Core Viewpoints - The company's revenue for the first half of 2025 was 950 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 31.3%, primarily due to reduced milestone payments from licensing and collaboration agreements compared to the same period in 2024 [1][4] - The core product SKB264 generated revenue of 302 million yuan, with commercialization performance meeting market expectations [1][2] - Merck is actively advancing SKB264 with 14 global multi-center Phase III clinical studies [1][3] Financial Performance - The company reported a loss of 145 million yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 146.8%, while the adjusted loss was 69 million yuan, down 118.0% [1][5] - Drug sales revenue reached 310 million yuan, with a gross margin of 69.4% [1][5] - Cash and financial assets amounted to 4.528 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 47.2%, providing a solid foundation for long-term development [2][5] Product Development and Pipeline - SKB264 has achieved significant breakthroughs in breast cancer and lung cancer, becoming the first TROP2 ADC drug approved for EGFR mutation non-small cell lung cancer in the third-line treatment [2][3] - The company is pursuing multiple clinical studies covering high-incidence cancers, focusing on combination therapies and frontline treatments [2][3] - Early pipeline products are progressing well, with SKB315's Phase 1b clinical study ongoing and dual-specific ADC product SKB571's Phase II clinical trial set to launch in China [3][4] Future Catalysts - Key catalysts for the second half of 2025 include the expected approval of SKB264 for the 2L EGFR TKI-resistant NSCLC indication and the release of clinical data at academic conferences [4] - Other early ADC pipelines are anticipated to show preliminary clinical results [4] - The company has a robust pipeline with multiple products, including A166 and SKB315, expected to receive regulatory approvals in the near future [4][5]

Core Viewpoint - The company has shown strong sales performance in 1H25, particularly with the rapid market penetration of Lukanosatuzumab, leading to an upward revision of peak sales estimates in mainland China to RMB 5.7 billion (approximately USD 800 million) [1][2] Group 1: Sales Performance - In 1H25, the company's revenue reached RMB 950 million, with commercial product sales contributing RMB 310 million, of which Lukanosatuzumab accounted for RMB 302 million [1] - The management expects Lukanosatuzumab to experience strong growth in 2H25, maintaining full-year sales guidance of RMB 800-1,000 million, driven by rapid market penetration and expanding indications [1][2] Group 2: Clinical Development - Key clinical data will be presented at the 2025 ESMO conference, including two Phase III clinical data for 2L HR+/HER2- breast cancer and second-line EGFRmt NSCLC indications, both of which have submitted sNDA and are under priority review [2] - The company is advancing multiple early pipeline projects, including SKB571 (EGFR/c-MET dual antibody ADC), which is expected to enter Phase II clinical trials, targeting differentiated indications such as gastrointestinal tumors [2] Group 3: Financial Outlook - The company has slightly raised its revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 and long-term peak sales estimates, reflecting increased certainty in product sales due to the timely progress of Lukanosatuzumab and early pipeline candidates [2] - The target price has been adjusted to HKD 507, corresponding to a 5.0x peak revenue sales multiple and an 18% potential upside, maintaining a buy rating [2]

Summary of Kelun Biotech Earnings Review Company Overview - **Company**: Kelun Biotech (6990.HK) - **Industry**: Biotech, specifically focused on developing and commercializing differentiated antibody drug conjugates (ADCs) for global patients [8][9] Key Financial Highlights - **1H Revenue**: Rmb950 million, with Rmb302 million from sac-TMT and Rmb628 million from licensing income, both broadly in-line with expectations [1] - **Net Loss**: Rmb-145 million, narrower than the expected Rmb-184 million, attributed to managed SG&A spending of Rmb253 million, which increased by 6% half-on-half [1] - **Cash Position**: Rmb4.5 billion in cash equivalents, up from Rmb3.1 billion by year-end 2024, sufficient to support near-term operations [1] Product Performance and Outlook - **sac-TMT**: Achieved high double-digit month-over-month growth, with NSCLC patients becoming the majority post-March approval. Management is confident in accelerated growth in the second half of the year [2][6] - **Mature Products**: Limited revenue in 1H, but expected growth post-NRDL coverage beyond 2025 [2] - **Next Potential Asset**: SKB571 (EGFR/cMET BsADC) is being positioned as the next anchor asset, with ongoing Phase 2 trials [6] Research and Development Insights - **R&D Expenses**: Decreased to Rmb612 million in 1H25, down 6% year-on-year, as more late-stage assets enter NDA or later stages [1] - **Pipeline Development**: Focus on addressing unmet medical needs with a variety of drug candidates in early-stage development [6] Valuation and Price Target - **Target Price Adjustment**: 12-month target price adjusted to HK$454.04 from HK$406.74, based on risk-adjusted DCF methodology [7] - **Earnings Per Share (EPS) Estimates**: Adjusted for 2025E-27E to reflect updated financials and lowered sales estimates for certain products [7] Risks and Challenges - **Key Risks**: Include R&D risks in developing new indications, competition in the ADC field, limited commercial manufacturing and sales track record, talent competition, and alliance risks [8][10] Conclusion - **Investment Rating**: The company is rated as a Buy, with expectations for meaningful growth driven by its product pipeline and strategic collaborations [9][11]