投资要点 事件：云天化发布2025 半年报，25H1 实现营收249.92 亿元，同比减少21.88%；归母净利润27.61 亿 元，同比下降2.81%；扣非归母净利润26.96 亿元，同比下降3.38%；毛利率19.16%，同比提升2.55pct。 单季度看，25Q2 实现营收119.88亿元，同比减少33.90%，环比减少7.82%；归母净利润14.72 亿元，同 比增长6.52%，环比增长14.15%；扣非归母净利润14.26亿元，同比增长5.23%，环比增长12.26%；毛利 率21.25%，同比提升6.56pct，环比提升4.02pct。 产销稳中有增，业绩在多因素影响下持续稳定。25H1 公司磷肥、复合（混）肥、尿素、聚甲醛、黄 磷、饲料级磷酸氢钙收入分别为69.95、31.26、25.69、5.95、2.23、10.36 亿元，同比变化-14.40%、 6.00%、-17.12%、-5.88%、23.68%、14.47%；销量分别为221.91、98.33、146.49、5.58、1.08、25.29 万 吨，同比变化-6.67%、-0.47%、2.83%、2.20%、22.73%、-5.49% ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [6][4][28] Core Views - The company reported a year-on-year increase in net profit attributable to shareholders in Q2 2025, despite a decline in revenue due to reduced trading business scale. The gross margin and net margin improved, indicating enhanced profitability [1][10] - The core business of the company is in the fertilizer sector, with phosphate fertilizer being the largest revenue contributor. The company is expanding its international market presence while maintaining a strong domestic supply chain [2][17] - The supply-demand dynamics for phosphate rock are tight, with prices expected to remain high due to resource scarcity. The company has significant phosphate rock reserves, ensuring stable raw material supply for its production [3][22] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the company achieved revenue of 11.99 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 33.9% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 7.8%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.47 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 6.5% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 14.2% [1][10] - The company's gross margin was 21.3%, and the net margin was 13.7%, both showing improvements compared to previous periods [10] Business Segments - For the first half of 2025, the company's revenue from phosphate fertilizer, compound fertilizer, and urea was 6.995 billion, 3.126 billion, and 2.569 billion yuan, respectively, accounting for 28%, 13%, and 10% of total revenue. Phosphate fertilizer remains the largest single product contributor [2][17] - The average selling prices for phosphate fertilizer, compound fertilizer, and urea were 3,152 yuan, 3,179 yuan, and 1,754 yuan per ton, with year-on-year changes of -7%, +7%, and -19% respectively [2][17] Market Outlook - The domestic phosphate rock supply-demand situation is tight, with prices expected to remain elevated due to increasing demand and declining ore grades. The company has a production capacity of 5.84 million tons of phosphate rock, ensuring self-sufficiency [3][22] - The prices for various phosphate chemical products showed mixed trends, with feed-grade calcium hydrogen phosphate prices increasing by 21% year-on-year, while prices for polyoxymethylene and yellow phosphorus decreased [23][22] Investment Projections - The company maintains its net profit forecasts for 2025-2026 and has added projections for 2027, estimating net profits of 5.523 billion, 5.574 billion, and 5.709 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively. The corresponding EPS is projected to be 3.01, 3.04, and 3.11 yuan [4][26]

证券代码：600096 证券简称：云天化 公告编号：临 2025-063 备注：以上主要产品数据为公司自产产品数据，未包含本期商贸收入及其他 业务收入和其他零星产品收入。 二、主要产品和原材料的价格变动情况 （一）主要产品价格波动情况（不含税销售均价） 单位：元/吨 | 主要产品 | 本期价格 | 上年同期价格 | | --- | --- | --- | | 磷肥 | 3,152 | 3,378 | | 复合（混）肥 | 3,179 | 2,985 | | 尿素 | 1,754 | 2,176 | | 聚甲醛 | 10,650 | 11,577 | | 黄磷 | 20,627 | 20,460 | | 饲料级磷酸氢钙 | 4,096 | 3,381 | （二）主要原材料波动情况（不含税采购均价） | | | 云南云天化股份有限公司 2025 年半年度主要经营数据公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 根据《上海证券交易所上市公司自律监管指引第 3 号——行业信 息披露》相关规定，将公司 2025 年半年度主要经营 ...

本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 | 一、主要产品的产量、销量及收入实现情况 | | --- | | 主要产品 | 产量（万吨） | 销量（万吨） | 营业收入（万元） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 磷肥 | 122.06 | 127.73 | 392,321.79 | | 复合（混）肥 | 51.13 | 52.53 | 150,086.88 | | 尿素 | 75.70 | 75.35 | 129,875.42 | | 聚甲醛 | 3.13 | 2.49 | 28,824.18 | | 黄磷 | 0.81 | 0.62 | 12,865.20 | | 饲料级磷酸氢钙 | 15.01 | 12.68 | 49,320.10 | 备注：以上主要产品数据为公司自产产品数据，未包含本期商贸收入及其他 业务收入和其他零星产品收入。 根据上海证券交易所《上市公司自律监管指引第 3 号——行业信 息披露》相关规定，将公司 2025 年第一季度主要经营数据披露如下： 证券代码：600096 证券 ...