报告指出,东南亚数字化基建投资与当地年轻人口红利形成的"数字-消费"闭环,可能催生超越传统 经济模型的增长路径。对经济学者而言,这种融合定量与定性的方法,提供了比单纯计量经济学更丰富的解释维度。 威马证券的独特之处在于将传统经济指标与行为金融学、地缘政治变量进行耦合。例如,其分析框架不仅关注通胀数据的绝对值,更会 ...