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研报掘金丨长城证券:维持江波龙“增持”评级,积极布局AI高端存储+存储主控芯片+高端封测
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2025-12-10 06:52
Core Viewpoint - Jiangbolong plans to raise 3.7 billion yuan through a private placement to actively invest in high-end AI storage, storage controller chips, and advanced packaging and testing [1] Group 1: Fundraising and Investment Plans - The company intends to use 880 million yuan of the raised funds to develop storage products targeting the AI sector, including enterprise-level SSDs and high-end consumer SSDs [1] - The company is expanding its enterprise storage business by leveraging self-developed technology and actively participating in major client technology and new product bidding [1] Group 2: Market Growth and Opportunities - The global AIGC wave and the "Digital China" top-level planning are providing new growth momentum for the storage market [1] - As a leading independent memory manufacturer in China, the company is advancing its domestic and international dual-wheel layout in the storage industry, indicating significant growth potential [1] Group 3: Financial Projections - The company's projected net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025, 2026, and 2027 is expected to be 1.16 billion, 1.85 billion, and 2.32 billion yuan, respectively [1] - Corresponding price-to-earnings ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are forecasted to be 99, 62, and 49 times, respectively, maintaining a "buy" rating [1]
Micron Eyes High-Teen DRAM Demand Growth: Is It Sustainable?
ZACKS· 2025-08-13 14:26
Core Insights - Micron Technology, Inc. forecasts a high-teen percentage growth in industry DRAM bit demand by 2025, primarily driven by the increasing demand for AI applications [1][8] - The company's DRAM revenues surged 51% year over year and 15% sequentially to $7.1 billion, accounting for 76% of total sales in Q3 of fiscal 2025 [1][8] - The growth in DRAM revenues is largely attributed to record sales in the data center market and the accelerating adoption of High Bandwidth Memory (HBM) [1][2] Industry Trends - The adoption of AI servers is significantly reshaping the DRAM market, as these servers require more memory than traditional servers, leading to increased demand for high-capacity DIMMs and low-power server DRAM [2] - Micron is well-positioned to leverage this trend due to its leadership in DRAM technology and a strong product roadmap, including HBM4, expected to enter volume production in 2026 [2] Supply Dynamics - Tight supply conditions are contributing to a positive outlook for Micron's DRAM products, with the company planning to limit non-HBM DRAM bit supply growth below industry demand to maintain pricing discipline and profitability [3][8] Financial Projections - The Zacks Consensus Estimate predicts that Micron's DRAM revenues will increase approximately 59% year over year to $27.95 billion in fiscal 2025 [4] - The company's shares have increased around 51.8% year to date, outperforming the Zacks Computer – Integrated Systems industry's gain of 27.4% [7] Competitive Landscape - While there are no direct U.S. stock exchange-listed competitors for Micron in the memory chip sector, Intel and Broadcom play significant roles in the HBM supply chain and AI hardware ecosystem [5][6] - Intel is developing AI accelerators that require high-performance memory, while Broadcom designs custom chips for AI infrastructure that often include integrated HBM, potentially impacting Micron's supply allocation [6] Valuation Metrics - Micron trades at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 3, which is lower than the industry's average of 3.72 [9] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Micron's fiscal 2025 and 2026 earnings suggests a year-over-year increase of approximately 497.7% and 57.9%, respectively, with upward revisions in estimates over the past 60 days [11]