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海外Robotaxi支付意愿或较强,国内关注To-B RoboX放量 | 投研报告
Core Insights - The report highlights the convergence of Robotaxi technology with passenger vehicles, indicating that Waymo is developing its VLA/world model based on Gemini, while Tesla's FSDV13 shows a significant gap in performance compared to Waymo [1][2] - In high purchasing power markets, the willingness to pay for Robotaxi services is stronger than for traditional ride-hailing services, with Waymo users prioritizing safety and showing lower price sensitivity [2] - Domestic markets may still view Robotaxi as a substitute for traditional taxis, while in regions like the Middle East, Europe, and North America, there is potential for high-end demand for Robotaxi services [2] Investment Highlights - The report suggests that the domestic To-B solutions, such as RoboTruck, RoboVan, RoboBus, and Robosweeper, may see faster commercialization compared to To-C Robotaxi due to the clear cost-reduction needs of businesses [2] - Companies that could benefit from the overseas Robotaxi market and the acceleration of domestic To-B solutions include WeRide, Pony.ai, Horizon Robotics, Black Sesame Technologies, Jingwei Hirain, and Desay SV [3] Technical Developments - The report emphasizes the need to monitor Tesla's V14 version experience and the performance of Robotaxi operations after removing safety drivers and opening to the public, as this could significantly impact the competitive landscape [1][2]
汽车行业双周报:海外Robotaxi支付意愿或较强,国内关注To-BRoboX放量-20250903
Hua Yuan Zheng Quan· 2025-09-02 23:40
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the automotive industry is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The willingness to pay for Robotaxi services in high-income markets is stronger than for traditional ride-hailing services. Waymo's pricing is higher than Uber and Lyft, with users prioritizing safety over cost [4][7] - Domestic markets may still view Robotaxi as a substitute for traditional taxis, while in regions like the Middle East, Europe, and North America, Robotaxi is seen as a premium service [4][7] - Technological advancements in Robotaxi are converging with passenger vehicles, but significant gaps remain in performance metrics compared to leading companies like Waymo [4][25][26] - The domestic To-B solutions, such as RoboTruck and RoboVan, may see faster commercialization compared to To-C Robotaxi due to clearer demand from businesses [4][32] - Companies benefiting from the overseas Robotaxi market and the acceleration of domestic To-B solutions include WeRide, Pony.ai, Horizon Robotics, and others [4][36] Summary by Sections Robotaxi Market Insights - Waymo's average daily orders in California exceeded 20 per vehicle by the end of 2024, with a fleet size of approximately 730 vehicles [7] - In California, Waymo's pricing is significantly higher than that of Uber and Lyft, with average fares being 41% and 31% higher, respectively [16][18] - Users of Robotaxi services prioritize safety and technology over price, with 70% of users preferring Waymo over traditional ride-hailing services [19][22] Technological Developments - Waymo is advancing towards a multimodal model (EMMA) that integrates various sensor inputs for improved navigation [25][31] - Tesla's Full Self-Driving (FSD) technology still lags behind Waymo in terms of operational efficiency, with significant differences in miles driven before requiring human intervention [26][30] Domestic Market Opportunities - The RoboTruck market is projected to reach a potential market size of approximately 400 billion yuan by 2030, driven by cost savings for businesses [32][35] - Companies like WeRide are expanding their Robotaxi operations internationally, with a focus on partnerships with ride-hailing platforms in various regions [36][37]