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英伟达跌倒寒武纪吃饱
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-10-19 13:55
Core Insights - Nvidia, the dominant player in the global AI chip market, has seen its market share in China plummet from 95% to 0% due to tightening U.S. export controls [1] - The exit of Nvidia from the Chinese AI chip market has created significant opportunities for local companies, with Cambricon reporting a staggering 1332.52% year-over-year revenue increase in Q3 2025 [1] - The competitive landscape is shifting, with Huawei's Ascend series chips and AMD's MI300 series actively seeking to fill the void left by Nvidia's absence in the Chinese market [1] Market Dynamics - Nvidia's market share in China has effectively "returned to zero," highlighting the impact of U.S. export restrictions on its operations [1] - Cambricon's Q3 2025 revenue reached 1.727 billion yuan, a dramatic increase compared to a loss of 194 million yuan in the same period last year [1] - The exit of Nvidia has transitioned the market from a single-player dominance to a more competitive environment with multiple players vying for market share [1]
英伟达“跌倒”,寒武纪“吃饱”?
经济观察报· 2025-10-19 12:35
Core Viewpoint - Nvidia, the dominant player in the global AI chip market, has seen its market share in China drop from 95% to 0% due to tightening U.S. export controls, prompting the company to make various adjustments to its product offerings and strategies [2][5][10]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - Nvidia's market share in China's AI chip market was approximately 85% in 2022, with over 90% in the core area of large model training [5][6]. - The introduction of U.S. export controls in October 2022 marked a turning point, leading Nvidia to release adjusted versions of its chips, such as the A800 and H800, to maintain market presence [6][8]. - By 2023, further restrictions included the A800 and H800, forcing Nvidia to launch even lower-performance chips like the H20, which were referred to as "the most stripped-down version" [8][10]. Group 2: Financial Performance - Cambrian (寒武纪) reported a staggering 1332.52% year-on-year increase in revenue for Q3 2025, reaching 1.727 billion yuan, and a net profit of 567 million yuan, compared to a loss of 194 million yuan in the same period last year [3][17]. - For the first three quarters of 2025, Cambrian achieved a total revenue of 4.607 billion yuan, a 2386.38% increase from 185 million yuan in the same period last year [17][19]. Group 3: Competitive Landscape - The absence of Nvidia's high-end products has created a significant market vacuum, allowing domestic companies like Cambrian and Huawei's Ascend series chips to emerge as strong alternatives [17][20]. - AMD is also actively seeking opportunities in the Chinese market with its MI300 series AI chips, indicating a shift towards a more competitive landscape with multiple players [20]. Group 4: Strategic Shifts - Nvidia's global strategy is shifting, with a focus on domestic manufacturing in the U.S. and rapid iteration of its AI chip products, such as the new Blackwell platform, which boasts 208 billion transistors [14][12]. - Despite the advancements in product development, Nvidia's latest offerings appear to be increasingly isolated from the Chinese market due to ongoing export restrictions [14][15].
英伟达“跌倒”,寒武纪“吃饱”?
Jing Ji Guan Cha Wang· 2025-10-19 11:49
Core Insights - Nvidia's market share in China's AI chip sector has plummeted from 95% to 0% due to U.S. export controls [2][3] - The emergence of domestic competitors like Cambricon, which reported a staggering 1332.52% revenue increase in Q3 2025, highlights the significant market opportunity left by Nvidia's exit [3][20] - The shift in market dynamics indicates a transition from Nvidia's dominance to a more competitive landscape with multiple players [25] Nvidia's Market Position - Nvidia previously held approximately 85% of the AI accelerator card market in China, with over 90% in the large model training segment [6] - The introduction of adjusted performance chips like A800 and H800 initially helped Nvidia maintain some market presence, but these too were later restricted [9][10] - The company's latest chip, Blackwell, represents a shift towards U.S. domestic manufacturing, distancing itself from the Chinese market [18][19] Financial Performance of Competitors - Cambricon's Q3 2025 revenue reached 1.727 billion yuan, a 1332.52% increase year-over-year, with a net profit of 567 million yuan compared to a loss of 194 million yuan in the previous year [20][21] - For the first three quarters of 2025, Cambricon's total revenue was 4.607 billion yuan, a 2386.38% increase from 1.85 billion yuan in the same period last year [20] - Despite significant revenue growth, Cambricon reported a negative cash flow from operating activities of -29 million yuan [23] Market Dynamics and Future Outlook - The absence of Nvidia's high-end products has created a substantial market vacuum, allowing domestic companies to fill the gap [22][24] - The AI chip market is evolving, with a shift from training to inference, where domestic chips are gaining a competitive edge [23] - The competitive landscape is diversifying, with companies like Huawei and AMD also positioning themselves as viable alternatives in the market [24][25]