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中芯国际:“火热” 估值撞上 “冰冷” 答卷 重估路悬了?
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-08-08 04:01
Overall Performance - Semiconductor Manufacturing International (SMIC) reported a revenue of $2.2 billion for Q2 2025, slightly above market expectations of $2.16 billion, but a 1.7% decrease from the previous quarter, with guidance indicating a further decline of 4-6% [1][14] - The gross margin for Q2 2025 was 20.4%, reaching the upper limit of the guidance range (18-20%) and exceeding market expectations of 19.7% [1][4] Revenue and Pricing Dynamics - The decline in revenue was primarily attributed to a decrease in average selling prices, despite a 4.3% increase in product shipment volume [3][17] - The average selling price per wafer decreased by 5.7%, influenced by a higher proportion of lower-priced 8-inch wafer shipments [3][17] Business Segment Performance - Revenue from the smartphone segment grew by only 1.7%, significantly lower than the double-digit growth seen in the past two years, while other segments like PC and consumer electronics experienced declines [2][24] - The company maintained over 80% of its revenue from the domestic market, driven by domestic substitution trends [2][7] Expenditure and Capital Investment - Operating expenses increased, with management expenses rising by 17.6% year-on-year, primarily due to higher factory setup costs [2][31] - Capital expenditure for the quarter was $1.885 billion, indicating a commitment to maintaining high levels of investment despite weak downstream demand [2][31] Future Guidance - For Q3 2025, SMIC expects revenue to increase by 5-7%, translating to $2.32-$2.36 billion, which is below market expectations of $2.37 billion [4][19] - The gross margin guidance for the next quarter is set at 18-20%, lower than the market expectation of 21.1% [4][22] Capacity Utilization and Market Trends - The capacity utilization rate for Q2 2025 was 92.5%, reflecting a slight recovery, primarily due to preemptive stocking of 8-inch wafers by customers [2][22] - The overall semiconductor market remains weak, with cautious outlooks from management regarding demand visibility in the second half of the year [7][9] Regional Revenue Distribution - The revenue from the China region accounted for 84.1% of total revenue, with a slight decline of 1.9% quarter-on-quarter [29][31] - The company’s revenue from the U.S. and Eurasia regions remained relatively low at 12.9% and 3%, respectively [29][31]
中芯国际(00981):“火热” 估值撞上 “冰冷” 答卷 重估路悬了?
智通财经网· 2025-08-08 03:40
Overall Performance - Semiconductor Manufacturing International (SMIC) reported a revenue of $2.2 billion for Q2 2025, slightly above market expectations of $2.16 billion, but down 1.7% quarter-over-quarter, with guidance indicating a further decline of 4-6% [1][14] - The gross margin for Q2 2025 was 20.4%, reaching the upper limit of the guidance range (18-20%) and exceeding market expectations of 19.7% [1][4] Revenue and Pricing Dynamics - The decline in revenue was primarily attributed to a decrease in average selling prices, influenced by an increase in the shipment of 8-inch wafers, which lowered the overall product price [2][16] - The shipment volume for 8-inch wafers increased by 4.3% quarter-over-quarter, while the average price per wafer decreased by 5.7% [3][16] Business Segment Performance - The revenue from the Chinese market remains stable at over 80%, with only the mobile and industrial sectors showing growth, while other segments like PC and consumer electronics experienced declines [2][24] - The mobile business saw a minimal quarter-over-quarter growth of 1.7%, significantly lower than the double-digit growth seen in the past two years [2][24] Expenditure and Capital Investment - Operating expenses were primarily driven by R&D and administrative costs, with R&D expenses remaining flat year-over-year, while administrative expenses rose by 17.6% due to increased factory setup costs [2][30] - Capital expenditures for the quarter were $1.885 billion, indicating a commitment to maintaining high capital investment despite weak downstream demand [2][30] Future Guidance - For Q3 2025, SMIC expects revenue to increase by 5-7%, translating to $2.32-$2.36 billion, slightly below market expectations of $2.37 billion [4][18] - The company anticipates a gross margin of 18-20% for the next quarter, which is also below market expectations of 21.1% [4][22] Capacity Utilization and Market Conditions - The capacity utilization rate for Q2 2025 was 92.5%, reflecting a recovery driven by early inventory buildup for 8-inch wafers, despite overall weak demand in key markets [2][22] - The total capacity reached 2.584 million wafers, with a 1% increase quarter-over-quarter, supported by sustained high capital expenditures [2][22] Geographic Revenue Distribution - In Q2 2025, revenue from the Chinese market accounted for 84.1%, with the U.S. and Eurasia contributing 12.9% and 3%, respectively [28] - Despite government subsidies, the domestic market remains sluggish, leading to a 1.9% quarter-over-quarter decline in revenue from the Chinese region [28][32]
中芯国际:产能较满但未主动涨价
第一财经· 2025-08-08 02:09
Core Viewpoint - The management of SMIC stated during a conference call that there has been no price increase, and the rise in average selling price (ASP) is due to full capacity, with no discounts on 12-inch wafers [2]. Group 1 - The company is not the first in the industry to raise prices, but it will follow if comparable peers do increase their prices [2]. - Management emphasized support for customers to maintain their market share while making price adjustments, indicating that current orders exceed production capacity [2].
中芯国际:产能较满但未主动涨价
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-08-08 01:45
Group 1 - The management of SMIC stated that there will be no price increases, and the rise in Average Selling Price (ASP) is due to full capacity, with no discounts on 12-inch wafers [1] - The company mentioned that it has never been the first in the industry to raise prices, but will follow if comparable peers do increase their prices [1] - Management indicated that they will support customers in maintaining their market share while adjusting prices, revealing that current orders exceed production capacity [1]
华虹半导体(01347):连续三个季度业绩改善,低估迎来投资机遇
智通财经网· 2025-06-26 03:06
Core Viewpoint - After a 16-week period of adjustment, Huahong Semiconductor (01347) has seen a strong rebound in its stock price, reversing the downward trend in the wafer foundry sector [1] Industry Overview - The wafer foundry sector has performed well this year, with major players Huahong Semiconductor and SMIC both experiencing significant increases, with Huahong's stock rising over 60% [1] - The valuation increase in the sector is attributed to strong performance, with Huahong reporting Q1 2025 revenue of $541 million, a year-on-year increase of 17.6% [1][2] - SMIC's revenue for the same period was $2.247 billion, up 28.4% year-on-year, with a net profit of $188 million, reflecting a staggering 162% increase [1][2] Company Performance - Huahong Semiconductor has achieved double-digit revenue growth for two consecutive quarters, with Q2 guidance indicating a growth rate of 15-20% [1] - The company has a total wafer capacity of 413,000 pieces, with an 8-inch wafer revenue of $231 million and a 12-inch wafer revenue of $310 million, the latter showing a significant year-on-year growth of 40.9% [2][4] - The company has maintained a high capacity utilization rate of 102.7% for 8-inch equivalent wafers, exceeding 100% for three consecutive quarters [4] Financial Metrics - Huahong's gross margin for Q1 2025 was 9.24%, while SMIC's was significantly higher at 22.52%, indicating a substantial gap in profitability [5] - Despite lower profitability, Huahong's strong cash flow performance is notable, with a net cash inflow of $50 million in Q1, contrasting with SMIC's net cash outflow of $160 million [6] - As of March 2025, Huahong had cash equivalents of $4.08 billion, while SMIC had $4.587 billion [6] Valuation and Market Sentiment - The market has assigned a price-to-book (PB) ratio of 2.19 to SMIC, while Huahong's PB ratio is only 1.25, indicating a 75% discount in valuation [7] - Analysts have mixed views on Huahong, with some downgrading its rating due to weak return on equity projections, while others have raised target prices based on expected product price improvements [9] - Overall, the wafer foundry sector is entering a new phase of upward trends, with Huahong's low valuation and improving quarterly performance presenting significant investment opportunities [9]
中芯国际财报爆冷!“国产芯” 的未来在哪
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-11 03:25
Core Viewpoint - Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC) reported disappointing earnings for Q1 2025, raising concerns about the future of "domestic chips" in the investment community [1][3]. Financial Report Analysis - SMIC's revenue for Q1 reached $2.247 billion, showing a slight sequential increase but falling short of previous projections and market expectations [4]. - The gross profit margin was better than expected at 22.5%, primarily due to increased shipment volumes of 8-inch wafers, which helped spread costs [5][6]. - However, the average product price declined due to a higher proportion of 8-inch wafer shipments, which are priced lower [4][5]. Guidance for Next Quarter - The guidance for the next quarter indicates a projected revenue decline of 4-6% and a gross margin drop to 18-20%, both below market expectations [5][6]. Core Indicators Analysis - Revenue growth in Q1 was driven by a 15.1% increase in shipment volume, while prices fell by 11.5% [5]. - The gross margin was supported by increased shipment volumes, but is expected to decline in the next quarter due to anticipated revenue drops [6]. - Capacity utilization rose to 89.6%, but this was mainly due to advance stocking of 8-inch wafers, with overall demand remaining weak [6]. Business Level Analysis - The consumer electronics sector remains the largest revenue contributor at 40.6%, supported by Chinese subsidy policies [7]. - The revenue share from 12-inch wafers was 78.1%, with a slight sequential decline, while 8-inch wafers saw a 14.9% revenue increase, highlighting their importance to SMIC [7]. - Domestic revenue accounted for 84.3% of total income, although this share has decreased, while revenue from the U.S. and Eurasia regions showed significant growth [8]. Operating Data Perspective - Operating expenses decreased to $196 million, primarily due to a reduction in R&D expenses [9]. - Inventory increased by 3% to $3.048 billion, while accounts receivable surged by 36.6% to $1.15 billion, indicating potential adjustments in operational strategy [10]. - EBITDA for the quarter was $1.29 billion, with a profit margin of 57.5%, but a significant portion of profits was consumed by depreciation and amortization [11].