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Legendary trader sets 100% upside for this Michael Burry stock; Should you buy?
Finbold· 2025-02-09 21:00
Core Viewpoint - Alibaba (NYSE: BABA) is experiencing significant stock performance in 2025, with a year-to-date increase of 22% and a recent valuation of $103.51, attracting attention from analysts and traders [1][2]. Stock Performance and Projections - Peter Brandt, a notable trader, predicts that Alibaba's stock could reach $200, representing a potential upside of approximately 95%, based on an ascending triangle pattern observed in the stock's weekly chart [2][3]. - The stock is currently consolidating below a resistance level of $117.82, which has limited its gains since 2022 [2][3]. Earnings and Revenue Estimates - Analysts forecast Alibaba's revenue to be around $39 billion for Q4 2024, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 7.06%, and $33.4 billion for Q1 2025, indicating a 7.44% increase [5][6]. - For fiscal year 2025, revenue is projected at $139.9 billion, a 6.15% rise, and is expected to grow to $151.2 billion in 2026, with an 8.06% increase [5]. Market Position and Growth Drivers - Alibaba's Tmall and Taobao platforms are significant contributors to the Chinese e-commerce market, generating $60 billion in annual revenue, while its diverse operations, including logistics and cloud computing, are also driving growth [7][8]. - The company is noted for its robust consumer spending in China, a clear strategic direction post-management changes, a healthy balance sheet with minimal debt, and an increasing focus on artificial intelligence [8]. Analyst Sentiment and Price Targets - A consensus among 12 Wall Street analysts indicates a 'Strong Buy' rating for BABA, with a price target of $121.33, suggesting a potential growth of 17.22% over the next 12 months [9][10]. - Projections for BABA's stock price range from a high of $144 to a low of $105, reflecting mixed sentiments regarding the company's future prospects [10][11].
‘Tesla implodes in 2025', warns Wall Street analyst
Finbold· 2025-02-08 10:45
Core Viewpoint - A Wall Street analyst has warned that Tesla may face a potential collapse in 2025 due to declining sales and an unsustainable valuation, as the stock struggles to regain the $400 mark [1][2]. Sales Performance - Tesla's sales have significantly dropped, with a 50% year-over-year decline in Europe for January 2025, an 8% decrease in China, and five consecutive quarters of year-over-year declines in California, its largest U.S. market [7][11]. - In Germany, Tesla registrations fell 59.5% year-over-year to just 1,277 in January, despite having its sole European factory located there [9]. Financial Performance - Tesla reported weaker-than-expected Q4 2024 earnings, with revenue rising only 2% to $25.71 billion, missing the forecast of $27.26 billion. Automotive sales fell 8% to $19.8 billion due to lower average selling prices across all major models [11][12]. - Operating income dropped 23% to $1.6 billion, while net income plunged 71% to $2.32 billion, largely due to the absence of a $5.9 billion tax benefit from the previous year [12]. Valuation Concerns - The analyst highlighted Tesla's valuation as "absurdly high," noting it stands at 181 times its projected 2025 non-GAAP earnings per share, implying an unrealistic scenario where Tesla would need to pay 100% of its earnings as dividends for 181 years [10]. Market Dynamics - The current political landscape, particularly with Donald Trump in office, is seen as unfavorable for Tesla, as regulatory shifts could negatively impact the company's core business by moving away from EV subsidies and renewable energy policies [3][5]. - Tesla's key customer base, primarily liberal-leaning Democrats, has distanced itself from Elon Musk due to his political and social stances, which has weakened brand loyalty [4][5]. Future Outlook - Tesla is banking on advancements in full self-driving technology (FSD) and artificial intelligence (AI) to drive future growth, although analysts warn that the stock is already pricing in these advancements despite the lack of tangible products and rising safety concerns [14][15]. - The company recorded a slight year-over-year drop in 2024 deliveries, falling to 1.79 million from 1.8 million in 2023, but maintained a strong daily average of 4,889 shipments, with improvements in quarterly deliveries [13].
This Michael Burry stock bet is on fire—and Wall Street is taking notice
Finbold· 2025-02-07 16:39
Group 1: Michael Burry's Investment Strategy - Michael Burry is a highly respected investor known for predicting the subprime mortgage collapse that led to the 2008 financial crisis [1] - Through his hedge fund, Scion Asset Management, Burry has shifted focus to international investments, particularly in China [2] Group 2: Portfolio Performance - In 2024, Burry's portfolio achieved an estimated return of 74.24%, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's gain of 25% [3] - His largest holding, Alibaba (NYSE: BABA), has increased by 23.37% year-to-date, reaching $104.61 [4] Group 3: Analyst Ratings and Price Targets - Citi analyst Alicia Yap maintained a 'Strong Buy' rating for Alibaba and raised the price target from $133 to $138, indicating a potential upside of 31.91% [5] - Barclays analyst Jiong Shao also reiterated a 'Strong Buy' rating for Alibaba, adjusting his price target from $137 to $130, which suggests a 24.27% upside from current prices [6][7]
AI sets Amazon stock price prediction for end of February
Finbold· 2025-02-07 13:59
As it turned out in the extended session between February 6 and February 7, Amazon’s (NASDAQ: AMZN) latest earnings report failed to satisfy investors despite demonstrating an earnings and revenue forecast beat.Specifically, after briefly plummeting 7% in the after-hours and stabilizing at about 3% in the red in the morning. AMZN stock is trading at $232.86 at press time and is, once the overnight trading is included, 1.12% in the red in the weekly chart.AMZN stock 1-week price chart. Source: FinboldThe dec ...
Why DeepSeek might be the strongest Nvidia stock bull case
Finbold· 2025-02-07 10:23
The stock market’s reaction to the release of China’s novel artificial intelligence (AI) model DeepSeek has been both bearish and violent as it saw the shares of many major players in the sector – most notably Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) – swiftly plummet.Though NVDA regained some ground in recent trading and is, at press time on February 7, changing hands at $128.63, the plunge can still be felt as it is 8.20% in the red in the last 30 days and the question of when it will fully negate the 16.97% DeepSeek plunge ...
Xpeng stock soars as deliveries overtake Chinese EV rival
Finbold· 2025-02-06 15:29
Core Insights - The electric vehicle (EV) industry is highly competitive, yet Xpeng has emerged as a thriving player, with its stock showing a significant uptrend and a year-to-date return of 45.64% [1][3] Group 1: Company Performance - In January, Xpeng delivered 30,350 vehicles, marking a 268% year-over-year growth and surpassing 30,000 deliveries for the third consecutive month [4] - This delivery figure allowed Xpeng to overtake its rival Li Auto for the first time since September 2022, as Li Auto delivered 29,927 vehicles, reflecting a 3.97% year-over-year decline [5] - The stock price of Xpeng surged by 6.31% in late August, reaching $17.23, while Li Auto's stock fell by 5% following its delivery results [1][5] Group 2: Strategic Developments - Xpeng signed memoranda of understanding (MOU) with Volkswagen and British Petroleum (BP) to enhance charger cross-compatibility, indicating strategic partnerships aimed at expanding its market presence [2] - The CEO of Xpeng announced ambitious expansion plans, further signaling the company's intent to grow in a competitive landscape [2] Group 3: Market Context - The strong performance of Xpeng is particularly significant given the challenges posed by tariffs and potential trade wars between the United States and China, highlighting the importance of domestic market strength for Chinese EV companies [6] - The upcoming quarterly report on March 18 is anticipated to be a critical point for investors, as the Chinese auto market is known for its seasonality, which may affect stock performance [7][9]
2 no-brainer semiconductor stocks to buy for 2025 and beyond
Finbold· 2025-02-06 12:19
Industry Overview - The semiconductor industry experienced a strong recovery in 2024, driven by increasing demand across various sectors and the rapid adoption of artificial intelligence [1] - Global semiconductor sales are projected to reach $705 billion in 2025, with ongoing infrastructure investments [2] Nvidia - Nvidia is highlighted as a strong investment opportunity for 2025, holding over 90% of the data-center GPU market and more than 80% of AI processors [3] - Despite a 170% increase in 2024, Nvidia's stock saw a nearly 7% decline in early 2025, closing at $125 on February 5, due to competition concerns and trade tensions [4] - Major clients like Alphabet, Microsoft, and Meta Platforms are significantly increasing their capital expenditures, which supports sustained demand for Nvidia's high-performance computing solutions [5][6] - Nvidia is involved in the $500 billion Stargate AI infrastructure project, which is expected to bolster its market position [6] Broadcom - Broadcom is positioned to benefit from rising AI infrastructure spending, generating $12.2 billion in AI hardware revenue in fiscal 2024, a 220% year-over-year increase [8] - AI-related sales now constitute 24% of Broadcom's total revenue, with projections of AI chip revenue between $60 billion and $90 billion by 2027 [9] - Broadcom's stock was trading at $232 as of February 5, reflecting an 89% increase over the past year, despite a previous 17% slump due to concerns over AI development becoming less hardware-intensive [10] - Renewed confidence in AI infrastructure spending has led to a rebound in Broadcom's stock, with a 4% increase following Alphabet's earnings report [11] Long-term Outlook - Despite short-term volatility caused by DeepSeek's AI model, the long-term outlook for semiconductor stocks remains positive, with increasing demand for high-performance computing [12] - Both Nvidia and Broadcom are well-positioned to capitalize on the growing momentum in the semiconductor industry, making them attractive investment options for 2025 and beyond [12]
AI sets Nvidia stock price prediction for end of February
Finbold· 2025-02-06 10:58
Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) has been facing stock market turbulence since the start of 2025 as it started the year with a climb above $149, quickly fell toward $131, and then again aimed at highs above $147 only to collapse below $120 and threaten a deeper plunge below $100.Two main external shocks have dominated NVDA shares’ performance in recent weeks: the release of the novel Chinese artificial intelligence (AI) DeepSeek model called the hundreds of billions invested in American big tech into question, and Pre ...
Analysts weigh in after AMD's Q4 earning report — What comes next?
Finbold· 2025-02-05 19:30
Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ: AMD) saw its stock fall over 10% on Wednesday, February 5, after missing Wall Street expectations for its key data center segment.While the chipmaker exceeded revenue and earnings forecasts, its data center revenue came in at $3.86 billion—falling short of the $4.14 billion analysts had projected.The disappointing figures sent AMD shares to a new 52-week low of $106.5 before rebounding. As of press time, the stock trades at $110, marking a 7% recovery on the day. AMD one-day ...
Is AMD set to crash below $100?
Finbold· 2025-02-05 15:52
For lack of a better description, Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ: AMD) stock fell off a cliff following the company’s latest earnings report and found itself 10.07% in the red on the daily chart once the February 5 morning bell rang.AMD stock 5-day price chart. Source: FinboldThe violent reaction is somewhat surprising as the semiconductor giant’s latest figures show the firm outperformed expert forecasts in terms of revenue – $7.66 billion instead of the predicted $7,53 billion – and earnings-per-share (EP ...