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马斯克:全力押注Optimus,冲刺百万年产能
Robot猎场备忘录· 2026-01-29 04:14
Core Viewpoint - Tesla's Q4 financial report showed a decline in revenue and profit, but exceeded expectations in gross margin and earnings per share, leading to a nearly 4% increase in stock price post-announcement [2] - Elon Musk focused on AI, Robotaxi, and the humanoid robot Optimus during the earnings call, indicating a strategic shift away from traditional automotive discussions [2] Group 1: Tesla's Financial Performance - Q4 revenue and profit decreased, but gross margin and earnings per share were higher than expected [2] - The stock price reacted positively, increasing by nearly 4% after the earnings report [2] Group 2: Optimus Robot Development - Musk announced that Optimus V3 will be released in a few months, showcasing significant improvements over V2.5 [2] - Production of Model S and Model X is expected to cease as the Fremont factory is repurposed for Optimus production, with a long-term goal of achieving an annual production capacity of one million robots [2] Group 3: T Chain Developments - T Chain companies have seen a mix of positive news, including contracts and project confirmations, but overall performance has been weak due to a lack of significant catalysts [3] - Recent downward trends in T Chain stocks were noted, particularly on January 26, with some stocks hitting their daily limits [3] Group 4: Market Sentiment and Future Outlook - The market is awaiting the release of Optimus V3 as a potential catalyst for T Chain stocks [5] - Key T Chain companies are focusing on North American communications and have received positive feedback from recent engagements [5][6]
证伪!两家Optimus核心产业链公司
Robot猎场备忘录· 2026-01-28 04:28
温馨提示 : 点击下方图片,查看运营团队最新原创报告(共260页) 说明: 欢迎约稿、刊例合作、行业交流 , 行业交流记得先加入 "机器人头条"知识星球 ,后添加( 微信号:lietou100w )微 信; 若有侵权、改稿请联系编辑运营(微信:li_sir_2020); 回顾一下周一(1月26日)T链们走势, 诸多利好资讯加持下,迎来一波大幅下行行情,诸多核心标的跌停,小 编昨日有发文 重磅!Optimus核心供应商速递 对大幅下行标的进行梳理以及对下行原因进行解读。 昨日文章就有证伪两个在行业圈迅速发酵的夸张小作文(新段子和老段子):1)鉴于 (R) 及其 Tier2标的们 皆大幅下行,关于其产品出问题的消息疯传;2)鉴于 (T) 大幅下行,行贿传闻再起。 正文: 考虑到小作文影响力,诸多卖方老师昨日盘前皆发推文进行辟谣,同时(R)及核心T2标的 (W) 皆举办电话交 流会,本月 (T)的邬总交流会纪要也再次被拿出来进行辟谣。 特斯拉Q4财报会议即将举办, Optimus V3发布在即,谣言止于智者,T链们如期修复! 周二(1月27日),T链们如期迎来一波修复行情;整体走势及各标的不过分解读,已放在星球,最 ...
重磅!Optimus核心供应商速递
Robot猎场备忘录· 2026-01-27 04:02
温馨提示 : 点击下方图片,查看运营团队最新原创报告(共260页) 说明: 欢迎约稿、刊例合作、行业交流 , 行业交流记得先加入 "机器人头条"知识星球 ,后添加( 微信号:lietou100w )微 信; 若有侵权、改稿请联系编辑运营(微信:li_sir_2020); 正文: Optimus V3进厂在即,发包、定点等利好下,T链们却迎来一波下行行情! 先说两个夸张小作文(新段子和老段子):1)鉴于 (R) 及其 Tier2标的们 皆大幅下行,关于其产品出问题的 消息疯传;2)鉴于 (T) 大幅下行,行贿传闻再起。 伴随上周末诸多利好(V3进厂、新一轮审厂、核心标的利好等)下,周一(1月26日)却迎来一波大幅下行, 多 个核心标的迎来跌停, 运营微信群又是被信息轰炸的一天 (其实每天都是,各类一手资讯云集,只是今天更多是观点分 享)。 1月以来, T链们陆续开启北美行, 特斯拉发包中, 核心标的越发明朗,但由于缺乏官方"爆点"利好催化, 更多 是核心标的行情且持续性差, 虽整体走势较弱,但板块一直呈现上行趋势;本月最大的催化则是来自于特斯拉 Q4财报电话交流会(北美1月28日),结果周一一波大幅下行打的措手 ...
重磅!Optimus V3将在2月进厂打工
Robot猎场备忘录· 2026-01-26 00:02
Core Insights - Tesla plans to begin training its Optimus V3 robot at its Austin factory, with a target launch in February 2024 [4] - The company has been collecting data for over a year on the previous version of Optimus at its Fremont factory [4] - Elon Musk indicated that Optimus is expected to perform more complex tasks by the end of 2026 and will start public sales by 2027 [6] Production and Supply Chain - Tesla's supplier for the Optimus robot has outlined a production capacity plan, expecting to produce 2 units per week in January, 10 in February, 2000 by June, and 10,000 units per week by early next year [5] - The core supplier for the hand screw has been confirmed, indicating a stable supply chain for the Optimus project [6] Market Performance and Trends - Despite positive news regarding the T-chain (Tesla's supply chain), the stock performance has been below expectations, with significant gains only observed on January 16 [6][8] - The focus has shifted to companies that have successfully communicated with North American partners, which have seen stock price increases [7][10] Key Companies and Developments - Several companies within the T-chain, such as WX, RT, KS, and FS, have been highlighted for their positive communication outcomes and stock performance [7] - New technologies related to electronic skin and materials like PEEK and TPU have gained attention, leading to significant stock price increases for related companies [9] Future Outlook - The upcoming Tesla quarterly earnings call is anticipated to address key investor concerns regarding Optimus and its impact on the T-chain [6][12] - The market is expected to focus on core T-chain companies as they approach critical decision-making phases, indicating a potential for increased investment activity [10]
Optimus将至,核心产业链公司最新进展
Robot猎场备忘录· 2026-01-25 00:03
温馨提示 : 点击下方图片,查看运营团队最新原创报告(共260页) 说明: 欢迎约稿、刊例合作、行业交流 , 行业交流记得先加入 "机器人头条"知识星球 ,后添加( 微信号:lietou100w )微 信; 若有侵权、改稿请联系编辑运营(微信:li_sir_2020); 正文: 马斯克连续为 Optimus V3打call,热度持续攀升,发 包、待定点、定点等利好资讯不断, T链们走势却事与愿 违! 回顾1月第三个交易周(1月19日-23日),马斯克两次为 Optimus打call,但T链行情催化仍停留在上周五 (1月 16日) 马斯克 为 Optimus V3打call推文 马斯克再发文,Optimus Gen3初亮相! ,核心催化点皆是Optimus Gen3定型且性能超预期;尤其是马斯克发文,更是被认为是为V3发布预热。 伴随 两篇推文,T链们不仅在上周五(1月16日)迎来一波真正上行行情,并延续至本周一(1月19日),然而伴 随两个一字涨停标的皆发异动公告,上行行情戛然而止。 本周,马斯克曾两次提到Optimus:1) 1月21日(美东时间),在X平台发文,表示" 对于Cybercab和 Optimu ...
马斯克:明年年底实现Optimus规模化销售
Robot猎场备忘录· 2026-01-24 05:17
Core Viewpoint - Elon Musk is actively promoting the Optimus V3 humanoid robot, which is expected to start public sales by the end of 2026 and achieve mass market availability by the end of 2027, with projections of billions of humanoid robots fulfilling caregiving tasks [2][3]. Market Sentiment and Stock Performance - The market sentiment around T-chain stocks has been positive but lacks substantial catalysts, with a notable increase in stock prices following Musk's tweets about Optimus V3 [4]. - Key stocks in the T-chain have shown significant gains, particularly those involved in North American communications, with some reaching daily price limits [4][8]. Production Capacity Guidance - A Tier supplier indicated production capacity for Optimus V3, forecasting a weekly output of 2 units in January, 10 units in February, 2000 units by June, and 10,000 units by early next year [7]. - This production guidance aligns with recent communications from core suppliers, confirming the supply chain's readiness for mass production [7]. T-Chain Developments - Several T-chain companies are progressing towards production agreements and have entered the RFQ (Request for Quotation) phase, indicating a focus on securing contracts and finalizing production details [8]. - The T-chain is experiencing a "narrowing circle" effect, where capital is increasingly concentrated on a smaller number of core companies as they approach critical production milestones [8]. Upcoming Events - The Tesla Q4 earnings call is anticipated to provide further insights into the Optimus V3 and its impact on T-chain stocks, with expectations of a significant market reaction [4][10].
马斯克:Optimus产能爬坡非常迅速!
Robot猎场备忘录· 2026-01-23 00:03
正文: T链们陆续开启北美行,发包、定点等利好资讯不断,核心标的越发清晰 ! 周三(1月21日),T链们如期迎来一波中规中矩反弹行情;整体走势不做过分解读,最关键的点是, 去年12月 底提到的TPU( 热塑性聚氨酯 )核心 标的 (M) 和 (K) ,前者涨停,后者涨幅居于前列;其实,从去年在星 球提到以来,两个标的皆一直稳步上行,1月以来甚至有不少卖方老师推,其中(M)已前往北美沟通,TPU工艺 正式发酵。 ( 注: 相关标的已放 "机器人头条"知识星球 " ,皆值的重点关注) 相较于T链走势外,小编最关注的事件是" 马斯克再为Optimus V3打call,重申产能爬坡将非常迅速! " 1月21日(美东时间),马斯克在X平台回复" Cybercab将在不到100天内开始生产 "帖子时,表示:初期生产总 是非常缓慢,需遵循S型曲线,生产爬坡速度与新零件和制造步骤数量成反比;同时进一步说明" 对于Cybercab 和Optimus,几乎所有东西都是全新的,因此早期的生产速度会极其缓慢,但最终将变得异常迅速 " 。 温馨提示 : 点击下方图片,查看运营团队最新原创报告(共260页) 说明: 欢迎约稿、刊例合作、 ...
Optimus V3量产时间,敲定!
Robot猎场备忘录· 2026-01-22 00:04
Core Insights - The article discusses the production timeline and capacity guidance for Tesla's Optimus V3 robot, highlighting the increasing clarity around its mass production schedule [2][3][5]. - The communication between Tesla's Tier 1 suppliers and North American partners is emphasized, indicating a positive outlook for the supply chain and production capabilities [5][8]. Production Guidance - The production capacity for Optimus V3 is projected to start with 2 units per week in January, increasing to 10 units in February, 2000 units by June, and reaching 10,000 units per week by early next year [5]. - The guidance aligns with recent confirmations from core suppliers regarding production capabilities and locations, particularly in Thailand and the U.S. [5]. Supplier Insights - Key suppliers, such as the hand screw supplier (R) and electronic skin supplier (H), are highlighted as critical components in the production process, with the latter showing significant stock performance following positive news [6][7]. - The article suggests that companies with overseas production capabilities should be closely monitored, especially those involved in the mass production of Optimus V3 [7]. North American Communication - The article notes that several Tier 1 suppliers have recently engaged in discussions in North America regarding production matters, which are expected to attract investor attention [9]. - Companies that have received contracts and are involved in North American communications are seen as having a favorable outlook, with many experiencing stock price increases [8][9]. Market Trends - The article indicates a trend of increasing interest in the humanoid robot sector, with various companies in the supply chain experiencing positive market movements [10][12]. - The focus on new technologies and materials, such as TPU and GaN, is also mentioned as part of the evolving landscape in the humanoid robotics industry [10].
马斯克:全力押注Optimus!
Robot猎场备忘录· 2026-01-20 04:33
Core Viewpoint - Elon Musk's focus on the humanoid robot Optimus is expected to transform Tesla into a company valued at $25 trillion, significantly impacting the T-chain stocks positively [2][4][9]. Summary by Sections Optimus Development - Musk has indicated that the Optimus V3 is set to be released in Q1 2026, with recent tweets suggesting that the design is finalized and performance exceeds expectations [11][12]. - The anticipation surrounding Optimus V3 has led to a surge in interest and stock prices for companies involved in the T-chain, particularly those related to sensors and materials [12][13]. T-chain Stocks Performance - Several T-chain stocks have experienced significant price increases, with some reaching daily limits due to positive news regarding their communication and partnerships in North America [15][16]. - Key T-chain companies such as WX, RT, KS, FS, and SL have been highlighted for their potential, especially following successful communications in North America [12][15]. Market Trends and Future Outlook - The market is currently focused on companies that are securing contracts and establishing communication channels in North America, which are seen as indicators of future growth [12][15]. - The upcoming Tesla Q4 earnings call is anticipated to further influence T-chain stocks, as Musk prepares for the Optimus V3 launch, potentially leading to a major upward trend in these stocks [18].
Optimus将至,周末再现重磅资讯!
Robot猎场备忘录· 2026-01-19 04:10
Core Viewpoint - The upcoming release of Optimus V3 is generating significant positive sentiment in the T-chain sector, with various favorable developments and communications from key companies in North America [2][3][4]. Group 1: Industry Developments - The humanoid robot industry is experiencing renewed interest, particularly with the announcement that humanoid robots will appear on the Spring Festival Gala, which has sparked excitement among investors [4][6]. - Last year's debut of the humanoid robot "Yush" at the Spring Festival Gala led to a surge in market interest, but the current sentiment may not sustain the same level of enthusiasm due to the novelty wearing off [5][6]. Group 2: T-Chain Company Updates - Several T-chain companies are making progress in their communications and developments related to T products, with one electronic skin core company (R) successfully communicating in North America and expanding its T product offerings [7][8]. - A lightweight core company (F) has seen significant stock performance, achieving a limit-up (20% increase) after positive developments in North America [7][8]. - The T-chain companies that have communicated successfully in North America are showing promising stock performance, indicating a strong market interest in these developments [8][9]. Group 3: Market Sentiment and Future Outlook - The recent positive market movements are attributed to the anticipation surrounding the Optimus V3 release and the successful communications of T-chain companies, suggesting a potential shift towards a stronger market phase [3][10]. - The focus on T-chain companies that have engaged in North American communications is expected to continue, with more companies likely to emerge as key players in the market [10][12].