25 年 6 月 16 日，江波龙与全球知名存储解决方案提供商 Sandisk(闪迪)在中 山存储产业园签署合作备忘录。此次合作将深度整合双方优势资源，基于闪 迪先进的 BiSC8—-218 层 3D 闪存技术，结合江波龙在主控芯片(由旗下子公 司慧忆微提供)、自有固件和元成 ESAT 专品专线封测制造服务方面的专业技 术能力，面向移动设备及 IOT 应用推出高品质 UFS 存储解决方案。 证券研究报告 | 公司动态点评 2025 年 06 月 18 日 江波龙（301308.SZ） 携手闪迪合作共启 UFS 新篇，看好 TCM 模式赋能升级+企业级存储放量 | 财务指标 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入（百万元） | 10,125 | 17,464 | 21,830 | 26,195 | 30,125 | | 增长率 yoy（%） | 21.6 | 72.5 | 25.0 | 20.0 | 15.0 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | -828 | 499 | 986 | ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 110.00 RMB [4][7]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 4.256 billion RMB in Q1 2025, showing a year-over-year decline of 4.41% but a quarter-over-quarter increase of 1.45%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was -152 million RMB, a significant year-over-year decline of 139.52% [1][2]. - The strong growth in overseas and enterprise-level storage businesses has been a key driver for the company's performance, despite a slow recovery in demand for consumer electronics [1][2]. - The report anticipates that the prices of DRAM and NAND products will bottom out in Q2 2025, with potential price rebounds for certain product lines as inventory levels normalize [1][3]. Summary by Sections Q1 2025 Performance - The company's overseas and enterprise-level storage businesses saw significant growth, with Lexar brand revenue increasing by 20.73% year-over-year and Zilia's revenue growing by 45.08% year-over-year. The enterprise storage product combination "eSSD+RDIMM" achieved over 200% year-over-year revenue growth [2]. - The gross margin for Q1 2025 was 10.35%, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 14.04 percentage points, but the rate of decline has narrowed compared to previous quarters [2]. 2025 Outlook - The report highlights that major manufacturers like Micron have announced price increases starting in Q2, indicating a potential rebound in consumer storage prices. The company has successfully mass-produced its self-developed UFS 4.1 controller chip, which will facilitate the introduction of new UFS products to mobile brand customers [3]. - The integration of Zilia with Yuan Cheng Suzhou has improved operational efficiency, allowing the company to expand its overseas market presence [3]. Financial Projections - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 22.756 billion RMB, 26.700 billion RMB, and 29.568 billion RMB for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding growth rates of 30.30%, 17.33%, and 10.74% [6][18]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to reach 668.52 million RMB in 2025, with a significant recovery from previous losses [6][18].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for the stock price relative to the industry index over the next six months [8][22]. Core Views - The company is expected to benefit from a recovery in the storage industry and an increase in enterprise-level storage demand, with revenue projected to grow significantly in the coming years [2][4]. - The embedded storage segment is anticipated to generate substantial revenue growth, with a forecasted increase of 90.5% year-on-year in 2024 [2]. - The company has successfully launched its self-developed UFS 4.1 controller chip, which is expected to enhance its position in the high-end smart terminal market [3]. Financial Performance Summary - For Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 4.256 billion yuan, a 1.5% increase quarter-on-quarter but a 4.4% decrease year-on-year [9][10]. - The gross margin for Q1 2025 was 10.35%, reflecting a decline compared to previous periods, primarily due to slow recovery in the consumer electronics market and inventory digestion issues [2][9]. - The company’s net profit attributable to shareholders was -151.81 million yuan for Q1 2025, indicating a significant year-on-year decline [12]. Revenue Projections - Revenue is projected to reach 10.125 billion yuan in 2023, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 21.6% through 2027, reaching approximately 30.125 billion yuan by 2027 [1][15]. - The company expects to achieve a net profit of 4.99 billion yuan in 2024, a 160.2% increase year-on-year [11]. Market Position and Growth Potential - The company is positioned as a leading independent storage manufacturer in China, with significant growth potential driven by global trends such as AIGC and the "Digital China" initiative [4]. - The enterprise storage segment saw a remarkable revenue increase of over 200% year-on-year in Q1 2025, indicating strong demand in various sectors including internet and finance [3][4].