Core Insights - Bristol Myers Squibb (BMY) reported strong Q2 2025 results, with GAAP revenue of $12.269 billion exceeding analyst estimates of $11.385 billion and non-GAAP EPS of $1.46 surpassing the expected $1.07 per share [1][2] - Despite the revenue beat, year-over-year performance was impacted by declines in legacy drugs, margin compression, and significant R&D expenses, leading to a revision in non-GAAP EPS guidance [1][11] Financial Performance - Q2 2025 non-GAAP EPS was $1.46, down 29.5% from $2.07 in Q2 2024 [2] - GAAP EPS was $0.64, a decrease of 22.9% from $0.83 in Q2 2024 [2] - Revenue for Q2 2025 was $12.3 billion, a slight increase of 0.8% from $12.2 billion in Q2 2024 [2] - Non-GAAP gross margin narrowed to 72.6% from 75.6% year-over-year, while operating margin decreased to 40.4% from 41.1% [2][7] Product Performance - The Growth Portfolio generated $6.6 billion in sales for Q2 2025, an 18% increase, driven by immuno-oncology products and new therapies [5] - Breyanzi revenue surged 125%, Camzyos increased by 86%, and Reblozyl rose by 33% in Q2 2025 [5][6] - The Legacy Portfolio saw a 14% decline, with Revlimid down 38%, Pomalyst/Imnovid down 26%, and Sprycel down 72% year-over-year [6] Strategic Focus - The company is focused on building its "Growth Portfolio" through new product launches and global expansion while managing declines from older drugs [4] - A significant $1.5 billion R&D charge related to a partnership with BioNTech impacted EPS guidance [9][11] - The company raised its fiscal 2025 non-GAAP revenue outlook to $46.5 billion to $47.5 billion but lowered non-GAAP EPS guidance to $6.35–$6.65 due to the BioNTech charge [11] Pipeline and Development - Progress was made in the drug pipeline, with new indications for Sotyktu and label updates for Breyanzi [10] - Opdivo received European approval for a new subcutaneous form, and the company launched initiatives to improve access to Eliquis [10] - The company is actively pursuing strategic partnerships and business development opportunities to enhance its pipeline [10]

Q2 2025 Performance - Global net sales reached approximately $12.3 billion, showing a 1% year-over-year increase, but 0% excluding foreign exchange impacts[11] - The Growth Portfolio net sales increased by 18%, or 17% excluding foreign exchange impacts[11] - GAAP earnings per share (EPS) were $0.64, while non-GAAP EPS reached $1.46, including a negative impact of $0.57 per share from acquired IPR&D charges[13] Financial Guidance - The company is adjusting its non-GAAP EPS guidance to $6.35 - $6.65[14] - Total revenues are expected to be approximately $46.5 billion - $47.5 billion[14] - The company is on track to pay down approximately $10 billion of debt by the end of Q2 2026, with approximately $6.5 billion already achieved as of Q2 2025[56] Strategic Business Development - The company executed strategic business development initiatives, including the formation of Immunology NewCo with Bain Capital[14,17] - A global alliance was formed to co-develop and co-commercialize BNT327 (PD-L1/VEGF bispecific)[18] - A license agreement was secured for exclusive worldwide rights to OncoACP3, strengthening the company's position in radiopharmaceuticals[18] Product Performance - Eliquis global net sales reached $3.68 billion, showing an 8% increase year-over-year, or 6% excluding foreign exchange impacts[46] - Reblozyl sales increased 34% to $568 million[41] - Opdivo sales increased 7% to $2.56 billion[36]

Core Viewpoint - Bristol-Myers Squibb Company (BMY) is set to report its second-quarter 2025 results on July 31, with sales and earnings estimates at $11.38 billion and $1.18 per share, respectively. However, earnings estimates for 2025 and 2026 have seen a decline over the past month [1][5]. Financial Estimates - The current earnings estimate for Q2 2025 is $1.18, down from $1.55 30 days ago, reflecting a decrease of 29.34%. The earnings estimates for 2025 and 2026 have also decreased to $6.37 and $6.03, respectively [2][5]. - BMY has a strong earnings surprise history, beating estimates in the last four quarters with an average surprise of 20.16% [2]. Factors Influencing Q2 Results - Total quarterly revenues are expected to be negatively impacted by declining sales from the legacy portfolio, which includes drugs like Eliquis, Revlimid, and Pomalyst, primarily due to generic competition [4][5]. - Sales for Pomalyst are estimated at $727 million, while Eliquis is projected to generate $3.5 billion in sales [6][7]. Growth Portfolio Performance - The growth portfolio, which includes drugs like Opdivo, Reblozyl, and Camzyos, is expected to partially offset the decline in legacy drug sales. Opdivo sales are estimated at $2.4 billion, while Reblozyl is projected at $546 million [8][10][11]. - New drug Cobenfy for schizophrenia has shown promising sales growth, indicating a positive start for the newly launched product [12][18]. Strategic Initiatives - BMY has announced cost-cutting plans aiming to save $1.5 billion by 2025 and an additional $2 billion annually by 2027, which are expected to improve profitability [5][14]. - The company has entered a strategic collaboration with BioNTech for the co-development of a bispecific antibody, BNT327, which targets solid tumors [19][22]. Stock Performance and Valuation - BMY shares have declined by 14.4% year-to-date, underperforming the industry and the S&P 500 [16]. - The stock currently trades at a price/earnings ratio of 7.84x forward earnings, lower than its historical mean and the large-cap pharma industry average [20].

Core Insights - Bristol Myers (BMY) has shown a strong performance recently, gaining 6.3% in a month, outperforming the industry (3.9% gain) and the S&P 500 [1][7] - The company is focusing on newer drugs to stabilize revenue as legacy drugs face generic competition [4][10] - Recent pipeline setbacks have raised investor concerns, but there is optimism around new drug approvals and label expansions [7][20] Financial Performance - BMY's stock performance has improved after being under pressure, with a raised annual guidance following first-quarter results [3] - The company is trading at a price/earnings ratio of 7.93x forward earnings, lower than the large-cap pharma industry's average of 15.26x [16] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 EPS has decreased from $6.89 to $6.37 over the past 60 days [18] Drug Pipeline and Growth Drivers - New drugs like Opdualag, Reblozyl, and Breyanzi are crucial for offsetting the impact of legacy drug patent expirations [4][7] - Opdivo has shown solid revenue growth driven by volume, with recent label expansions expected to boost sales further [5] - The FDA has accepted a supplemental new drug application for Sotyktu, with a decision expected in March 2026 [6] Challenges and Setbacks - Generic competition is impacting sales of key drugs like Revlimid and Eliquis, with Eliquis sales down 4% in Q1 due to Medicare Part D redesign [10][11] - Recent phase III study results for Reblozyl and Camzyos did not meet primary endpoints, raising concerns among investors [12][15] - The company plans to engage with regulatory bodies regarding marketing applications despite these setbacks [14] Strategic Collaborations - A recent collaboration with BioNTech for the co-development of bispecific antibody BNT327 is expected to enhance BMY's pipeline in cancer treatment [9]

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - **Industry**: Biopharma in North America - **Market Analysis**: Comprehensive analysis of the US drug market conducted by IQVIA Rx Key Market Metrics - **Total Prescription Year-over-Year (YoY) Growth**: - Latest weekly growth (week ending July 11, 2025) was +4.0%, up from +3.4% the previous week and +2.5% over the past 12 weeks [1][6] - For the week ended July 11, the total market weekly TRx YoY change was +4.0%, compared to +1.8% a year ago [2] Prescription Trends - **Rolling 4-week TRx YoY**: +3.0% - **Rolling 12-week TRx YoY**: +2.5% - **Extended Unit (EUTRx) Weekly YoY Growth**: +3.3%, which is below the TRx YoY [2] - **Sequential Weekly TRx Growth**: +12.0%, a significant increase compared to -7.3% the week before [2] Company-Specific Insights - **Bristol Myers Squibb (BMY)**: - Cobenfy approved for schizophrenia on September 26, 2024, with scripts at ~2,040 for the week, up from ~1,820 the previous week [3] - To meet 2025 consensus expectations, Cobenfy TRx needs to track at ~2-3x the volumes from recent schizophrenia launches [3] - **Vertex Pharmaceuticals (VRTX)**: - Journavx approved for acute pain on January 30, 2025, with scripts at ~5,880 for the week, up from ~5,180 the previous week [4] - Hospital scripts, which are not captured by IQVIA, account for ~28% of total scripts [4] - **Gilead Sciences (GILD)**: - Yeztugo approved on June 18, 2025, with latest week TRx at ~70, up from ~20 the previous week [5] - Yeztugo's injectable formulation accounted for 54% of total TRx [5] Competitive Landscape - **Launch Comparisons**: - GILD's Yeztugo compared to Descovy and Apretude [5] - BMY's Sotyktu launch tracked against AMGN's Otezla [9] - LLY's Kisunla launched in July 2024 for Alzheimer's [9] Pricing and Sales Analysis - **Immunology Pricing**: Updated charts for 2Q25 for Stelara and Tremfya, analyzing how additional indications impact price per script [10] - **Biosimilar Adoption**: Comprehensive analysis of biosimilars across various branded drugs [12] Notable Trends - **Seasonal Respiratory Vaccine Tracking**: Exhibits tracking RSV and COVID vaccine weekly and monthly TRx launch trends [11] - **Key Products Performance**: Detailed tracking of TRx market share and performance for major pharmaceutical companies [48] Conclusion - The biopharma industry in North America is experiencing positive growth in total prescriptions, with significant contributions from new product launches and competitive dynamics among major players. The analysis indicates a robust market environment with potential investment opportunities in emerging therapies and established products.

Core Insights - Bristol Myers (BMY) announced that the late-stage study on Sotyktu (deucravacitinib) in adults with active psoriatic arthritis (PsA) met its primary endpoint, indicating significant efficacy [1][4] - Sotyktu is an oral, selective tyrosine kinase 2 (TYK2) inhibitor, representing a new class of small molecules and is the first selective TYK2 inhibitor in clinical studies across multiple immune-mediated diseases [1][4] - The drug is already approved in numerous countries for the treatment of adults with moderate-to-severe plaque psoriasis [2] Study Results - The phase III POETYK PsA-1 study involved 670 patients and showed a significantly greater proportion of patients treated with Sotyktu achieving ACR20 response compared to placebo at week 16 [4] - Key secondary endpoints met include Psoriasis Area and Severity Index (PASI) 75 response, Health Assessment Questionnaire-Disability Index (HAQ-DI) score, 36-Item Short Form Survey (SF-36) Physical Component Summary (PCS) score, and Minimal Disease Activity (MDA) response [5] - The late-stage PsA program includes two phase III trials, POETYK PsA-1 and POETYK PsA-2, with the latter enrolling approximately 730 patients [6] Licensing and Strategic Moves - BMY's subsidiary RayzeBio entered into a $1.35 billion licensing deal with Philochem for the prostate cancer therapy OncoACP3, which includes a $350 million upfront payment and potential milestones of $1 billion [9][10] - BMY is looking to expand its portfolio and pipeline due to generic competition faced by legacy drugs, with a potential label expansion of Sotyktu to broaden its target patient population [11] - A strategic collaboration agreement was announced with BioNTech for the co-development and co-commercialization of the investigational bispecific antibody BNT327 [12] Market Performance - Shares of Bristol Myers have declined by 15.9% over the past three months, while the industry has seen a decline of 5.3% [2] - BMY has experienced pipeline setbacks recently, negatively impacting its share price [13]

Core Insights - Johnson & Johnson (J&J) announced positive results from the phase III ICONIC-TOTAL study for its investigational oral peptide, icotrokinra, aimed at treating plaque psoriasis in patients with moderate severity affecting sensitive areas [1][7]. Study Results - The study met its primary endpoint, with 57% of patients treated with icotrokinra achieving significant skin clearance compared to only 6% in the placebo group, as measured by the Investigator's Global Assessment (IGA) [2]. - In specific subgroups, 66% of patients with scalp psoriasis achieved clear or almost clear skin with icotrokinra versus 11% in the placebo group; 77% of patients with genital psoriasis achieved significant clearance compared to 21% in the placebo group; and 42% of patients in the hand/foot subgroup achieved clearance compared to 26% in the placebo group [4]. Stock Performance - Year to date, J&J's shares have increased nearly 7%, contrasting with a 6% decline in the industry [5]. Development and Collaboration - Icotrokinra is being developed in collaboration with Protagonist Therapeutics, with J&J holding exclusive worldwide rights for development beyond phase II studies [7]. - The ICONIC-TOTAL study is part of a broader late-stage ICONIC clinical program evaluating icotrokinra for psoriasis and psoriatic arthritis [8]. Additional Studies and Comparisons - J&J and Protagonist have reported positive results from two other phase III studies, ICONIC-ADVANCE 1 and 2, which demonstrated icotrokinra's superiority over Bristol Myers' psoriasis drug, Sotyktu [9]. - A phase III ICONIC-ASCEND study has been initiated to compare icotrokinra with J&J's own drug Stelara, aiming to provide a more convenient treatment option [10]. Market Potential - J&J believes icotrokinra has the potential to achieve peak non-risk-adjusted operational sales of $5 billion, with ongoing exploration of its use in inflammatory bowel disease [11].