Core Viewpoint - Huachuang Securities maintains a "strong buy" rating for Pop Mart (09992) and raises profit forecasts based on Q3 2025 performance, projecting net profits of 12.32 billion, 16.93 billion, and 21.09 billion yuan for 2025-2027, with a target price of 345.39 HKD [1] Domestic Market - In Q3, the company launched new products intensively, with online channel growth showing impressive performance. Offline revenue in China (including Hong Kong, Macau, and Taiwan) increased by 130%-135% year-on-year, while online revenue surged by 300%-305% [2] - The company’s ability to create hit products is validated by the significant market premiums for new releases like the mini LABUBU and the Starry Person plush pendant. The product lineup for Halloween is well-prepared, with new items like "Why So Serious" and "Hirono's Eerie Paradise" maintaining popularity [2] - The upcoming global tour exhibition "MONSTERS BY MONSTERS: NOW AND THEN" in Shanghai from October 12 to November 8, 2025, has attracted attention, including a visit from Apple's CEO, enhancing brand recognition [2] Overseas Market - The company continues to experience high growth in international markets, with revenue in the Asia-Pacific region increasing by 170%-175%, the Americas by 1265%-1270%, and Europe and other regions by 735%-740% [3] - The recent popularity of Netflix's "Wednesday" has led to the launch of a collaboration product featuring SKULLPANDA, generating positive feedback on TikTok, with over 1.5 million views on related videos from the official U.S. account, indicating potential for future growth [3]

Core Viewpoint - Huachuang Securities maintains a "strong buy" rating for Pop Mart (09992) and raises profit forecasts based on Q3 2025 performance, projecting net profits of 12.32 billion, 16.93 billion, and 21.09 billion yuan for 2025-2027, with a target price of 345.39 HKD [1] Domestic Market - In Q3, the company launched new products intensively, with online channel growth showing impressive performance. The company's production capacity has gradually increased, and consumer demand has been effectively met under the pre-sale model, driving sales growth [2] - Offline revenue in China (including Hong Kong, Macau, and Taiwan) increased by 130%-135% year-on-year, while online revenue surged by 300%-305% [2] - The company successfully launched mini LABUBU in August and the Starry Person plush keychain in September, both achieving significant premiums in the secondary market, validating its ability to create hit products [2] - The company has adequately prepared products for events like Halloween, with the already launched "Why So Serious" and "Hirono's Eerie Paradise" maintaining popularity [2] - The upcoming global tour exhibition "MONSTERS BY MONSTERS: NOW AND THEN" in Shanghai from October 12 to November 8, 2025, attracted the visit of Apple's CEO, enhancing brand recognition [2] Overseas Market - The company continues to experience high growth, with collaborative products expected to become important growth drivers. Revenue in the Asia-Pacific region increased by 170%-175% year-on-year, while the Americas saw a staggering increase of 1265%-1270%, and Europe and other regions grew by 735%-740% [3] - The recent popularity of Netflix's "Wednesday" Season 2 has led the company to launch a collaborative product around SKULLPANDA, receiving positive feedback on TikTok, with related videos on the official U.S. account exceeding 1.5 million views, indicating potential for future growth [3]

Core Insights - The launch of the "Star People Delicious Moments Series" by Pop Mart has generated significant consumer interest, with a live stream viewership of 270.5 million on Tmall and 560,000 on the box machine mini-program before the sale [2][10] - The inventory for the new series was notably lower compared to previous releases, leading to a rapid sell-out of products within minutes of launch [2][10] - The secondary market shows that the new series has a higher premium compared to the previously released mini version of LABUBU, indicating strong demand and potential for future sales [10][11] Sales Performance - The "Star People" series saw over 360,000 items added to shopping carts, but only 20,000 plush cookie pendants were available for sale, leading to a quick sell-out [2][5] - The mini version of LABUBU had a total sale of over 300,000 items during its launch, highlighting the competitive nature of Pop Mart's product releases [2][10] Market Trends - The secondary market prices for the "Star People" series have surged, with hidden items selling for up to 16 times their original price, indicating a strong collector interest [10] - The average transaction price for the "Star People" plush pendants is higher than that of the competing "Crybaby" series, suggesting that "Star People" may be positioned as the next leading IP for Pop Mart [11] Competitive Landscape - The competition between "Crybaby" and "Star People" is intensifying, with "Star People" currently outperforming "Crybaby" in terms of average transaction prices on secondary platforms [11] - The market is closely watching which IP will emerge as the next major hit for Pop Mart, especially following the decline in popularity of LABUBU [11]

Core Insights - The article discusses the recent launch of Pop Mart's "Star People Delicious Moments Series," which generated significant consumer interest and a buying frenzy, with products selling out within minutes [2][8] - The inventory for the new series was notably lower compared to previous releases, leading to a high demand and rapid sell-out [2][8] - The resale market for the new series shows a higher premium compared to previous products, indicating strong market interest and potential for future growth [8] Group 1: Product Launch and Sales Performance - Pop Mart's "Star People Delicious Moments Series" was launched on September 29, with live streaming attracting 270.5 million viewers [2] - The initial stock for the series was limited, with only 20,000 units of the plush cookie pendant available, despite over 360,000 consumers adding it to their carts [5][8] - The products sold out within minutes, highlighting the strong demand and consumer anticipation [2][8] Group 2: Market Dynamics and Pricing - The resale prices for the hidden "Cookie Bear" variant reached up to 929 yuan, a 16-fold increase from the original price of 59 yuan, indicating a strong premium in the secondary market [8] - The average transaction price for the "Star People" blind box was 167 yuan, compared to 135 yuan for the competing "Crybaby" series, suggesting that "Star People" is commanding a higher market value despite a lower original price [9] - The article notes that the "Star People" series has outperformed the previous "Labubu" series in terms of resale value, with higher premiums observed [8][9] Group 3: Competitive Landscape - The competition between "Star People" and "Crybaby" is intensifying, with both series showing strong sales performance on secondary platforms [9] - The article highlights the need for Pop Mart to maintain the momentum of "Star People" to establish it as the next leading IP following the decline of "Labubu" [9] - The market is closely watching which new character will emerge as the next top seller for Pop Mart, as the company seeks to innovate and capture consumer interest [9]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent launch of the "Star People Delicious Moments Series" by Pop Mart, highlighting the significant consumer interest and the rapid sell-out of products, indicating strong market demand and the potential for high resale value [3][8]. Group 1: Product Launch and Sales Performance - Pop Mart's "Star People Delicious Moments Series" was launched on September 29, generating a massive online viewership with 270.5 million views on its Tmall flagship store and 560,000 viewers on its live stream [3][5]. - The initial stock for the new series was significantly lower than previous releases, with only over 20,000 units of the plush cookie pendant available, leading to a sell-out within minutes [3][5]. - The sales performance of the new series surpassed that of the previously popular mini LABUBU series, which had sold over 300,000 units on its launch night [3][8]. Group 2: Resale Market and Pricing Dynamics - The resale market for the "Star People" series shows a remarkable premium, with the hidden variant "Little Bear Cookie" reaching a peak transaction price of 929 yuan, a 16-fold increase from its original price of 59 yuan [8]. - The average transaction price for individual blind boxes from the "Star People" series is 167 yuan, compared to 135 yuan for the "Crybaby" series, indicating a higher market value for the new series despite its lower original price [9][10]. - The overall premium for the "Star People" series is higher than that of the mini LABUBU series, which had a maximum premium of 12.5 times its original price [8][10]. Group 3: Competitive Landscape - The competition between Pop Mart's IPs, particularly between "Star People" and "Crybaby," is intensifying, with "Star People" showing stronger sales performance in the recent market [9][10]. - The article notes that while "Crybaby" was previously favored as the next big hit, the emerging popularity of "Star People" suggests a shift in consumer preference [9][10]. - The ongoing success of "Star People" is crucial for Pop Mart as it seeks to establish a new leading IP following the waning popularity of LABUBU [10].

Core Insights - The launch of the "Star People Delicious Moments Series" by Pop Mart has generated significant consumer interest, leading to a buying frenzy with high viewership on live streams [2][8] - The inventory for the new series was notably lower compared to previous releases, resulting in products selling out within minutes [2] - The secondary market shows that the new series has a higher premium compared to previous releases, indicating strong demand and potential for future growth [8][9] Group 1: Product Launch and Sales Performance - Pop Mart's new series saw a live stream viewership of 560,000 on the抽盒机小程序 and 2.705 million on its Tmall flagship store [2] - The "Star People" series products sold out within minutes, with over 360,000 consumers adding the plush cookie keychain to their carts, while only 20,000 units were available [2] - In contrast, the previous "Mini LABUBU" series sold over 300,000 units on its launch night [2] Group 2: Market Demand and Pricing Trends - The hidden variant "Little Bear Cookie" from the new series has seen its price rise from 59 yuan to 929 yuan, a 16-fold increase, indicating high market demand [8] - The average transaction price for the "Star People" blind box is 167 yuan, compared to 135 yuan for the "Crybaby" series, despite the lower original price of the "Star People" blind box at 89 yuan [9] - The premium for the new series exceeds that of the previous "Mini LABUBU," which had a maximum price increase of 12.5 times [8][9] Group 3: Competitive Landscape - The competition between "Star People" and "Crybaby" is intensifying, with "Star People" emerging as a strong contender for the next popular IP after "LABUBU" [9] - The market is closely watching which character will become the next top seller for Pop Mart, especially as the popularity of "LABUBU" begins to wane [9]

Core Insights - The upcoming release of the "Starry People Delicious Moments Series" by Pop Mart has generated significant pre-sale interest, with products already being listed on e-commerce platforms before the official launch [1][2] - The resale market for the series shows exceptionally high premiums, indicating strong demand and potential for investment opportunities [1][2] Pricing and Resale Data - The hidden "Little Bear Biscuit" pendant, priced at 59 yuan, has seen a resale price surge to 929 yuan, representing a 16-fold premium [1] - Individual blind boxes have increased from 59 yuan to 249 yuan, a 4.2-fold premium, while a complete box has risen from 354 yuan to 1499 yuan, also a 4.2-fold premium [1] - The average transaction price for the "Little Bear Biscuit" plush pendant on the QianDao app reached 612.7 yuan within three days of its listing [1] Comparison with Previous Releases - The current resale premiums for the "Starry People Delicious Moments" series exceed those of the mini LABUBU series, which had a hidden "Heart" pendant rise from 79 yuan to 991 yuan, a 12.5-fold premium [2] - The previous release of the "Starry People Good Dream Meteorological Bureau Series" also experienced a surge in popularity, causing platform outages due to high traffic [2] Stock Availability - Some products from the "Starry People" series are already sold out in physical stores, with only display items available, indicating strong consumer interest and demand [2]

Core Insights - The upcoming release of the "Starry People Delicious Moments Series" by Pop Mart has generated significant pre-sale excitement, with products already being listed on e-commerce platforms before the official launch [2][3] - The resale market for the series shows remarkable price premiums, with the highest resale price for the hidden "Little Bear Biscuit" accessory reaching 929 yuan, a 16-fold increase from the original price of 59 yuan [2] - The popularity of the "Starry People" brand is evident, as previous releases have also experienced high demand, leading to stock shortages in physical stores [3] Pricing and Resale Market - The "Little Bear Biscuit" plush accessory has seen a resale average of 612.7 yuan on QianDao App, significantly higher than its original price [2] - The resale prices for individual blind boxes range from 79 to 525.5 yuan, indicating strong market interest [2] - Compared to the previous "Mini LABUBU" series, the current series shows higher resale premiums across all product types, with the highest premium for the hidden "Heart" variant reaching 12.5 times its original price [3] Market Demand and Performance - The "Starry People" brand has previously experienced explosive popularity, as seen during the release of the "Starry People Good Dream Meteorological Bureau Series," which caused platform outages due to high traffic [3] - There are reports of stock shortages in physical stores for certain "Starry People" products, indicating strong consumer demand [3]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the remarkable performance of Pop Mart, particularly driven by the LABUBU series, which has seen explosive growth in revenue and market interest, reminiscent of past trends in collectible markets like "sneaker flipping" and "bearbrick speculation" [3][4][12]. Group 1: Financial Performance - Pop Mart reported a revenue of 13.88 billion RMB for the first half of 2025, marking a year-on-year increase of 204.4% [3][4]. - The adjusted net profit surged by 362.8% to 4.71 billion RMB during the same period [3]. - The LABUBU series alone generated 4.81 billion RMB in revenue, a staggering growth of 668%, accounting for 34.7% of total revenue [4]. Group 2: Market Demand and Sales - The launch of the mini LABUBU on August 28 sold out within 60 seconds, with a peak resale price reaching 1,388 RMB, a 1,657% markup from the original price of 79 RMB [3][5]. - Over 580,000 consumers added the mini LABUBU to their shopping carts before the sale, indicating high demand [5]. - The secondary market saw prices for complete sets of LABUBU toys reaching an average of 1,920.77 RMB, with some transactions exceeding 2,580 RMB [6]. Group 3: Global Expansion - Pop Mart operates 571 retail stores and 2,597 robot stores across 18 countries and regions as of mid-2025 [9]. - Revenue from the Asia-Pacific region reached 2.85 billion RMB, up 258%, while the Americas saw revenue of 2.27 billion RMB, increasing by 1,142% [9]. - The company’s global strategy includes opening flagship stores in major cities, such as London and Paris, to enhance brand visibility [9]. Group 4: IP Development and Future Outlook - Pop Mart emphasizes a balanced development of its IP matrix, with five IPs generating over 1 billion RMB in sales each during the first half of 2025 [10]. - The LABUBU brand is seen as a "gold mine" with potential for further exploration and innovation in product applications [11]. - The company is building a "LABUBU universe" to expand its product offerings and enhance consumer engagement [11]. Group 5: Consumer Behavior and Market Trends - The success of LABUBU reflects a shift in consumer behavior, particularly among Generation Z, who prioritize emotional connection and self-rewarding purchases [12]. - The article notes a trend towards more rational consumption, with consumers becoming less impulsive and more focused on the actual value of collectible items [12].

Core Viewpoint - The LABUBU dolls are experiencing a surge in demand, but there are significant quality issues reported by consumers, leading to returns and exchanges [2] Group 1: Consumer Feedback - Consumers have reported problems with LABUBU dolls, including misaligned heads and stitching defects, prompting some to seek refunds [2] - A consumer mentioned purchasing a LABUBU doll at a premium price of approximately 250 yuan, but is now unable to sell it for more than 100 yuan on second-hand platforms, resulting in a loss [12] Group 2: Market Trends - Previously, some old LABUBU dolls were sold at prices three times their original value, but now they are being sold at or below original prices on second-hand platforms [5][11] - For example, the LABUBU "Frontline High Energy" series, originally priced at 99 yuan, is now listed between 100 and 149 yuan on second-hand platforms, with hidden variants priced around 936 yuan [7][11] - The overall price of LABUBU dolls on second-hand platforms has dropped significantly, with hidden variants previously priced over 3000 yuan now available for around 1000 yuan [11][12]