Core Insights - Tesla's shares have decreased by 20% this year, contrasting with a 5% increase in the S&P 500, primarily due to poor financial results and market share losses [1][5] - CEO Elon Musk's behavior has negatively impacted the brand's reputation, alienating both political parties [2][3] Financial Performance - Tesla's deliveries have declined in three of the last five quarters, with automotive revenue falling by 20% and non-GAAP net income dropping by 40% in Q1 2025 [5][6] - Consensus earnings estimates for 2025 and 2026 have been reduced by 25% and 16%, respectively, in the last three months, leading to a projected annual earnings growth of only 14% through 2026 [8] Market Share Dynamics - Tesla's U.S. market share has decreased by 9 percentage points, European market share by 8 percentage points, and Chinese market share by 3 percentage points [6] - Despite a 38% increase in global electric car sales through April, Tesla is losing ground in the market [7] Autonomous Ride-Sharing Potential - Tesla has launched a limited autonomous ride-sharing service, with initial operations in Austin, Texas [9] - Analysts estimate significant future revenue potential from robotaxi services, with projections of $115 billion to $700 billion in revenue by 2040, translating to potential profits of $50 billion to $120 billion [11] Strategic Outlook - The shift from low-margin electric car manufacturing to high-margin robotaxi services could enhance Tesla's profitability [12] - Elon Musk envisions Tesla as potentially the most valuable company globally as it monetizes its full self-driving platform and robotics products [12]

Tesla Inc TSLA has quietly joined the ranks of the S&P 500's biggest EPS disappointments in the first quarter.According to FactSet, Tesla landed in the bottom 10 for Actual EPS Surprise %, with its first quarter earnings missing expectations by a stark 25.3% ― a notable spot of underperformance for the EV leader.Tesla's EPS Shock: A Quarter To ForgetThat 25% miss puts Tesla alongside companies like Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd NCLH and First Solar Inc FSLR ― far from its usual club of beats.The data p ...

1. 总收入端低于市场预期： 本季度总收入端193.4亿，虽然明显差于老旧的市场预期，但相比海豚君看到的特斯拉销量发布后大行更新的200亿上下的汽车收入， 算是稍低一点点。 2. 但在最核心的卖车业务上，本季度卖车毛利率要超市场预期： 在市场最关心的纯卖车业务毛利率上（去除碳积分影响后），本季度达到12.5%，虽然环比上季度 下滑1.1个百分点，但由于一季度的销量低点，叠加由于Model Y Juniper发布导致的停产影响，市场对于下滑的卖车毛利率早有预期，市场对于本季度纯卖车毛利 率的一致预期在12.2%，而海豚君看到的部分大行更为悲观，预期已经降低到11%-12%左右，有些甚至都在个位数，所以在纯卖车毛利率上，特斯拉本季度表现是 要超出市场预期的。 3. 卖车单价本季度基本稳住： 从卖车的单价端来看，一季度，特斯拉每卖一辆车的收入（不含碳积分与汽车租赁销售）是4万美元，相比上季度还要3.98万美元还 要环比提升200美元，卖车单价在一季度低谷期基本稳住，所以卖车单价表现海豚君认为还可以。而海豚君认为本季度卖车单价能维稳的原因在于Model Y Juniper 上市的高起售价，对冲了融资促销等激励措施，以 ...

特斯拉(TSLA.O)于北京时间4月22日凌晨美股盘后发布了2025年第一季报，交出了一个看似起来又是很差，但实际上却隐藏着改善信息的业绩。来看核心信息： 1. 总收入端低于市场预期： 本季度总收入端193.4亿，虽然明显差于老旧的市场预期，但相比海豚君看到的特斯拉销量发布后大行更新的200亿上下的汽车收入， 算是稍低一点点。 2. 但在最核心的卖车业务上，本季度卖车毛利率要超市场预期： 在市场最关心的纯卖车业务毛利率上（去除碳积分影响后），本季度达到12.5%，虽然环比上季度 下滑1.1个百分点，但由于一季度的销量低点，叠加由于Model Y Juniper发布导致的停产影响，市场对于下滑的卖车毛利率早有预期，市场对于本季度纯卖车毛利 率的一致预期在12.2%，而海豚君看到的部分大行更为悲观，预期已经降低到11%-12%左右，有些甚至都在个位数，所以在纯卖车毛利率上，特斯拉本季度表现是 要超出市场预期的。 3. 卖车单价本季度基本稳住： 从卖车的单价端来看，一季度，特斯拉每卖一辆车的收入（不含碳积分与汽车租赁销售）是4万美元，相比上季度还要3.98万美元还 要环比提升200美元，卖车单价在一季度低谷期基本稳 ...