Industry Overview - The technology services industry is mature, with demand for services in good shape, and revenues, income, and cash flows are expected to gradually return to pre-pandemic levels, enabling stable dividends for most players [1] - The global shift toward digitization is creating opportunities in markets such as 5G, blockchain, and AI, with companies adopting generative AI, machine learning, and data science to gain competitive advantages [4] - The business software industry is benefiting from strong demand for multi-cloud-enabled software solutions as companies transition from legacy platforms to modern cloud-based infrastructure [4] Company Highlights AppLovin Corp. (APP) - AppLovin is a software-based platform for mobile app developers, enhancing marketing and monetization of apps [6] - The introduction of AI-powered AXON 2.0 technology and strategic expansion in gaming studios have significantly boosted revenue growth [7] - AppLovin's expected revenue and earnings growth rates for the current year are 16% and 84.8%, respectively, with a Zacks Consensus Estimate for current-year earnings improving by 0.1% in the last seven days [8] - The average short-term price target for AppLovin shares indicates a potential increase of 37% from the last closing price of $341.64, with a maximum upside of 90.3% [8] Duolingo Inc. (DUOL) - Duolingo operates as a mobile learning platform offering courses in 40 different languages and provides a digital language proficiency assessment exam [10] - The company utilizes AI applications to personalize and automate the learning process, with tools like Birdbrain analyzing real-time user performance [11] - Duolingo's expected revenue and earnings growth rates for the current year are 33.5% and 54.3%, respectively, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate for current-year earnings improving by 2.1% over the last 60 days [12] - The average short-term price target for Duolingo shares indicates a potential increase of 24% from the last closing price of $391.86, with a maximum upside of 53.1% [12]

Market Overview - Wall Street experienced a significant rally in May, driven by expectations of a U.S.-China trade deal and delays in tariff imposition by the Trump administration on the European Union, which boosted confidence in equities [1] - The market rally is expected to continue in June, supported by declining inflation rates, with the personal consumption expenditures price index rising only 0.1% month-over-month and 2.1% year-over-year, marking its lowest level since 2025 [4] Recommended Growth Stocks - Five growth stocks are recommended for June, all of which have shown double-digit returns in the last month and possess a favorable Zacks Rank [2][3] - The recommended stocks are AppLovin Corp. (APP), Amphenol Corp. (APH), Intuit Inc. (INTU), Carvana Co. (CVNA), and Stantec Inc. (STN), each with a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy) and a Growth Score of A or B [3] AppLovin Corp. (APP) - AppLovin is focused on enhancing marketing and monetization for mobile app developers through its software-based platform [7] - The company reported strong fundamentals, with an expected revenue growth rate of 24.3% and earnings growth of 85.2% for the current year, driven by its AI-powered AXON 2.0 technology [10][9] Amphenol Corp. (APH) - Amphenol provides connectivity solutions utilizing AI and machine learning technologies, with a diversified business model that supports growth across various sectors [11][12] - The company anticipates a revenue growth rate of 32.3% and earnings growth of 40.7% for the current year, bolstered by increased defense spending and the Andrew acquisition [13] Intuit Inc. (INTU) - Intuit benefits from steady revenues across its Online Ecosystem and Desktop business segments, with strong performance in its Credit Karma and cloud-based services [14][15] - The expected revenue growth rate for Intuit is 14.8%, with earnings growth projected at 18% for the current year [17] Carvana Co. (CVNA) - Carvana's acquisition of ADESA's U.S. operations has enhanced its logistics and auction capabilities, positioning it for significant growth in the used car market [18] - The company expects a revenue growth rate of 31.4% and more than 100% earnings growth for the current year, with a focus on improving operational efficiency [20] Stantec Inc. (STN) - Stantec provides a range of professional consulting services in planning, engineering, and environmental sciences, focusing on infrastructure and facilities projects [22][23] - The expected revenue growth rate for Stantec is 11.1%, with earnings growth projected at 18.6% for the current year [24]

Market Overview - U.S. stock markets closed the first quarter of 2025 negatively after two years of a bull run, with the technology sector, especially AI-related stocks, being the most affected due to the Federal Reserve's unclear stance on interest rates and recession fears [1] - In the first half of the second quarter of 2025, Wall Street experienced increased volatility due to the Trump administration's tariffs and trade policies impacting the U.S. economy and inflation [2] AI Stock Recommendations - Despite market headwinds, several AI stocks that underperformed in the first quarter have shown significant improvement recently, with five AI stocks recommended for investment based on favorable Zacks Rank [2][3] Company-Specific Insights AppLovin Corp. (APP) - AppLovin is focused on providing a software platform for mobile app developers, enhancing marketing and monetization [6] - The company reported strong fundamentals, with an expected revenue growth rate of 24.3% and earnings growth rate of 85.2% for the current year, alongside a 25.6% improvement in earnings estimates over the last 30 days [8] Amphenol Corp. (APH) - Amphenol specializes in connectivity solutions utilizing AI and machine learning technologies, benefiting from a diversified business model [9][10] - The company anticipates a revenue growth rate of 32.3% and earnings growth rate of 40.7% for the current year, with a recent 1.5% increase in earnings estimates [11] Arista Networks Inc. (ANET) - Arista Networks is positioned for growth with its AI networking solutions and a focus on cloud and data center architecture [12][13] - The expected revenue growth rate is 18.7% and earnings growth rate is 12.8% for the current year, with a 4% improvement in earnings estimates recently [14] Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) - Broadcom is experiencing strong demand for its networking products and AI accelerators, with projected AI revenues for Q2 2025 expected to rise 44% year-over-year to $4.4 billion [15][16] - The company forecasts a revenue growth rate of 21% and earnings growth rate of 35.5% for the current year, with a 0.6% increase in earnings estimates [19] Twilio Inc. (TWLO) - Twilio is a leading provider of cloud communications and is focusing on generative AI to enhance customer engagement [20][21] - The expected revenue growth rate is 7.8% and earnings growth rate is 21.3% for the current year, with a 6% improvement in earnings estimates [24]

Core Viewpoint - AppLovin Corporation (APP) has experienced significant stock volatility, with a 26% decline over the past three months, contrasting with a 15% decline in the industry, but has recently rebounded with a 64% increase in the past month, indicating potential recovery in the digital advertising market [1][2][3] Group 1: Market Performance - APP's stock has declined 26% over the last three months, worse than the industry's 15% decline [1] - Competitors like Alphabet and Meta Platforms have also faced declines of 11% and 10%, respectively, during the same period [1] - In the past month, APP's stock surged 64%, while Alphabet and Meta Platforms gained 8% and 31%, respectively, suggesting a potential market recovery [2] Group 2: Strategic Initiatives - AppLovin is transitioning to a pure-play advertising platform, focusing on high-growth, high-margin segments [4] - The $900 million sale of its gaming unit to Tripledot Studios allows APP to concentrate on ad technology, aligning with its vision for the global digital advertising market [4] - The company is investing in automation and developing advanced tools to enhance customer efficiency and maximize ad performance [4] Group 3: Financial Performance - AppLovin's first quarter of 2025 saw revenues surge 40% year over year, with adjusted EBITDA jumping 83% and net income skyrocketing 144% [5] - For the full year 2024, revenues climbed 43% year over year, while adjusted EBITDA surged 81%, indicating strong market demand and operational efficiency [5] Group 4: Earnings and Revenue Projections - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for second-quarter 2025 earnings is $2.01 per share, reflecting a 125.8% increase from the prior-year quarter [8] - For the full years 2025 and 2026, earnings are expected to grow by 85.2% and 41.9%, respectively [8] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for second-quarter 2025 revenues is $1.45 billion, representing a 33.9% increase from the prior-year quarter [11]

Market Overview - Wall Street has experienced significant volatility over the past two months due to sticky inflation, weak economic data, and the imposition of reciprocal tariffs by the Trump administration, raising concerns about a potential near-term recession in the U.S. economy. All three major stock indexes are currently in negative territory year to date [1]. Investment Opportunities - Three U.S. corporate giants with a market capitalization of nearly $100 billion or more and a favorable Zacks Rank have provided positive returns in the past month. These companies are Amphenol Corp. (APH), AppLovin Corp. (APP), and Philip Morris International Inc. (PM), all holding a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy) [2]. Amphenol Corp. (APH) - Amphenol provides connectivity solutions utilizing AI and machine learning technologies, offering high-density, high-speed connectors and cables optimized for signal integrity and thermal performance [4]. - The company benefits from a diversified business model, with strong demand across Commercial Air, Industrial, and Mobile devices, alongside defense technologies driving top-line growth [5]. - Amphenol's expected revenue and earnings growth rates for the current year are 30% and 38.6%, respectively, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate for current-year earnings improving by 12.9% in the last 30 days [6]. AppLovin Corp. (APP) - AppLovin operates a software-based platform for mobile app developers, enhancing marketing and monetization capabilities both domestically and internationally [7]. - The introduction of AI-powered AXON 2.0 technology and strategic expansion in gaming studios have significantly boosted revenue growth, while the Ai-enabled Audience+ marketing platform enhances reach into direct-to-consumer and e-commerce sectors [8]. - AppLovin's expected revenue and earnings growth rates for the current year are 24.3% and 70.6%, respectively, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate for current-year earnings improving by 13.7% in the last seven days [10]. Philip Morris International Inc. (PM) - Philip Morris has shown strong pricing power and an expanding smoke-free product portfolio, making significant progress in its smoke-free transition with products like IQOS and ZYN [11]. - The company anticipates robust growth in 2025, driven by increasing demand across all product categories, with an expected volume growth of 2% and smoke-free products projected to expand by 12-14% [12]. - Philip Morris's expected revenue and earnings growth rates for the current year are 8.1% and 13.7%, respectively, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate for current-year earnings improving by 4.2% over the last 30 days [13].

Core Viewpoint - AppLovin Corporation is expected to report strong year-over-year revenue growth in its first-quarter 2025 results, primarily driven by the expansion of its Software Platform segment [1] Revenue Estimates - The consensus estimate for Software Platform revenues is $1.05 billion, reflecting a significant 54.3% increase compared to the prior-year quarter, driven by the AXON 2.0 technology [2] - Total revenues for AppLovin are projected to reach $1.38 billion, indicating a robust 30.2% increase from the year-ago quarter, highlighting the effectiveness of strategic expansion efforts [3] Profitability Expectations - The consensus estimate for Software Platform's adjusted EBITDA is $829.4 million, implying a 68.6% year-over-year growth, while the overall adjusted EBITDA for AppLovin is expected to decrease by 16.8% year over year [4] Earnings Per Share - Earnings per share are anticipated to show a substantial 116.4% increase, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate at $1.45, underscoring AppLovin's ability to leverage its technology-driven business model [5]

Core Viewpoint - AppLovin Corporation (APP) is expected to report strong year-over-year growth in earnings and revenues for Q1 2025, with earnings estimated at $1.45, reflecting a 116.4% increase, and revenues projected at $1.38 billion, indicating a 30.2% growth from the previous year [1][12]. Financial Performance - The consensus estimate for Software Platform revenues is $1.05 billion, suggesting a 54.3% year-over-year growth, while Apps revenues are expected to decline by 12.7% to $331.7 million [8]. - Adjusted EBITDA for the Software Platform is estimated at $829.4 million, indicating a 68.6% year-over-year growth, whereas APP's overall adjusted EBITDA is expected to decrease by 16.8% [9]. - In the fourth quarter of 2024, APP reported a 44% year-over-year revenue increase and a 78% year-over-year rise in adjusted EBITDA, showcasing strong operational efficiency [11]. Market Position and Growth - APP's stock has increased by 300% over the past year, significantly outperforming the broader industry, which gained 27% [10]. - The company has a strong earnings surprise history, having surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate in all trailing four quarters with an average surprise of 23.5% [3][4]. Strategic Focus - AppLovin continues to leverage its AXON 2.0 technology and expand within the gaming and in-app advertising sectors, positioning itself for sustained growth [11][13]. - Management has guided for $1.4 billion in sales for Q1 2025, slightly above the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.37 billion, indicating confidence in continued performance [12]. Investment Outlook - Despite the strong growth trajectory, the absence of a positive Earnings ESP and potential volatility in App revenues suggest a cautious approach for investors [16]. - The company’s consistent earnings beats and leadership in mobile advertising make it an attractive long-term investment option [15][16].

划重点 ② AXON 2.0 的推出是 AppLovin 发展史上的重要里程碑。这个 AI 驱动的广告引擎，通过整合 来自广告网络、游戏用户和 MAX 平台的海量数据，实现了前所未有的广告投放精准度。它不 仅提升了广告效率，也为 AppLovin 打造了难以复制的技术壁垒。 ③ RockFlow 投研团队看好 AppLovin 对市场边界的突破。它没有局限于百亿美元规模的游戏广 告市场，而是着眼于整个数字广告领域，将目标市场扩大到千亿美元。这为 AppLovin 打开了更 广阔的增长空间，也让投资者看到了远超预期的发展潜力。 RockFlow 本文共4153字， 阅读需约15分钟 有这样一家公司，2021 年上市，前半年股价表现不错，但此后一年多持续遭遇重挫、大跌超过 90%。随后却绝地翻盘，股价自最低点两年 飙涨超过 3300%，仅 2024 一年就大涨超过 7 倍，市值轻松突破千亿美元大关。 这家公司叫 AppLovin，主营广告营销，也是当下备受追捧的 AI 明星股。它如何在逆境中绝地求生？又是怎么在谷歌、Meta 两巨头之外， 迅速成长为广告营销市场的重要一极？它的业务演变进程对当下互联网公司有何启发 ...