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Why Nvidia stock is the top tech stock to buy in Q2
Finbold· 2025-04-15 12:39
Core Viewpoint - Nvidia's stock, which appeared risky in early 2025 due to macroeconomic challenges, is now seen as a strong buy as the market adjusts to new realities and the company reveals future plans [1] Group 1: Investment and Market Position - Nvidia announced a significant $500 billion investment to establish supercomputer production in the U.S., which is expected to help navigate the trade war [2] - The company's stock is currently trading 25.85% below its January 6 high of $149.43, at $110.80, indicating potential for price recovery [5] - The upcoming Q1 performance report, scheduled for May 28, is anticipated to exceed market fears, as recent adverse developments likely did not impact business performance significantly [7] Group 2: Strategic Partnerships and Innovations - Nvidia has partnered with Yum! Brands Inc. to enhance order-taking efficiency in fast food chains through AI technology, reducing reliance on international supply chains [4] - The endorsement from President Trump regarding Nvidia's investment in onshore production aligns with the growing importance of high-powered computing, particularly in quantum computing [3] Group 3: Future Outlook and Challenges - The sustainability of Nvidia's strong investment position in Q3 remains uncertain due to the impact of tariffs and international trade measures from April to June [8] - New manufacturing capacities, including Nvidia's AI supercomputer plants, are expected to take 12 to 15 months to ramp up production, indicating a longer-term horizon for realizing benefits [9]
Death Cross hits Tesla stock; TSLA crash to $200 next?
Finbold· 2025-04-15 10:18
Tesla’s (NASDAQ: TSLA) share price is at risk of dropping to around $200 after Finbold identified that the equity formed its first death cross in over a year, coinciding with a period of underlying bearish fundamentals.Tesla closed Monday at $252, just below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, confirming the crossover.TSLA stock price analysis chart. Source: TradingView/FinboldHistorically, the death cross is viewed as a lagging indicator that often signals a longer-term downtrend. While not consistentl ...
ChatGPT reveals two stocks to buy with $1,400 IRS payment
Finbold· 2025-04-15 09:49
Investment Opportunities - The $1,400 IRS payment presents an opportunity for investment in financial markets, particularly in sectors like AI and healthcare [2] - ChatGPT identified Super Micro Computer (NASDAQ: SMCI) and Eli Lilly (NYSE: LLY) as high-growth investment options, suggesting an equal allocation between the two [3] Super Micro Computer (SMCI) - SMCI is positioned as a key hardware supplier and high-performance server builder, especially in relation to Nvidia chips [4] - The stock is currently priced at $33.23, reflecting a year-to-date gain of 9.01% [4] - The last earnings call reported a 103% year-over-year revenue growth and a doubling of earnings per share (EPS) [5] - SMCI stock has a low forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 7.8, indicating potential undervaluation [8] - Price targets for SMCI suggest a potential rally of 60% to 106%, with possible profits of $420 to $742 from a $700 investment [9] Eli Lilly (LLY) - Eli Lilly is a major player in the pharmaceutical industry, with a strong focus on GLP-1 drugs and a diverse treatment pipeline [10] - The stock is currently priced at $759, with a year-to-date loss of 1.68% [10] - ChatGPT recommends allocating half of the $1,400 IRS payment to LLY stock due to strong Q2 results and an increase in full-year guidance by $4 billion [12] - Potential catalysts for growth include strong performance in the weight loss drug market and anticipated FDA approval for Donanemab, an Alzheimer's treatment [12] - The average 12-month price forecast for LLY stock is $1,020, indicating a potential upside of 35.45% [14]
Nvidia stock flashes signal for crash to $56
Finbold· 2025-04-14 16:10
Core Viewpoint - Nvidia's stock price is currently above the $100 support zone, but technical indicators suggest a potential 50% crash could occur, with a target drop to $56, aligning with the 200-week simple moving average [1][3][5] Technical Analysis - Nvidia shares initially fell due to U.S.-China trade tensions but rebounded to $112 after the White House exempted key sectors from tariffs [1][2] - The stock has shown a 17.62% rebound to $110.93 after dropping below $90, but this bounce may be temporary [4] - A "Sell" signal has been triggered on the weekly time frame, indicating a breach of major support structures [3][4] Market Sentiment - Despite the technical outlook, Wall Street analysts remain bullish, with a consensus price target of $174 over the next 12 months, where 37 out of 41 analysts rate it a 'Buy' [6] - Citi has lowered its price target from $163 to $150 due to expected GPU sales slowdown but maintains a 'Buy' rating [7] - UBS reaffirmed its $185 price target, citing strong Taiwan export data and anticipated growth in data center revenue driven by AI infrastructure demand [8]
2 stocks to buy ahead of Q1 2025 earning season
Finbold· 2025-04-12 12:48
Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - The upcoming Q1 2025 earnings season is significant due to ongoing trade tensions, with Coca-Cola and Palantir identified as stocks with growth potential before the earnings announcements [1]. Group 1: Coca-Cola (NYSE: KO) - Coca-Cola has a strong position in the consumer staples sector, with a stock price of $71.43, reflecting a year-to-date increase of over 15% [2]. - In Q4 2024, Coca-Cola's earnings exceeded expectations, reporting adjusted EPS of 55 cents against an expected 52 cents, and revenue of $11.54 billion compared to the forecast of $10.68 billion. Net income rose to $2.20 billion, or 51 cents per share, up from $1.97 billion, or 46 cents, a year earlier [3]. - For 2025, Coca-Cola anticipates organic revenue growth of 5% to 6% and a 2% to 3% increase in comparable earnings per share, despite facing a 6% to 7% currency headwind. The company's diversified portfolio and ability to manage tariff-related cost pressures enhance its growth outlook [4]. Group 2: Palantir (NASDAQ: PLTR) - Palantir is a key player in artificial intelligence, with a stock price of $88.55, having gained 17% year to date [10]. - In Q4 2024, Palantir reported adjusted EPS of 14 cents, surpassing the expected 11 cents, and revenue of $828 million, exceeding the forecast of $776 million [6]. - The company provided optimistic guidance for Q1, projecting revenue between $858 million and $862 million, significantly above the $799 million estimate. For fiscal 2025, revenue is expected to be between $3.74 billion and $3.76 billion, surpassing the analyst consensus of $3.52 billion. The government segment remains strong, bolstered by contracts like the $480 million Maven Smart System deal [7][8].
Here's why JPM stock is surging
Finbold· 2025-04-11 14:50
Core Viewpoint - JPMorgan's Q1 2025 earnings report showed strong performance, with significant stock price movement, but the CEO expressed caution regarding economic conditions [1][3]. Financial Performance - Earnings per share (EPS) reached $5.07, exceeding consensus estimates by $0.45 [2]. - Revenues totaled $46 billion, surpassing the average forecast of $43.9 billion, reflecting an 8% year-over-year growth [2]. Trading Performance - Equities trading revenue surged by 48% year-over-year, reaching a record $3.8 billion, exceeding Street estimates by $560 million [3]. Economic Outlook - CEO Jamie Dimon highlighted concerns about economic turbulence, including geopolitical issues, inflation, fiscal deficits, and high asset prices [3]. - Despite a strong earnings quarter, the overall tone of the earnings call was cautious [3]. Market Position - JPMorgan's stock is considered relatively cheap with a forward price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 13.63 compared to the broader market [4].
Michael Burry's largest stock holding has lost 19.73% since the tariff war started
Finbold· 2025-04-11 11:49
Michael Burry, of ‘The Big Short’ fame, who predicted the 2008 crash, went all in on Chinese equities following a misjudged bet against the semiconductor industry.Per the latest 13-F filing available, Alibaba stock (NYSE: BABA) is the savvy investor’s largest holding. Chinese stocks account for 43% of Burry’s portfolio — and BABA shares, on their own, make up 16% of it.Before the onset of the trade war, the renowned investor’s portfolio was up quite significantly. However, as his largest holding happens to ...
Trump's tariffs could make your iPhone pricier: Apple's big challenge
Finbold· 2025-04-11 10:45
Core Viewpoint - Apple is facing significant cost pressures due to its reliance on Chinese manufacturing amid the U.S.-China trade war, with potential price hikes for iPhones as tariffs on Chinese imports reach 145% [1] Group 1: Production and Supply Chain - Apple has begun moving production to India, flying 600 tonnes of iPhones (approximately 1.5 million units) to the U.S. since March, as part of a strategy to diversify manufacturing away from China [2] - The production of premium iPhone models in India started only last year, and it may take years for these facilities to meet the full demand from key markets [3] Group 2: Financial Implications - UBS analysts estimate that to maintain profit margins under current tariff rates, Apple may need to raise iPhone prices by up to 30% on some models, which could impact profitability and consumer demand [4] - If manufacturing were to shift entirely to the U.S., estimates suggest that retail prices for iPhones could soar to around $3,500, making this option unviable [5] Group 3: Market Performance - Apple's stock has been negatively impacted by these trade tensions, closing at $190.42 on April 11, down 4.24% for the day [6] - Year-to-date, Apple stock has dropped 23%, with a nearly 15% decline since April 2, when the latest tariff package was announced, falling from $223 to current levels [8]
Nvidia stock short interest skyrockets after fall below $110 per share
Finbold· 2025-04-11 08:30
Core Insights - Nvidia stock (NASDAQ: NVDA) has seen a significant increase in short interest, with a short volume ratio reaching a 2-week high of 61.96 by April 10 [1][2] - The short volume ratio indicates a rise in bearish sentiment, contrasting with lower levels observed in mid-March [2] - As of the latest data, NVDA stock was priced at $107.59, down 5.89% from a recent high of $114.33, and has lost 7.04% over the past 30 days, with a year-to-date decline of 19.88% [3] Market Dynamics - Market-wide dynamics are expected to play a crucial role in determining Nvidia's near-term price action [4] - Semiconductor revenue is projected to grow by 21% in 2024, which could serve as a tailwind for Nvidia [4] - Despite this growth potential, investor uncertainty remains, leading to more cautious outlooks from Wall Street analysts [4] Valuation Concerns - Tech stocks, including Nvidia, are currently at extremely high valuations, making significant upward movements unlikely without a broader market rally [5]
These stocks benefited the most from Trump's tariff pause
Finbold· 2025-04-10 10:48
Core Viewpoint - President Trump's announcement of a 90-day tariff pause led to a significant reaction in the stock market, with universal tariffs of 10% planned for all imports, and higher rates for specific trading partners like China [1][2]. Group 1: Market Reaction - The S&P 500 index experienced an immediate increase of approximately 280 points, closing at 5,456, which is 474 points higher than the previous day but still 3.77% below levels from April 2 and down 7.22% year-to-date [2]. Group 2: Company-Specific Impacts - **Microchip Technology (NASDAQ: MCHP)**: The stock surged by 27.76%, rising from $35.34 to $45.15 following the tariff pause, providing a positive catalyst despite existing challenges like high inventory and debt [4][6]. - **United Airlines (NASDAQ: UAL)**: Shares increased from $57.68 to $70.53, marking a 22.28% rally, although the stock remains down 28.50% year-to-date due to ongoing geopolitical conflicts and supply chain risks [8][11]. - **Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ: AMD)**: The stock rose from $79.36 to $96.21, reflecting a 21.23% increase, although this surge is seen as a correction after a previous decline, with the stock remaining a value play for the time being [12][14].