Core Viewpoint - The article provides a detailed analysis of commodity market trends, focusing on quantitative indicators for various indices and commodities, highlighting the bullish trends for certain stock indices and the implications for trading strategies [3][4][5][6][7][8]. Quantitative Indicators Summary - The 50 stock index shows a bullish trend with a value of 1.16, indicating a strong upward movement [6]. - The 300 stock index also reflects a bullish trend with a value of 1.21, suggesting continued strength in the market [6]. - The pure soda market shows a fluctuating trend with a value of 3.21, indicating potential volatility [7]. Technical Analysis Summary - For the 50 stock index, the strategy suggests holding positions and looking for entry points near specific trend lines, with a focus on maintaining positions during upward movements [10][12]. - The pure soda market is described as being in a speculative phase, with recommendations to monitor specific price levels for potential entry and exit points [11]. - The 300 stock index is advised to continue holding positions, with a focus on breakout levels and maintaining a bullish outlook [12]. Fundamental Analysis Summary - The 300 stock index is under pressure due to supply concerns, with a basis rate of -22.1/-0.5%, indicating a supply surplus [9]. - The pure soda inventory is at a high level compared to previous years, but there are signs of a downward trend, suggesting potential market adjustments [9]. - Overall, the industry is seeing a comprehensive profit recovery, with the basis rate showing a slight improvement [9].

文 | 大宗商品鹰眼监测日报 编辑 | 杨兰 审核 | 浦电路交易员 本周《大宗商品鹰眼监测日报》交易池策略及核心逻辑片段摘要如下，完整版日报内容可扫码添加客服咨询详情。 | | | 鹰眼特供:大宗商品监测日报 | | | | 2025/7/21 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 品种池 | 品种 | | | 量化指标 | | | | 类型 | | 趋势 | 盘面估值 | 历史低位 | 波动率 | 换手率 | | 交易池 | 执卷 | 2.37 | 1.02 | 33.82 | 26.54 | 0.8 | | | 50股指 | 1.36 | 1.1 | 41.71 | 22.9 | 0.45 | | | 300股指 | 1.69 | 1.12 | 51.88 | 23.88 | 0.32 | | | 纯碱 | 4.71 | 0.95 | 5.58 | 42.04 | 3.01 | | 指标说明: | | | | | | | | | | | 1. 趋势：数据<0.7通常为偏空，数据>1.3通常为偏多。2. 盘面估值：数据<0.9偏低估，>1.1编高估 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article provides a detailed analysis of various commodities, focusing on their trading strategies, market trends, and quantitative indicators, highlighting potential investment opportunities and risks in the commodities market [1]. Summary by Sections Trading Pool Analysis - Rebar shows a trend score of 1.47, indicating a bullish sentiment, with a valuation of 0.98, suggesting it is undervalued compared to historical levels [2]. - Hot-rolled coil has a trend score of 1.51, also indicating bullish sentiment, with a valuation of 0.99 [2]. - Live pigs have a trend score of 1.06, indicating a neutral stance, with a valuation of 1.04, suggesting it is fairly valued [2]. - Glass has a trend score of 3.04, indicating a strong bullish sentiment, with a valuation of 0.93, suggesting it is undervalued [2]. - The trend scores for various commodities indicate their market positions, with scores above 1.3 suggesting bullish trends and below 0.7 indicating bearish trends [2]. Key Commodity Tracking Overview - The tracking of live pigs has been discontinued, while new positions in caustic soda and alumina have been added, along with a long position in the 50 stock index [5]. - The trend for hot-rolled coil has strengthened, while the trend for alumina has weakened [6]. - The hot-rolled coil shows a trend score of 1.12, indicating a bullish sentiment, with a valuation of 0.98 [4]. - Zinc and copper have trend scores of 0.85, indicating bearish sentiment, with valuations of 0.94 and 1.01 respectively [4]. Fundamental Analysis - The supply of live pigs is under pressure due to a significant decrease in current slaughter volumes, which may lead to a tightening of supply in the short term [9]. - The overall inventory of live pigs remains high, with low profits for breeding and continuous losses for slaughter enterprises [9]. - Hot-rolled coil production is at a high level compared to previous years, with demand also at a high level, but profits remain weak [10]. - Zinc's social inventory is at a low level compared to previous years but is showing signs of recovery, while copper's global visible inventory is increasing [10]. - The supply of caustic soda is at a high level compared to previous years, with profits in Inner Mongolia being favorable [11]. Technical Trading Strategies - For hot-rolled coil, a short-term rebound strategy is suggested, with specific entry and exit points outlined for traders [12]. - The strategy emphasizes the importance of market analysis and daily reviews to adjust trading positions accordingly [12].