Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights New Oriental's financial performance in Q4 FY25, with total revenue of $1.243 billion, representing a year-on-year growth of 9.4% [1] - The education business, including cultural tourism, generated $1.083 billion in revenue, showing a year-on-year increase of 18.7% [1] - The company's Non-GAAP net profit attributed to the parent company was $98 million, up 59.4% year-on-year, with a Non-GAAP net profit margin of 7.9%, expanding by 2.5 percentage points year-on-year [1] Group 2 - The study abroad business is experiencing a slowdown, with revenue from overseas exam training and consulting reaching $315 million, a year-on-year growth of 11%, which is a deceleration of 6.5 percentage points compared to the same period last year [1] - The company is adjusting its one-on-one training model to a one-to-many format to lower class prices and is expanding its services to include youth overseas exam training to enhance growth resilience [1] Group 3 - New business segments, including K9 competency training and learning machine services, saw a revenue increase of 32.5% to $307 million, driven by sustained high growth in non-subject competency services [2] - The company plans to expand its educational network to 1,318 locations, a year-on-year increase of 28.6%, indicating continued high growth [2] - The Non-GAAP operating profit margin for the education business is expected to expand by approximately 4.1 percentage points to 6.5% in Q4, reversing the declining trend from Q3 [2] Group 4 - Due to the slowdown in education business growth, the company expects Q1 FY26 revenue to grow only 2-5% year-on-year, with an annual growth forecast of 5-10% [3] - The company has revised its revenue forecasts for FY26 and FY27 to $5.28 billion and $5.79 billion, respectively, down from previous estimates [3] - The DCF target price has been lowered to $53.4, corresponding to a PE ratio of 15.6x for FY26 and a PEG ratio of 1.64x [3]

Investment Rating - The report downgrades the investment rating to "Hold" due to the slowdown in the education business growth [7] Core Views - The company's 4QFY25 revenue reached $1.243 billion, a year-on-year increase of 9.4%, with the education business (including cultural tourism) generating $1.083 billion, up 18.7%. Other businesses, primarily Oriental Selection, saw a revenue decline of 28.5% [4] - The company announced a three-year shareholder return plan, committing to return at least 50% of adjusted net profit to shareholders through dividends or buybacks [4] - The study predicts that the growth rate of the study abroad examination training and consulting business will gradually bottom out, with 4QFY25 revenue of $315 million, a year-on-year increase of 11%, but a slowdown compared to the previous year [5] - New business segments, including K9 competency training and learning machine services, showed strong growth, with 4Q revenue increasing by 32.5% to $307 million [5] - The report anticipates a continued improvement in operating profit margins, with Non-GAAP operating profit margin expanding by approximately 4.1 percentage points to 6.5% in 4Q [6] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - FY24A revenue was $4.314 billion, with a year-on-year growth rate of 43.89%. FY25A revenue is projected at $4.9 billion, with a growth rate of 13.60% [8] - The adjusted net profit for FY24A was $464 million, with a year-on-year growth of 79.20%. For FY25A, the adjusted net profit is expected to be $517 million, a growth of 11.40% [8] - The report revises FY26 and FY27 revenue forecasts to $5.28 billion and $5.79 billion, respectively, down from previous estimates of $5.8 billion and $7.03 billion [7] - The DCF target price is adjusted to $53.4, corresponding to a target price of HKD 41.9 per share, with a PE ratio of 15.6x for FY26 [7]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that New Oriental's revenue for Q4 FY25 is expected to be $1.186 billion, representing a year-on-year growth of 4.4% [1] - The education business, including cultural tourism, is projected to generate $1.034 billion in revenue, with a year-on-year increase of 13.3% [1] - Other businesses, primarily Oriental Selection, are expected to see revenue decline to $152 million, a decrease of 32.1% year-on-year [1] Group 2 - The study anticipates that the overseas examination training and consulting business will generate $298 million in revenue for Q4 FY25, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 5%, but a slowdown compared to previous periods [1] - The company is adjusting its high-end one-on-one training model to a one-to-many format to lower class prices and is expanding its youth overseas examination training services to enhance growth resilience [1] Group 3 - New business revenue, including K9 competency training and learning machine services, is expected to grow by 34% year-on-year to $311 million in Q4 [2] - The number of teaching outlets is projected to increase to 1,251, a year-on-year growth of 22%, indicating sustained expansion [2] - The company is implementing cost control measures and operational efficiency improvements, leading to an expected Non-GAAP operating profit margin expansion to 3% in Q4 [2] Group 4 - The revenue forecast for FY25-FY27 has been slightly adjusted downwards to $4.84 billion, $5.8 billion, and $7.03 billion, respectively, due to slower growth in the overseas study business [3] - Non-GAAP net profit estimates for FY25-FY27 have been revised upwards to $467 million, $575 million, and $710 million, respectively, reflecting improved cost control [3] - The DCF target price has been raised to $76.3, corresponding to a PE ratio of 17.1 for FY25 [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2][8] Core Views - The company's education business is expected to see a recovery in profit margins, and regular share buybacks may enhance its valuation [2][8] - The projected revenue for Q4 FY25 is $1.186 billion, representing a year-on-year growth of 4.4%, with the education segment (including cultural tourism) contributing $1.034 billion, a 13.3% increase [5] - Non-GAAP net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be $51 million, a 39.2% increase year-on-year, with a Non-GAAP net profit margin of 4.3%, expanding by 1.1 percentage points [5][7] Revenue and Profitability - The report anticipates a slowdown in the growth of the study abroad business, projecting a revenue of $298 million for Q4 FY25, a 5% increase, which is a deceleration of 12.5 percentage points compared to the same period last year [6] - New business segments, including K9 competency training and learning machine services, are expected to grow by 34% year-on-year to $311 million in Q4 [6] - The company is expected to improve its Non-GAAP operating profit margin to 3% in Q4, reversing the decline seen in Q3 [7] Financial Projections - Revenue forecasts for FY25 to FY27 have been slightly adjusted to $4.84 billion, $5.8 billion, and $7.03 billion respectively [8] - Non-GAAP net profit estimates for FY25 to FY27 have been raised to $467 million, $575 million, and $710 million respectively [8] - The DCF target price has been increased to $76.3, corresponding to a PE ratio of 17.1 for FY25 [8]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained as "Buy" [1] Core Insights - The report highlights that the growth rate of the study abroad business has reached a bottom, and cost reduction actions are alleviating pressure on profit margins [6] - The company reported a revenue of $1.183 billion for 3QFY25, a year-on-year decrease of 2%, while non-selection business (education + cultural tourism) achieved revenue of $1.04 billion, a year-on-year increase of 21.2% [4] - The Non-GAAP net profit attributable to the parent company was $113 million, down 14.3% year-on-year, with a Non-GAAP net profit margin of 9.6%, narrowing by 1.4 percentage points year-on-year [4] Summary by Sections Study Abroad Business - The growth of the study abroad business has slowed, with revenue from overseas exam training and consulting reaching $296 million, a year-on-year increase of 11.4%, which is a slowdown of 35.4 percentage points compared to the same period last year [5] - The high-end one-on-one training business is facing challenges due to its premium pricing, and the demand for studying abroad is returning to normal after the rapid release of pent-up demand from the pandemic [5] New Business Growth - New business revenue (K9 quality training + learning machine business) grew by 34.5% year-on-year to $325 million [5] - The company is expanding its service offerings to enhance the resilience of its study abroad business by adjusting class types and increasing youth overseas exam training services [5] Profitability and Financial Projections - The Non-GAAP operating profit margin for non-selection business narrowed by 1.8 percentage points to 13.3% due to the slowdown in the high-margin study abroad business [6] - The report projects Non-GAAP net profits for FY25, FY26, and FY27 to be $454 million, $534 million, and $636 million respectively, with a DCF target price of $74.8 [6][8]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained as "Buy" [1]. Core Views - The report emphasizes the ongoing adjustments in the study abroad business while highlighting the growth supported by the quality education and training sector [1][7]. - The company is expected to generate revenue of $1.225 billion in Q3 FY25, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 1.5%, with the education business (including cultural tourism) contributing $1.111 billion, a 21% increase [4]. - The report anticipates a decline in net profit attributable to the parent company, projected at $91 million, down 13.2% year-on-year, with a Non-GAAP net profit margin of 7.6%, narrowing by 1.1 percentage points [4]. Summary by Sections Study Abroad Business - The growth rate of the study abroad business has slowed, with revenue from overseas exam training and consulting reaching $310 million, a 16.6% increase, but down 30.1 percentage points from the previous year [5]. - The high-end one-on-one training segment faces challenges due to its premium pricing, and the demand for studying abroad is returning to normal after a surge due to the pandemic [5]. New Business Growth - New business segments, including K9 quality education and learning machine services, are expected to see a 37% year-on-year revenue growth, reaching $332 million [6]. - The company plans to expand its service offerings to meet differentiated demands in primary and secondary education, which is expected to drive rapid growth in new business [6]. Financial Projections - Revenue forecasts for FY25-FY27 have been revised down to $4.96 billion, $6.02 billion, and $7.34 billion, respectively, due to the slowdown in the high-margin study abroad business [7]. - Non-GAAP net profit estimates for FY25-FY27 have also been adjusted to $454 million, $534 million, and $636 million, respectively [7]. - The DCF target price has been lowered to $74.8, corresponding to a PE ratio of 17.3 for FY25 and a PEG ratio of 0.93 [7]. Financial Data - The company’s revenue for FY25 is projected at $4.959 billion, with a year-on-year growth rate of 14.96% [9]. - Adjusted net profit for FY25 is expected to be $454 million, reflecting a growth rate of 19.21% [11]. - The company’s cash and bank deposits are projected to increase to $2.021 billion by FY25 [12].