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Wall Street banking giant just issued this chilling warning for Nvidia investors
Finbold· 2025-10-06 11:33
Core Viewpoint - A Wall Street analyst has raised concerns that Nvidia's rapid growth may not be entirely organic, suggesting that part of its sales could be driven by "circular revenue" stemming from its investments in AI startups [1][2]. Group 1: Revenue Dynamics - Nvidia's financial relationships with companies like OpenAI create a scenario where it acts as both a supplier and an investor, potentially inflating revenue figures that may seem to reflect independent customer demand [1][2]. - The reliance on Nvidia's own capital for demand, rather than external funding, could lead to uncertainty in the company's long-term growth prospects [2]. Group 2: Investment and Partnerships - Nvidia has made a significant $100 billion investment in OpenAI, which is expected to deploy at least 10 gigawatts of Nvidia systems, including millions of GPUs, to support its next-generation AI models [3]. - The growing network of AI partners, including OpenAI and Oracle, is anticipated to drive substantial demand for Nvidia's advanced chips as the AI infrastructure race intensifies [6]. Group 3: Stock Performance and Outlook - Despite the caution regarding revenue sources, the analyst raised Nvidia's stock price target from $200 to $210, maintaining a Buy rating, with shares trading at $187, reflecting a year-to-date increase of over 35% [4]. - OpenAI may require up to $75 billion in equity and debt by 2026 to fund its infrastructure, highlighting the scale of future demand for AI hardware [6].
AMD stock soars 25% as OpenAI unveils $100 billion GPU deal
Finbold· 2025-10-06 11:23
Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ: AMD) shares erupted higher in pre-market on Monday after OpenAI confirmed a multi-gigawatt GPU supply deal that could generate over $100 billion in revenue for the chipmaker in just the next four years. At its peak, the stock spiked more than 26% intraday, one of the sharpest single-day moves in AMD’s modern history, before settling near $207.The agreement marks a transformative moment for Advanced Micro Devices. OpenAI will deploy up to 6 gigawatts of AMD Instinct GPUs, begi ...
Why Aston Martin stock is crashing today
Finbold· 2025-10-06 10:51
Core Viewpoint - Aston Martin's shares experienced a significant decline after the company revised its outlook downward for the second time this year, reflecting ongoing challenges in the luxury vehicle market [1][4]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Aston Martin's stock fell sharply, dropping as much as 11% at one point, and was trading at £76.05, down over 6% for the day [1]. - Year-to-date, the stock has decreased approximately 30% [1]. Group 2: Volume and Deliveries - The company no longer expects to meet its full-year volume guidance, projecting a mid-to-high single-digit decline in total 2025 wholesale volumes compared to last year's 6,030 units [2]. - Third-quarter deliveries fell 13% year-over-year to 1,430 vehicles, missing prior expectations of flat performance [2]. Group 3: Financial Outlook - Aston Martin has abandoned plans for positive free cash flow in the second half of the year and is reviewing future costs and capital expenditure [3]. - The company now anticipates adjusted EBIT to fall below the low end of market forecasts, with analysts estimating losses of around £110 million ($148 million) [3]. Group 4: Market Challenges - The downgrade in outlook is attributed to a challenging macroeconomic environment, uncertainties related to new U.S. tariffs, changes in China's ultra-luxury car tax, and ongoing supply chain risks [4]. - Despite expectations for a stronger fourth quarter supported by new model launches and initial deliveries of the Valhalla supercar, investors reacted negatively to the company's near-term outlook [4].
2 Warren Buffett stocks to buy with $100 today
Finbold· 2025-10-06 09:14
As Warren Buffett approaches the end of his tenure as CEO of Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK.A) , his investment moves continue to serve as a key indicator for investors seeking profitable, long-term plays.Now, while Buffett has made notable shifts in his portfolio over the years, investors with modest capital of $100 can mirror his investments by purchasing some of his recent stock picks with potential for growth.To this end, Finbold has identified the following two equities worth considering.UnitedHealth (N ...
Goldman Sachs CEO offers timeline for potential market correction
Finbold· 2025-10-05 19:09
Group 1 - Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon warns of a potential correction in global equity markets within the next 12 to 24 months due to market overextension and the cyclical nature of markets [1][3] - Solomon highlights the historical trend where periods of intense technological acceleration, such as the current boom in artificial intelligence, often lead to market overextension and subsequent corrections [1][3] - The surge in capital formation and the rapid creation of new companies around transformative technologies typically results in both "winners and losers," drawing parallels to the early internet era [2] Group 2 - Despite the potential for short-term volatility, the long-term outlook remains positive, with ongoing technological innovation driving opportunities for enterprise growth and productivity [4] - Solomon emphasizes that the current cycle, driven by AI and digital transformation, could mirror past dynamics where only a few companies successfully emerge from a tech rally [2][3]
Goldman Sachs CEO predicts timeline for potential market correction
Finbold· 2025-10-05 19:09
Group 1 - Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon warns of a potential correction in global equity markets within the next 12 to 24 months, attributing this to market cycles and the current boom in emerging technologies like artificial intelligence [1][3] - Solomon emphasizes that the surge in capital formation and the rapid creation of new companies around transformative technologies typically lead to both "winners and losers," drawing parallels to the early internet era [2] - Despite the potential for short-term volatility, the long-term outlook remains positive, with ongoing technological innovation driving opportunities for enterprise growth and productivity [4] Group 2 - Solomon notes that historical patterns suggest periods of intense technological acceleration often result in market overextension, indicating a similar dynamic may occur in the current cycle driven by AI and digital transformation [3] - He highlights that while optimism exists regarding long-term innovation trends, the market's current state appears stretched, making a drawdown not surprising [1][3]
This pattern just mapped Oracle stock's path to $1,000; Time to buy ORCL?
Finbold· 2025-10-05 13:33
Core Viewpoint - Oracle's stock is experiencing significant momentum, with potential to reach the $1,000 level, driven by its expanding role in the artificial intelligence sector and strong fundamentals [1][5]. Group 1: Stock Performance and Technical Analysis - Oracle's stock price ended the last session at $286, reflecting a 125% increase over the past six months [1]. - Technical analysis suggests that Oracle may be poised for another major rally toward $1,000, based on historical price patterns [3][4]. Group 2: Financial Fundamentals - The company's latest quarterly report indicated a 359% year-over-year increase in remaining performance obligations, amounting to approximately $455 billion, showcasing a strong backlog in cloud and AI services [5]. - A new cloud deal is anticipated to generate around $30 billion in annual revenue, particularly linked to AI infrastructure clients like OpenAI [6]. Group 3: Strategic Initiatives and Leadership Changes - Oracle is increasing its capital expenditure target to $35 billion and plans to open 37 new data centers, aligning with the trend of accelerated AI investments in the tech industry [7]. - Recent leadership changes, including the appointment of Clay Magouyrk and Mike Sicilia as co-CEOs, have positively influenced investor confidence, contributing to the stock's surge [7].
Why Nvidia stock is set for a major breakout retest next week
Finbold· 2025-10-04 15:00
Core Viewpoint - Nvidia's stock is experiencing a strong rally, approaching new resistance levels, with a target of $200, and has gained over 35% year-to-date [1][6]. Technical Analysis - Nvidia's stock recently broke above a critical resistance zone near $184, which had limited price movement for much of August and September [2]. - Following the breakout, the stock briefly rallied toward $190 before a slight pullback, indicating a potential retest of the prior resistance now acting as support [4]. - If the price holds above the $184 and $185 area, it suggests a continuation of the rally, with a Fibonacci extension projecting an upside target near $197.18 [4]. - The stock appears to be forming a cup-shaped base, a bullish pattern that often precedes significant upward movements [4]. Market Performance - The Relative Rotation Histogram (RRH) indicates Nvidia's outperformance against the S&P 500 is turning positive again, suggesting increasing strength relative to the broader market [5]. Analyst Sentiment - Several Wall Street analysts remain bullish on Nvidia, citing its dominant position in the artificial intelligence sector [6]. - Cantor Fitzgerald maintains an Overweight rating on Nvidia shares with a price target of $240, highlighting the company's role as the "de facto AI infrastructure company" [6]. - Analysts dismissed concerns regarding market "circularity" or an AI bubble, emphasizing Nvidia's robust fundamentals [6]. Financial Strength - Nvidia reported a revenue growth of 71.55%, a gross margin of 69.85%, and $72 billion in levered free cash flow [7]. - The company has a current ratio of 4.21 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.11, indicating strong financial health [7].
Tesla stock surges as Q3 deliveries smash Wall Street estimates
Finbold· 2025-10-02 13:14
Core Insights - Tesla reported 497,099 vehicle deliveries in Q3 2025, exceeding Wall Street's consensus estimate of 454,130, indicating strong demand and operational execution [1][3] - The company achieved a record 12.5 GWh of energy storage deployments, highlighting its expanding role in the clean energy sector beyond electric vehicles [1][4] Delivery and Production Breakdown - Tesla produced 447,450 vehicles in Q3 2025, with the Model 3/Y comprising 435,826 units and 11,624 units from "other models" [2] - Deliveries were led by the Model 3/Y with 481,166 units delivered, while other models accounted for 15,933 units [2] - A notable portion of deliveries included 2% of Model 3/Y and 7% of "other models" subject to operating lease accounting, which is significant for analysts assessing recurring revenue [2] Market Reaction - Tesla's stock price increased by 3.70% in pre-market trading, reflecting investor confidence in the company's robust demand and execution despite supply chain challenges [3] - The delivery figures suggest that Tesla is maintaining a competitive edge over rivals in both electric vehicle production and energy storage adoption [3] Energy Storage Deployment - The 12.5 GWh of energy storage deployment represents a new high for Tesla, emphasizing its growing involvement in grid-scale battery solutions, which are crucial for its long-term valuation [4][5] Future Outlook - With nearly half a million vehicles delivered in a single quarter, Tesla is positioned for stronger-than-expected annual totals if the momentum continues into Q4 [7] - The Q3 results reinforce that Tesla's growth narrative extends beyond electric vehicles into the broader clean energy ecosystem [7]
Netflix short bets spike 20% after Musk's boycott posts
Finbold· 2025-10-02 12:53
Core Insights - Short sellers increased their positions in Netflix following Elon Musk's announcement of canceling his subscription, with off-exchange short volume rising to 642,836 shares on October 1, marking a 20% increase from the previous day [1] - Despite the increase in short volume, the short-volume ratio decreased to 40.48% on October 1 from 44.32% on September 30, indicating that while short trades rose, they were outpaced by overall trading volume [2] - The current short interest in Netflix stands at 6.96 million shares, or 1.65% of float, with a cover time of 2.87 days, suggesting that the short positions are not at alarming levels [3] - The situation reflects traders taking advantage of the narrative surrounding Musk's cancellation rather than indicating a significant bearish sentiment towards Netflix [4] Summary by Sections - **Short Selling Activity** - Short volume in Netflix surged to 642,836 shares on October 1, the highest since September 18, following Musk's tweet [1] - The total off-exchange shares tracked by FINRA on October 1 reached 1.59 million, with a short-volume ratio of 40.48% [2] - **Market Dynamics** - The increase in daily short volume is attributed to intraday hedging by market makers rather than a strong structural bet against Netflix [3] - The stock price of Netflix closed down 2.34% at $1,170.90 on October 1, coinciding with the spike in short volume [3] - **Investor Sentiment** - The narrative created by Musk's cancellation provided a headline for short sellers, but did not lead to a short squeeze [4]