Core Insights - Guangdong SF E-commerce Co., Ltd. has recently undergone a significant capital increase, raising its registered capital from 10 million RMB to 400 million RMB, representing a 3900% increase [1] Company Overview - The company was established in June 2014 and is legally represented by Sun Jianqin [1] - Its business scope includes computer network technology development, domestic trade, international freight forwarding, and domestic cargo transportation agency [1] - The company is wholly owned by SF Express Co., Ltd. [1]

Group 1: Aluminum Market - The logic of aluminum shortage is expected to gradually materialize, leading to an upward cycle in aluminum prices, with electrolytic aluminum profits continuing to expand [3] - Shanghai aluminum price increased by 1.48% to 22,000 yuan/ton, and the profit margin for electrolytic aluminum rose by 5.40% to 6,051 yuan/ton [3] - Inventory levels show an increase in London aluminum stock by 0.57% to 552,400 tons and Shanghai aluminum stock by 1.38% to 114,900 tons, while domestic spot inventory decreased by 0.16% to 619,000 tons [3] Group 2: Copper Market - Copper prices are expected to remain volatile due to macroeconomic factors, with London copper, Shanghai copper, and US copper showing respective changes of +0.99%, +1.12%, and +1.86% [2] - Domestic copper inventory is decreasing, with London copper at 136,000 tons, New York copper at 381,000 short tons, and Shanghai copper at 109,000 tons, showing changes of -0.13%, +3.23%, and -4.89% respectively [2] - The operating rate for electrolytic copper rods increased by 4.91 percentage points to 66.88% [2] Group 3: Lithium Market - Lithium demand has exceeded expectations, with lithium carbonate prices rising by 5.91% to 85,200 yuan/ton and spodumene concentrate increasing by 8.52% to 1,006 USD/ton [4][5] - Lithium carbonate production reached 21,500 tons, reflecting a slight increase of 0.1%, while weekly inventory decreased by 2.8% to 120,500 tons [4][5] - The lithium sector is expected to see a profit turning point as inventory continues to decline [5] Group 4: Cobalt Market - The tight supply of cobalt raw materials remains unchanged, with cobalt prices expected to continue rising, as MB cobalt increased by 0.53% to 23.65 USD/pound and domestic cobalt prices rose by 3.39% to 397,000 yuan/ton [5] - The Democratic Republic of Congo has lifted its cobalt export ban, transitioning to a quota system, but current export approvals are still pending, indicating a continued tight supply in the short term [5]

Core Viewpoint - The coal mining industry is experiencing stable supply and slight increases in both input and output volumes, with coal prices showing a fluctuating trend due to various market factors [1][2]. Supply Side - The average daily coal input at the four ports in the Bohai Rim reached 1.977 million tons, an increase of 36,300 tons or 1.87% compared to the previous week [1][2]. - Supply from production areas remains stable, with an increase in port supply [2]. Demand Side - The average daily coal output from the four ports in the Bohai Rim was 1.8744 million tons, up by 14,300 tons or 0.77% from the previous week [1][2]. - The number of anchored vessels increased to 136, representing a rise of 42 vessels or 44% compared to the previous week [1][2]. Inventory - The inventory at the four ports in the Bohai Rim stood at 24.296 million tons, which is an increase of 666,000 tons or 2.82% from the previous week [1][2]. Price Trends - The spot price of thermal coal at the ports increased by 17 yuan per ton, reaching 834 yuan per ton [2]. - The coal price is supported by supply and shipping price discrepancies, with expectations of maintaining a fluctuating trend due to seasonal demand increases in northern regions and cooling temperatures in southern regions [2]. Investment Recommendations - The company suggests focusing on resource stocks, particularly undervalued companies such as Haohua Energy and Guanghui Energy, as the market continues to favor these sectors [3].

Core Viewpoint - The steel industry is experiencing fluctuations in production and demand, with a notable increase in capacity utilization rates, while prices and profits remain under pressure. The overall outlook suggests potential for recovery driven by government policies and market stabilization efforts. Supply Situation - As of November 14, the capacity utilization rate for blast furnaces in sample steel companies is 88.8%, an increase of 0.99 percentage points week-on-week [2][3] - The capacity utilization rate for electric furnaces is 53.2%, up by 2.31 percentage points week-on-week [2][3] - The production of five major steel products is 7.261 million tons, a decrease of 229,800 tons or 3.07% week-on-week [2][3] - Daily average pig iron production is 2.3688 million tons, an increase of 26,600 tons week-on-week and 28,200 tons year-on-year [2][5] Demand Situation - The consumption of five major steel products is 8.606 million tons, down by 63,300 tons or 0.73% week-on-week [2][3] - The transaction volume of construction steel by mainstream traders is 100,000 tons, an increase of 3,700 tons or 3.87% week-on-week [2][3] Inventory Situation - Social inventory of five major steel products is 10.614 million tons, a decrease of 136,100 tons or 1.27% week-on-week, but an increase of 306,100 tons year-on-year [3] - Factory inventory of five major steel products is 4.16 million tons, down by 126,100 tons or 2.94% week-on-week, with a year-on-year increase of 6.35% [3] Steel Prices & Profits - The comprehensive index for ordinary steel is 3,422.3 yuan/ton, an increase of 2.47 yuan/ton or 0.07% week-on-week, but down by 6.85% year-on-year [3] - The comprehensive index for special steel is 6,581.9 yuan/ton, a decrease of 10.59 yuan/ton or 0.16% week-on-week, and down by 3.37% year-on-year [3] - The profit for rebar from blast furnaces is -29 yuan/ton, an increase of 10.0 yuan/ton or 25.64% week-on-week [3] - The profit for construction steel from electric furnaces is -155 yuan/ton, an increase of 7.0 yuan/ton or 4.32% week-on-week [3] Raw Material Situation - The spot price index for Australian powder ore (62% Fe) at Rizhao Port is 786 yuan/ton, up by 10.0 yuan/ton or 1.29% week-on-week [4] - The price for main coking coal at Jingtang Port is 1,830 yuan/ton, an increase of 30.0 yuan/ton week-on-week [4] Market Outlook - The initiation of the 2025 Central Safety Production Assessment is expected to stabilize market confidence and positively impact steel prices [5] - The steel industry is anticipated to maintain a stable supply-demand balance, supported by government "stability growth" policies, with potential improvements in demand from real estate and infrastructure sectors [6] - The industry is expected to see structural investment opportunities, particularly in high-margin special steel companies and leading steel enterprises with strong cost control [6]

Core Insights - The development of new energy heavy trucks is becoming a crucial part of the green and low-carbon transformation in the transportation sector, driven by the "dual carbon" goals. However, challenges such as limited range and inconvenient charging still hinder large-scale promotion [1][2] Industry Trends - Multiple battery manufacturers have entered the new energy heavy truck market this year, launching new products and deepening strategic cooperation with vehicle manufacturers. For instance, XWANDA released supercharging and long-life batteries in October, while CATL is focusing on building a battery swapping ecosystem for heavy trucks [2][4] - The market for new energy heavy trucks is expected to grow significantly, with policies supporting the transition, such as the notifications for scrapping old operational trucks, which inject continuous momentum into the market [2][5] Market Projections - According to GGII, by 2030, heavy truck sales in China are expected to reach 1.6 million units, with a penetration rate of new energy trucks exceeding 60%. The number of new energy heavy trucks is projected to exceed 3.7 million, potentially reducing carbon emissions by over 70 million tons [3] Technological Innovations - The core focus for battery companies is on "supercharging" technology to address the limitations of range and battery weight. Innovations in battery technology, such as XWANDA's fast-charging battery achieving 3.5C stable charging and EVE's LF230P battery capable of charging from 10% to 80% in 18 minutes, are critical for improving efficiency and operational costs [4][5] Infrastructure Development - The construction of megawatt-level supercharging stations and the promotion of battery swapping models are seen as key solutions to the challenges of charging new energy heavy trucks. Companies like TELD are developing integrated supercharging solutions to enhance charging efficiency [7] - The industry is moving towards a diversified and complementary development of charging solutions, with supercharging being more suitable for long-distance transport and battery swapping advantageous for fixed-route operations [7] Collaborative Ecosystem - The large-scale development of electric heavy trucks relies on collaboration across the industry, from product innovation to the establishment of charging and swapping networks. The competitive landscape of the electric heavy truck supply chain is becoming more concentrated, with significant profit potential as downstream demand increases [6][7]

Core Insights - The National Energy Administration has identified "expanding non-electric utilization of renewable energy" as a key focus for the 14th Five-Year Plan, emphasizing the development of integrated wind-solar hydrogen, ammonia, and methanol production [1] - The wind-solar hydrogen-ammonia-methanol integration model is seen as a transformative approach to convert unstable green electricity into green hydrogen, which can then be synthesized into storable and transportable green ammonia and methanol, addressing the issue of renewable energy intermittency [2] - As of October 2023, over 800 hydrogen-ammonia-methanol integration projects have been planned in China, with a total planned green hydrogen capacity of nearly 9 million tons per year, positioning China as a global leader in this sector [2] Industry Development - Most of the green hydrogen and methanol projects are concentrated in resource-rich regions such as Northwest, North, and Northeast China, with provinces like Inner Mongolia, Jilin, and Xinjiang actively promoting large-scale development [3] - Notable operational projects include the China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation's green hydrogen demonstration project in Xinjiang and the 100,000-ton green methanol project in Inner Mongolia, among others [3][4] - The industry is witnessing increasing participation from both state-owned enterprises and private companies, creating a competitive landscape [4] Challenges and Future Outlook - The green hydrogen and methanol industry faces challenges such as high production costs, insufficient technological integration, and a lack of standardized systems [6] - Industry experts emphasize the need to reduce investment costs and improve operational rates to enhance competitiveness [6] - Despite current challenges, the market potential for green methanol and ammonia is significant, particularly in the context of low-carbon development trends in shipping and aviation, suggesting a promising long-term outlook for the hydrogen-ammonia-methanol market [6]

Core Viewpoint - The energy sector is experiencing significant policy support, with recent guidelines from the National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration aimed at promoting high-quality development in the renewable energy industry during the 14th Five-Year Plan period. This is expected to create abundant investment opportunities in clean energy sources and new grid construction over the next 3-5 years, driven by global electricity shortages and carbon reduction demands [2]. Energy Storage - The guidelines emphasize the necessity of a capacity electricity price mechanism. Inner Mongolia has set an independent energy storage discharge compensation standard of 0.28 yuan/kWh for 2026, which is better than expected. Haibo has signed a three-year long-term contract for 200GWh with Ningde, indicating strong demand for energy storage and optimistic expectations for battery supply tightness [2][5]. Lithium Battery - According to Xinluo Lithium Battery, global energy storage battery shipments reached 428GWh in the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 90.7%. In November, there is a significant supply shortage of VC, leading to a sharp price increase. Leading electrolyte companies have only 10-15 days of VC inventory, which is far below the safety stock level. The high production enthusiasm and price increase expectations continue to support a positive outlook for the entire lithium battery industry chain [1][2]. Wind Power - Inner Mongolia plans to add 150GW of new energy installations over the next five years and has initiated a competitive bidding process for 15GW of wind power in 2025. There is optimism for sustained high levels of wind power bidding in the short term and strong demand in the medium to long term. The pricing policies for offshore wind in Zhejiang and Jiangsu show clear policy support, suggesting that domestic offshore wind is likely to see significant growth during the 14th Five-Year Plan period [3]. Photovoltaics - Perovskite technology is receiving policy support and industrial progress, with ongoing recommendations to focus on equipment and core materials. CSIQ (the parent company of Aters) has released a strong guidance for 2026 energy storage shipment volumes. There is a continued recommendation for bottom-fishing in the photovoltaic sector, including leaders in energy storage, glass, low-cost silicon materials, high-efficiency batteries/modules, and new technologies like perovskite and tandem cells [3]. Hydrogen Energy and Fuel Cells - The national level has continuously issued strategic policy documents to promote the maturity of the green hydrogen and ammonia industry from multiple dimensions, including system positioning and development pathways. The demand for solid oxide fuel cells (SOFC) is strongly determined, and the industry development trend is clear, showing resilience against short-term fluctuations [3]. Electric Grid - The State Grid has opened bidding for three batches of metering equipment, with new standards leading to price increases of over 30% for A-D grade meters, which is expected to significantly enhance profit margins for leading companies. The sixth round of bidding for transmission and transformation projects by the State Grid in 2025 maintains a high volume [4]. New Energy Vehicles - The automotive market entered a negative growth phase in October due to the continuous decline of local subsidies and high base figures from the same period last year. The penetration rate continues to rise, validating the impact of the reduction in purchase tax exemptions. It is expected that Q4 market sales will remain flat year-on-year, with the penetration rate continuing to break new highs, but closer observation of demand in Q1 2026 is necessary [4]. Important Industry Events - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has included perovskite in the "Frontier Materials Pilot Platform." Inner Mongolia has clarified the independent energy storage compensation standard for 2026 at 0.28 yuan/kWh. The region has also initiated competitive bidding for 15GW of wind power projects in 2025. Longi Green Energy has acquired Suzhou Jingkong Energy to enter the energy storage industry, and Goldwind Technology has opened a solution factory in South Africa. The State Grid has opened bidding for metering equipment and announced the sixth round of bidding for transmission and transformation projects [5].

Core Insights - China's CPI in October increased by 0.2% year-on-year, while the core CPI reached its highest level since March 2024, indicating effective demand expansion policies [1] - The PPI saw its first month-on-month increase of 0.1% in 2023, with a narrowing year-on-year decline [1] Industry Overview - The demand for new energy vehicles (NEVs) remains strong, with October production and sales reaching 1.772 million and 1.715 million units, respectively, marking year-on-year growth of 21.1% and 20% [2] - Cumulative production and sales from January to October reached 13.015 million and 12.943 million units, reflecting year-on-year growth of 33.1% and 32.7% [2] - The supply side is seeing continuous product launches from battery and main engine manufacturers, with positive feedback from demand and supportive policies [2] Price Trends - The industry has experienced significant price declines, but the supply-demand balance is improving, leading to price stabilization and recovery in certain segments [2] - Key materials such as lithium carbonate and lithium hexafluorophosphate are witnessing strong demand and tight supply, resulting in price increases [2] Investment Strategy - The industry is expected to see price recovery by 2025, with a focus on high-quality companies that can deliver excess returns [3] - Recommended sectors include robotics, solid-state batteries, and liquid cooling technologies [3][4] Material Recommendations - Key companies in the main materials sector include CATL, Shangtai Technology, and Hunan Youneng [4] - New directions for investment include robotics (Zhejiang Rongtai), liquid cooling (Qiangrui Technology, Shenling Environment, Feirongda, Jiebang Technology), and solid-state batteries (Shenzhen Xinxing, Haopeng Technology, Naconoer, Liyuanheng) [4] Market Performance - The performance of various indices this week includes a decline of 1.11% for the NEV index, while the lithium battery index rose by 5.57% [5] - Notable stock performances include Huasheng Lithium Battery and Haike New Source, which saw increases of 79.6% and 71.4%, respectively [5] Industry Dynamics - Lithium prices have shown an upward trend, with lithium carbonate priced at 85,200 CNY/ton, a 6.0% increase from last week [7] - The Ministry of Public Security is seeking public opinion on national standards for motor vehicle operation safety, and a factory for electric vertical take-off and landing vehicles has entered trial production in Guangzhou [7]

Core Viewpoints - The relationship between China and Japan is becoming tense, highlighting the need for self-sufficiency in the industrial machinery sector, particularly in core components like CNC systems and lead screws [3] - The deep-freezing equipment industry is experiencing stable and rapid growth in new orders, indicating a favorable environment for Chinese companies to expand overseas [3] - Siemens Energy has seen a significant increase in gas turbine orders, which bodes well for its domestic supplier, Yingliu, as demand for turbine blades is expected to rise [4][5] Market Performance - The SW Machinery Equipment Index fell by 2.22% during the week of November 10-14, 2025, ranking 28th among 31 primary industry categories [1][2] - Year-to-date, the SW Machinery Equipment Index has risen by 31.88%, ranking 7th among the same categories, while the CSI 300 Index has increased by 17.62% [1][2] Industry Insights - The global deep-freezing equipment market is projected to grow, with Chart Industries reporting a 79% year-over-year increase in new orders for Q3 2025 [3] - Siemens Energy's Gas Services business secured new orders worth €23 billion in the 2025 fiscal year, reflecting a 43% increase compared to the previous year [4] - The demand for turbine blades is expected to rise due to the high technical barriers and significant value contribution of these components [5] Sector Performance Indicators - General machinery is under pressure, while engineering machinery is accelerating upward [5] - The shipbuilding sector is experiencing a slowdown, and oil service equipment is stabilizing at the bottom [5] - Railway equipment is showing steady growth, and gas turbines are also on a stable upward trend [5]

铝：国内新能源汽车销量占比超50%叠加海外能源价格续涨，铝价震荡走强。截至11月 14日，本周LME铝报收2,859美元/吨，周环比上涨1.41%；沪铝报收21,840元/吨，周环比上 涨0.99%。供应端，本周中国电解铝行业无增减产行为，理论开工产能维持4413.50万吨；需 求端，本周铝板带箔企业产能利用率环比上升0.03pct，铝棒产能利用率环比上升0.5pct，本 周电解铝的理论需求有所上升，本周电解铝社会库存环升0.45%至62.99万吨。本周纽约天然 气期指续涨13.83%推动海外铝价上行，国内受到10月份新能源汽车月度新车销量首次超过 了汽车新车总销量的50%的消息主动跟涨，当下沪铝持续增仓上行，短期铝价预计维持震荡 偏强走势，后续进一步观察海外能源价格扰动即需求落地情况。 黄金：美国政府重启缓解流动性担忧，降息预期左右贵金属短期价格走向。截至11月14 日，COMEX黄金收盘价为4084.40美元/盎司，周环比上涨1.91%，SHFE黄金收盘价为953.20 元/克，周环比上涨3.47%。美国时间11月12日，美国总统特朗普签署了国会两院通过的一项 联邦政府临时拨款法案，结束了43天的史上最长 ...