Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the electric equipment industry [1] Core Insights - The report highlights that the trend of anti-involution is not a concern, and the space photovoltaic industry is accelerating [1] - The recent regulatory actions in the photovoltaic sector aim to prevent monopolistic behaviors while allowing compliance with cost-based sales and technology standards [4] - The prices in the industry continue to rise, indicating a recovery, with silicon material prices increasing by 9.83% week-on-week to 59,200 CNY/ton [4] - The commercial space sector is emerging, with plans for deploying solar energy satellites, which could lead to significant advancements in space photovoltaic technology [4] Summary by Sections Regulatory Environment - The market regulatory authority has halted self-regulatory actions related to silicon material integration in the photovoltaic industry, focusing on preventing monopolistic practices [4] - Compliance measures are being established to ensure fair competition among industry participants [4] Industry Performance - The prices of N-type silicon wafers and cells have seen increases, with N-type cell prices rising to 0.39 CNY/W and TOPCon module prices reaching 0.7 CNY/W [4] - The industry is expected to turn profitable in 2026 as terminal demand recovers [4] Technological Advancements - The report emphasizes the potential of space photovoltaic technology, which can generate energy continuously and is projected to become commercialized in the next 10-15 years [4] - The focus is on companies with technological reserves in space photovoltaics, such as Junda Co., JinkoSolar, Trina Solar, and others [4]

岁末年初，商业航天带着强劲势能，在一二级市场掀起新的波澜。近期，蓝箭航天、天兵科 技、星河动力、星际荣耀、中科宇航这五家被称作"中国版SpaceX"的企业，正集体向"商业火 箭第一股"发起冲击，且估值均已站上百亿元台阶。 大洋彼岸的美国，马斯克旗下的SpaceX正在推进IPO计划，估值或将达1.5万亿美元；OpenAI也计 划将算力中心搬到太空。这场围绕太空资源的极速竞赛已拉开序幕。在政策持续助攻、退出预期 不断加强之下，一级市场迎来了久违的躁动——资本加速卡位、争抢项目份额，相关标的估值也 顺势攀升。随着优质项目争夺愈发激烈，投资窗口正在缩小，赛道上下游更广阔的产业链空间， 正等待资本深入挖掘。 老股持有者惜售 面对当前热得发烫的商业航天赛道，就连原本从未涉足这一领域的投资机构都有点坐不住 了。"最近我们跑到北京看了个商业航天项目，想接手一部分老股。"华南一家VC机构负责人刘忠 （化名）说，"绝不能错过2026年这个投资大热门。" 很多时候，投资赚的就是非共识的钱，共识越强，投资窗口反而越小。如今的火热与2021年之前 的寒冬形成鲜明对比，彼时的商业航天赛道还鲜有人问津，就算是具备盈利潜力的项目，融资也 并 ...

岁末年初，商业航天带着强劲势能，在一二级市场掀起新的波澜。近期，蓝箭航天、天兵科技、星河动力、星际荣耀、中科宇航这五家被称作"中国版 SpaceX"的企业，正集体向"商业火箭第一股"发起冲击，且估值均已站上百亿元台阶。 有关注该赛道的投资人分析，目前商业雷达卫星这类已出现并购迹象的细分赛道，有望释放老股转让的交易窗口；同时，部分布局中亚、中东市场通信卫星 的企业，正面临架构重组或海外融资受限的问题，这也给国内基金提供了潜在的切入机会。 很多时候，投资赚的就是非共识的钱，共识越强，投资窗口反而越小。如今的火热与2021年之前的寒冬形成鲜明对比，彼时的商业航天赛道还鲜有人问津， 就算是具备盈利潜力的项目，融资也并不顺利。 大洋彼岸的美国，马斯克旗下的SpaceX正在推进IPO计划，估值或将达1.5万亿美元；OpenAI也计划将算力中心搬到太空。这场围绕太空资源的极速竞赛已 拉开序幕。在政策持续助攻、退出预期不断加强之下，一级市场迎来了久违的躁动——资本加速卡位、争抢项目份额，相关标的估值也顺势攀升。随着优质 项目争夺愈发激烈，投资窗口正在缩小，赛道上下游更广阔的产业链空间，正等待资本深入挖掘。 "我们2021年发 ...

当卫星在近地轨道完成数据运算并将结果实时传回地球，太空数据中心不再是科幻场景。德意志银行2026年最新研究报 告揭示，这场跨越天地的算力竞赛中，成本追平大约需要十五年以上的时间。 据德银测算，2026年太空数据中心部署成本是地面中心的6.7倍，到2032年将缩小至2.6倍，2030年后有望实现成本追 平。换句话说，大约十五年后，太空数据中心的部署成本才会体现出明显优势。 01 成本对决：四大核心维度的天地差异 (一)发射成本：太空数据中心的"头号门槛" 火箭发射是太空数据中心最核心的成本支出，也是当前最大的经济性障碍。当前可重复使用的猎鹰9号低地轨道发射成 本约为1600美元/千克，而星舰的成熟化将彻底改写这一格局：初期发射成本降至700美元/千克，最终通过完全可重复 使用和规模化运营，有望跌破70美元/千克，降幅超95%。 对比之下，地面数据中心无需承担"上天"成本，但需投入土地征用、基建审批等前期支出，仅发电系统配套建设就可能 面临供应链瓶颈，拉长投资回报周期。 (二)硬件制造成本：卫星迭代vs地面基建刚性 太空数据中心的硬件成本集中在卫星平台，星链的卫星迭代清晰展现了成本下降路径：V3卫星单位功率成本为 ...

Core Viewpoint - The consensus on space computing power is gradually forming, with major overseas companies like SpaceX, Starcloud, and Google planning to establish space data centers, while domestic commercial aerospace is entering a phase of large-scale deployment, expected to experience explosive growth in the coming years [1] Group 1: Industry Trends - The system cost of solar power, as the only energy source for satellites, is expected to continue increasing [1] - Current solar wing panels primarily use gallium arsenide technology, but new technologies such as P-type heterojunction and perovskite/silicon tandem are anticipated to gradually replace it in the medium to long term [1] Group 2: Market Potential - The space photovoltaic market is projected to reach a scale of trillions of yuan, indicating significant long-term investment opportunities in space photovoltaics [1]

在地面上大量建设AI数据中心会导致电力不足，进行冷却也需要大量水。而在太空，光伏电池 的发电效率最高可达地面的8倍，向太空释放废热也无需冷却水。美国科技巨头开始推进太空 数据中心构想…… 美国科技企业正在推进在太空建立用于AI的数据中心的构想。谷歌计划2027年发射人造卫 星，SpaceX和OpenAI也显示出兴趣。英伟达正在为发射搭载AI半导体的人造卫星的企业提 供支援。太空数据中心有可能替代正在激增的用于AI的地面基础设施。 在人造卫星设置服务器，24小时以太阳能供电 太空数据中心是在地球轨道上的人造卫星上设置服务器，在宇宙空间进行数据处理和存储的 机制。各企业正在描绘通过群控拥有计算和通信能力的人造卫星来替代地面数据中心的构 想。 电力可以在宇宙空间利用光伏电池昼夜发电。由于地面数据中心在未来难以确保所需的大量 电力和水，太空数据中心作为未来基础设施的形态而迅速受到关注。 从火箭分离的搭载英伟达半导体的Starcloud的首颗卫星（11月、引自SpaceX官方网站） "这是在宇宙空间中扩大机器学习计算能力的大胆挑战"。谷歌在11月公布了太空数据中心项 目"太阳捕手"计划（Project Suncatch ...

机构对商业航天板块持战略看多态度，认为 2026 年 A 股龙头标的风险 收益比更高，尤其看好中科星图、海格通信和航天电子。 国内政策利好频出，上交所明确商业火箭企业适用科创板第五套上市标 准，加速商业航天产业发展，引发一二级市场广泛关注。 SpaceX 计划以 1.5 万亿美元估值 IPO，以及国内可回收商用运载火箭 发射成功，从不同层面打开行业远期空间，太空算力成为估值重要因素。 太空商业化将显著提升火箭运力和卫星制造数量，大幅扩大产业市场空 间，国内商业航天企业市场空间全面打开。 海外太空数据中心发展有两条路线：一是亚马逊和 Starlink 建设太空数 据中心作为地面延伸，二是 SpaceX 通过低轨卫星互联网实现通信计算 融合。 国内商业航天发展分三阶段：政府机要需求建设低轨宽带卫星星座、天 地结合系统实现商业自洽、解决工程问题降低火箭运营成本实现太空算 力产业安全。 投资者应关注 SpaceX 的 IPO 进程（预计最早 2026 年 3 月）和蓝箭航 天等企业在深交所第五套标准下的 IPO 节奏提速，以及 2026 年第二季 度首个商业航天企业 IPO。 商业航天后市研判及重点方向梳理 2025 ...

格隆汇12月28日丨美国国家航空航天局(NASA)新任局长贾里德·艾萨克曼近期表示，美国将在特朗普第 二任任期内重返月球。这是艾萨克曼上周经参议院确认就任后首次公开表态。特朗普最初于2024年12月 提名艾萨克曼出任NASA局长，但今年5月突然撤回提名，理由是艾萨克曼的"过往关联"。尽管特朗普 未具体说明所指内容，但有分析认为这与其和马斯克的密切关系有关，今年夏天特朗普与马斯克曾爆发 激烈争执。今年11月，特朗普再次提名艾萨克曼。艾萨克曼还称，月球机遇包括建设太空数据中心和基 础设施。在建立月球基地后，NASA将考虑投资核能及空间核推进技术，以推动更远深空探索。他表 示，"阿尔忒弥斯二号"任务预计将在不久的将来升空，随后将开展"阿尔忒弥斯三号"任务。SpaceX已签 约负责建造该任务的登月系统。 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for the computer industry, indicating an expected increase in the industry index exceeding the benchmark index by more than 5% in the next 3-6 months [18]. Core Insights - The commercial aerospace sector is experiencing rapid development, with significant government support and a projected market size exceeding 2.8 trillion yuan by 2025. This growth is driven by advancements in satellite internet, computing satellites, and the establishment of space data centers [5][6]. - The establishment of the Commercial Aerospace Administration marks a new era for the industry, providing dedicated regulatory oversight and fostering high-quality development [5]. - The report highlights the acceleration of satellite launches, with notable achievements in satellite internet and computing satellite constellations, positioning China as a leader in global space technology [5][6]. Industry Overview - The computer industry comprises 338 listed companies with a total market capitalization of approximately 57.78 billion yuan and a circulating market value of about 52.46 billion yuan [2]. - The absolute performance of the industry over the past 12 months has increased by 18.5%, while its relative performance against the benchmark index has improved by 2.2% [3]. Key Companies and Financial Projections - Notable companies in the sector include China Satellite, Aerospace Electronics, and Unisoc, with varying market capitalizations and earnings projections for 2024 and 2025. For instance, China Satellite has a market cap of 108.74 billion yuan with an estimated EPS of 0.1 for 2024 [6][7]. - The report provides detailed earnings per share (EPS) and price-to-earnings (PE) ratios for several key players, indicating a diverse range of valuations and growth expectations across the industry [6][7].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform" [1] Core Insights - The report emphasizes the transition from a "one-time" era to a reusable rocket model, reshaping the commercial aerospace sector. China has elevated commercial aerospace to a strategic level, planning a constellation of thousands of satellites to compete in the space economy. The industry is following the low-cost, high-frequency technology paradigm validated by SpaceX's Falcon 9, with costs potentially dropping below $1,000/kg as operational capacity increases [2][3][4] - The next phase for commercial aerospace is the industrialization of space computing power. With breakthroughs in reusable rockets and mass manufacturing, the sector is entering a scalable era, focusing on commercial pathways for space computing power, which is gaining attention due to its low energy costs and minimal heat dissipation [2][3][4] Summary by Sections Section 1: Transition to Reusable Rockets - The report discusses the policy elevation of commercial aerospace in China, marking a new development stage with significant government support and strategic planning [10][11] - Key challenges include high costs, low launch frequency, and limited payload capacity, which are being addressed through advancements in reusable rocket technology and industrial production [15][21][23] Section 2: Industrialization of Space Computing Power - The report highlights the growing global demand for AI computing power and the limitations faced by ground data centers, positioning space computing as a high-value application area [2][3] - The cost structure of space data centers is analyzed, showing significant capital expenditure (Capex) advantages compared to ground facilities, with a ten-year total cost potentially being less than 50% of ground operations [2][3] Section 3: Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies involved in commercial aerospace and space computing, including but not limited to StarMap Control, China Aerospace Science and Technology Corporation, and others [2][3][4]