Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market" [8][66] Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes the need for stable real estate market policies, including controlling inventory and improving supply, as highlighted in the Central Economic Work Conference [3][13] - It notes that the easing of monetary and fiscal policies in China is expected to support the real estate market's recovery, with a focus on stabilizing transactions and prices [3][6] - The report anticipates a turning point in the building materials sector's capacity cycle due to supply-side reforms and a recovery in home-buying willingness driven by lower interest rates [6][13] Summary by Sections Investment Highlights - The report outlines several key policies aimed at stabilizing the real estate market, including the encouragement of purchasing existing homes for affordable housing and reforms to the housing provident fund system [3][13] - It mentions that the sales area of commercial housing has been declining since its peak in 2021, indicating the market is entering a bottoming phase [3][6] Recent High-Frequency Data - As of December 12, 2025, the average price of bulk P.O 42.5 cement is 341.1 CNY/ton, showing a 0.3% increase week-on-week but a 17.9% decrease year-on-year [4][14] - The average ex-factory price of glass (5.00mm) is 1091.4 CNY/ton, reflecting a 1.0% decrease week-on-week and a 19.5% decrease year-on-year [4][25] Sector Review - The report indicates that the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.34%, while the Shenzhen Composite Index rose by 0.18%. The building materials index decreased by 1.41% [5][52] - Among sub-sectors, fiberglass manufacturing increased by 1.11%, while cement manufacturing decreased by 1.21% [5][52] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on three main investment lines: high-quality companies benefiting from stock renovations, undervalued stocks with long-term alpha attributes, and leading cyclical building materials companies showing signs of bottoming [6][58]

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market" [6][64]. Core Viewpoints - The report highlights that multiple provinces are encouraging mergers and restructuring in the cement industry, accelerating supply-side reforms. Key measures include prohibiting new cement clinker capacity in certain areas and promoting industry consolidation to enhance concentration [2][11]. - The report anticipates a turning point in the building materials capacity cycle due to accelerating supply-side reforms and a favorable interest rate environment, which is expected to restore home-buying willingness and capability, thereby stabilizing the real estate market [4][11]. - The report notes that the sales area of commercial housing has been declining for over three years, indicating that the industry is entering a bottoming phase, with increasing sensitivity to policy easing [11]. Summary by Sections Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on three main investment lines: 1. High-quality blue-chip stocks benefiting from stock renovation, such as Weixing New Materials, Beixin Building Materials, and Tubao [4]. 2. Undervalued stocks benefiting from credit risk alleviation in the B-end, such as Sankeshu, Dongfang Yuhong, and Jianlang Hardware [4]. 3. Leading cyclical building materials companies with bottoming fundamentals, such as Huaxin Cement, Conch Cement, China Jushi, and Qibin Group [4]. Weekly High-Frequency Data - As of November 7, 2025, the national average price of bulk P.O 42.5 cement is 343.4 CNY/ton, showing a 0.2% increase from the previous week but an 18.0% decrease year-on-year [3][12]. - The national average price of glass (5.00mm) is 1157.1 CNY/ton, reflecting a 0.9% decrease from the previous week and a 15.9% decrease year-on-year [3][21]. Sector Review - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.08%, and the Shenzhen Composite Index increased by 0.39%. The building materials sector (Shenwan) index rose by 0.8% [3][49]. - Among sub-sectors, cement products increased by 4.88%, glass manufacturing by 4.27%, and other building materials by 2.42% [3][49].

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market" [8][69] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights that the recent increase in tariffs on Chinese goods by the US and corresponding adjustments by China are expected to boost domestic demand for building materials. The urgency to expand domestic demand and promote investment has intensified due to the escalating global trade war [3][13]. - Short-term factors include the real estate policy window period before the April Politburo meeting, and the gradual alleviation of risks associated with major real estate companies, which is favorable for the building materials sector. In the medium to long term, the opening of the interest rate cut channel in Europe and the US is expected to provide more room for monetary and fiscal policies in China [3][6]. - The report anticipates that the real estate market will stabilize, driven by policies aimed at restoring homebuyer willingness and ability, which will also alleviate credit risks for companies in the industry [6][20]. Summary by Sections Recent Developments - On April 10, the US government announced an increase in tariffs on Chinese imports to 125%, prompting China to respond with similar measures. Additionally, various local governments are implementing policies to support urban renewal and housing market stability [3][13]. - In the first quarter, high-end residential transaction prices in Shanghai increased by 0.5% to 144,600 CNY per square meter, while Shenzhen saw a 67.7% year-on-year increase in new and second-hand residential transactions [3][13]. High-frequency Data - As of April 11, 2025, the national average price of bulk P.O 42.5 cement is 399.0 CNY per ton, showing a 1.2% decrease week-on-week but a 15.0% increase year-on-year. The average price of glass (5.00mm) is 1272.9 CNY per ton, reflecting a 0.3% increase week-on-week but a 26.5% decrease year-on-year [4][21]. Sector Review - From April 7 to April 11, the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 3.11%, while the building materials index decreased by 2.42%. Among sub-sectors, cement manufacturing saw a slight increase of 1.01%, while glass manufacturing declined by 6.21% [5][54]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on three main investment lines: high-quality companies benefiting from stock reform, undervalued stocks with long-term alpha attributes, and leading cyclical building material companies showing signs of bottoming out [6][60].