证券研究报告 | 行业周报 gszqdatemark 2026 03 01 年 月 日 建筑材料 上海地产政策松绑，期待更多政策落地 2026 年 2 月 24 日至 2 月 27 日建筑材料板块（SW）上涨 0.68%，其中 水泥（SW）上涨 1.07%，玻璃制造（SW）上涨 2.44%，玻纤制造（SW） 下跌 2.16%，装修建材（SW）上涨 2.39%，本期建材板块相对沪深 300 超额收益+0.62%。本期建筑材料板块（SW）资金净流入额为-11.78 亿元。 【周数据总结和观点】 本周上海五部门联合发布《关于进一步优化调整本市房地产政策的通知》 新政主要从限购松绑、公积金提额、房产税调整三方面发力：非沪籍居民 外环内购房社保年限由 3 年缩短至 1 年，连续缴纳满 3 年及以上可在外 环内增购 1 套；持居住证满 5 年可全市购 1 套；外环外购房不限套数。 首套公积金贷款最高额度从 160 万元提至 240 万元，多子女家庭叠加政 策后可达 324 万元；沪籍成年子女家庭唯一住房暂免房产税。根据 wind 统计，2026 年 1 月地方政府债总发行量 8633.5 亿元，发行金额环比 2025 年 ...

证券研究报告 | 行业周报 gszqdatemark 2026 03 01 年 月 日 建筑材料 上海地产政策松绑，期待更多政策落地 2026 年 2 月 24 日至 2 月 27 日建筑材料板块（SW）上涨 0.68%，其中 水泥（SW）上涨 1.07%，玻璃制造（SW）上涨 2.44%，玻纤制造（SW） 下跌 2.16%，装修建材（SW）上涨 2.39%，本期建材板块相对沪深 300 超额收益+0.62%。本期建筑材料板块（SW）资金净流入额为-11.78 亿元。 【周数据总结和观点】 本周上海五部门联合发布《关于进一步优化调整本市房地产政策的通知》 新政主要从限购松绑、公积金提额、房产税调整三方面发力：非沪籍居民 外环内购房社保年限由 3 年缩短至 1 年，连续缴纳满 3 年及以上可在外 环内增购 1 套；持居住证满 5 年可全市购 1 套；外环外购房不限套数。 首套公积金贷款最高额度从 160 万元提至 240 万元，多子女家庭叠加政 策后可达 324 万元；沪籍成年子女家庭唯一住房暂免房产税。根据 wind 统计，2026 年 1 月地方政府债总发行量 8633.5 亿元，发行金额环比 2025 年 ...

Core Viewpoint - The global supply of specialty fiberglass cloth is currently limited due to high production technology barriers, leading to a supply-demand imbalance and rising prices. This situation is expected to persist, especially with the continued high demand for AI computing power, which will further support the tight supply of high-end specialty fiberglass cloth and impact traditional electronic cloth production capacity [1][2][3]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - The demand for specialty fiberglass cloth is rapidly increasing due to the explosive growth in AI computing power, which drives the need for high-performance materials in electronic products such as AI servers and 5G base stations [2]. - The production capacity for fiberglass is expected to increase by 2025; however, the release of this capacity will face delays, maintaining the supply shortage of specialty fiberglass cloth [2][3]. - Traditional electronic cloth supply is also tightening as manufacturers shift production towards specialty fiberglass cloth, leading to price increases for traditional electronic cloth [3]. Group 2: Financial Performance - Several fiberglass companies, including China National Materials and Honghe Technology, are projected to see significant profit growth in 2025, with expected net profit increases of 173.76%-251.97% and 745%-889%, respectively, driven by rising demand and prices for electronic cloth [4]. - The overall profitability of the fiberglass industry is anticipated to continue recovering, with expectations of further price increases for electronic cloth due to sustained high demand for AI computing [4]. Group 3: Investment Opportunities - Two investment directions are suggested: 1) Focus on companies with specialty fiberglass production capabilities, such as China National Materials and Honghe Technology, which are likely to benefit from the ongoing high demand and price growth [5]. 2) Consider companies like China Jushi that have advantages in traditional electronic cloth production capacity and cost, as they are expected to benefit from the tightening supply and rising prices [5].

Core Viewpoint - Zhongcai Technology's stock price has shown significant growth, with a year-to-date increase of 32.11% and a recent surge of 24.09% over the last five trading days, indicating strong market interest and performance [2]. Group 1: Stock Performance - On February 12, Zhongcai Technology's stock rose by 5.89%, reaching 48.01 yuan per share, with a trading volume of 1.595 billion yuan and a turnover rate of 1.99%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 80.567 billion yuan [1]. - The stock has increased by 23.74% over the past 20 days and 46.60% over the past 60 days, reflecting a robust upward trend [2]. Group 2: Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Zhongcai Technology reported a revenue of 21.701 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 29.09%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.48 billion yuan, which is a substantial increase of 143.24% [2]. - The company has distributed a total of 5.712 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 2.425 billion yuan distributed over the last three years [3]. Group 3: Shareholder Structure - As of September 30, 2025, Zhongcai Technology had 63,000 shareholders, a decrease of 2.56% from the previous period, with an average of 26,621 circulating shares per shareholder, which is an increase of 2.63% [2]. - The second-largest circulating shareholder is Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, holding 89.8486 million shares, an increase of 73.926 million shares from the previous period [3].

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index experienced a slight increase of 0.09%, closing at 4131.98 points, while the Shenzhen Component Index fell by 0.35% and the ChiNext Index dropped by 1.08% [1] - A total trading volume of approximately 2 trillion yuan was recorded, a decrease of over 120 billion yuan compared to the previous day [1] - Over 3200 stocks in the A-share market closed in the red, with sectors like short drama games and film stocks facing significant declines [1] Glass Fiber Industry - The glass fiber manufacturing sector saw a remarkable surge, with nearly all stocks hitting the daily limit up [2] - Major companies like International Composites and Changhai Co. experienced significant price increases, with International Composites reaching a 20% limit up shortly after market open [2] - Recent price hikes in electronic cloth by leading companies indicate a tightening supply, driven by increased demand from AI chip production [2][3] - The expected net profits for International Composites and Honghe Technology in 2025 are projected to be between 260 million to 350 million yuan and 193 million to 226 million yuan, respectively, reflecting a rise in glass fiber product prices [3] Nonferrous Metals and Steel - The nonferrous metals sector, particularly tungsten stocks, showed strong performance, with companies like Zhongtung High-tech and Xianglu Tungsten hitting the daily limit up [4] - Tungsten prices have seen significant increases, with black tungsten concentrate prices rising by 48.9% since the beginning of the year [4] - The steel sector also performed well, with companies like Baodi Mining and Dazhong Mining showing notable gains [5] - The National Market Supervision Administration is focusing on optimizing traditional industries, which may positively impact the steel and nonferrous metals sectors [5] Media Sector - The media sector, particularly film stocks, experienced a downturn, with companies like Huanxi Media and Huace Film falling over 10% [6] - Huanxi Media issued a risk warning regarding its stock price, which had surged over 100% in the previous 10 trading days, indicating potential market overheating [6] - The company has invested in several films for the upcoming Spring Festival, but the market performance remains uncertain due to low investment ratios and the nascent stage of its AI short drama business [6]

Group 1: Market Overview - The A-share market showed mixed performance on February 11, with the ChiNext Index falling over 1% and total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reaching 2 trillion yuan, a decrease of 123.7 billion yuan from the previous trading day [1] - Over 3,200 stocks in the market experienced declines, indicating a broad-based sell-off [1] Group 2: Chemical Industry Insights - UBS recently released a report raising expectations for the Chinese chemical industry, predicting a new upward cycle from 2026 to 2028 due to multiple positive factors, with expectations for profit recovery and valuation increases [1] - The chemical sector has shown resilience, with companies like Jihua Group and Taihe New Materials experiencing significant stock price increases [1] Group 3: Fiberglass Sector Performance - The fiberglass manufacturing sector saw a collective surge, with nearly all stocks hitting the daily limit, a rare occurrence in the market [1] - Notable stocks included International Composite Materials, which hit a 20% limit up shortly after market open, and others like Changhai Co., Honghe Technology, and China Jushi also saw significant gains [1][2] - The fiberglass sector's revaluation is linked to price increases and demand driven by AI, with major manufacturers indicating price hikes and low inventory levels [3] Group 4: Lithium Battery and Precious Metals - Lithium battery stocks were active, with Zhongcai Technology hitting the limit up and reaching a historical high [4] - The domestic commodity futures market saw most prices rise, with lithium carbonate increasing over 9% [4] - Precious metals also experienced volatility, with silver futures rising over 4% and gold prices recovering above $5,050 per ounce [5]

Market Overview - On February 11, A-shares showed mixed performance with the ChiNext Index dropping over 1% and total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reaching 2 trillion, a decrease of 123.7 billion from the previous trading day, with over 3,200 stocks declining [1] Index Performance - Shanghai Composite Index: 4131.98 (+0.09%) - Shenzhen Component Index: 14160.93 (-0.35%) - ChiNext Index: 1788.22 (-0.79%) - CSI 300: 4713.82 (-0.22%) - CSI 500: 8325.81 (+0.23%) - CSI 1000: 8239.51 (-0.13%) [2] Sector Analysis - The chemical sector has shown strong performance recently, with companies like Jihua Group achieving four consecutive trading limits. UBS has raised its outlook for the Chinese chemical industry, predicting a new upward cycle from 2026 to 2028 due to multiple positive factors [3] - The fiberglass manufacturing sector experienced a collective surge, with nearly all stocks hitting the daily limit. Notable performers included International Composite, which reached a 20% limit within six minutes of opening, and other companies like Changhai Co., Honghe Technology, and China Jushi also saw significant gains [3][4] Lithium Battery Sector - Lithium battery stocks were active, with Zhongcai Technology hitting the daily limit and reaching a historical high. The domestic commodity futures market saw most prices rise, with lithium carbonate increasing over 9% [5] Precious Metals Sector - The precious metals sector experienced fluctuations, with Baodi Mining hitting the daily limit and Haotong Technology rising over 9%. Silver futures surged, with spot silver exceeding $83 per ounce, and gold prices recovering to $5050 per ounce [6] Non-Ferrous Metals Sector - The non-ferrous metals sector was active, with companies like Xianglu Tungsten and Zhangyuan Tungsten hitting the daily limit. The computing power leasing concept also saw gains, with companies like Nanxing Co. and Dawi Technology reaching their daily limits [8] Cryptocurrency Market - The cryptocurrency market continued to weaken, with Bitcoin dropping below $67,000, down 3.1% for the day. Concerns over potential shifts in monetary policy have been cited as a significant factor affecting the market [10]

Core Viewpoint - The surge in AI demand is driving a reevaluation across various sectors, particularly in the fiberglass manufacturing industry, which has seen significant stock price increases due to rising prices and soaring demand [1][4]. Group 1: Fiberglass Manufacturing Sector - The fiberglass manufacturing sector experienced a collective surge in stock prices, with notable increases such as Changhai Co. rising over 13% and other stocks hitting their daily limit [1][3]. - Major fiberglass companies, including Guangyuan New Materials and International Composite Materials, have announced substantial price hikes for electronic fabrics, indicating a tightening supply situation that is spreading from high-end products to more common ones [2][4]. - The demand for AI chips has led to a capacity crunch for CTE fabrics, with major manufacturers like NVIDIA and AMD consuming high-end fiberglass fabrics, thereby squeezing the capacity available for consumer electronics [2][4]. Group 2: Price Increases and Market Dynamics - The entire fiberglass manufacturing sector is witnessing unprecedented price increases, with traditional electronic fabric inventories at critically low levels, as evidenced by China National Glass's inventory being less than 15 days [4]. - The demand for specialized electronic fabrics, such as Low-Dk and Low CTE fiberglass, is surging due to the requirements of AI hardware and terminal devices, leading to a supply-demand imbalance [4]. - The global supply shortage is expected to sustain price elasticity, particularly for Low CTE electronic fabrics, which are currently undergoing continuous price increases [4]. Group 3: Broader Implications for Passive Components - The demand for passive components like MLCCs (Multi-layer Ceramic Capacitors) is also experiencing a significant uptick due to the dual drivers of AI computational needs and the proliferation of electric vehicles [5][6]. - Recent reports indicate that MLCC prices in the Korean market have surged nearly 20%, reflecting a shift from traditional cyclical fluctuations to structural growth driven by technological advancements [6]. - The demand for MLCCs in AI servers is projected to increase by 30% annually, with the market size expected to triple by 2030, highlighting the transformative impact of AI on component requirements [6].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for several key stocks in the construction materials sector, including Yao Pi Glass, Yinlong Co., Puyang Co., San Ke Tree, and Bei Xin Materials [7]. Core Insights - The construction materials sector saw a 4.91% increase from February 2 to February 6, 2026, outperforming the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index by 4.10% [12]. - The report highlights the positive impact of government policies aimed at stabilizing prices and boosting macroeconomic governance, which may lead to improved demand in municipal engineering projects [1][12]. - The cement industry is experiencing a demand bottoming out, with a focus on supply-side improvements and regional demand increases driven by large infrastructure projects [1][17]. - The glass fiber market shows structural opportunities, particularly in high-end demand segments, while the overall glass market is under pressure from inventory levels [1][34]. Summary by Sections Cement Industry Tracking - As of February 6, 2026, the national cement price index was 340.08 CNY/ton, down 0.83% week-on-week, with a significant drop in cement output and utilization rates [17]. - The report anticipates a continued decline in cement demand leading up to the Lunar New Year, with a strategy of "stabilizing prices and reducing volume" being adopted by many companies [17][30]. Glass Industry Tracking - The average price of float glass as of February 5, 2026, was 1154.49 CNY/ton, reflecting a 0.85% increase week-on-week, but overall inventory levels remain high [34]. - The report notes that downstream demand is cooling due to the upcoming holiday, although some support from export orders is noted [34]. Glass Fiber Industry Tracking - The report indicates a slight increase in the price of non-alkali glass fiber, driven by rising costs, while high-end electronic yarn prices have seen significant increases [5][34]. - The overall production capacity in the glass fiber sector remains stable, with a slight increase in inventory levels noted [5][34]. Consumer Building Materials - The consumer building materials segment is experiencing a weak recovery, with fluctuations in raw material prices impacting overall demand [6]. - The report emphasizes the potential for long-term market share growth in this segment, particularly in response to policies stimulating consumption [1][6].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the construction materials sector [4] Core Views - The real estate market in first-tier cities has shown strong performance, particularly in second-hand housing transactions, indicating a potential recovery in the sector [1][2] - Government debt issuance has significantly increased, with a total of 863.35 billion yuan in January 2026, reflecting a 204.3% month-on-month increase and a 54.8% year-on-year increase, which may alleviate fiscal pressure and accelerate municipal projects [1] - The glass manufacturing sector is approaching a supply-demand balance due to accelerated cold repairs, while photovoltaic glass companies are reducing production to ease supply tensions [1][3] - The cement industry is experiencing a demand bottoming process, with increased off-peak production efforts and a focus on regional demand recovery, particularly in areas like Tibet and Xinjiang [1][2] - The demand for fiberglass remains robust, driven by growth in wind energy and high-end applications, indicating structural investment opportunities [1][6] Summary by Sections Cement Industry Tracking - As of January 30, 2026, the national cement price index is 342.94 yuan/ton, down 0.69% week-on-week, with a total cement output of 2.278 million tons, a decrease of 4.27% [2][18] - The capacity utilization rate for cement clinker kilns is 45.19%, up 2.77 percentage points from the previous week, indicating a slight recovery in production [2][18] - The market is currently undergoing structural adjustments, with infrastructure remaining the main support but showing weak growth [2][18] Glass Industry Tracking - As of January 29, 2026, the average price of float glass is 1144.80 yuan/ton, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 0.53% [3][31] - Inventory levels have decreased, with a total of 49.27 million weight boxes, down 500,000 from the previous week [3][31] - Demand is expected to slow down as many small processing plants will shut down for the holiday, leading to a quieter market [3][31] Fiberglass Industry Tracking - The price of non-alkali roving remains stable, with demand primarily driven by essential purchases, while supply remains unchanged [6] - The average price of electronic yarn is stable, with expectations of price increases in high-end products due to ongoing demand [6] Carbon Fiber Industry Tracking - The carbon fiber price remains stable, with a weekly production of 2,369 tons and an operating rate of 76.28% [7] - The industry continues to face profitability challenges, with an average production cost of 113,300 yuan/ton and a negative gross margin [7] Consumer Building Materials - The consumer building materials sector is benefiting from the recovery in second-hand housing and renovation demand, with significant potential for market share growth [1][6]