Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company [2] Core Views - The report highlights a recovery in net interest margin and a significant increase in dividend payout ratio [1] - The company's revenue, pre-provision operating profit (PPOP), and net profit attributable to shareholders for 2024 are projected to grow by 8.2%, 13.9%, and 6.2% year-on-year, respectively [6][11] - The report emphasizes the stability of asset quality, with a non-performing loan (NPL) ratio of 0.76% and a provision coverage ratio of 389% [6][8] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company's total revenue growth for 2024 is 8.2%, with a PPOP growth of 13.9% and a net profit growth of 6.2% compared to the previous year [6][11] - The growth rates for revenue, PPOP, and net profit for the first three quarters of 2024 show slight improvements compared to the first quarter [11][19] Asset Quality - The NPL ratio remains stable at 0.76%, with a provision coverage ratio of 389%, indicating a strong buffer against potential loan losses [6][8] - The report notes a decrease in the attention loan ratio to 1.03%, suggesting improved asset quality management [6] Capital and Dividends - The core Tier 1 capital adequacy ratio increased to 9.84%, reflecting a solid capital position [6][8] - The dividend payout ratio reached 21.91%, exceeding 20% for the first time, which enhances the company's attractiveness to investors [6][8] Growth Drivers - The report identifies strong growth in loan and deposit volumes, with loans and deposits increasing by 17.8% and 17.2% year-on-year, respectively [6][8] - The net interest margin is reported at 1.86%, showing a slight recovery due to improved funding costs [6][8] Valuation - The report estimates a reasonable value of 34.71 CNY per share based on a 1.1 times price-to-book (PB) ratio for 2024 [6][8]

[Table_Page] 投资策略周报|建筑材料 证券研究报告 [Table_Title] 建筑材料行业 扩内需政策或持续加码，2025 年是盈利修复年 [Table_Summary] 核心观点： [Table_PicQuote] 相对市场表现 [分析师： Table_Author]谢璐 SAC 执证号：S0260514080004 SFC CE No. BMB592 021-38003688 xielu@gf.com.cn 分析师： 张乾 SAC 执证号：S0260522080003 021-38003687 gzzhangqian@gf.com.cn 分析师： 吴红艳 SAC 执证号：S0260525020003 无 -24% -14% -5% 5% 14% 24% 04/24 06/24 08/24 11/24 01/25 04/25 建筑材料 沪深300 wuhongyan@gf.com.cn 请注意，张乾,吴红艳并非香港证券及期货事务监察委员会 的注册持牌人，不可在香港从事受监管活动。 [Table_ 相关研究： DocReport] | 建筑材料行业:水泥纳入碳市 | 2025-03-30 | | ...

[Table_Page] 深度分析|证券Ⅱ 证券研究报告 [Table_Title] 23 家上市券商 2024 年报总结 投资再现胜负手，投行触底迎新机 [Table_Summary] 核心观点： | [Table_Grade] 行业评级 | 买入 | | --- | --- | | 前次评级 | 买入 | | 报告日期 | 2025-04-06 | [相对市场表现 Table_PicQuote] [分析师： Table_Author]陈福 SAC 执证号：S0260517050001 SFC CE No. BOB667 0755-82535901 chenfu@gf.com.cn 分析师： 严漪澜 SAC 执证号：S0260524070005 0755-88286912 yanyilan@gf.com.cn -14% 1% 16% 30% 45% 60% 04/24 06/24 08/24 11/24 01/25 03/25 证券Ⅱ 沪深300 请注意，严漪澜并非香港证券及期货事务监察委员会的注 册持牌人，不可在香港从事受监管活动。 | DocReport] [Table_ 相关研究： | | | --- ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company with a current price of 36.00 CNY and a fair value of 39.35 CNY [2]. Core Insights - The company is positioned as a leader in the inland ship engine market and a pioneer in domestic diesel generator replacement, benefiting from policies promoting upgrades and a recovering domestic demand [6][8]. - The generator business is expected to experience rapid growth due to increasing demand from data centers driven by AI computing power, with the company capturing significant market share in upcoming tenders [8][60]. - The company forecasts a substantial increase in net profit from 326 million CNY in 2025 to 653 million CNY in 2027, supported by a projected 40x PE ratio for 2025 [8]. Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - Weichai Heavy Machinery Co., Ltd. is a high-tech enterprise with a comprehensive service network covering inland, coastal, and major islands in China, supported by over 300 maintenance stations [17][20]. - The company produces a wide range of engines and generators, establishing a full industry chain advantage in power solutions [23]. 2. Diesel Generator Business - The global diesel generator market is expected to grow steadily, with China becoming a key driver of this growth, increasing its market share from approximately 26.37% in 2018 to nearly 30% by 2030 [42][46]. - The company has seen significant growth in its generator business, with a revenue increase of 38.44% year-on-year in 2024, marking a new high [50]. 3. Inland Ship Engine Market - The company benefits from domestic policies promoting the replacement of aging vessels, which is expected to stabilize demand in the inland ship engine market [8][60]. - The introduction of new products aimed at reducing fuel consumption is expected to enhance the company's market share in the inland and near-coastal fishing vessel markets [8]. 4. Financial Projections - The company anticipates a steady increase in revenue from 40.02 billion CNY in 2024 to 89.87 billion CNY by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate of 27.5% in 2025 [7]. - The projected EBITDA for 2025 is 401 million CNY, with a net profit of 326 million CNY, reflecting a growth rate of 76.2% [7]. 5. Market Dynamics - The demand for diesel generators is expected to rise significantly due to the expansion of data centers, with the market size projected to reach 190 billion USD in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 86.9% [60][67]. - The company has successfully increased its market share in tenders, achieving a 40% share in the 2025-2026 bidding for high-pressure water-cooled diesel generators [71][81].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate-A/Buy-H" rating for the company, with a current price of 43.32 RMB/38.40 HKD and a fair value of 48.04 RMB/46.46 HKD [4][44]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 284.42 billion RMB in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 10.07%, and a net profit of 10.17 billion RMB, up 23.51% year-on-year [9][12]. - The report emphasizes the synergy between capacity and management cycles, indicating a continuous improvement in profitability [9][10]. - The company is expected to benefit from the recovery of the economic cycle, with projections for EPS of 2.40, 2.80, and 3.34 RMB per share for 2025-2027 [9][44]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a total business volume of 13.26 billion parcels, a growth of 11.5% year-on-year, with an average revenue per parcel of 15.52 RMB, down 3.4% [9][12]. - The EBITDA for 2024 was 29.05 billion RMB, with a projected EBITDA of 32.45 billion RMB in 2025 [2]. Revenue Breakdown - The revenue from the express delivery segment was 122.21 billion RMB, growing by 5.85% year-on-year, while the economic express segment generated 27.25 billion RMB, up 8.78% [19][22]. - The freight segment achieved a revenue of 37.64 billion RMB, reflecting a growth of 13.8% [26]. - The same-city delivery segment saw a revenue increase of 24.29%, reaching 90.11 billion RMB [31]. - The supply chain and international segment reported a revenue of 740 billion RMB, up 23.38% [32]. Profitability and Efficiency - The gross margin for 2024 was 13.93%, an increase of 1.11 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to network optimization and cost reduction measures [9][10]. - The report highlights the company's focus on high-quality service and operational efficiency, which has led to improved profitability across various segments [16][19]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to continue its growth trajectory, with revenue projections of 315.85 billion RMB, 351.43 billion RMB, and 392.36 billion RMB for 2025-2027, reflecting growth rates of 11% [40]. - The report anticipates that the company will maintain a stable growth rate in its core segments, driven by economic recovery and strategic investments [40][44].

[Table_Page] 公告点评|公用事业 证券研究报告 [Table_Title] 【 广 发 环 保 & 海 外 】 光 大 环 境 （00257.HK） 三表质量持续改善，分红超预期提升 [Table_Summary] 核心观点： | [Table_Finance] | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入（百万港元） | 32,495 | 30,258 | 29,718 | 29,617 | 29,704 | | 增长率 （ % ） | -13.9% | -6.9% | -1.8% | -0.3% | 0.3% | | EBITDA（百万港元） | 13,163 | 8,708 | 11,477 | 11,666 | 12,026 | | 归母净利润（百万港元） | 4,429 | 3,377 | 3,502 | 3,641 | 3,906 | | 增长率 （ % ） | -3.8% | -23.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 7.3% | | EPS（港元/股） ...

[Table_Page] 深度分析|通用设备 证券研究报告 | [Table_Title] 人形机器人系列十九 | | --- | | 灵巧手：百家争鸣，进化不息 | [Table_Summary] 核心观点： | [Table_Gr ade] 行业评级 | 买入 | | --- | --- | | 前次评级 | 买入 | | 报告日期 | 2025-04-02 | [Table_PicQuote] 相对市场表现 [分析师： Table_Author]代川 SAC 执证号：S0260517080007 SFC CE No. BOS186 021-38003678 daichuan@gf.com.cn 分析师： 孙柏阳 SAC 执证号：S0260520080002 021-38003680 sunboyang@gf.com.cn 分析师： 蒲明琪 SAC 执证号：S0260524080003 SFC CE No. BUP066 021-38003807 pumingqi@gf.com.cn 请注意，孙柏阳并非香港证券及期货事务监察委员会的注 -24% -12% -1% 11% 22% 34% 04/24 06/ ...

[Table_Page] 公司深度研究|医疗服务 证券研究报告 | [Table_Title] 金域医学（603882.SH） | | --- | 数据资产价值重估，AI 技术驱动创新应用 场景拓展 [Table_Summary] 核心观点： | 基本数据 [Table_BaseInfo] | | | --- | --- | | 总股本/流通股本（百万股） | 463.26/460.13 | | 总市值/流通市值（百万元） | 14856.69/14756.52 | | 一年内最高/最低（元） | 56.05/24.44 | | 30 日日均成交量/成交额（百万） | 13.42/479.51 | | 近 3 个月/6 个月涨跌幅（%） | 21.92/-17.83 | [Table_PicQuote] 相对市场表现 -60% -44% -28% -12% 4% 20% 04/24 05/24 07/24 09/24 11/24 01/25 03/25 金域医学 沪深300 | [分析师： Table_Author]罗佳荣 | | | --- | --- | | | SAC 执证号：S026051609000 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy-A/Buy-H" rating to the company [4] Core Views - The company has significantly improved its profitability, with a notable increase in ROE and a substantial rise in both the dividend payout ratio and total dividend amount [8][12] - The company achieved a revenue of 123.5 billion RMB in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 0.9%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders surged by 229.7% to 4.506 billion RMB [12][17] - The company is expected to continue its profitability improvement, with a focus on clean energy development, particularly in wind and solar power [8][61] Summary by Sections Annual Performance Review - The company reported a net profit of 4.506 billion RMB in 2024, a significant increase of 3.1 billion RMB compared to the previous year [12] - The revenue for 2024 was 123.5 billion RMB, with a slight growth of 0.9% year-on-year [12] - The company’s coal power segment turned profitable, generating 2.567 billion RMB, while the hydroelectric segment saw a profit increase of 2.009 billion RMB [17] New Capacity Additions - In 2024, the company added 6.7 GW of new capacity, bringing the total controllable capacity to 79 GW, with clean energy accounting for 40% of the total [48] - The company’s new installations included 2.4 GW of coal power, 2.6 GW of wind power, and 1.7 GW of solar power [48] Profitability Outlook - The company anticipates continued improvement in profitability, driven by a decrease in coal prices and an increase in clean energy investments [61] - The projected net profits for 2025 to 2027 are 5.356 billion RMB, 6.334 billion RMB, and 7.025 billion RMB, respectively [74] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests a target price of 3.76 RMB per share for A-shares and 2.10 HKD per share for H-shares, based on a 13x PE valuation for 2025 [74] - The company is positioned as a leading player in the domestic power sector, benefiting from a diversified energy mix [74]

[Table_Page] 跟踪分析|煤炭开采 证券研究报告 [Table_Title] 煤炭行业跟踪分析 2 季度煤炭板块有哪些历史规律？ [Table_Summary] 核心观点： 板块：历史数据显示 2-3 季度煤炭板块容易获得超额收益。2008 年以 来的 18 年时间内，煤炭板块年度之间表现有周期性规律，特别是在行 业景气上行的年份（07/09/16-17/21-22 年）相对大盘（本文主要采用 沪深 300 指数）的超额收益明显。 在年度之内，不同月份之间也有季节性规律。根据 Wind，从 08 年以 来的历年数据来看，3-9 月煤炭板块相对大盘容易获得超额收益，其中 3 月和 7 月煤炭板块跑赢大盘的次数最多，均达到了 11 次，跑赢大盘 的概率在 60%以上。而 4-6 月以及 8-9 月，煤炭板块跑赢大盘的概率 也在 50%以上。此外，2 月以及 4 季度，煤炭板块跑赢大盘的概率往 往较低，一般回落到 30%左右。 每年上半年淡季期间，煤炭需求回落基本面承压，但股价表现并不差， 春季开工旺季、迎峰度夏需求旺季预期以及板块低估值高股息优势，都 是支撑煤价和股价走强的重要因素。刚刚过去的 25 年 ...