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LA protests hit Waymo; Is Google stock at risk?
Finbold· 2025-06-09 12:39
Core Viewpoint - Alphabet is experiencing investor anxiety due to recent attacks on Waymo self-driving cars during protests in Los Angeles, which could impact the company's growth strategy and lead to short-term volatility and financial losses [1][2] Group 1: Waymo and Market Impact - Waymo is a crucial part of Alphabet's future growth strategy, with the potential for public relations setbacks to affect investor confidence [1] - California is a key market for Waymo, covering approximately 20% of all rides in San Francisco, and any delays in infrastructure expansion could create further challenges [2] Group 2: Financial Performance - Alphabet reported a 14% year-over-year revenue growth, reaching $90.2 billion for Q1 2025, with significant contributions from core segments like YouTube and cloud services [3] - Google Cloud achieved $2.2 billion in operating income for Q1 2025, reflecting a 28% year-over-year growth [3] Group 3: Valuation and Revenue Streams - Despite strong performance, Alphabet's stock appears undervalued with a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio under 19, significantly lower than AI competitors like NVIDIA, which has a PE ratio of 46.47 [4] - YouTube's advertising and subscription services generate approximately $10 billion per quarter, enhancing Alphabet's financial resilience [5] - The company is also focusing on monetizing AI tools, with plans like Google AI Pro at $20 per month and Google AI Ultra at $250 per month [5] Group 4: Investment Considerations - Betting against Alphabet's stock due to potential short-term setbacks from the Waymo incidents may be risky, as the company's diverse revenue streams are likely to facilitate recovery from short-term volatility [6]
Tesla stock slapped with Wall Street downgrade ahead of Robotaxi launch
Finbold· 2025-06-09 10:44
Core Viewpoint - Tesla's stock has been downgraded from 'Outperform' to 'Neutral' by Baird analyst Ben Kallo, with a price target of $320, reflecting concerns over the company's aggressive timeline for its robotaxi service launch [1][3][4] Group 1: Stock Performance and Analyst Ratings - Following the downgrade, Tesla's shares fell nearly 3% in pre-market trading, dropping to $286 [1] - The price target set by Baird represents an 8% upside from the closing price of $295 [1] Group 2: Robotaxi Service Concerns - Baird's skepticism is focused on the rollout of Tesla's robotaxi service, which will initially launch with only ten driverless Model Ys, a modest start compared to competitors like Waymo [3] - CEO Elon Musk has described the robotaxi service as a potential trillion-dollar disruptor, but Kallo believes the excitement surrounding it has already been priced into the shares [4] Group 3: Regulatory and Political Uncertainty - Tensions between Musk and former President Donald Trump over a GOP tax bill that removes EV tax credits have contributed to a significant 14% drop in Tesla's stock, equating to a loss of $150 billion in market value in a single day [4] - Trump's threats to cut government contracts, particularly those involving SpaceX, have raised concerns about a more challenging regulatory environment for Tesla's autonomous ambitions [5] Group 4: Long-term Potential and Market Outlook - Despite the downgrade, other analysts, such as Morgan Stanley's Adam Jonas, remain optimistic about Tesla's long-term potential, highlighting its advancements in autonomous driving, AI, and robotics [7] - Jonas projects that the urban air mobility market could grow from $1 trillion in 2040 to $9 trillion by 2050, estimating that Tesla's technological and manufacturing advantages could add between $100 to $1,000 per share in value [7] - Analysts believe that Tesla still possesses valuable assets that are largely apolitical, including leadership in AI, autonomy, manufacturing, and renewable power [8]
2 stocks to buy as ICE escalates immigration crackdown
Finbold· 2025-06-08 19:20
Group 1: Immigration Enforcement Impact - The United States is increasing immigration enforcement, creating potential benefits for private prison stocks [1] - Los Angeles is a focal point for recent Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) raids, resulting in over 100 arrests and heightened political tensions [1] Group 2: CoreCivic (CXW) - CoreCivic, a leading private prison operator, is experiencing unprecedented demand due to increased ICE detention efforts [2] - The company reported Q1 earnings of $0.23 per share, nearly double expectations, with revenue reaching $488 million and facility capacity at 77% [3] - CoreCivic plans to open new detention centers, including a 2,560-bed facility in California and a 1,033-bed complex in Kansas, while expanding capacity in multiple states [3][4] Group 3: GEO Group (GEO) - GEO Group operates nearly 20 detention centers and has seen its stock rise over 80% post-2024 election due to expectations of increased immigration enforcement [6][7] - The company's stock is currently trading at $26.95, reflecting strong market performance [7] - GEO is expanding its electronic monitoring operations, currently tracking about 186,000 immigrants with plans to scale up to 450,000 using advanced technology [9] - In early 2025, GEO secured a contract with ICE to reopen the 1,000-bed Delaney Hall Facility in Newark, New Jersey [9]
ChatGPT picks 2 small-cap stocks to make you a millionaire by 2030
Finbold· 2025-06-07 13:16
Group 1: Core Insights - OpenAI's ChatGPT has identified two small-cap stocks, BigBear.ai and Solid Power, with potential for significant returns over the next five years, aligned with major megatrends [1][2] - Both companies are supported by notable institutional and corporate backers, which enhances their growth prospects despite the inherent volatility of small-cap stocks [2] Group 2: BigBear.ai (NYSE: BBAI) - BigBear.ai has a market cap of approximately $1.12 billion and specializes in AI-driven decision support systems for national defense, logistics, and intelligence [3] - The company has secured a $13.2 million contract with the U.S. Department of Defense to deliver the ORION Decision Support Platform, which aids in automated force management [4] - A partnership with Palantir positions BigBear at the center of the growing AI defense ecosystem, with a potential valuation of $5 to $10 billion if it can establish itself as a trusted AI solution [5] - As of the latest data, BBAI shares were trading at $3.85, reflecting a decline of over 6% year-to-date [6] Group 3: Solid Power (NASDAQ: SLDP) - Solid Power has a market cap of $288.77 million and focuses on developing solid-state batteries that could revolutionize the electric vehicle industry [7] - Backed by major automotive players like BMW and Ford, Solid Power's technology is positioned for success in the next-generation battery market [8] - The company aims for a $10 billion valuation if it can successfully commercialize its batteries and secure licensing agreements with automakers [8] - SLDP shares were trading at $1.61, down 22% year-to-date, indicating execution challenges and competition from larger firms [9]
Analyst sets date when Tesla stock will hit $600 after Trump v. Musk feud
Finbold· 2025-06-07 12:02
Core Viewpoint - A trading analyst maintains a bullish outlook on Tesla, setting a price target of $600 despite recent tensions between CEO Elon Musk and President Donald Trump [1][10]. Group 1: Market Reaction and Stock Performance - Tesla's market cap decreased by $150 billion on June 5, but the stock rebounded over 3% to close at $295 on June 6 [2]. - The recent dip in Tesla's stock is viewed as a short-term pullback within a broader bullish trend [4]. Group 2: Technical Analysis - Tesla is currently within a long-term upward channel that began after the stock's low in January 2023, with a significant support level identified at the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement [5]. - The current downturn is interpreted as the early stage of a bull flag, suggesting a potential breakout in the near future [6]. - A price target of $600 aligns with the upper boundary of the channel and the 1.0 Fibonacci extension, which could be reached by early November 2025 if the bullish trend persists [7]. Group 3: Upcoming Events and Strategic Focus - Attention is shifting towards Tesla's upcoming robotaxi unveiling on June 12, which is considered crucial for the company's push for unsupervised autonomous driving approval [8]. - The public feud between Musk and Trump is expected to diminish as the robotaxi launch approaches, with analysts expressing optimism about Tesla's stock prospects [10]. Group 4: Broader Market Sentiment - Wall Street remains optimistic about Tesla, with Morgan Stanley reaffirming a long-term price target of $1,000, contingent on successful expansion into drones and urban air mobility [10][11].
What will happen to Tesla stock if Trump cuts Musk off?
Finbold· 2025-06-06 14:05
Core Insights - Elon Musk's companies, including Tesla, have significantly benefited from government subsidies, tax credits, and federal contracts, despite Musk's public disdain for big government [1] - Musk condemned a proposed Congressional bill aimed at eliminating EV tax credits and cutting clean energy programs, labeling it a "disgusting abomination" [2] - President Trump retaliated by accusing Musk of being self-serving and reliant on federal aid, threatening to revoke Tesla and SpaceX's subsidies [3] Financial Impact - Following the public spat between Musk and Trump, Tesla's stock fell over 14% on June 5, resulting in a loss of more than $150 billion in market capitalization [4] - In Q1 2025, Tesla reported $595 million in regulatory credit revenue, which accounted for 145% of its net income of $409 million, indicating a growing reliance on these credits [5] - Tesla's increasing dependence on regulatory credits is evident, with credits making up 38.9% of net income in FY 2024, compared to just 11.9% in FY 2023 [5] Market Dynamics - The federal EV tax credit, which can reduce consumer purchase prices by up to $7,500, is crucial for Tesla's sales, especially as competition increases and vehicle prices rise [5] - Tesla's profitability is not solely driven by innovation but is also heavily influenced by government policies, making the company vulnerable to changes in Washington [6]
Musk vs. Trump? Tesla stock tanks as tensions escalate
Finbold· 2025-06-05 14:36
Core Points - Tesla shares experienced a decline of 2.6% in pre-market trading and up to 5% during the opening hour, attributed to tensions between CEO Elon Musk and President Trump [1] - The stock price fell to a low of $313.50, contributing to a total decrease of $37.20, or 10.47%, over the past five days [1] - Musk's opposition to Trump's proposal to eliminate the $7,500 federal electric vehicle tax credit poses a threat to Tesla and other EV manufacturers, as this incentive has been crucial for EV sales [2] Sales Performance - Tesla is facing challenges with declining foreign sales, particularly in China and Europe, which could exacerbate the company's difficulties [3] - Despite downturns in Europe and China, Tesla reported modest sales gains in Australia and Norway, with expectations for a rebound in U.K. sales in June [4] - Year-to-date, Tesla shares are down 17.21%, reflecting broader concerns about global EV demand [4]
Lockheed Martin to pay dividends on June 27; Here's how much 100 LMT shares will earn
Finbold· 2025-06-05 13:48
Core Viewpoint - Lockheed Martin is experiencing a challenging period with its stock down 6.82% over the past six months, currently trading around $480, but potential positive changes may arise from new defense proposals by President Trump [1] Financial Performance - Lockheed Martin reported strong first-quarter results with earnings of $7.28 per share, surpassing the consensus estimate of $6.34, and quarterly revenue of $17.96 billion, exceeding estimates of $17.83 billion [4] - The company has a net margin of 7.51% and a return on equity of 101.47% [4] Dividend Information - The company offers a dividend payment of $3.30 per share, with the next pay date on June 27, translating to a total payment of $330 for investors holding 100 shares [2] - The current dividend payout ratio stands at 57.02% [2] Institutional Investment - Institutional investors are increasingly investing in Lockheed Martin, with GAMMA Investing LLC adding nearly 2 million shares in Q1 and Charles Schwab Investment Management increasing its holdings by 17.9%, resulting in approximately three-quarters of the company's shares being held by institutional investors [5] Market Sentiment - Wall Street shows mixed opinions on Lockheed Martin, with UBS raising its target price to $499 while Bank of America lowered it from $685 to $485 [4] Future Opportunities - President Trump's recent comments on the aerospace sector and specific aircraft models like the F-35 and F-55 suggest potential new opportunities for Lockheed Martin, which is focusing on advancing uncrewed and optionally piloted versions of its fighters [7] - With over 1,200 F-35s already delivered and a roadmap oriented towards advancement, Lockheed Martin appears well-positioned to capitalize on industry changes [7]
Analyst sets newest Nvidia stock price target
Finbold· 2025-06-05 11:44
Bank of America (BofA) has reiterated both its Buy rating for Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) and its stock price target of $180 for the next 12 months, roughly a 27% increase.The steady confidence is, of course, the result of Nvidia’s dominant position in the artificial intelligence (AI) sector and aligns with the overall Wall Street consensus, which sets the price target at just north of $176.Vivek Arya, a securities stock analyst at BofA, pointed to Nvidia’s 86% year-over-year (YoY) revenue growth as evidence of i ...
This Nvidia backed stock is going parabolic
Finbold· 2025-06-04 14:53
Group 1 - CoreWeave has experienced a significant stock price increase of approximately 20% over the past five days, attributed to a $7 billion data center agreement with Applied Digital, which also saw its shares rise over 63% in the same period [1][3] - The demand for artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure is surging, and CoreWeave is strategically diversifying its operations, which is expected to benefit Nvidia, holding a 7% stake in CoreWeave [3][5] - Since its IPO in March, CoreWeave's stock has risen 275%, reaching an all-time high of $150.50 this week, with Q1 revenue increasing 420% year-over-year to $981.6 million [4][5] Group 2 - CoreWeave has partnered with IBM to provide computing power for IBM's Granite AI models and operates 250,000 Nvidia GPUs, indicating strong operational capabilities [5] - The recent momentum in CoreWeave's stock reflects solid fundamentals and suggests strong upside potential despite potential short-term volatility [5]