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2026-资本市场有哪些-预期差-值得重视
2026-01-04 15:35
更多资料加入知识星球:水木调研纪要 关注公众号:水木纪要 2026:资本市场有哪些"预期差"值得重视?20260104 线 澳门赌场 澳门娱乐平台登录 » 大发 | 店民对俄可预期较低但逐步试水的心情 » | 亚洲 » | 亚洲 » | 亚洲 » | 亚洲 » | 亚洲 » | 亚 斯 | 维持,预计呈现震荡上行态势,主题轮动较换,关注机器人、核电等细分 领域。 童 匆 Q&A 节日期间全球地缘政治和国内政策信号对市场的影响如何? 节日期间,全球地缘政治出现了明显波动,特别是美国强行控制委内瑞拉总统马 杜罗以及伊朗国内的抗议事件。这些事件短期内可能会对"东升西降"的趋势产 生犹动,但从中期来看,对中国和俄罗斯在南美的地缘布局是利好的。委内瑞拉 政权虽然经济状况不佳,但对国内军队和反对派的控制力较强,因此即使马杜罗 被抓捕,其政权依然稳固。特朗普政府采取行动多为选举利益,不愿承担长期成 本,因此其政策往往虎头蛇尾,不会对全球原油价格产生重大影响。 国内方面, 新年贺词和《求是》杂志上的地产政策文章传递了重要信号。今年的新年贺词背 景从以往的库房变为万里长城,强调大国实力和科技突破,而非民生问题。这表 明政策更加 ...
经纬恒润:ZCU产品自配套小米汽车以来,出货量持续增长
Ju Chao Zi Xun· 2025-05-15 02:55
Core Insights - The company Jingwei Hengrun has reported continuous growth in the shipment of its physical area controller ZCU products since mass production began in partnership with Xiaomi Automotive last year, contributing significantly to revenue and securing multiple model project allocations from a leading client [2] - The central computing platform CCP products, which support XPeng, have also seen a steady increase in shipments; additionally, the company's body domain controller has successfully assisted Foton's Biaoqiao light truck NP6 in passing the latest European information security regulations and achieving mass production, marking the official launch of commercial vehicle domain control products in Europe [2] R&D Investment and Achievements - The company's R&D investments focus on intelligent driving, body domain control, new energy and power, chassis control, AR HUD, and self-developed software tools, with notable achievements as follows: - In intelligent driving, the company has launched a new generation of ADAS products utilizing 8-megapixel cameras, with shipments expected to exceed 1 million sets in 2024 [2] - In body domain control, the ZCU and CCP products have seen continuous shipment increases, becoming significant sources of revenue growth for the company [2] - In new energy and power, the multi-in-one controller XCU has successfully entered mass production in partnership with Geely's Xingyuan; BMS product revenue continues to grow with overseas client allocations; Stellantis VCU product project shipments are also on the rise [2] - In chassis control, the company's chassis domain controller products are supporting Changan's Avita and are gradually ramping up production; rear-wheel steering products are set to enter mass production this year for a high-end smart brand [2] AR HUD and Self-Developed Software - In the AR HUD sector, the company has recently secured multiple model project allocations that will enter mass production, with this product being one of the higher value offerings per vehicle [3] - In the self-developed software domain, the main software series products INTEWORK, ModelBase, and OrienLink have expanded their customer base and applications, covering clients such as Hongqi, BYD, NIO, Changan, Heavy Truck, Leap Motor, Baidu Apollo, Zeekr, GAC, Seres, and Bosch [3]
北方华创(002371):1Q25略超预期 经营稳中有升
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-04-29 02:43
Core Viewpoint - The company reported strong financial results for 2024 and Q1 2025, with revenue and net profit growth exceeding market expectations, indicating robust operational performance and market position [1][2][4]. Financial Performance - For 2024, the company achieved revenue of 29.838 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 35.14%, and a net profit of 5.621 billion yuan, up 44.17% year-on-year, aligning with previous forecasts [1]. - In Q1 2025, revenue reached 8.206 billion yuan, reflecting a 37.90% year-on-year growth, with net profit at 1.581 billion yuan, up 38.80% year-on-year, slightly exceeding market expectations [1]. Revenue Breakdown - In 2024, electronic equipment revenue was 27.707 billion yuan, up 41.28% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 41.50%, an increase of 3.83 percentage points [2]. - Semiconductor equipment revenue included over 8 billion yuan from etching equipment, over 10 billion yuan from thin film deposition equipment, and over 2 billion yuan from thermal processing equipment [2]. Expense Management - Sales and management expenses for 2024 were 1.085 billion yuan and 2.111 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 0.1% and 20.5%, respectively, indicating improved expense efficiency [3]. - R&D expenses rose to 3.669 billion yuan, a 48.2% increase year-on-year, with R&D personnel increasing from 3,656 to 4,583, reflecting a strong commitment to innovation [3]. Inventory and Debt - As of the end of 2024 and Q1 2025, inventory stood at 23.479 billion yuan and 25.211 billion yuan, respectively, while contract liabilities were 6.214 billion yuan and 5.751 billion yuan [3]. - Long-term borrowings increased from 3.946 billion yuan at the end of 2024 to 4.858 billion yuan in Q1 2025, with plans to issue bonds up to 15 billion yuan for working capital [3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company maintains its profit forecast, expecting revenue growth of 27.2% and 24.1% for 2025 and 2026, reaching 37.960 billion yuan and 47.102 billion yuan, respectively [4]. - The current stock price corresponds to a P/E ratio of 31.4x for 2025 and 25.1x for 2026, with a target price of 515 yuan, indicating a potential upside of 14% [4].