[Table_Page] 行业专题研究|纺织服饰 2026 年 2 月 25 日 证券研究报告 [Table_Title] 纺织服装行业全球观察之亚瑟士 | | | FY2025：业绩持续高增长，FY2026 展望乐观 | | --- | --- | --- | | 分析师： [Tabl | 糜韩杰 | 分析师： 董建芳 | | e_Author] | SAC 执证号：S0260516020001 | SAC 执证号：S0260525060002 | | | SFC CE.no: BPH764 | | | | 021-38003650 | dongjianfang@gf.com.cn | | | mihanjie@gf.com.cn | | | | 请注意，董建芳并非香港证券及期货事务监察委员会的注册持牌人，不可在香港从事受监管活动。 | | [Table_Summary] 核心观点： 相关研究 [Table_Report ： ] 纺织服装行业:人形机器人亮相春晚带动销售热潮，看好纺服涉机器人产业链业务公司未来发展 2026-02-23 纺织服装行业:纺织服装与轻工行业数据周报 2.7-2.13 2026-0 ...

[Table_Page] 行业专题研究|纺织服饰 2026 年 2 月 25 日 证券研究报告 [Table_Title] 纺织服装行业全球观察之德克斯户外 FY2026Q3：HOKA 营收持续高增，公司上调业绩指引 | 分析师： [Tabl | 糜韩杰 | 分析师： | 董建芳 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | e_Author] | SAC 执证号：S0260516020001 | | SAC 执证号：S0260525060002 | | | SFC CE.no: BPH764 | | | | | 021-38003650 | | dongjianfang@gf.com.cn | | | mihanjie@gf.com.cn | | | | | 请注意，董建芳并非香港证券及期货事务监察委员会的注册持牌人，不可在香港从事受监管活动。 | | | [Table_Summary] 核心观点： 识别风险，发现价值 请务必阅读末页的免责声明 1 / 6 972918116公共联系人2026-02-25 17:02:49 [本报告联系人： Table_C ontacter] 德克斯户外公布 ...

[Table_Page] 行业专题研究|纺织服饰 2026 年 2 月 25 日 证券研究报告 [Table_Title] 纺织服装行业全球观察之安德玛 FY2026Q3：泛欧洲和拉美地区销售回暖，营收指引略有上调 [Tabl e_Author] 分析师： 糜韩杰 分析师： 董建芳 SAC 执证号：S0260516020001 SFC CE.no: BPH764 SAC 执证号：S0260525060002 021-38003650 dongjianfang@gf.com.cn mihanjie@gf.com.cn 请注意，董建芳并非香港证券及期货事务监察委员会的注册持牌人，不可在香港从事受监管活动。 [Table_Summary] 核心观点： 识别风险，发现价值 请务必阅读末页的免责声明 1/8 972918116公共联系人2026-02-25 16:56:24 [本报告联系人： Table_C ontacter] 安德玛公布 FY2026Q3 业绩（2025 年 10 月-2025 年 12 月）。（1）收入：FY2026Q3 实现营收 13.28 亿美 元，同比下降 4.7%；FY2026Q1-3 实现 ...

[Table_Page] 行业专题研究|证券Ⅱ 2026 年 2 月 25 日 证券研究报告 [Table_Title] 证券Ⅱ行业 如何理解建设金融强国下的券商的发展方向与投资机遇 | [Tabl 分析师： | 陈福 | 分析师： | 严漪澜 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | e_Author] | SAC 执证号：S0260517050001 | | SAC 执证号：S0260524070005 | | | SFC CE.no: BOB667 | | | | | 0755-82535901 | | 0755-82544248 | | | chenfu@gf.com.cn | | yanyilan@gf.com.cn | | | 请注意，严漪澜并非香港证券及期货事务监察委员会的注册持牌人，不可在香港从事受监管活动。 | | | [Table_Summary] 核心观点： 重点公司估值和财务分析表 | 相关研究 [Table_Report ： ] | | | --- | --- | | 证券Ⅱ行业:首部衍生品规章出台，打开券商杠杆提升空间 | 2026-01-18 | | 证券Ⅱ行业 ...

[Table_Page] 行业专题研究|国防军工 2026 年 2 月 25 日 证券研究报告 [Table_Title] 国防军工行业 | | | | SpaceX﹒多行星文明："运、连、算、光"四位一体太空基建 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 分析师： [Tabl | 孟祥杰 | 分析师： | 邱净博 | 分析师： | 吴坤其 | | e_Author] | SAC 执证号：S0260521040002 | | SAC 执证号：S0260522120005 | | SAC 执证号：S0260522120001 | | | SFC CE.no: BRF275 | | | | SFC CE.no: BRT139 | | | 010-59136693 | | 010-59136685 | | 010-59133689 | | | mengxiangjie@gf.com.cn | | qiujingbo@gf.com.cn | | wukunqi@gf.com.cn | | | 请注意，邱净博并非香港证券及期货事务监察委员会的注册持牌人，不可在香港从事受 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the banking sector, indicating an expectation of stock performance exceeding the market by more than 10% over the next 12 months [58]. Core Insights - In 2025, the banking sector's asset growth is projected to be 8.01%, an increase from 6.52% in 2024, driven by factors such as fiscal stimulus, cross-border capital inflows, and the activation of maturing deposits [5][13]. - The report identifies two key cycles affecting asset pricing in banking: the bank expansion cycle and the interest margin cycle, suggesting a comprehensive analysis of these cycles [5][13]. - The debt cycle is characterized as a fundamental aspect of the bank expansion cycle, with a model proposed by Dalio outlining seven stages of a typical debt cycle, which can be influenced by external debt reliance [16][19]. - The report anticipates limited upward space for the debt cycle in 2026, with government leverage expected to increase by 5.89%, lower than the 7.6% projected for 2025 [35][36]. - The banking interest margin cycle is expected to stabilize in 2025, following two complete cycles since 2010, with a correlation observed between bank interest margins and the 30Y-10Y government bond spread [41][45]. Summary by Sections Bank Expansion Cycle - The asset growth rates for different types of banks in 2025 are projected as follows: state-owned banks at 11%, joint-stock banks at 4.74%, city commercial banks at 9.68%, and rural commercial banks at 5.17%, all exceeding the average growth rate [5][13]. - The report emphasizes the importance of understanding the relationship between bank assets and liabilities, highlighting that credit and debt expansion are cyclical and self-reinforcing [15][16]. Debt Cycle Analysis - The report outlines that the current debt cycle, which began in 2022, has lasted 16 quarters, surpassing previous cycles, and indicates a shift in leverage dynamics among enterprises, government, and households [35][36]. - The analysis includes a comparison of deflationary and inflationary debt cycles, noting that the U.S. faces greater inflationary pressures due to higher external debt reliance compared to China [21][19]. Interest Margin Cycle - The report notes that the banking interest margin has experienced significant fluctuations since 2010, with a stabilization phase expected to begin in 2025 [41][45]. - It highlights the impact of loan repricing cycles on interest margins, with a notable decline in loan rates observed in recent years [49][50].

[Table_Page] 投资策略周报|银行 证券研究报告 [Table_Title] 银行投资观察 20260223 节后流动性无虞，关注二季度通胀格局 [Table_Summary] 核心观点： [Table_Gr ade] 行业评级 买入 前次评级 买入 报告日期 2026-02-24 [Table_PicQuote] 相对市场表现 [分析师： Table_Author]倪军 -10% -3% 4% 10% 17% 24% 02/25 05/25 07/25 09/25 12/25 02/26 银行 沪深300 | | SAC 执证号：S0260518020004 | | --- | --- | | | 021-38003646 | | | nijun@gf.com.cn | | 分析师： | 林虎 | | | SAC 执证号：S0260525040004 | | | SFC CE No. BWK411 | | | 021-38003643 | | | gflinhu@gf.com.cn | 请注意，倪军并非香港证券及期货事务监察委员会的注册 持牌人，不可在香港从事受监管活动。 [Table_ 相关研究 ...

Group 1 - Industry Investment Rating: Buy [2] - Previous Rating: Buy [2] - Report Date: February 24, 2026 [2] Group 2 - Core Viewpoint: The report summarizes feedback from six liquor distributors across five provinces regarding the sales performance of liquor during the Spring Festival, indicating a narrowing decline in sales of famous liquor compared to the Mid-Autumn Festival. The C-end scenarios, such as banquets, performed well with an upgrade trend, while B-end scenarios are still recovering [6][9][14] - Feedback from Henan liquor distributors indicates that Moutai and Wuliangye are leading in sales, with Moutai's return rate exceeding 35% and Wuliangye's at 30%. There is a trend of consumers concentrating on famous liquor across different price ranges [6][9] - In Shandong, Fenjiu is performing well in the mid-range segment, with a reported sales growth of approximately 8% during the Spring Festival [10] - In Anhui, the wedding market showed strong performance, particularly in the 200 CNY price range, which is experiencing growth [11] - Jiangsu distributors reported a mixed performance, with strong sales at both ends of the market but weakness in the mid-range, indicating a systemic price-driven volume increase [13] - In Sichuan, overall sales volume is expected to decline by 8% and sales amount by 15%, with personal and gift consumption performing better than expected [13] Group 3 - Investment Recommendations: For liquor, the sector is expected to enter a new development cycle in 2026 after four years of adjustment. Key recommendations include Luzhou Laojiao, Shanxi Fenjiu, Shede Liquor, Guizhou Moutai, Jianshe Liquor, and Gujing Gongjiu. For consumer goods, the industry is expected to see a moderate price increase in 2026, with opportunities in new products and channels. Key recommendations include Anjoy Food, Lihua Food, Angel Yeast, Yanjing Beer, Qianhe Flavor Industry, Dongpeng Beverage, New Dairy, Guoquan, and Tianwei Food [14]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Buy" [2] Core Insights - The insurance sector is expected to see a double-digit growth in asset scale by 2025, with a significant increase in equity allocation compared to the previous year [7] - The investment assets of insurance companies reached 38.5 trillion CNY by the end of Q4 2025, marking a 15.7% increase from the beginning of the year, with life insurance and property insurance companies holding 34.7 trillion CNY and 2.4 trillion CNY respectively [7] - The proportion of equity assets in insurance funds has notably increased, with stocks and funds accounting for 23% of total investments by Q4 2025, indicating room for further enhancement in equity allocation [7] Summary by Sections Investment Scale and Allocation - By the end of Q4 2025, the investment balance of insurance companies reached 38.5 trillion CNY, a 15.7% increase year-on-year, with life insurance companies accounting for 90.1% of the total [7] - The bond allocation remained stable, while the proportion of stocks and funds increased significantly, with life and property insurance companies showing respective stock and fund allocations of 15.3% and 17.1% by Q4 2025 [7] Market Performance and Trends - The insurance sector's investment assets have shown continuous double-digit growth, driven by strong demand on the liability side and an upward trend in the equity market [7] - The overall solvency ratio of the insurance industry was 181% by Q4 2025, indicating a healthy capital position and potential for increased equity investments [7] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on the insurance sector, particularly on stocks such as China Ping An, China Life, China Taiping, and AIA Insurance, which are expected to benefit from improved equity elasticity and favorable market conditions [7]

Core Viewpoints - The report highlights a positive outlook for the non-bank financial sector, driven by favorable policies and continued capital inflow, suggesting potential for sector rebound [1][6]. - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the sector, indicating expected strong performance relative to the market [2]. Market Performance - As of February 14, 2026, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.41%, while the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 1.39%. The CSI 300 Index saw a modest gain of 0.36% [12]. - The average daily trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 2.11 trillion yuan, reflecting a 12.3% decrease week-on-week [6]. Industry Dynamics and Weekly Commentary Insurance Sector - The report indicates that listed insurance companies are expected to maintain high growth, with a marginal improvement in long-term interest margins. The insurance fund utilization scale reached 38.5 trillion yuan in Q4 2025, up 15.7% year-on-year [18]. - The report suggests that the upcoming spring market rally may drive better-than-expected performance for insurance companies in Q1 2026, supported by a stable long-term interest rate and an upward trend in the equity market [18]. Securities Sector - The report discusses the recent optimization measures for refinancing announced by the three major exchanges, which aim to enhance financing efficiency and support high-quality enterprises [19]. - The new refinancing rules are expected to create structural opportunities for securities firms, shifting the focus from compliance to the ability to identify and serve quality clients [20]. - The report emphasizes that the optimization of refinancing will lead to a more differentiated regulatory system, benefiting quality companies while tightening controls on weaker entities [22]. Key Company Valuations and Financial Analysis - The report provides detailed valuations for several key companies in the sector, including: - China Ping An (601318.SH) with a target price of 85.17 yuan and a "Buy" rating [7]. - New China Life (601336.SH) with a target price of 94.21 yuan and a "Buy" rating [7]. - China Life (601628.SH) with a target price of 55.47 yuan and a "Buy" rating [7]. - The report also highlights the expected earnings per share (EPS) growth for these companies, indicating a positive outlook for their financial performance in 2025 and 2026 [7].