集邦咨询最新研报预计，2026年全球人形机器人出货量将突破五万台，年增700%以上。 开源证券发布研报称，2025年人形机器人产业完成从"0-1"到"1-10"的跨越，核心驱动力在于"技术收 敛"；展望2026年，行业将突破"1-10"的关键拐点，向"10-100"规模化迈进，核心主题切换为"量产落地 与商业化提速"。 随着人形机器人快速发展，其动力问题也成为市场关注的焦点。"在人形机器人快速发展的同时，动力 系统的瓶颈问题也开始凸显。"西安工程大学产业发展和投资研究中心主任王铁山在接受《证券日报》 记者采访时表示，传统锂电池的能量密度、安全性与体积限制，成为人形机器人规模化应用的重要瓶 颈。 据悉，高镍三元锂电池(NMC/NCA)是当前机器人电池的主流选择。然而，受限于液态锂电池的能量密 度，以及人形机器人躯干空间、重量等因素，多数产品的续航能力集中在两小时到四小时，电池容量多 低于2kWh。如UnitreeH1的电池容量为0.864kWh，静态续航不足四小时；TeslaOptimusGen2搭载2.3kWh 高镍三元电池系统，也仅能维持约两小时的动态续航。 "人形机器人对动力系统有着极其严苛的要求，而当前 ...

Core Insights - The development of humanoid robots is expected to reach a commercialization milestone by 2026, increasing the importance of batteries as an "energy supply" [1] - Solid-state lithium batteries are projected to become the mainstream solution due to their high energy density, with demand from humanoid robots expected to exceed 74 GWh by 2035, growing over a thousand times from 2026 [1] Group 1: Humanoid Robot Battery Market - Global humanoid robot shipments are forecasted to surpass 50,000 units in 2026, representing an annual growth of over 700% [4] - High-nickel ternary lithium batteries (NMC/NCA) are currently the mainstream choice for robot batteries due to their relatively high energy density, while lithium iron phosphate batteries (LFP) are used for lower endurance applications [4] - Most humanoid robots currently have a battery capacity below 2 kWh, with typical endurance ranging from 2 to 4 hours, such as Unitree's H1 with 0.864 kWh and Tesla's Optimus Gen2 with 2.3 kWh [4] Group 2: Challenges and Opportunities - The development of humanoid robot batteries faces two main challenges: the rapid iteration of core technologies affecting battery customization and the current focus on finding scalable commercial applications rather than improving endurance [5] - Despite these challenges, the demand for high energy density, high discharge rate, and high safety batteries in humanoid robots presents an opportunity for solid-state batteries to demonstrate their advantages [5] - Breakthroughs in solid-state battery technology and cost reductions are expected to help humanoid robots overcome power limitations [5]

Core Insights - The article highlights the increasing importance of solid-state batteries as humanoid robots approach commercialization in 2026, with a projected demand for solid-state batteries exceeding 74 GWh by 2035, representing a growth of over 1,000 times from 2026 levels [2][5]. Group 1: Current Battery Technology - Currently, humanoid robots primarily use liquid lithium batteries, with most models having a battery capacity below 2 kWh and a runtime of 2 to 4 hours [6][8]. - High-nickel ternary lithium batteries (NMC/NCA) are the mainstream choice for robot batteries due to their relatively high energy density, while lithium iron phosphate batteries (LFP) are used for lower endurance applications [6]. Group 2: Future Developments - To achieve a runtime of 5 to 8 hours, strategies such as battery swapping technology are being explored, allowing for continuous operation without rebooting [7]. - The adoption of high energy density battery technology, such as solid-state batteries, is expected to significantly enhance the runtime of humanoid robots to over 4 hours [7]. Group 3: Challenges in Battery Development - The development of humanoid robot batteries faces two main challenges: the rapid iteration of core technologies affecting battery customization and the current focus on finding scalable commercial applications rather than improving battery life [8]. - Despite these challenges, the demand for high energy density, high discharge rate, and high safety batteries presents an opportunity for solid-state batteries to demonstrate their advantages [8].