Core Viewpoint - The report from Guosen Securities highlights a positive outlook for the metal industry, particularly in the electric vehicle (EV) sector, driven by strong demand and ongoing policy support [2][3]. Industry Overview - In October, China's new energy vehicle production and sales reached 1.772 million and 1.715 million units, respectively, marking year-on-year increases of 21.1% and 20% [2][3]. - From January to October, cumulative production and sales of new energy vehicles totaled 13.015 million and 12.943 million units, reflecting year-on-year growth of 33.1% and 32.7% [2][3]. Supply and Demand Dynamics - The supply side is seeing continuous product launches from battery and main engine manufacturers, with positive feedback from demand and supportive policies [2]. - The industry has experienced significant price declines, but the supply-demand balance is improving as companies optimize capacity and supply to stabilize prices [2][3]. Price Trends - The report indicates that prices in the industry are at a low point but are stabilizing and beginning to rise, particularly in segments like lithium carbonate, lithium hexafluorophosphate, and electrolyte, where demand is strong and supply is tight [2][3]. Investment Strategy - The report maintains a "recommended" rating for the new energy vehicle industry, emphasizing the selection of high-quality companies that are expected to deliver excess returns [3]. - Key investment directions include robotics, solid-state batteries, battery materials, and liquid cooling technologies [3][4]. Key Companies and Directions - Major materials companies identified include CATL, Shangtai Technology, and Hunan Youneng [4]. - New directions for investment include robotics (Zhejiang Rongtai), liquid cooling (Qiangrui Technology, Shenling Environment, Feirongda, Jieban Technology), and solid-state batteries (Shenzhen Xinxing, Haopeng Technology, Nakanor, Liyuanheng) [4]. Market Performance - The report notes the performance of various indices: the new energy vehicle index, lithium battery index, fuel cell index, charging pile index, and energy storage index showed varied weekly changes [5]. - Specific companies like Huasheng Lithium Battery and Haike New Source saw significant stock price increases, while others like XWanda and Kecuan Technology experienced declines [5]. Price Movements in Key Materials - Lithium carbonate prices increased by 6.0% to 85,200 CNY/ton, while lithium hydroxide rose by 1.3% to 76,500 CNY/ton [7]. - Other material prices such as nickel and cobalt showed mixed trends, with nickel decreasing by 1.3% to 14,700 USD/ton and cobalt increasing by 3.4% to 397,000 CNY/ton [7].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report indicates that international oil prices experienced slight fluctuations, with Brent crude oil prices increasing slightly while WTI prices decreased slightly as of November 14, 2025 [1][2] - In the first half of the week, China's crude oil imports increased, and the US dollar weakened, contributing to a rise in oil prices due to improved market risk appetite [1][2] - The latter part of the week saw a downward adjustment in OPEC's monthly report, indicating a supply surplus, which released bearish signals to the market [1][2] Group 2 - As of November 14, 2025, Brent crude oil futures settled at $64.39 per barrel, up $0.76 per barrel (+1.19%), while WTI crude oil futures settled at $59.39 per barrel, down $0.45 per barrel (-0.75%) [2] - The price of Russian Urals crude remained stable at $65.49 per barrel, while Russian ESPO crude decreased by $1.43 per barrel (-2.51%) to $55.47 per barrel [2] Group 3 - As of November 10, 2025, the number of global offshore self-elevating drilling rigs was 370, an increase of 1 rig from the previous week, while the number of floating drilling rigs decreased by 2 to 128 [3] - As of November 7, 2025, US crude oil production was 13.862 million barrels per day, an increase of 211,000 barrels per day from the previous week [3] - The number of active drilling rigs in the US increased by 3 to 417 as of November 14, 2025 [3] Group 4 - As of November 7, 2025, US total crude oil inventories increased by 7.211 million barrels (+0.87%) to 838 million barrels [4] - The US gasoline inventory decreased by 0.946 million barrels (-0.46%), while diesel inventory decreased by 0.637 million barrels (-0.57%) [4] Group 5 - The report highlights relevant companies in the sector, including China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC), China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (Sinopec), and China National Petroleum Corporation (PetroChina) [5]

Core Viewpoint - The report highlights the significant growth in cargo volume and value through the Western Land-Sea New Corridor, emphasizing its role in enhancing logistics and trade connectivity for various industries, particularly in non-metallic building materials [1][2]. Group 1: Western Land-Sea New Corridor - In the first ten months of this year, the cargo volume and value through the Western Land-Sea New Corridor reached 272,300 TEUs and 48.962 billion yuan, representing increases of 33% and 27% respectively [1][2]. - The transportation network has expanded to cover 127 countries and regions with 581 ports, facilitating trade in over 1,300 product categories, including electronics, vehicles, machinery, and food [1][2]. - The Guangxi Pinglu Canal, which began construction in August 2022, is progressing towards completion by the end of 2026, further enhancing the corridor's capabilities [2]. Group 2: Key Points in Building Materials Sector - The building materials sector is experiencing a downturn, with a notable shift in demand for new homes and public construction, leading to four critical points for recovery: low market share, new demand from existing products, business diversification, and innovation [3]. - Companies like Sanke Tree and Rabbit Baby are successfully tapping into new demands, such as second-hand housing and rural revitalization, leading to performance and valuation recovery [3]. - Major players like Nippon Paint and Saint-Gobain are exemplifying business diversification strategies, while companies like Weixing New Materials are focusing on building resilient business models around emerging trends [3]. Group 3: Market Trends and Price Movements - The national average price of cement is 352 yuan per ton, down 74 yuan year-on-year, with an average shipment rate of 46.2% [4]. - The average price of float glass is 1,195.35 yuan per ton, showing a slight decrease, while the inventory days for key monitored provinces have increased [4]. - The concrete mixing station's capacity utilization rate is at 7.79%, indicating a marginal increase [4].

Core Insights - The report highlights the increasing importance of renewable energy in China's power generation, with renewable capacity exceeding 1.7 billion kilowatts, accounting for 46% of the total installed capacity of 3.7 billion kilowatts as of September 2025 [1][2] - The gap between renewable energy capacity and the annual peak electricity load, which increases by approximately 10 million kilowatts, is expected to widen, indicating a need for coordinated development between renewable energy and the power system over the next decade [1][2] Power Sector - The electricity market framework is gradually improving, with significant solar photovoltaic (PV) installations reported in the first three quarters of 2025, totaling 240 GW, of which distributed PV accounted for 128 GW, surpassing centralized PV installations [3] - The report notes that the majority of new installations are concentrated in East China, South China, and the Northwest, with distributed PV becoming increasingly rationalized due to new policies [3] - The document emphasizes the importance of the 1360 document in addressing renewable energy consumption and development issues [2] Storage Sector - In October 2025, the bidding data for energy storage projects showed a significant year-on-year increase, with new projects totaling 12.7 GW/38.7 GWh, representing an 85% growth [4] - The weighted average price of lithium iron phosphate battery storage systems reached 0.5248 yuan/Wh in October 2025, reflecting a 10% increase from the previous month [5] - The prices of upstream battery materials have also risen significantly, with lithium hexafluorophosphate and vinyl carbonate prices increasing by 13.45% and 77.69% respectively compared to the previous week [5] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies with strong business models in the power sector, such as Yangtze Power, Guotou Power, and others, as well as those with potential installation growth and dividend yields [3] - In the energy storage sector, it recommends monitoring companies involved in energy storage integration, inverters, and battery production, including CATL and EVE Energy [5]

华源证券近日发布交通运输行业周报：国家邮政局监测数据显示，10月21日至11月11 日，全国邮政快递企业共揽收快递包裹139.38亿件，期间日均揽收量达6.34亿件，是日常业 务量的117.8%。旺季单日业务量峰值达7.77亿件，刷新单日业务量纪录。快递市场规模持续 扩张，展现了邮政快递业对促进消费升级和实体经济增长的关键支撑作用。 1）国家邮政局召开座谈会持续强调旗帜鲜明"反内卷"。根据国家邮政局公众号，11月 10日-11日，国家邮政局分别召开企业协会座谈会和专家学者座谈会。在企业协会座谈会 上，中国快递协会和邮政集团、顺丰、中通、圆通、韵达、申通、极兔、京东、菜鸟、中外 运-敦豪、前海云途相关负责人围绕行业改革发展进行深入探讨交流。会议强调，要提升寄 递服务水平，践行以人民为中心的发展思想，巩固农村地区领取邮件快件违规收费专项整治 成效，旗帜鲜明"反内卷"。 2）2025年"双11"旺季快递业务量再创新高。国家邮政局监测数据显示，10月21日至11 月11日，全国邮政快递企业共揽收快递包裹139.38亿件，期间日均揽收量达6.34亿件，是日 常业务量的117.8%。旺季单日业务量峰值达7.77亿件，刷新 ...

Core Viewpoint - The precious metals market has experienced a rebound followed by a decline, with gold and silver prices showing fluctuations while palladium and platinum have decreased in value [1][2]. Precious Metals Market Summary - In the past two weeks, London spot gold increased by 1.49% to $4,071.10 per ounce, while the Shanghai Futures Exchange (SHFE) gold rose by 3.39% to ¥953.20 per gram, with SHFE gold holdings up by 0.39% to 347,600 contracts [1]. - London spot silver saw a rise of 6.23% to $52.01 per ounce, and SHFE silver increased by 7.95% to ¥12,351 per kilogram, with SHFE silver holdings up by 9.89% to 763,000 contracts [1]. - Conversely, London spot palladium fell by 5.46% to $1,385 per ounce, and platinum decreased by 3.59% to $1,532 per ounce [1]. Economic Factors Influencing Precious Metals - The recent rebound in gold and silver prices has not surpassed previous highs, primarily due to the end of the longest government shutdown in U.S. history, which is expected to lead to the release of key economic data [2]. - Multiple Federal Reserve officials have expressed hawkish views, dampening expectations for a rate cut in December, which may impact precious metals prices [3]. - The Trump administration is pursuing trade agreements to alleviate domestic food price inflation, which could influence economic conditions and, subsequently, precious metals [3]. Future Outlook - In the medium term, the "Trump 2.0" agenda focusing on tariffs and tax cuts may stabilize, while "rate cut trades" are expected to provide strong momentum for gold prices [4]. - Key upcoming events include the release of the non-farm payroll report on November 20, actual wage data on November 21, and the revised GDP figures on November 26 [4]. - Long-term projections suggest that the combination of "rate cut trades" and "Trump 2.0" will continue to support gold prices, with central bank purchases expected to provide a strong foundation for price increases [5]. - Recent data indicates that the People's Bank of China has increased its gold reserves, further supporting the bullish outlook for gold [5]. Investment Recommendations - The precious metals sector is rated positively, with a focus on specific stocks such as Zijin Mining International, Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining, and others [5].

Core Viewpoint - The automotive sector in A-shares underperformed the broader market, with a decline of 2.11% compared to the 1.08% drop in the CSI 300 index [2] Group 1: Market Performance - The automotive sector's decline of 2.11% places it 26th among A-share Shenwan first-level industries [2] - The SW passenger vehicle index saw a slight increase of 0.03%, with Haima Automobile and Jianghuai Automobile leading the gains [2] - The SW commercial vehicle index increased by 0.14%, with Jinlong Automobile and CIMC Vehicles leading [2] - The SW auto parts index experienced a decline of 3.19%, with Langbo Technology and Yingli Automobile leading the losses [2] Group 2: Industry Highlights - Yushu Technology completed IPO guidance and plans to issue shares domestically [2] - Didi's autonomous driving initiative expands to Abu Dhabi [2] - Baidu's "RoboTaxi" service begins full commercialization in Abu Dhabi [2] - The Ministry of Public Security will introduce acceleration time limits for new energy vehicles [2] - Dongfeng Motor plans to mass-produce its next-generation solid-state battery by September next year, with an energy density of 350Wh/kg [2] - Yika Technology will provide intelligent cockpit solutions for multiple Volkswagen models in Latin America [2] - NIO's Firefly will connect to NIO's fifth-generation battery swap stations [2] - CATL and GAC Group signed a 10-year strategic cooperation agreement to promote the chocolate battery swap ecosystem [2] - The 2025 Guangzhou Auto Show will feature 93 new car debuts and a total of 1,085 vehicles on display [2] - Global sales of new energy vehicles increased by 26% year-on-year in the first three quarters [2] Group 3: Recommendations - For complete vehicle manufacturers, companies to watch include BYD, Geely Automobile, Great Wall Motors, Leap Motor, Seres, BAIC Blue Valley, Jianghuai Automobile, Li Auto-W, Xpeng Motors-W, GAC Group, and Changan Automobile [3] - In the commercial vehicle sector, recommended companies include China National Heavy Duty Truck, FAW Liberation, Weichai Power, Tianrun Industrial, and Foton Motor [3] - For auto parts, companies to focus on include Songyuan Safety, Fengmao Co., Ningbo Gaofa, Baolong Technology, Bertley, Junsheng Electronics, Zhejiang Xiantong, Fuyao Glass, Wuxi Zhenhua, China Automotive Research, Desay SV, Huguang Co., Shuanghuan Transmission, Songyuan Co., Top Group, Best, Sanhua Intelligent Control, Debang Lighting, Changshu Automotive Trim, New Spring Co., Jingzhu Technology, Kabeiyi, Jifeng Co., Shanghai Yanpu, and Mingxin Xuteng [3]

投资建议 具身智能是AI最强应用，而人形机器人则是具身智能最重要的方向之一。在电动化之 后，为代表的ROBO+赛道将重塑整个汽车产业链，成为最强产业趋势。在机器人领域，下 国金证券近日发布具身智能行业研究：2025年前三季度，机器人行业营收同比增长 29.5%，工业机器人产量达59.5万台，服务机器人产量达1350万套，均已超过2024年全年产 量。11月3日，市场监管总局批准发布《商用清洁机器人标准》国家标准。11月10日-17 日，"2025中国机器人产业发展大会"与"2025全球人工智能+大会"相继召开，会议将围绕具 身智能机器人未来方向与行业全球化供应链发展。 以下为研究报告摘要： 核心观点： 机器人：景气度加速向上，11月19日具身智能机器人大会利好行业景气度提升。 宇树科技推出首款轮式人形机器人G1-D。该方案是集数据采集、处理、标注、审核及 数据资产管理的一站式全流程数采平台，还能提供模型分布式训练、自定义模型训练开发与 部署，支持主流开源模型框架。可以应用于前台接待、整理货架、处理家务、巡检等工业、 商业及家庭场景中。 亿嘉和与华为云CloudRobo具身智能平台深化合作签约。根据协议，双方将 ...

Group 1: Aluminum Market - LME aluminum price increased by 0.52% to $2877.00 per ton, while Shanghai aluminum rose by 0.99% to 21,800 yuan per ton [3] - Domestic electrolytic aluminum ingot inventory recorded at 621,000 tons, a decrease of 6,000 tons compared to earlier in the week [3] - National alumina production capacity stands at 110.32 million tons per year, with operational capacity at 89.56 million tons per year; weekly operating rate decreased by 0.81 percentage points to 81.18% [3] Group 2: Copper Market - LME copper price rose by 1.53% to $10,859.00 per ton, and Shanghai copper increased by 1.12% to 86,900 yuan per ton [2] - Import copper concentrate processing fee index dropped to -$42.21 per ton; national inventory increased by 5,200 tons to 201,100 tons [2] - Domestic waste anode plate production remains high with an operating rate of 73.62%, expected to rise by 2.61 percentage points next week [2] Group 3: Gold Market - COMEX gold price increased by 4.16% to $4,174.50 per ounce; SPDR gold holdings rose by 6.87 tons to 1,048.93 tons [4] - Market influenced by U.S. political dysfunction and geopolitical risks, leading to a strong oscillation pattern [4] Group 4: Rare Earth and Antimony - Praseodymium and neodymium prices decreased by 1.40%; rare earth prices expected to rise due to increased demand following the suspension of control measures [5] - Antimony price increased by 15.5% due to resource scarcity and reduced global supply [5] Group 5: Tin and Lithium - Tin price increased by 3.11% as Indonesia cracks down on illegal mining [6] - Lithium carbonate price rose by 3.14% to 83,200 yuan per ton, with total production at 21,500 tons [6]

Core Viewpoint - The fluorochemical index increased by 7.71% during the week of November 10-14, outperforming major indices such as the Shanghai Composite Index and the CSI 300 Index [1][2]. Market Overview - The fluorochemical index closed at 5006.51 points, marking a 7.71% increase, which is higher than the Shanghai Composite Index's 7.89% and the CSI 300 Index's 8.80% [1][2]. Fluorochemical Prices - The average market price of fluorspar (97 wet powder) as of November 14 is 3,391 CNY/ton, down 0.96% from the previous week, and the November average is 3,428 CNY/ton, down 6.94% year-on-year [3]. - R134a prices have seen an unexpected increase, currently at 60,000 CNY/ton, up 6,000 CNY/ton from before [5]. - R32 and R134a maintain a strong upward trend, while R125 is stable in the short term, and other refrigerants like R143a, R507, and R404 are showing weaker performance [6]. Industry Developments - Haohua Gas's trifluoride project has successfully commenced production, with a total investment of 1.13 billion CNY and an expected annual output value of 700 million CNY [6]. - The Australian refrigerant market is facing a significant price increase due to a notable gap between import volumes and required amounts, with prices having doubled in recent years [6]. Beneficiary Stocks - Recommended beneficiary stocks include Jinshi Resources, Juhua Co., Sanmei Co., and Haohua Technology, with other beneficiaries being Dongyangguang, Yonghe Co., Dongyue Group, and Xinzhoubang [7].