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外汇交易员· 2025-12-16 12:48
中央财办有关负责同志详解2025年中央经济工作会议精神:扩大内需是明年排在首位的重点任务。今年我国内需总体保持稳健,前三季度内需对经济增长贡献率达到71%。提振消费政策成效明显,扩大有效投资扎实推进。我们也注意到,近几个月消费和投资增速有所放缓,需要持续加力扩内需。外汇交易员 (@myfxtrader):中央经济工作会议12月10日至11日在北京举行(新华社)保持必要的财政赤字、债务总规模和支出总量,加强财政科学管理,优化财政支出结构,规范税收优惠、财政补贴政策。把促进经济稳定增长、物价合理回升作为货币政策的重要考量,灵活高效运用降准降息等多种政策工具。 https://t.co/hg50nWl2V1 ...
X @外汇交易员
外汇交易员· 2025-12-16 07:43
Trade Measures - China's Ministry of Commerce, based on the recommendation of the State Council Tariff Commission, will impose anti-dumping duties on imported pork and pork by-products originating from the EU starting December 17, 2025 [1] - The anti-dumping duty rates range from 49% to 189% [1] - The Ministry of Commerce has preliminarily ruled that imported pork and pork by-products originating from the EU are being dumped, causing substantial damage to the domestic industry, and there is a causal link between the dumping and the damage [2] - Starting September 10, 2025, importers of the investigated products must provide corresponding cash deposits to China Customs based on the cash deposit ratio determined in the preliminary ruling for each company [2]
X @外汇交易员
外汇交易员· 2025-12-16 06:09
Monetary Policy Outlook - Standard Chartered expects the People's Bank of China (PBOC) to maintain an accommodative monetary policy [1] - PBOC is projected to potentially cut the Reserve Requirement Ratio (RRR) by 25 basis points (0.25%) in Q1 2026 [1] - A potential 10 basis points (0.1%) reduction in the 7-day reverse repo rate is anticipated in Q2 2026 [1] - The central bank is expected to inject sufficient liquidity to absorb large-scale government bond supply [1] - Structural re-lending tools will be utilized to support key sectors [1] - The central bank is expected to steadily increase its holdings of government bonds [1] RRR and Bond Yield Forecast - The RRR for large banks is expected to remain at 7.25% [1] - The 10-year government bond yield is projected to trend downwards [1] - Year-end forecast for the 10-year government bond yield is 1.30% [1]