Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Buy" [3] Core Insights - The industry demand continues to grow, with new energy vehicle sales expected to reach 8.32 million units from January to September 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 33%. The demand for power batteries in new energy vehicles is also strong, with a total of 347 GWh installed, up 36% year-on-year [1][3] - Leading companies in the industry, such as CATL, reported a revenue of 92.3 billion CNY in Q3 2024, a decrease of 13% year-on-year, but a net profit increase of 26% to 13.1 billion CNY, with a gross margin of 31.17%, up 8.75 percentage points year-on-year [1][3] - The overseas market shows significant potential, with new energy vehicle registrations in Europe reaching 1.442 million units, a 1.6% increase year-on-year, and in the US, registrations reached 717,000 units, up 7.9% year-on-year. Leading battery companies are accelerating their expansion into overseas markets [1][3] - New technologies such as sodium-ion, solid-state, and composite electrolytes are evolving, with companies like CATL and Penghui Energy making significant advancements in solid-state battery technology [1][3] Summary by Sections Industry Demand - New energy vehicle sales are projected to be 8.32 million units from January to September 2024, a 33% increase year-on-year [1] - Power battery installations for new energy vehicles reached 347 GWh, a 36% increase year-on-year [1] Company Performance - CATL's Q3 2024 revenue was 92.3 billion CNY, down 13% year-on-year, but net profit rose 26% to 13.1 billion CNY, with a gross margin of 31.17% [1] - The company's capacity utilization rate improved to 65.33% in H1 2024, up from 60.5% in H1 2023 [1] Overseas Market - European new energy vehicle registrations reached 1.442 million units, a 1.6% increase year-on-year, with a penetration rate of 21% [1] - US new energy vehicle registrations were 717,000 units, a 7.9% increase year-on-year, with a penetration rate of 10.1% [1] Technological Advancements - CATL has been developing solid-state batteries for years and has released a battery suitable for aviation applications [1] - Penghui Energy announced its first-generation solid-state battery with breakthroughs in both process and material, set for small-scale production in 2025 and full-scale promotion in 2026 [1]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Buy" [2] Core Viewpoints - The National Railway Group has re-tendered for 80 sets of high-speed trains, with a total of 245 sets of 350 km/h trains tendered this year, representing a 49% increase compared to last year's 164 sets [2] - The fixed asset investment in railways reached 561.2 billion CNY from January to September, a year-on-year increase of 10.3%, with September alone seeing an investment of 83.7 billion CNY, up 8.84% year-on-year [2] - The industry is expected to see stable demand for new trains, with an estimated annual tendering center of around 200 sets during the 14th Five-Year Plan period [2] - The market for maintenance and replacement of old locomotives is anticipated to grow significantly, with over 500 sets of advanced maintenance tenders expected to be completed this year [2] - The industry is entering a phase of accelerated performance release, supported by both incremental demand and the need for maintenance and upgrades [2] Summary by Sections - **Industry Investment Rating**: The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the rail transit equipment industry [2] - **Tendering and Investment**: The National Railway Group's tendering activities and fixed asset investments indicate robust growth in the rail sector, with significant increases in both new train orders and infrastructure investments [2] - **Market Dynamics**: The report highlights the stability in new train demand and the potential for growth in the maintenance market, suggesting a positive outlook for the industry [2] - **Investment Recommendations**: The report recommends continued investment in companies such as CRRC Corporation and Times Electric, while also suggesting attention to other related firms [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Transsion Holdings with a target price of 118.31 CNY per share, based on a 20x PE valuation for 2025 [4] Core Views - Transsion Holdings reported Q3 2024 revenue of 16.693 billion CNY, a YoY decrease of 7.22%, and net profit of 1.051 billion CNY, a YoY decrease of 41.02% [2] - The company's gross margin improved to 21.72% in Q3 2024, up 0.83 percentage points QoQ, driven by easing upstream component price pressures [2] - Transsion maintains a strong market position in Africa and is expanding into emerging markets such as South Asia, Southeast Asia, Latin America, the Middle East, and Eastern Europe [2] - The company is actively developing AI-enabled smartphones, including the PHANTOM V Fold2 5G, featuring AI functions like real-time call translation and AI image editing [2] Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2024, Transsion achieved revenue of 51.252 billion CNY, a YoY increase of 19.13%, and net profit of 3.903 billion CNY, a YoY increase of 0.50% [2] - The company's EPS is forecasted to be 4.68, 5.92, and 6.81 CNY for 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively [2] - Revenue growth is expected to be 14.9% in 2024 and 2025, and 14.6% in 2026, with net profit growth projected at -3.6%, 26.3%, and 15.1% for the same periods [3] Market Expansion and AI Strategy - Transsion has established a significant market share in Africa and is making inroads into Pakistan and Bangladesh, with further growth potential in other emerging markets [2] - The company launched multiple AI-enabled smartphones in September 2024, including the PHANTOM V Fold2 5G, which features advanced AI capabilities [2] - Transsion has partnered with MediaTek to establish an AI joint laboratory in Shenzhen, focusing on innovations in large language models, AI agents, and AI voice and imaging applications for smartphones [2] Valuation and Financial Ratios - The company's P/E ratio is projected to be 20.75, 16.42, and 14.27 for 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively [3] - ROE is expected to be 22.7%, 22.6%, and 21.0% for 2024, 2025, and 2026, while EV/EBITDA is forecasted at 15.02, 10.82, and 8.75 for the same periods [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 21.35 CNY per share, compared to the current price of 19.05 CNY [5][3]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 425 million CNY for the first three quarters of 2024, a decrease of 9.44% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 68.14 million CNY, down 16.62% year-on-year. However, in Q3 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 165 million CNY, representing a year-on-year growth of 42.29%, and a net profit of 27.42 million CNY, up 396% year-on-year [2][3]. - The company plans to host five exhibitions in Q4 2024, including a significant event in India, which is expected to contribute positively to profits due to improved bilateral relations and higher chances of visa approvals for participants [2][3]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue (in million CNY): - 2022: 348 - 2023: 835 - 2024E: 1013 - 2025E: 1297 - 2026E: 1594 - Year-on-year growth rates for revenue are projected at 91.8% for 2022, 139.7% for 2023, and 21.3% for 2024 [4][3]. - Net profit (in million CNY): - 2022: 50 - 2023: 188 - 2024E: 223 - 2025E: 307 - 2026E: 393 - Year-on-year growth rates for net profit are projected at 187.4% for 2022, 273.5% for 2023, and 18.7% for 2024 [4][3]. Profitability Metrics - The company’s gross margin for the first three quarters of 2024 was 50.17%, a decrease of 2.05 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to fixed exhibition costs despite a decline in revenue [2]. - The net profit margin is expected to improve in the coming years, with projections of 29.4% for 2024, 28.7% for 2025, and 26.9% for 2026 [4][3]. Valuation Metrics - The report suggests a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 22 times for 2024, indicating a reasonable valuation based on comparable companies [3]. - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for 2024 is projected at 0.97 CNY, with further increases to 1.33 CNY in 2025 and 1.71 CNY in 2026 [4][3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Sinosteel Engineering & Technology Co Ltd (000928 SZ) with a target price of 7 76 RMB per share [1][3] Core Views - Overseas orders are expected to maintain strong growth particularly in the Russian-speaking region with a significant increase in Q3 2024 [1] - The company's Q3 2024 gross margin improved significantly leading to better-than-expected earnings growth [1] - The "Belt and Road" initiative is expected to further boost the company's overseas orders [1] Financial Performance - In Q1-Q3 2024 the company reported revenue of 12 603 billion RMB a YoY decrease of 26 56% while net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 30 36% to 640 million RMB [1] - Q3 2024 revenue was 3 529 billion RMB a YoY decrease of 45 42% but net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 48 67% to 221 million RMB [1] - Gross margin and net margin for Q1-Q3 2024 were 12 39% and 5 30% respectively up by 3 84 and 2 28 percentage points YoY [1] Order Book - In Q1-Q3 2024 the company signed new contracts worth 15 05 billion RMB a YoY increase of 4% with overseas contracts accounting for 12 29 billion RMB a YoY increase of 81% [1] - Q3 2024 new contracts were worth 5 35 billion RMB a YoY increase of 6% with overseas contracts contributing 4 18 billion RMB a YoY increase of 215% [1] Profit Forecast - The company is expected to achieve net profit attributable to shareholders of 865 million RMB in 2024 1 038 billion RMB in 2025 and 1 188 billion RMB in 2026 [1] - EPS is forecasted to be 0 60 RMB in 2024 0 72 RMB in 2025 and 0 83 RMB in 2026 [2] Valuation Metrics - The company's P/E ratio is projected to be 11 89x in 2024 9 91x in 2025 and 8 66x in 2026 [2] - ROE is expected to be 10 0% in 2024 10 7% in 2025 and 10 9% in 2026 [2] Financial Ratios - Gross margin is forecasted to be 11 3% in 2024 11 1% in 2025 and 10 9% in 2026 [11] - Net margin is expected to be 5 0% in 2024 5 1% in 2025 and 5 1% in 2026 [11] - The debt-to-asset ratio is projected to be 61 9% in 2024 62 0% in 2025 and 61 3% in 2026 [11]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy-A/Buy-H" rating for the company, with a target price of 19.84 RMB for A-shares and 12.86 HKD for H-shares [2] Core Views - Q3 performance showed a slight sequential improvement, exceeding market expectations [2] - Q3 net profit attributable to shareholders was 3.84 billion RMB, down 15.6% YoY but up 0.7% QoQ [2] - Cost control was effective, with coal chemical business profitability continuing to improve [2] - Q3 coal production increased 7% QoQ, with significant cost control achievements [2] - The company's dividend payout ratio remains among the industry leaders [2] Financial Performance - Q3 coal production reached 36.73 million tons, up 10% YoY and 7% QoQ [2] - Q3 coal sales were 31.82 million tons, up 7% YoY but down 1% QoQ [2] - Q3 coal chemical product sales were 1.95 million tons, down 8% YoY but up 5% QoQ [2] - Q3 coal chemical business revenue was 6.2 billion RMB, down 12% YoY and 1% QoQ [2] - Q3 coal chemical business gross profit was 1.5 billion RMB, down 18% YoY but up 14% QoQ [2] Future Outlook - The company's medium-to-long-term development strategy is gradually being implemented [2] - Growth advantages are prominent, with incremental production expected in Shandong, Xinjiang, Shaanxi-Mongolia, and Australia [2] - The Inner Mongolia Rongxin Chemical 800,000-ton olefin project and Xinjiang Energy Chemical are expected to be major growth drivers [2] - EPS forecasts for 2024-2026 are 1.50, 1.65, and 1.75 RMB per share respectively [2] Valuation - The report values the company at 12x 2025 PE for A-shares, resulting in a target price of 19.84 RMB [2] - Based on the AH share premium rate, the H-share target price is set at 12.86 HKD [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Hangzhou Bank [12][4][5]. Core Viewpoints - Hangzhou Bank exhibits excellent asset quality, low liability costs, and high income generation, positioning it favorably in the industry [12]. - The bank's asset quality is among the best in its peer group, attributed to a long-term strategy of not compromising on risk for growth [12][68]. - The bank is focusing on innovation-driven financial services, particularly in the technology and creative sectors, which is expected to enhance its growth potential [12][162]. Summary by Sections 1. ROE Breakdown: Strong Fundamentals Compared to Peers - Asset quality is top-tier, consistently maintained at an excellent level [12][68]. - Net interest margin (NIM) is narrowing the gap with industry averages, with corporate loans showing a significant advantage [12][92]. - Non-interest income is bolstered by technology-driven financial services, reinforcing the bank's comprehensive financial service capabilities [12][112]. 2. Short-term: Excellent Asset Quality and Significant Performance Release Potential - The bank's existing asset quality is superior, with the highest excess provisioning in the industry [12][123]. - The bank's risk appetite is low, ensuring a robust buffer against economic fluctuations [12][129]. - Profit growth is sustainable due to the bank's strong asset quality and prudent provisioning policies [12][139]. 3. Mid-term: Stable Management and Focus on Technology Finance - The management team is experienced and stable, ensuring consistent execution of long-term strategies [12][157]. - The bank is actively developing its technology finance sector, with a significant increase in financing for tech enterprises [12][179]. 4. Profit Forecast and Investment Recommendations - The bank is expected to achieve a net profit growth of 17.49% and 14.20% for 2024 and 2025, respectively, with EPS projected at 2.73 and 3.14 CNY per share [12][199]. - The current stock price corresponds to a PE ratio of 5.03X for 2024 and 4.38X for 2025, with a PB ratio of 0.76X and 0.67X, respectively [12][199]. - Given the bank's solid fundamentals and asset quality, a PB valuation of 1X for 2024 is justified, leading to a target price of 17.96 CNY per share [12][199].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Tencent Music (TME) with a target price of 13.75 USD per ADS, equivalent to 53.45 HKD per share [5][54]. Core Views - Tencent Music's Q3 2024 total revenue reached 70.15 billion RMB, showing a year-over-year increase of 7% and a quarter-over-quarter decrease of 2%, slightly above consensus expectations of 70 billion RMB. The Non-GAAP net profit was 18.14 billion RMB, up 29% YoY but down 3% QoQ, with a Non-GAAP net profit margin of 25.9% [2][11]. - The online music business continues to grow steadily, with Q3 2024 revenue of 54.8 billion RMB, a 20% increase YoY and a 1% increase QoQ. Subscription revenue contributed 38.4 billion RMB, also up 20% YoY and 3% QoQ [3][21]. - The company aims to increase its SVIP membership to over 10 million and enhance the Average Revenue Per User (ARPU) value, which is projected to rise to 11 RMB in Q4 2024 [3][45]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Q3 2024 total revenue: 70.15 billion RMB, YoY +7%, QoQ -2% [2][11] - Non-GAAP net profit: 18.14 billion RMB, YoY +29%, QoQ -3% [2][11] - Non-GAAP net profit margin: 25.9%, YoY +4.4 percentage points, QoQ -0.3 percentage points [2][11] - Q3 2024 gross margin: 42.6%, slightly above consensus of 42.4%, YoY +7 percentage points, QoQ +0.6 percentage points [3][37]. Business Segments - Online music revenue in Q3 2024: 54.8 billion RMB, YoY +20%, QoQ +1% [3][21] - Subscription revenue: 38.4 billion RMB, YoY +20%, QoQ +3% [3][21] - Non-subscription revenue: 16.4 billion RMB, YoY +20%, QoQ -2% [3][21] - Social entertainment revenue: 15.35 billion RMB, YoY -24%, QoQ -12%, but showing signs of stabilization [34]. Future Projections - Q4 2024 revenue expected to be 73 billion RMB, YoY +6%, with Non-GAAP net profit projected at 20 billion RMB, YoY +29% [3][45]. - Long-term revenue projections for 2024-2025: 282 billion RMB and 311 billion RMB, with growth rates of 1.7% and 10.3% respectively [3][45]. - Expected Non-GAAP net profit for 2024-2025: 74.23 billion RMB and 88.84 billion RMB, with growth rates of 25.3% and 19.7% respectively [3][45].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 11.00 CNY per share, based on a 26X PE valuation for 2024 [5][3]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 2.013 billion CNY for the first three quarters of 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 24.46%. The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 1.008 billion CNY, up 28.04% year-on-year [2][3]. - In Q3 2024, the company generated a revenue of 836 million CNY, a decrease of 4.69% year-on-year, with a net profit of 457 million CNY, down 5.54% year-on-year [2][3]. - The gross margin for Q3 was 75.64%, a decline of 2.15 percentage points year-on-year, while the operating expense ratio increased to 10.79%, up 1.92 percentage points year-on-year [2][3]. Financial Performance Summary - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 1.11 billion CNY, 1.29 billion CNY, and 1.46 billion CNY for the years 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, with growth rates of 16.2% and 13.1% for 2025 and 2026 [3][4]. - The projected revenue for 2024 is 2.468 billion CNY, with a growth rate of 28.1% compared to 2023 [4][3]. - The EBITDA for 2024 is estimated at 1.816 billion CNY, with a steady increase expected in subsequent years [4][3]. Operational Highlights - The newly opened parks in Foshan and the Three Gorges have performed exceptionally well, with over 2.6 million visitors during the National Day holiday, a 59.7% increase year-on-year [3][2]. - The company’s various projects, such as the Hangzhou Songcheng and Xi'an projects, have shown strong performance, with high attendance rates and numerous performances during peak periods [3][2].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 18.82 CNY per share based on a 9x PE for 2025 [5][2]. Core Insights - The company's Q3 performance showed a sequential decline of 11%, primarily due to a drop in both volume and price of commodity coal. The net profit attributable to shareholders for the first three quarters was 4.14 billion CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 18.2% [1][2]. - The company is a leading coking coal producer in East China, with a high proportion of long-term coal sales contracts, indicating strong earnings stability. The anticipated completion of the 8 million ton Tuhutu coal mine is expected to increase coal production capacity by over 30% compared to 2023 [2][5]. - The company has successfully achieved production capacity for its 600,000-ton anhydrous ethanol project in Q3, with several other projects in coal, chemicals, and power generation expected to be completed and operational in the next two years [1][2]. Financial Summary - For 2023, the company reported a revenue of 73.592 billion CNY, with a year-on-year growth rate of 6.3%. However, the forecast for 2024 indicates a revenue decline of 9.3% to 66.740 billion CNY [3]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2023 is projected at 6.225 billion CNY, reflecting an 11.2% decrease from the previous year. The EPS for 2024 is expected to be 1.94 CNY, with a gradual increase to 2.24 CNY by 2026 [3][2]. - The company's EBITDA for 2023 is estimated at 11.960 billion CNY, with a forecasted decline to 10.923 billion CNY in 2024 [3]. Production and Sales Data - In Q3, the company produced 5.35 million tons of commodity coal, a year-on-year decrease of 1% but a sequential increase of 5%. The coal sales volume was 3.85 million tons, down 3% year-on-year and 4% sequentially [1]. - The average revenue per ton of coal was 1,053 CNY, reflecting a 3% year-on-year increase but a 5% sequential decline. The cost per ton was 541 CNY, up 6% year-on-year and 1% sequentially [1]. Future Outlook - The company expects to benefit from the resumption of production at the Xinhu Mine next year, which is anticipated to contribute additional output. The average price of coking coal in Q4 has stabilized after a reduction in September [1][2].