Core Viewpoint - Citi's report predicts that Pop Mart (09992) will enhance its ability to withstand IP cyclical risks through a diversified strategy centered on IP, revitalizing new demand [1] Group 1: Company Performance and Strategy - Recent data tracking by Citi shows an increase in app downloads, particularly in China and the US, driven mainly by the launch of the new series Skullpanda x My Little Pony [1] - Citi observes high consumer interest in the new series on Instagram, indicating strong market engagement [1] - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to Pop Mart with a target price of HKD 415, based on a projected 28x price-to-earnings ratio for 2026 [1] Group 2: Growth Drivers and Market Potential - Looking ahead to 2026, Citi forecasts that breakthroughs in IP diversification, product innovation, and monetization across various fields will drive growth for the company [1] - The next hit IP launch and the popularity of non-LABUBU IP in overseas markets are expected to boost investor confidence [1] - Other iconic IP products like SKULLPANDA, TWINKLE TWINKLE, and CRYBABY are emerging as new growth drivers with their own fan bases, not merely substitutes for LABUBU [1] Group 3: Market Expansion and Competitive Position - Investor discussions about Pop Mart's growth sustainability are focused on the US market, which presents a large potential market size [2] - The company's global expansion is expected to be supported by organizational upgrades, localized operations, and strengthened supply chains [2] - Compared to most global toy and IP peers, Pop Mart commands a premium, likely due to its rapid growth driven by overseas expansion [2]

Core Viewpoint - Citi predicts that Pop Mart (09992) will enhance its ability to withstand IP cyclical risks and revive new demand through its IP-centric diversification strategy [1] Group 1: Company Performance - Recent data tracking by Citi shows an increase in app downloads, particularly in China and the United States, driven by the launch of the new Skullpanda x My Little Pony series [1] - Citi observes high consumer interest in the new series on Instagram, indicating strong market engagement [1] - The company is rated "Buy" by Citi, with a target price of 415 HKD based on a projected 28x price-to-earnings ratio for 2026 [1] Group 2: Growth Drivers - Citi forecasts that breakthroughs in IP diversification, product innovation, and monetization across various fields will drive growth for the company by 2026 [1] - The next hit IP launch and the popularity of non-LABUBU IPs in overseas markets are expected to boost investor confidence [1] - Other iconic IP products like SKULLPANDA, TWINKLE TWINKLE, and CRYBABY are becoming new growth drivers with their own fan bases, rather than merely serving as substitutes for LABUBU [1] Group 3: Market Expansion - Discussions among investors regarding the sustainability of Pop Mart's growth are focused on the U.S. market [2] - The large potential market size in overseas markets, along with global organizational upgrades, localized operations, and strengthened supply chains, should facilitate global expansion this year and beyond [2] - Compared to most global toy and IP peers, Pop Mart commands a premium, likely due to its rapid growth driven by overseas expansion [2]

Investment Rating - The report rates Pop Mart shares as a Buy, indicating a strong investment opportunity in the pop toy sector [12][4]. Core Insights - Pop Mart is recognized as a leading player in the pop toy industry in China, with a strong capability in IP incubation and operation, which positions it well for growth in the consumer market [12][11]. - The company is expected to see improved investor confidence with upcoming product launches and the popularity of its non-LABUBU IPs in international markets [1]. - The report highlights the company's proactive approach to managing growth sustainability and addressing single IP risks through a diversified IP ecosystem [3]. Financial Performance - For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025, the projected net profit is RMB 13,551 million, with a diluted EPS of RMB 10.160, reflecting a significant growth of 333% compared to the previous year [3][7]. - The expected total return on shares is 93.9%, with a target price set at HK$415.00, representing a potential share price return of 91.8% from the current price of HK$216.40 [4][7]. Growth Strategy - The company plans to enhance the LABUBU IP with new product launches and designs, aiming for a strong market presence in 2026 [2]. - Pop Mart is expanding its international footprint, with plans to operate over 60 stores in the US by the end of 2025 and additional stores in Canada, Mexico, and the Middle East [8]. - The company is focusing on localized operations in overseas markets, including collaborations with local artists and IP designs [8]. Supply Chain Management - Pop Mart is optimizing its production strategy by initially producing 70% of projected sales volume and adjusting stock based on market demand, which is expected to improve sales projection accuracy [9]. - The company has expanded its overseas supply chain, with a portion of production now in Vietnam, and plans to establish more local warehouses for international markets [9].

Core Viewpoint - Citi believes that Pop Mart's strong capabilities in IP incubation and operations, as well as its overseas expansion, will continue to support its robust growth momentum in the second half of 2025 and beyond [1] Group 1: IP Development and Global Expansion - The recent debut of the mini LABUBU is expected to further drive the global IP craze [1] - Citi anticipates that the commercial value of this world-class IP has the potential to expand into a wide range of areas beyond popular toys [1] Group 2: Financial Projections and Ratings - Other iconic IP products (such as CRYBABY, HIRONO, TWINKLE TWINKLE) are becoming new growth drivers due to their integrated IP ecosystem [1] - Based on the latest 2025 forecast from Pop Mart's management (projected revenue exceeding 30 billion yuan and a net profit margin of 35%), Citi has slightly adjusted its earnings forecast [1] - The "buy" rating is maintained, with the target price raised from 384.5 HKD to 398 HKD, reflecting a 10% premium over the company's four-year historical average, indicating improved growth prospects and execution capabilities [1]