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Mobileye (MBLY) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2026-01-22 14:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Full year 2025 revenue reached $1.9 billion, up 15% year-over-year, exceeding prior guidance of 6% growth at the midpoint [15][16] - Adjusted operating income for 2025 was $280 million, a 45% increase year-over-year, with a margin of 15%, up about 300 basis points compared to 2024 [15][16] - Operating cash flow increased by more than 50% [4] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - EyeQ volume for 2025 was 35.6 million units, exceeding the original expectation of 32 to 34 million units, with a consistent demand trend of nine million units per quarter [16] - The fourth quarter saw higher-than-expected SuperVision units, contributing to a modest upside in guidance [17] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company expects about 10 million EyeQ units shipped in Q1 2026, supporting an outlook of approximately 19% year-over-year growth in the first quarter [18] - For 2026, revenue guidance is in the range of $1.9 billion to $1.98 billion, representing flattish to 5% growth [18] Company Strategy and Development Direction - Mobileye is focusing on launching advanced products, including the EyeQ6 chip, and has secured major programs with two of the largest OEMs [5][6] - The acquisition of Mentee Robotics aims to expand into humanoid robotics, leveraging synergies between autonomous vehicles and robotics technologies [7][12] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about demand signals from customers and the execution progress ahead of numerous advanced product launches [22] - The geopolitical environment has not hindered demand, with the auto industry showing resilience [4] Other Important Information - The company is experiencing a foreign exchange headwind due to the appreciation of the Israeli shekel against the U.S. dollar, impacting headcount costs [22] - Operating expenses for 2025 were slightly above budget at $1.003 billion, with expectations of around $1.1 billion for 2026 [20][21] Q&A Session Questions and Answers Question: Competitive environment and announcements at CES - Management noted increased excitement around advanced solutions and believes they are closer to launching products than competitors, citing the maturity of their technologies [25][26] Question: Differentiation for Mentee Robotics - Mentee's differentiation lies in its fully autonomous control, vertical integration, and the ability to learn from passive observation, which is crucial for unstructured environments [28][30] Question: Surround data opportunities and OEM engagements - Management indicated a growing interest from multiple OEMs in surround data products, with two major OEMs already committed [38][40] Question: Mentee's commercialization timeline - Initial commercialization is expected to involve high double-digit units in 2026, with gradual expansion based on pilot results [77][78] Question: Pricing dynamics for EyeQ - Pricing is influenced by the mix of EyeQ products, with no significant changes expected, although a second EyeQ4 chip is being used in some vehicles as a temporary measure [100][101]
Mobileye Global (NasdaqGS:MBLY) 2026 Conference Transcript
2026-01-06 22:47
Summary of Mobileye Global Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Mobileye Global (NasdaqGS:MBLY) - **Event**: 2026 Conference held on January 06, 2026 - **Keynote Speaker**: Professor Amnon Shashua, CEO of Mobileye Key Industry Insights - **Acquisition**: Mobileye announced the acquisition of Mentee Robotics, marking its entry into humanoid robotics [1] - **Partnerships**: Collaboration with Volkswagen's MOIA Group to develop autonomous vehicles for the US and Europe [1] Financial Performance and Projections - **RFQs Success**: Mobileye won 95% of all RFQs from its top 10 customers in 2025 [3] - **New Partnerships**: Secured design wins with Volvo and Subaru [3] - **Revenue Pipeline**: Projected pipeline of $24.5 billion over the next eight years, with $18 billion awarded since the IPO, representing a 40% increase since 2023 [4] - **Chips Deployment**: Over 230 million chips deployed, equating to one-eighth of the total cars globally [5] Technology Developments - **REM Technology**: 8 million cars contributing to high-definition map data, with 32 billion miles recorded in 2025 [5] - **Surround ADAS**: New system featuring multiple cameras and radars, with two design wins already secured [6] - **Testing**: Over 100 ID. Buzz vehicles in testing across various locations, including challenging weather conditions [10][14] Future Milestones - **Driverless Services**: Expected launch of driverless services in the US by the end of 2026, with EU homologation in 2027 [18] - **Market Expansion**: Plans to operate in six cities by the end of 2027 and have over 100,000 active self-driving vehicles by 2033 [21] Strategic Insights - **Ecosystem Approach**: Emphasis on integrating vehicle and self-driving systems into a turnkey solution for autonomous mobility [19] - **Cost Reduction**: Focus on reducing costs associated with sensors and computing to enable scalability [51] - **Physical AI Expansion**: Mobileye aims to broaden its scope to include all aspects of physical AI, leveraging synergies between autonomous driving and robotics [59] Technical Innovations - **Artificial Community Intelligence (ACI)**: A new training method using simulated environments to enhance driving policy and validation [36][40] - **Vision-Language Models (VLMs)**: Development of a slow system to provide deep scene understanding, reducing reliance on teleoperators [45] - **Chip Development**: Introduction of the IQ7 chip, designed for advanced workloads, with significant performance advantages over competitors [52] Conclusion - Mobileye is positioned for significant growth through strategic acquisitions, partnerships, and technological advancements in autonomous driving and robotics. The company is focused on scaling its operations while reducing costs and enhancing its product offerings to meet future market demands.
CES 2026前瞻:中国车企领衔,AI与新能源技术重构出行
Tai Mei Ti A P P· 2026-01-04 09:13
Group 1: CES 2026 Overview - The CES 2026 will focus on the automotive sector, showcasing advancements in new energy and intelligent connected technologies, with significant participation from global automakers and supply chain giants [2] - Chinese automakers are expected to collectively impact the global automotive industry's competitive landscape through their innovations and AI technology integration [2] Group 2: Great Wall Motors - Great Wall Motors will present its full product line and core technology matrix under the theme "GO With More Life," aiming to enhance global brand recognition [4] - The company will showcase key technologies including Hi4-Z architecture, semi-solid batteries, and hydrogen fuel cell engines, along with the ASL 2.0 intelligent agent and VLA large model [4] - Challenges include the current lack of hydrogen refueling infrastructure and the cost control of semi-solid battery mass production [4] Group 3: Geely Automotive - Geely will display its comprehensive AI technology achievements, focusing on breakthroughs in its "smart car full-domain AI" technology system, particularly the Raytheon AI hybrid 2.0 [6] - The Raytheon AI hybrid 2.0 improves engine thermal efficiency to 47.26% and achieves a low fuel consumption of 2.67L [6] - The company aims to address market concerns regarding the transition from laboratory efficiency to stable mass production experiences during the exhibition [6] Group 4: Hyundai Motor Group - Hyundai will highlight its "technology crossover" theme, featuring the new generation Atlas humanoid robot and its AI interaction capabilities [8] - This marks Hyundai's shift from a traditional automaker to a "mobility solutions provider," although specific collaboration plans between robots and automotive ecosystems remain unclear [8] Group 5: Faraday Future - Faraday Future will hold a special shareholder meeting at CES 2026 to announce the complete production, sales, delivery, and service plans for the FX Super One [10] - The FX Super One has already received over 13,000 orders, marking a critical transition for the brand [10] - Financial data indicates continued negative net profits from 2020 to 2024, making the announcement of a profitable path crucial for market confidence [10] Group 6: Kosmera - The new Chinese automaker Kosmera will make its global debut at CES 2026, introducing two high-performance models, including a 1903 horsepower electric supercar [11] - The supercar features aerospace-grade composite materials and a 3D-printed chassis, aiming for a 1:1 power-to-weight ratio [11] Group 7: Sony Honda - Sony Honda will present a new concept car, continuing the integration of Sony's technology with Honda's manufacturing capabilities [13] - The previous AFEELA 1 model has established a market presence, and the new concept aims to enhance user experience through advanced audio and AI interaction [13] Group 8: Honda - Honda will preview the Honda 0 series production models at CES 2026, focusing on L3-level autonomous driving features and a new self-developed operating system [15] - The rear-wheel-drive model will have a maximum power of 241Ps, while the all-wheel-drive version will reach 308Ps, with an EPA-rated electric range of approximately 482km [15] Group 9: Automotive Supply Chain Innovations - The competition among automotive suppliers will intensify, with laser radar and intelligent chassis technologies being key highlights at CES 2026 [22] - Hesai Technology will showcase its upgraded ATX laser radar, achieving significant performance improvements and securing over 400,000 orders [17] - ZF will introduce a new active noise cancellation feature for automotive chassis, while LG will present an AI cockpit platform based on Qualcomm's Snapdragon [19][21] Group 10: Industry Trends - The automotive sector at CES 2026 will serve as a showcase for global automotive technology achievements and a clear indicator of future industry directions [22] - The deep integration of AI and new energy is reshaping automotive product logic and the competitive landscape, with Chinese automakers leading the charge [22]
Mobileye (MBLY) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-23 13:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Q3 revenue reached $504 million, a 4% year-over-year increase, driven by an 8% growth in EyeQ volume, significantly outpacing the 1% growth in overall vehicle production among the top 10 customers [4][5] - Operating cash flow for Q3 was $167 million, with year-to-date operating cash flow nearly $500 million, reflecting a 150% year-over-year increase [4][17] - The company raised its full-year revenue outlook midpoint by 2% and adjusted operating income midpoint by 11%, with expected volumes about 2 million units higher than original guidance [5][17] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The core ADAS business is performing well, with volumes remaining healthy for the last five quarters, and expected to continue in Q4 [4] - SuperVision volumes exceeded expectations, with a revised full-year estimate of around 50,000 units, significantly higher than initial projections [15][19] - EyeQ5 currently represents about 10% of volume, expected to peak at around 15% next year, which may pressure gross margins [15] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Stronger-than-expected results in China contributed to overall performance, with better-than-expected shipments to Chinese OEMs and performance from Western OEM customers in China [5] - The company expects to outperform the production of top 10 OEM customers globally by about 5 percentage points in 2025 [6] Company Strategy and Development Direction - Mobileye is focusing on execution in the SuperVision and Chauffeur production programs, with significant software innovations expected in the coming months [9][44] - The company is pursuing opportunities in robotaxi technology, with plans to remove safety drivers in the first U.S. city in 2026 and expand geographically [10][11] - The EyeQ6 High-based Surround ADAS systems are being developed to meet stricter safety standards and consolidate technology on a single SoC [8] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the growth potential in India and the increasing adoption of ADAS technologies [7] - The transition from eyes-off to minds-off autonomy is seen as a significant inflection point for the company, with plans to bring such systems to production by early 2027 [9][10] - Management emphasized that the current demand for higher performance at lower costs is intensifying, positioning Mobileye favorably in the market [11] Other Important Information - The company is working on integrating REM into front-facing camera programs, which is expected to enhance data collection and performance [10][101] - Management highlighted the importance of cost optimization in the Surround ADAS category, which is critical for high-volume vehicle production [51][82] Q&A Session Summary Question: Clarification on Western OEM design win - The recent nomination is for a second Surround ADAS program from a leading Western OEM, expected to be a significant portion of their vehicle lineup [23] Question: Gross margin impact from EyeQ5 and EyeQ6 - EyeQ5 volume is not expected to significantly impact gross margins, as new launches will be with EyeQ6 Lite, which has higher profitability [25][28] Question: Q4 expectations and chip issues - No material impact is expected in Q4 from chip issues, and the company maintains a cautious outlook with a buffer for unforeseen logistical issues [34] Question: Normalized unit growth expectations - The company expects to grow faster than the top 10 OEMs due to ADAS adoption growth and emerging markets, with a performance of about 5 percentage points faster than these OEMs this year [42] Question: Competitive landscape for Surround ADAS - The competitive landscape is highly cost-sensitive, and Mobileye's first mover advantage and efficient chip design provide a significant edge [82][84]
Mobileye (MBLY) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-23 13:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Q3 revenue reached $504 million, a 4% year-over-year increase, driven by an 8% growth in IQ volume, significantly outpacing the 1% growth in overall vehicle production among the top 10 customers [4][5] - Operating cash flow for Q3 was $167 million, with year-to-date cash flow nearly $500 million, reflecting a 150% year-over-year increase [4][17] - The company raised its full-year revenue outlook midpoint by 2% and adjusted operating income midpoint by 11%, with expected volumes about 2 million units higher than original guidance [5][17] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The core ADAS business is performing well, with volumes in a healthy range for the last five quarters, and expected to continue in Q4 [4] - SuperVision volumes exceeded expectations, with a revised full-year estimate of around 50,000 units, significantly higher than initial projections [15][19] - Gross margin declined by over 100 basis points year-over-year, primarily due to increased volumes from Chinese OEMs and higher costs associated with IQ5 programs [15] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Stronger-than-expected results in China contributed to overall performance, with better-than-expected shipments to Chinese OEMs and performance from Western OEM customers in China [5] - The company expects to outperform the production of top 10 OEM customers globally by about 5 percentage points in 2025 [6] Company Strategy and Development Direction - Mobileye is focusing on execution and innovation in its SuperVision and Chauffeur programs, with significant software updates expected in the coming months [9][44] - The company is positioning itself as an OEM-neutral platform with a credible technology path to eyes-off autonomy, targeting both privately owned vehicles and robotaxis [7][10] - The growth potential in India is becoming increasingly clear, supported by adoption trends and regulatory environments [7] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's growth trajectory, highlighting that the opportunity set is larger and more urgent than when the company went public in 2022 [11] - The focus for 2026 is on execution rather than acquiring new business, with expectations to be production-ready for SuperVision and Chauffeur platforms in the first half of 2026 [44] Other Important Information - The company is actively working on multiple advanced product lines, including surround ADAS, SuperVision, Chauffeur, and Drive, all sharing common technological foundations [8] - The IQ6 High chip is positioned as a cost-effective solution for high-volume vehicles, with significant traction among OEMs [85] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you clarify the recent design win with a Western OEM? - The recent nomination is for a second surround ADAS program from a leading Western OEM, expected to be a significant portion of their vehicle lineup [23] Question: How do you anticipate gross margin changes with IQ6 ramping up? - The profitability of IQ6 is expected to be higher than IQ5, with no significant headwinds anticipated from the transition [25][28] Question: What factors are influencing Q4 expectations? - The company expects Q4 volume to align with full-year guidance, with no material impact from recent chip issues anticipated [34] Question: Can you provide details on the Lyft robotaxi program? - The program is in advanced testing stages, with the first city launch planned for Dallas-Fort Worth, and further details will be disclosed soon [36] Question: How does the competitive landscape look for surround ADAS? - Mobileye has a first-mover advantage in surround ADAS, focusing on cost optimization and efficient design to meet OEM needs [84][85]
Mobileye (MBLY) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-23 13:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Q3 revenue reached $504 million, a 4% increase year over year, driven by an 8% growth in IQ volume, significantly outpacing the 1% growth in overall vehicle production among the top 10 customers [3][4] - Operating cash flow was $167 million in Q3, with year-to-date cash flow nearly $500 million, reflecting a 150% increase year over year [3][15] - The company raised its full-year revenue outlook by 2% and adjusted operating income by 11%, with expected volumes about 2 million units higher than original guidance [4][16] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The core ADAS business is performing well, with healthy volume ranges maintained for the last five quarters [3] - SuperVision volume exceeded 20,000 units in Q3, with a full-year expectation of around 50,000 units, significantly higher than initial projections [12][13] - Gross margin declined by over 100 basis points year over year, primarily due to increased volumes from Chinese OEMs and higher costs associated with IQ5 programs [13][14] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Stronger-than-expected results in China contributed positively to overall performance, with significant shipments to both Chinese OEMs and Western OEMs operating in China [4] - The company expects to outperform the production of its top 10 OEM customers globally by about 5 percentage points in 2025 [4] Company Strategy and Development Direction - Mobileye is focusing on expanding its advanced product offerings, including surround ADAS, SuperVision, Chauffeur, and Drive, leveraging the IQ6 High-inference chip [5][6] - The company aims to transition from eyes-off to minds-off autonomy by 2029, with significant advancements expected in the next few years [8][9] - The growth potential in emerging markets like India is becoming increasingly clear, supported by regulatory environments [5] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's ability to meet future demand for higher performance at lower costs, emphasizing that eyes-off capability is becoming a commercially viable reality [10] - The company is focused on execution in 2026, with significant software innovations expected in the near term [38][39] - Management highlighted the importance of maintaining strong relationships with OEMs and the competitive advantages of their technology in the evolving market landscape [46][72] Other Important Information - The company is actively pursuing robotaxi opportunities, with plans to remove safety drivers in the U.S. by 2026 and expand operations in Europe [10][81] - Mobileye is expanding its REM data collection efforts, which are crucial for enhancing AI training and improving front-facing camera performance [84] Q&A Session Summary Question: Clarification on Western OEM design win - The recent nomination is for a second surround ADAS program from a leading Western OEM, expected to be a significant portion of their vehicle lineup [21][22] Question: Gross margin impact from IQ5 and IQ6 - IQ5 volumes are expected to peak at around 15%, but the profitability difference between IQ5 and IQ6 is not significant [23][25] Question: Q4 expectations and market factors - The company does not expect material impacts from recent chip issues and anticipates Q4 volumes to align with full-year expectations [30] Question: Details on Lyft robotaxi program - The first city for the Lyft robotaxi program will be Dallas-Fort Worth, with advanced testing currently underway [32] Question: Competitive landscape for surround ADAS - Mobileye has a first-mover advantage in surround ADAS, focusing on cost optimization and efficient design to meet OEM needs [71][72]
Mobileye Global (NasdaqGS:MBLY) Conference Transcript
2025-09-30 15:05
Summary of Mobileye Global Conference Call (September 30, 2025) Company Overview - **Company**: Mobileye Global (NasdaqGS:MBLY) - **Industry**: Advanced Driver Assistance Systems (ADAS) and Autonomous Vehicles Key Points Core Business and Financials - Mobileye's core ADAS business is generating significant revenue, with an estimated EPS of $0.60 to $0.65 attributed to R&D for advanced products that are not yet revenue-generating [9][8] - The core business is projected to generate approximately $1 billion in free cash flow, with an EPS of $1 [9] - Mobileye has been outperforming core customers in production, indicating growth potential and market share gains [9] Market Opportunities - New markets such as India and Latin America present significant growth opportunities due to low current ADAS penetration [10] - In India, ADAS penetration is around 5%, with expectations for substantial growth driven by new regulations and consumer demand for safety features [20] - Mobileye has design wins with major automakers, including a partnership with Porsche launching in late 2026 and Audi in 2027 [13][14] Product Development - Mobileye's product offerings include: - **Supervision**: An eyes-on product priced at approximately $1,300, designed for urban and highway driving with driver oversight [12] - **Chauffeur**: An eyes-off product for highway driving, priced between $2,500 and $3,000, expected to launch in 2027 [14] - The company is focused on enhancing safety ratings, which are becoming increasingly stringent, necessitating more advanced systems [11] Competitive Landscape - Mobileye aims to differentiate itself in the Robotaxi market by removing safety drivers, with plans to achieve this by mid-2026 [16][54] - The company is collaborating with Volkswagen to integrate its self-driving technology into the VW ID Buzz vehicle, which will feature redundant steering and braking systems [53] Regulatory Environment - The regulatory landscape in the U.S. is evolving, with indications of a federal framework to streamline certification processes [69] - In Europe, the certification process is more stringent, requiring real-world data validation, which may delay the removal of safety drivers until late 2026 [71] Deployment Plans - Initial deployment of Robotaxi services is planned for cities including Los Angeles, Dallas, and various locations in Germany, with a focus on integrating into existing ride-sharing networks [62][76] - The company is targeting a significant number of units for deployment, with Volkswagen's initial engagement for 12,000 units over four to five years [78] Future Outlook - Mobileye is optimistic about its growth trajectory, with expectations for increased demand for advanced ADAS systems as automakers transition to more sophisticated vehicle architectures [33] - The company is well-positioned to leverage its extensive data and technology to expand geographically and enhance its product offerings [66] Additional Insights - The competitive landscape is rapidly evolving, with increasing interest in autonomous vehicle technology from various players in the industry [16] - Mobileye's focus on collaboration with automakers is crucial for successful product development and market entry [37] - The company is aware of the challenges posed by consumer acceptance and regulatory hurdles but remains committed to advancing its technology [70][72]
Mobileye(MBLY):2Q25业绩表现好于预期,上调全年营收指引
SPDB International· 2025-07-28 09:33
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Mobileye (MBLY.US) with a target price adjusted to $18.1, indicating a potential upside of 17% [1][3]. Core Insights - Mobileye's 2Q25 performance exceeded expectations, with revenue reaching $506 million, a 15% year-over-year increase. The company has raised its full-year revenue guidance to a range of $1.765 to $1.885 billion [9][12]. - The company is optimistic about its growth trajectory, expecting a revenue inflection point in 2027, driven by advancements in autonomous driving technology and partnerships with major players like Volkswagen, Lyft, and Uber [9][12]. Financial Forecasts - Revenue projections for Mobileye from 2023 to 2027 are as follows: - 2023: $2,079 million - 2024: $1,654 million - 2025E: $1,851 million - 2026E: $1,948 million - 2027E: $2,650 million - The adjusted net profit is forecasted to grow from $659 million in 2023 to $540 million in 2027, with a notable increase of 56% in 2027 [2][10]. Performance Metrics - In 2Q25, Mobileye's total shipment volume reached 9.7 million units, a 28% increase year-over-year, with EyeQ chip shipments close to 9.65 million units [12]. - The adjusted gross margin for 2025 is projected at 68.5%, with an adjusted net profit margin of 15.6% [13][15]. Valuation - The report employs a DCF valuation method, estimating a WACC of 12.3% and a perpetual growth rate of 3%, leading to a target price of $18.1 per share [9][14].
Investor Reaction To Predictable Mobileye Earnings Was Negative: Analyst
Benzinga· 2025-07-25 18:34
Core Insights - Mobileye Global reported a fiscal second-quarter 2025 revenue of $506 million, a 15% year-on-year increase, surpassing analyst expectations of $463.26 million, with adjusted EPS of 13 cents exceeding the consensus estimate of 9 cents [1][3] - The company raised its fiscal 2025 revenue outlook to a range of $1.765 billion to $1.885 billion, up from the previous range of $1.690 billion to $1.810 billion, aligning closely with the analyst consensus estimate of $1.770 billion [2] Financial Performance - Shipments of approximately 9.7 million EyeQ units exceeded the analyst's estimate of 9 million, driven by strong demand from OEMs, particularly in China [6] - Adjusted gross margin for the quarter was 68.6%, slightly above the analyst's estimate of 68.4% and close to the Street's expectation of 68.8% [6] - Operating expenses were lower than anticipated at $241 million, resulting in adjusted operating income of $106 million, surpassing both expectations and the preliminary guidance [6] Future Outlook - Management emphasized 2027 as a critical year for revenue acceleration, driven by the adoption of SuperVision and initial deployments of Connected and Autonomous Vehicles (CAVs) [7] - Full-scale Drive deployments are planned for late 2026 across multiple U.S. and European cities, with the CAV business expected to contribute $150 million in 2027 revenue [8] - The company anticipates ADAS revenue could reach around $2 billion in 2027, which is considered a conservative estimate [8] Market Position and Partnerships - Mobileye's partnerships with major companies such as Volkswagen, Uber, and Lyft are expected to enhance its market position in the autonomous driving sector [9] - The company is transitioning to full production hardware for the ID. Buzz robotaxi, with teleoperations expected to begin in 2025 and driverless service planned for 2026 [9] Analyst Commentary - Needham analyst Quinn Bolton reiterated a buy rating on Mobileye with a price target of $18, despite the stock's decline following the earnings report [3][11] - Bolton noted that while management's tone was cautious, there is potential upside in fourth-quarter revenue and improving margin visibility, supporting a strong long-term growth trajectory for Mobileye [11]
市场份额下滑+估值偏高 高盛下调Mobileye(MBLY.US)评级至“中性”
智通财经网· 2025-06-10 08:44
Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs downgraded Mobileye Global (MBLY.US) from "Buy" to "Neutral" due to competitive landscape and high stock valuation, maintaining a 12-month target price of $17 [1] Group 1: Stock Performance and Market Position - Since Goldman Sachs rated Mobileye as "Buy" in November 2022, the stock has declined by 38%, while the S&P 500 has increased by 52% [1] - Mobileye holds over 50% market share in the ADAS market, covering most major automakers' L1/L2 projects [3] Group 2: Competitive Landscape - Mobileye faces competition from automakers' in-house projects and other chip/system providers, with some automakers considering licensing L4 autonomous driving technology from companies like Tesla or Waymo [2] - Several automakers, including Ford, General Motors, Honda, and Nissan, have announced plans to pursue L2++/L3/L4 projects based on in-house or competitor technologies, potentially reducing market opportunities for Mobileye [3] Group 3: Future Prospects and Challenges - Mobileye expects more design contracts for its SuperVision and Chauffeur products by the end of 2024, but recent contract announcements have been limited [4] - Revenue from China is declining, with the share of revenue from the region expected to drop from 31% in 2023 to 26% in 2024, attributed to tariffs, inventory adjustments, and loss of market share [4]