券 2026 年 2 月 4 日星期三 【实时热点】 【美国债市】 资料来源：BLOOMBERG、AASTOCKS、WIND、格隆汇、国元证券经纪（香港）整理 请务必阅读免责条款 1 证 研 究 报 告 美国众议院批准政府融资法案，结束局部停摆 美联储理事米兰：今年需要降息不止 100 个基点 美国贸易代表：印度同意降低对美关税 澳洲联储宣布加息 25 个基点至 3.85%，为 2023 年以来的 首次加息 "十五五"首个中央一号文件正式发布 游戏、金融等行业增值税税率上调传闻不实 工信部部署未来产业，攻坚 6G、量子、脑机接口等领域 1 月 A 股新开户数同比增长 213% SpaceX 收购 xAI，史上最贵独角兽诞生 AMD Q4 数据中心收入猛增近 40%，收入预测不及市场预 期 2 年期美债收益率涨 0.01 个基点报 3.570% 5 年期美债收益率跌 0.34 个基点报 3.832% 10 年期美债收益率跌 0.59 个基点报 4.266% | 重要指数 | 收市价 | 涨跌(%) | 海外市场重要指数 | 收市价 | 涨跌(%) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- ...

Summary of Conference Call Company Overview - The conference call involved **Zoetis**, a company specializing in animal health and life sciences tools, with key speakers including CEO Kristin Peck and CFO Wetteny Joseph [1][2]. Key Industry Insights - **R&D Efficiency**: Zoetis has a highly efficient R&D process, starting with target species, leading to faster development times and lower costs compared to human health. This efficiency is attributed to the use of AI, genetics, diagnostics, and biomarker data [2][3]. - **Pipeline Strength**: The company has a robust pipeline with 12 blockbuster products expected to launch over the next four years, each projected to generate at least $100 million in revenue. Notable upcoming products include a long-acting Cytopoint in 2026 and renal CKD treatments in 2027 [4][5]. Product Launches and Market Opportunities - **Chronic Kidney Disease (CKD)**: The CKD market is valued at $3-$4 billion, with significant unmet medical needs for both dogs and cats. Zoetis plans to launch seven assets targeting this condition, including therapeutic and diagnostic products [6][7]. - **Librella**: The product is stabilizing in the U.S. market, with expectations for gradual growth starting in 2026. Over 75% of pet owners report high satisfaction with the product [10][11]. - **Market Expansion**: Zoetis is entering new markets with blockbuster products, particularly in CKD and oncology, which together represent over $5 billion in addressable market [5][40]. Competitive Landscape - **Market Dynamics**: The company anticipates heightened competition in 2026, particularly in the derm market, but remains confident in its differentiated product offerings [27][30]. - **Product Differentiation**: Librella is expected to differentiate itself by offering a longer-lasting treatment option compared to competitors, which could expand the market significantly [13][15]. Financial Guidance and Performance - **Guidance Adjustments**: Zoetis lowered its guidance for Q3 due to a decline in therapeutic visits and underperformance of Librella. The company had anticipated slower growth in the second half of the year due to competitive launches [25][26]. - **Long-term Growth Drivers**: The company aims to grow above market rates, driven by a strong core portfolio and a robust pipeline of new products. The focus remains on expanding in the derm, parasiticide, and pain management markets [39][40]. Strategic Focus - **Capital Allocation**: Zoetis emphasizes reinvesting in the business and maintaining a strong balance sheet while considering share buybacks as part of its capital allocation strategy [46][47]. - **Market Trends**: The aging pet population and increased medicalization globally present significant growth opportunities for Zoetis, allowing the company to leverage its extensive portfolio [44][45]. Conclusion - Zoetis is positioned for growth with a strong pipeline, efficient R&D processes, and a focus on addressing unmet medical needs in the animal health market. The company remains optimistic about its future despite current market challenges and competitive pressures [48][49].

Quantum Computing Advancement - IBM's quantum computing breakthrough achieves 120-qubit capability [1] - The advancement brings Bitcoin's encryption vulnerability closer to reality [1]

Group 1 - IBM is recognized as one of the best IT stocks to invest in according to hedge funds, launching a new brand campaign titled "Let's create smarter business" to emphasize its focus on AI, hybrid cloud, and quantum technologies for enhancing business productivity and agility [1][3] - The multi-platform campaign, developed by IBM's Brand Marketing team and Ogilvy, aims to address the challenges faced by business leaders in implementing real-world AI solutions beyond experimental pilots, featuring new broadcast advertisements filmed by Adam Heshemi with a voiceover by Lewis Hamilton [2] - IBM has recently redesigned the Scuderia Ferrari mobile app using AI and data technologies to improve the digital fan experience, showcasing its integrated solutions and services across various segments including Software, Consulting, Infrastructure, and Financing [3]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the investment opportunities and risks associated with stocks held by U.S. Congress members, highlighting two ETFs that track Republican and Democratic members' stock holdings, respectively [5][6][36]. Group 1: ETFs Tracking Congressional Holdings - The Unusual Whales Subversive Republican Trading ETF (NYSE:GOP) has a management fee of 0.75% and its largest sector allocations are Technology (24.15%), Financials (16.32%), Industrials (13.96%), Energy (11.77%), and Healthcare (7.40%) [5]. - The Unusual Whales Subversive Democratic Trading ETF (NYSE:NANC) has a management fee of 0.74% and its largest sector allocations are Technology (39.46%), Communication Services (13.22%), Healthcare (11.18%), Consumer Discretionary (9.90%), Consumer Staples (8.79%), and Financials (8.55%) [6]. Group 2: Notable Stock Holdings - Major holdings in the Republican ETF include JPMorgan Chase (4.49%) and in the Democratic ETF include Nvidia (10.62%) and Microsoft (8.09%) [7][8]. - Stocks in these ETFs exhibit two characteristics: they are undervalued compared to fair value and they pay dividends [10]. Group 3: Tyson Foods - Tyson Foods, established in 1935, is the second-largest chicken and pork processor globally, with a dividend of $0.50 per share scheduled for September 12, yielding 3.67% [12][14]. - The company is expected to report a 20.6% growth in earnings per share (EPS) for the first nine months [16]. Group 4: Allstate - Allstate, an insurance company founded in 1931, will pay a dividend of $1 per share on October 1, with a yield of 2.03% [19][21]. - The company anticipates a 22.40% growth in EPS for the upcoming quarter [23]. Group 5: Fidelity National Information Services - Fidelity National Information Services, focused on fintech solutions, pays a quarterly dividend of $0.40 per share, yielding 1.96% [28][30]. - The company is optimistic about its financial outlook and is planning a $12 billion acquisition to enhance its focus and profitability [34].

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Acushnet reported worldwide net sales of $703 million, a 1% increase year-over-year [6] - Adjusted EBITDA was $139 million, reflecting a decrease of $15 million due to increased investment in the equipment segment [6][18] - Gross profit decreased by $5 million compared to the first quarter of 2024, primarily due to higher manufacturing costs [19] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Golf equipment net sales increased by almost 4%, driven by new product launches and strong performance in the EMEA region [7][11] - Titleist golf ball business grew by 4%, with significant gains in the EMEA region [8] - FootJoy sales declined by 5%, attributed to lower closeout footwear sales and targeted product line rationalization [10][19] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The US market saw a 1% increase, while EMEA grew by 4% [11] - Japan and Korea experienced declines of 24% each, primarily due to poor weather affecting the golf season [11] - Rounds of play in the US were down 2%, but worldwide rounds were slightly up, led by a 15% increase in EMEA and the UK [12] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on executing a full slate of product fitting events across all markets [11] - Acushnet is adapting its supply chain to mitigate tariff impacts, with plans to source more components from non-China territories [14][26] - The company aims to maintain a strong consumer base and provide exceptional product experiences while navigating tariff uncertainties [17][25] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the resilience of the core consumer, the dedicated golfer, despite macroeconomic uncertainties [17][25] - The company expects a gross tariff impact of approximately $75 million in 2025, with plans to mitigate over 50% of this impact [25][26] - Future guidance remains uncertain due to changing trade policies, with no updates provided until more clarity is achieved [25] Other Important Information - Capital expenditures for the first quarter were $11 million, with a planned total of approximately $85 million for 2025 [22] - The company returned roughly $51 million to shareholders through share repurchases and cash dividends [23] - The effective tax rate in Q1 was 17.9%, down from 21.7% the previous year [21] Q&A Session Summary Question: Guidance and Consumer Demand - Management indicated that the decision to pause guidance updates is due to less visibility rather than a change in consumer demand [30][31] Question: Tariff Mitigation Actions - Management outlined that pricing would be a last resort, focusing first on supply chain adjustments and cost-sharing with suppliers [34][36] Question: Impact of Tariff Changes - If the China tariff rate were to decrease, the potential mitigation of the $75 million impact could be significant [41][42] Question: Demand Trends in Asia - Management noted a slow start in Asia due to weather but observed improvement in March and April [43][44] Question: Currency Exchange Rate Impact - A potential tailwind of $20 million was discussed if current exchange rates persist, impacting overall financial outlook positively [49][50] Question: Diversification from China - Management confirmed plans to diversify sourcing away from China while maintaining some supply chains for non-US markets [56][58]

Core Insights - Vislink Technologies, Inc. reported a modest revenue growth for the full year 2024, with total revenue reaching $27.7 million, compared to $27.5 million in 2023 [4][18] - The company experienced a net loss attributable to common shareholders of $(20.5) million, or $(8.35) per share, which is a significant increase from a net loss of $(9.1) million, or $(3.83) per share in 2023 [4][19] - The gross margin for the year was reported at 25%, with an adjusted gross margin of 49.7% when excluding one-time inventory write-offs and impairments, compared to 51% in 2023 [4][18] Fourth Quarter Highlights - Revenue for the fourth quarter was $3.4 million, a decrease from $7.1 million in the prior quarter, primarily due to a decline in the live production business and project delays [7] - The gross margin for the fourth quarter was -1%, with an adjusted gross margin of 8.8% when excluding one-time inventory write-offs and impairments, compared to 51% in the prior quarter [7] - The company reported an EBITDA of $(19.8) million for the fourth quarter, compared to $(9.0) million in the same quarter of 2023 [7][9] Strategic Developments - Vislink secured multimillion-dollar orders for airborne video downlink systems and initiated product shipments for emerging drone applications, indicating strong momentum in the MilGov business [4][6] - The company established a global service platform, generating over $900,000 in recurring revenue through strategic Service Level Agreements, which supports its transition to a service-driven business model [4][6] - A comprehensive restructuring plan, including the implementation of a new ERP system, is expected to yield operational cost savings of approximately $10 million annually [4][6] Product Innovations - Vislink launched several new products, including the Aero5 5G HEVC 4K UHD Airborne Downlink System and the DragonFly V 5G miniature transmitter, aimed at enhancing live production capabilities [4] - The company received recognition for its innovative projects, including the 'Best Innovation Project' award at the Broadcast Tech Innovation Awards 2024 for its collaboration in delivering a VR experience for the Abu Dhabi Autonomous Racing League [4] Financial Position - As of December 31, 2024, cash and short-term investments totaled $6.5 million, down from $9.2 million at the end of the third quarter [7] - Total assets decreased to $26.2 million from $45.0 million in 2023, reflecting a significant reduction in current assets [15][17] - The company's total liabilities increased to $9.0 million from $8.0 million in 2023, with current liabilities rising to $8.3 million [15][17]