截至收盘，道指涨1.34%报48704.01点，标普500指数涨0.21%报6901点，纳指跌0.25%报 23593.86点。标普500指数与道指携手创下收盘历史新高，而科技权重更高的纳指表现不佳。 市场受美联储降息提振，风险偏好持续修复，推动股市整体估值回升，但甲骨文的财报不及预 期重新引发了市场对科技股估值过高的担忧。 此外， 在美联储宣布降息后，贵金属价格再度强势，现货黄金价格升至一个多月来最高水平， 现货白银价格则再度创下历史新高，触及64.308美元/盎司。 上天天基金APP搜索777注册即可领500元券包，优选基金10元起投！限量发放！先到先得！ 当地时间周四（12月11日），美股市场上演剧烈的风格轮动，科技股受挫，小盘股和周期股走 高。 道指、标普500指数刷新收盘纪录 当地时间周四，美股三大股指收盘涨跌不一。截至收盘，道指涨1.34%报48704.01点，标普 500指数涨0.21%报6901点，纳指跌0.25%报23593.86点。标普500指数与道指携手创下收 盘历史新高，而科技权重更高的纳指表现不佳。 盘面上，大型科技股多数下跌，万得美国科技七巨头指数下跌0.71%。个股方面，谷歌跌超 ...

当地时间周四（12月11日），美股市场上演剧烈的风格轮动，科技股受挫，小盘股和周期股走高。 截至收盘，道指涨1.34%报48704.01点，标普500指数涨0.21%报6901点，纳指跌0.25%报23593.86点。标普500指数与道指携 手创下收盘历史新高，而科技权重更高的纳指表现不佳。市场受美联储降息提振，风险偏好持续修复，推动股市整体估值 回升，但甲骨文的财报不及预期重新引发了市场对科技股估值过高的担忧。 此外，在美联储宣布降息后，贵金属价格再度强势，现货黄金价格升至一个多月来最高水平，现货白银价格则再度创下历 史新高，触及64.308美元/盎司。 道指、标普500指数刷新收盘纪录 当地时间周四，美股三大股指收盘涨跌不一。截至收盘，道指涨1.34%报48704.01点，标普500指数涨0.21%报6901点，纳指 跌0.25%报23593.86点。标普500指数与道指携手创下收盘历史新高，而科技权重更高的纳指表现不佳。 盘面上，大型科技股多数下跌，万得美国科技七巨头指数下跌0.71%。个股方面，谷歌跌超2%，英伟达跌逾1%，特斯拉跌 超1%，亚马逊跌0.65%，苹果跌0.27%，微软涨超1%，脸书涨0 ...

Core Viewpoint - Oracle's recent financial report has sparked significant discussion on Wall Street, highlighting a substantial reliance on non-recurring income to inflate profits, despite a record backlog of $523 billion in orders and a notable increase in non-GAAP EPS [1][3][8] Financial Performance - Oracle reported a non-GAAP EPS of $2.26, significantly exceeding market expectations of $1.65, primarily due to $2.7 billion in non-recurring income from the sale of its stake in Ampere [8] - The company's total revenue grew by 13% year-over-year, slightly below market expectations, with cloud infrastructure revenue at $4.079 billion, a 66% increase, but still below UBS's forecast of 68% growth [7][8] Order Backlog and Conversion Concerns - The order backlog reached a record high of $523 billion, with a $67.7 billion increase in the quarter, reflecting a year-over-year surge of 583% in implied order value, driven by AI-related purchases from major clients like Meta and Nvidia [6][8] - Despite the impressive order growth, concerns are rising regarding the conversion of these orders into sustainable revenue, with analysts noting a lack of confidence in the company's ability to translate order volume into profits [7][10] Capital Expenditure and Cash Flow - Oracle's capital expenditures soared to $12 billion, more than doubling year-over-year, leading to a negative free cash flow of -$10 billion [8][9] - The management has raised the capital expenditure target for FY2026 to $50 billion, which is 75% of the expected annual revenue, indicating a significant investment in AI infrastructure [8][9] Market Reactions and Analyst Ratings - Following the earnings report, Oracle's stock price fell over 10%, prompting several investment banks, including UBS and Morgan Stanley, to lower their target prices or reassess their ratings [5][10] - UBS maintained a "Buy" rating but reduced the target price from $380 to $325, while Bank of America also retained a "Buy" rating, lowering its target from $368 to $300 [10][11] Valuation and Future Outlook - The valuation logic for Oracle has shifted from a premium based on order potential to a discount reflecting conversion risks, with analysts emphasizing the need for clearer signals of revenue growth and improved profit margins [10][12] - Discrepancies in valuation perspectives stem from differing views on Oracle's potential for AI transformation, with some analysts optimistic about the long-term potential of the $523 billion backlog, while others call for more concrete evidence of profitability improvements [12][14]

甲骨文2026财年第二季度财报引发华尔街热议：表面上非 GAAP 每股收益超预期、5230 亿美元订单积压（RPO）再创新高，实则利润依赖非经常 性收益"虚胖"。投资者已不再满足于单纯的"订单故事"。 财报发布后，甲骨文盘后重挫超10%。据追风交易台消息，这导致包括瑞银、摩根士丹利和美银在内的多家投行纷纷下调目标价或重新审视其评 级。 大摩Keith Weiss团队在11日的报告中表示，鉴于积压订单转化为利润的确定性下降，市场担忧加剧，该行已将甲骨文的目标价和模型置于审查之 中。甲骨文目前的股价缺乏明确催化剂，投资者需要更多证据证明其新兴的GPUaaS业务能够促进盈利和自由现金流增长。 瑞银Karl Keirstead团队认为，尽管甲骨文第二财季业绩略逊于投资者预期，且融资杠杆前景的信息传递不够明确，但鉴于其巨额交易积压订单在 下半年及2027财年的转化潜力极具吸引力，瑞银仍维持对该公司的"买入"评级。 美银Brad Sills团队则较为乐观地表示，尽管甲骨文正处于AI基础设施建设最繁重的阶段，且面临支出扩增与收入转化的时间错配，但这属于投资 曲线问题而非基本面变化，因此重申对该公司的"买入"评级。 订单神话 ...