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外汇交易员· 2025-07-11 08:21
Demand Forecast - IEA lowers 2024 global oil demand growth forecast to 722 thousand barrels per day, down from 739 thousand barrels per day [1] - IEA lowers 2023 global oil demand growth forecast to 704 thousand barrels per day, a decrease from 724 thousand barrels per day, marking the lowest growth since 2009 excluding the pandemic [1] Supply Dynamics - Global oil supply is expected to increase to 2100 thousand barrels per day in 2023, up from the previous forecast of 1800 thousand barrels per day, driven by OPEC+ production increases [1]
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外汇交易员· 2025-07-11 06:26
Economic Stimulus Recommendations - Experts suggest the government should implement additional economic stimulus measures of 1 to 15 trillion RMB (approximately $137 billion to $206 billion USD based on current exchange rates) within 12 months [1] - The stimulus aims to boost resident consumption and mitigate the economic damage caused by US tariffs [1] - The report emphasizes the need for stronger counter-cyclical policies to maintain stable growth [1] Structural Reform Proposals - The report suggests expanding the individual income tax base and simplifying the value-added tax (VAT) structure in the long term [1] - The report highlights the importance of managing risks associated with SME lending to enable banks to lend to more productive sectors [1]