Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that He Yu-B (02256) is a leader in small molecule innovative drugs, with projected revenues of RMB 650 million, 680 million, and 730 million for 2025-2027, and net profits of RMB 97 million, 111 million, and 142 million respectively, leading to a target price of HKD 22.06, indicating a potential upside of 48.5% from the current price [1] Group 2 - Global BIC product Pimiatin has shown excellent data at ESMO, with an overall response rate (ORR) of 76.2% in the III phase MANEUVER study for patients with giant cell tumor of the tendon sheath, and a significant improvement in joint activity by 23.9% compared to baseline [2] - The NDA for Pimiatin has been submitted domestically, and the FDA NDA submission is progressing, expected to be submitted in Q4 2025 [2] - Pimiatin is also advancing in a II phase study for treating chronic graft-versus-host disease [2] Group 3 - The development of innovative drugs is accelerating, with the oral PD-L1 inhibitor ABSK043 and the KRASG12C inhibitor from Ailis receiving IND approval for treating KRASG12C mutated non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients [3] - The single-agent treatment of Ipagotin for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) has commenced, with the first patient dosed in June 2025, targeting a population with poor prognosis due to FGF19 overexpression [3] - A novel targeted therapy approach for HCC is being developed, with a II phase study showing an ORR of ≥50% and a progression-free survival (PFS) of ≥7 months when combined with Atezolizumab [3]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that He Yu-B (02256) is a leading player in small molecule innovative drugs, with projected revenues of RMB 650 million, 680 million, and 730 million for 2025-2027, and net profits of RMB 97 million, 111 million, and 142 million respectively, leading to a target price of HKD 22.06, indicating a potential upside of 48.5% from the current price [1] Group 2 - Global BIC product Pimiatin has shown excellent data at ESMO, with an overall response rate (ORR) of 76.2% in the III phase MANEUVER study for patients with giant cell tumor of the tendon sheath, and a significant improvement in joint activity by 23.9% compared to baseline [2] - The NDA for Pimiatin has been submitted domestically, and the FDA NDA submission is progressing, expected to be submitted in Q4 2025 [2] - Pimiatin is also advancing in a Phase II study for treating chronic graft-versus-host disease [2] Group 3 - The development of innovative drugs is accelerating, with the oral PD-L1 inhibitor ABSK043 and the KRASG12C inhibitor from Ailis receiving IND approval for treating KRASG12C mutated non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients [3] - The single-agent treatment of Ipagotini for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is underway, with the first patient dosed in June 2025, targeting a population with poor prognosis due to FGF19 overexpression [3] - A novel targeted therapy approach for HCC is being developed, with a Phase II study showing an ORR of ≥50% and a progression-free survival (PFS) of ≥7 months when combined with Atezolizumab [3]

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - **Industry**: Small-cap biotechnology in China - **Context**: The sector is at an inflection point after a four-year down cycle since 2021, with a structural upside for China's innovative drug pipeline in a global context [1][11][34] Core Insights and Arguments - **Survive-to-Thrive Roadmap**: Emphasis on efficient R&D, differentiated pipeline, and committed global partnerships as key growth drivers for small-cap biotech companies [1][11][12] - **US Small-Cap Biotech Learnings**: Historical performance shows a significant divergence between Thrivers (33X growth in market cap from 2005-2025) and Non-thrivers (66% shrinkage) [2][12][19] - **Differentiated Pipeline**: Companies focusing on rare diseases have shown better performance due to less costly and quicker drug development processes [2][12][30] - **Abbisko Therapeutics**: Initiated coverage with a Buy rating, targeting a 12-month DCF-based price of HK$27.10, indicating a 91% upside potential [4][60] Abbisko Therapeutics Highlights - **Pipeline**: Abbisko has a robust pipeline of 22 drug candidates, including 12 in clinical stages, with pimicotinib (CSF-1R inhibitor) expected to achieve US$1.6 billion in risk-adjusted peak sales [4][15][60] - **Global Partnership**: Strong endorsement from Merck KGaA enhances Abbisko's global visibility and market potential [4][15][60] - **R&D Expertise**: Abbisko's deep know-how in small-molecule R&D supports its strategic expansion roadmap into various therapeutic areas [4][15][60] Important but Overlooked Aspects - **Cash Runway Extension**: Companies are focusing on extending their cash runway, with more than half expected to have over five years of cash runway by 2025 [43][44] - **Strategic Pivots**: Companies are making aggressive strategic pivots, such as focusing on early-stage pipelines and leveraging partnerships to maximize asset value [47][48][51] - **Market Dynamics**: The funding environment for China healthcare is bottoming out, with a notable turnaround in private biotech funding expected [35][38] Conclusion - The small-cap biotech sector in China is transitioning from survival to growth, with companies like Abbisko positioned well for future success through strategic partnerships, efficient R&D, and a differentiated pipeline. The insights drawn from the US small-cap biotech experience provide valuable lessons for navigating this evolving landscape [1][11][12][60]

Group 1 - The company is set to achieve its first commercial product with the development of small molecule therapies, focusing on FIC and BIC, and is expanding into non-tumor and macromolecule fields [1] - The company expects to transition from long-term losses to profitability in 2024 through external licensing agreements [1] - Pimitinib, a BIC CSF-1R inhibitor, has submitted an NDA application in China and is expected to launch in 2026, marking the company's first commercial product [1] Group 2 - Pimitinib has shown best-in-class ORR and significant safety advantages in key Phase III trials for TGCT, with the NMPA accepting its application for market approval [1] - The company has established exclusive commercialization cooperation with Merck for Pimitinib in several regions, reflecting confidence in the product's commercial potential [1] - The company is advancing I/II phase clinical trials for ABSK061, a selective FGFR2/3 inhibitor, with the first patient expected to be enrolled by June 2025 [2] Group 3 - The company is developing ABSK043, a PD-L1 small molecule inhibitor, which is currently the fastest progressing oral PD-L1 inhibitor globally, showing good safety and anti-tumor activity [2] - The company has initiated three II phase clinical trials for ABSK043 in combination therapies for various types of NSCLC and gastric cancer [2] - The company has a target price of 21.68 RMB, indicating a potential 41% upside from its market value as of September 17, 2025 [3]

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [8][9]. Core Views - The company is a small molecule innovative drug developer on the verge of launching its first commercial product, Pimicotinib, which has shown significant efficacy and safety in clinical trials [6][8]. - The company is expected to transition from long-term losses to profitability in 2024, driven by licensing agreements and product commercialization [6][23]. - The partnership with Merck for Pimicotinib is a key growth driver, with potential milestone payments and sales royalties expected to enhance revenue [23][24]. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Revenue projections for 2023 to 2027 are as follows: - 2023: 190 million RMB - 2024: 504 million RMB - 2025E: 612 million RMB - 2026E: 756 million RMB - 2027E: 627 million RMB - Net profit forecasts indicate a turnaround from a loss of 432 million RMB in 2023 to a profit of 28 million RMB in 2024, reaching 151 million RMB by 2026 [7][9]. - The expected PE ratios for 2025 to 2027 are 165X, 69X, and 78X respectively [9]. Product Pipeline and Development - The company has established a comprehensive pipeline with 22 candidate drugs, including 12 in clinical stages, focusing on oncology and expanding into non-oncology areas [30][34]. - Pimicotinib, a CSF-1R inhibitor, is positioned to be the first commercial product, with NDA submissions in China and the US expected in 2025 [34][43]. - Other notable candidates include Epagolatinib for liver cancer and ABSK061 for achondroplasia, showcasing the company's diverse therapeutic focus [8][34]. Market Position and Competitive Landscape - The company is recognized for its differentiated product offerings, with Pimicotinib demonstrating superior efficacy compared to existing treatments in clinical trials [40][41]. - The competitive landscape for CSF-1R inhibitors includes several approved drugs, but Pimicotinib's unique profile positions it favorably for market entry [38][37]. Management Team - The management team possesses extensive experience in drug development and international collaboration, enhancing the company's strategic capabilities [21][22].

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [2][8]. Core Insights - The company is a small molecule innovative drug developer, poised to launch its first commercial product, Pimicotinib, which has shown promising results in clinical trials and is expected to generate significant revenue starting in 2024 [5][7][19]. - The financial projections indicate a substantial increase in revenue and profitability, with expected revenues of RMB 504 million in 2024 and RMB 612 million in 2025, transitioning from losses to profits [6][24]. - The partnership with Merck for Pimicotinib is a key driver for revenue growth, with potential milestone payments and sales royalties expected to enhance financial stability [24][26]. Financial Data and Earnings Forecast - Revenue projections for 2023 to 2027 are as follows: RMB 19 million in 2023, RMB 504 million in 2024, RMB 612 million in 2025, RMB 756 million in 2026, and RMB 627 million in 2027, with significant year-on-year growth rates [6][8]. - The net profit forecast shows a turnaround from a loss of RMB 432 million in 2023 to a profit of RMB 28 million in 2024, reaching RMB 63 million in 2025 and RMB 151 million in 2026 [6][8]. - The company’s price-to-earnings (PE) ratios are projected to be 369.2 in 2024, 164.9 in 2025, and 69.3 in 2026, indicating a strong growth trajectory [6][8]. Product Pipeline and Development - Pimicotinib, a CSF-1R inhibitor, is set to be the company's first commercial product, with NDA submissions in China and the US expected in 2025 [7][46]. - The company has a robust pipeline with 22 candidate drugs, including FGFR inhibitors and PD-L1 small molecules, indicating a diversified approach to drug development [31][53]. - The clinical data for Pimicotinib in treating TGCT shows a 54% overall response rate (ORR) in pivotal trials, outperforming competitors [43][44]. Market Position and Competitive Landscape - The company is positioned to capitalize on unmet medical needs in oncology, particularly with Pimicotinib addressing TGCT and cGvHD, where current treatment options are limited [42][48]. - The collaboration with Merck enhances the company's market presence and commercial capabilities, providing a competitive edge in the pharmaceutical landscape [24][47]. - The report highlights the differentiation of the company's products, suggesting a strong potential for sustained partnerships and revenue generation [10].

Summary of He Yu Pharmaceutical Conference Call Company Overview - He Yu Pharmaceutical is focused on the commercialization of its drug, Pimitinib, expected in the first half of 2026, which is anticipated to generate sustainable cash flow and has secured an upfront payment from Merck for operational funding [2][7]. Key Products and Market Potential - **Pimitinib**: Expected peak sales could reach $1 billion or more, with a combined peak sales potential of $2-2.5 billion for two indications [4][11]. - **ABSK061 (FGFR23 Inhibitor)**: Targeting ACH, with a market potential of $4-5 billion, competing against BioMarin, which had sales of approximately $500-600 million last year [2][4][5]. - **ABSK043 (Oral PD-L1 Inhibitor)**: Expected to have data by the end of the year in combination with third-generation EGFR, potentially leading to a competitive advantage due to fewer side effects compared to previous antibody treatments [5][11]. - **KRAS G12D and pan-KRAS Products**: Early-stage research shows best-in-class characteristics, indicating significant overall company value and potential for increased value through international collaborations [2][6]. Financial Performance - The company has shown a clear trend towards profitability, with a stable financial condition and strong cash flow [2][7]. - Market capitalization is projected to reach between 40-50 billion yuan upon market entry in 2026, driven by the pipeline of products including FGFR4 and PD-L1 inhibitors [8]. Future Development and Pipeline - Multiple important pipeline advancements are expected in 2025, including NDA submissions for projects 021 and 0,570, and a pivotal Phase III trial for liver cancer treatment [3]. - The FGFR4 inhibitor is anticipated to enter commercialization by late 2027 to 2028, further enhancing the company's product offerings [3]. Strategic Partnerships and Investments - The company has received investments from Allianz and other high-quality foreign investors, indicating recognition of its fundamental value [13]. - Active share buybacks reflect management's confidence in long-term growth and commitment to shareholder interests [13]. Market Dynamics and Competitive Landscape - The PD-L1 small molecule is positioned to address significant market needs in non-small cell lung cancer, with a potential peak sales of $5 billion [9][10]. - The company is also exploring opportunities in large molecules and non-oncology fields, such as ADCs, showcasing a broad development potential [12]. Conclusion - He Yu Pharmaceutical is strategically positioned with a robust pipeline and strong financial backing, indicating significant growth potential and investment opportunities in the biopharmaceutical sector.

Core Viewpoint - The company demonstrates strong financial performance with sustainable growth potential, driven by its core product, ABKS021 (Pimicitinib), and strategic partnerships, particularly with Merck [1][4] Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company reported revenue of 657 million RMB (up 20% year-on-year) and a net profit of 328 million RMB (up 59% year-on-year) [1] - The company holds cash reserves of 2.3 billion RMB, providing a solid foundation for future R&D and operations [1] Product Development - Pimicitinib's global commercialization option was exercised by Merck, with an upfront payment of 85 million USD [1] - The NDA for Pimicitinib has been accepted in China and is expected to be submitted in the U.S. within the year, with potential approvals in both markets by mid-2026 [1] - Clinical trial data for Pimicitinib shows a 54% objective response rate (ORR) at week 25, significantly outperforming placebo and other similar products [1] Pipeline and Research - The company is advancing its pipeline with ABSK011, a potential first-in-class FGFR4 inhibitor, which has shown superior efficacy in preclinical studies compared to earlier entrants [1] - ABSK011 is currently in clinical trials for FGF19+ hepatocellular carcinoma, with promising early results [1] - The company is also developing ABSK043, an oral PD-L1 inhibitor, which has shown a 19.6% ORR in early trials for NSCLC [2] Market Position and Competitive Advantage - The company’s product ABSK061, an FGFR2/3 inhibitor, is positioned to compete with existing therapies due to its oral administration route, contrasting with the injectable nature of competitors [3] - The company has a rich pipeline including KRAS inhibitors and ADCs, indicating a well-structured approach to drug development [3] Shareholder Engagement - The company has been actively repurchasing shares, indicating a commitment to shareholder returns, with a total of 9.545 million shares repurchased by June 30, 2025 [3] - Notable foreign investors, including Allianz SE and Morgan Stanley, have increased their stakes, reflecting confidence in the company's growth prospects [4] Revenue and Profit Forecast - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 680 million RMB, 620 million RMB, and 790 million RMB, with net profits of 40 million RMB, 60 million RMB, and 80 million RMB respectively [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting a relative performance increase of over 15% against the benchmark index in the next 6 to 12 months [2][11]. Core Insights - The company has shown strong financial performance with a revenue of 657 million RMB in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 20%, and a net profit of 328 million RMB, up 59% year-on-year [4]. - The company has a robust cash reserve of 2.3 billion RMB, providing solid support for future R&D and operations [4]. - The core product, Pimiatinib (ABSK021), has successfully entered the global commercialization phase with Merck exercising its option and paying a fee of 85 million USD [4]. - The company is expected to achieve significant sales milestones with Pimiatinib's global approval and ongoing sales revenue sharing [4]. - The company is actively repurchasing shares, indicating a focus on shareholder returns, with a total of 9.545 million shares repurchased by June 30, 2025 [7]. Financial Performance and Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 678 million RMB, 621 million RMB, and 786 million RMB respectively, with net profits of 42 million RMB, 64 million RMB, and 80 million RMB [2][6]. - The company anticipates a peak sales potential of 1.5 billion USD for Pimiatinib targeting TGCT and 1 billion USD for cGVHD [6]. - The report highlights a significant increase in revenue growth rate from 2,544% in 2023 to 35% in 2024, followed by a slight decline of 8% in 2025, and a rebound of 27% in 2026 [9][10]. Product Pipeline and Market Potential - The company is advancing its pipeline with ABSK011, a potential first-in-class FGFR4 inhibitor, which has shown promising preclinical efficacy and is currently in registration clinical trials [5]. - ABSK043, an oral PD-L1 inhibitor, is also in development, showing a 19.6% objective response rate in early trials, with potential for significant market impact in the NSCLC segment [7]. - The company has a rich pipeline with various candidates, including KRAS inhibitors and ADCs, indicating a strong future growth trajectory [7].

Core Viewpoint - The stock of He Yu-B (02256) has risen over 4%, reaching a historical high of 13.67 HKD, with a year-to-date increase of nearly 100% [1] Financial Performance - For the first half of the year, the company reported revenue of 612 million RMB, representing a year-on-year growth of 21.5% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 328 million RMB, showing a significant increase of 58.8% year-on-year [1] Research and Development - The company has increased its R&D expenses by 6% year-on-year, while reducing management fees by 13%, leading to improved profitability [1] Financial Guidance - The company has guided that its operating cash consumption for the year will remain within 570 million RMB, with expectations of maintaining profitability [1] Market Valuation - Citigroup believes that the current valuation of He Yu is low, considering the high certainty of its two late-stage drug candidates, pimicotinib and irpagratinib, and the potential for differentiated innovative pipelines to achieve external licensing [1] Future Catalysts - Key catalysts are anticipated in 2025 and 2026, including the approval and commercialization of pimicotinib, the release of phase III data for irpagratinib in second-line liver cancer, and updates on several other drug candidates [1]