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反内卷持续推进 光伏行业价格和盈利修复明显(附概念股)
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-11-03 07:14
Core Insights - The photovoltaic industry in China is experiencing significant growth, with a projected 45% increase in new installed capacity in 2024 compared to the previous year, marking nearly a 20-fold increase since 2015 [1] - The "14th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes green transformation as a core goal, aiming to consolidate and expand the advantages of the wind and photovoltaic industries [1] - The industry is undergoing profound changes with the transition from P-type to N-type monocrystalline silicon technology, expected to capture over 96.9% market share by 2025, alongside advancements in TOPCon, HJT, and BC technologies [1] Industry Developments - A coalition of 17 major companies is being formed to address supply-side issues, focusing on the polysilicon segment through capacity coordination, quality grading, and self-discipline in production cuts [2] - The "anti-involution" policies initiated since mid-2025 have led to a significant expansion of participating entities and a notable recovery in product prices, with the polysilicon industry starting to increase prices above the comprehensive cost line in Q3 2025 [2] Related Companies - Key companies in the photovoltaic supply chain include GCL-Poly Energy (03800), Xinte Energy (01799), Flat Glass Group (601865), Xinyi Solar (00968), Fuyao Glass (600660), and CAISSA New Energy (600876) [3]