Workflow
Southwest Securities
icon
Search documents
精测电子:2024年三季报点评:半导体业务高速增长,显示业务迅速复苏
Southwest Securities· 2024-10-27 09:30
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1][2]. Core Views - The company has shown significant revenue growth, with a 63.3% year-on-year increase in Q3 2024, leading to a total revenue of 7.1 billion yuan for the quarter [1]. - The semiconductor business is experiencing rapid growth, with a 95.3% increase in revenue year-on-year, while the display business is recovering quickly [1][2]. - The company has a strong order backlog of 3.17 billion yuan, with substantial orders in the semiconductor and display sectors [1]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q1-Q3 2024, the company achieved a total revenue of 1.83 billion yuan, up 18.5% year-on-year, and a net profit of 82.24 million yuan, compared to a loss of 12.6 million yuan in the same period last year [1]. - The gross margin for Q1-Q3 2024 was 43.4%, a decrease of 1.7 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin improved by 5.8 percentage points to 2.4% [1]. Business Segments - Revenue from the display, semiconductor, and new energy sectors for Q1-Q3 2024 was 1.27 billion, 410 million, and 120 million yuan, respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 20.5%, 95.3%, and -51.5% [1]. - The display sector is benefiting from investments in large-size OLED factories and upgrades in production automation, while the semiconductor sector has secured repeat orders for advanced process equipment [1][2]. Research and Development - The company invested 470 million yuan in R&D for Q1-Q3 2024, an increase of 22.96 million yuan year-on-year, indicating a strong commitment to enhancing product competitiveness [2]. - New partnerships in the AR/VR industry and expansion into the semiconductor manufacturing packaging chain are expected to drive future growth [2]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The projected net profits for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are 240 million, 320 million, and 450 million yuan, respectively, with a compound annual growth rate of 44% [2]. - The current price-to-earnings ratios are 71, 53, and 38 for the next three years, indicating a strong growth outlook [2].
宏观周报:LPR又迎下调,欧洲央行或将继续降息
Southwest Securities· 2024-10-27 04:30
Domestic Developments - The Loan Prime Rate (LPR) was significantly lowered by 25 basis points, with the 1-year LPR now at 3.10% and the 5-year LPR at 3.60%, aimed at stimulating credit demand and supporting economic growth in Q4[4]. - The Chinese government aims to cultivate approximately 2,000 national craftsmen, 10,000 provincial craftsmen, and 50,000 municipal craftsmen by 2035, enhancing the skilled workforce to transition from a manufacturing power to a manufacturing stronghold[5]. - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has initiated pilot programs for foreign investment in value-added telecommunications services in Beijing, Shanghai, Hainan, and Shenzhen, which is expected to boost market supply capabilities[6]. International Developments - Federal Reserve officials support a gradual approach to interest rate cuts, with the likelihood of a 25 basis point cut in November estimated at 87%[10]. - European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde indicated a cautious stance on interest rate cuts, with the potential for significant reductions depending on future inflation trends[11]. - The International Monetary Fund (IMF) forecasts global economic growth rates of 3.2% for 2024 and 2025, while highlighting significant risks, particularly in emerging markets and geopolitical tensions[12]. Market Data - Brent crude oil prices increased by 0.23% week-on-week, while iron ore prices fell by 3.23%[16]. - The average interest rate for newly issued corporate loans was approximately 3.63% in September, down about 21 basis points year-on-year[4]. - The real estate sales saw a week-on-week decline of 9.07%, indicating a slowdown in the housing market[16].
苏美达:建造绿色能源船舶,细分船型市场领先
Southwest Securities· 2024-10-25 11:03
Investment Rating - The report suggests a "Hold" rating for the company, indicating that the stock is expected to perform in line with the market over the next six months [12]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 869.4 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2024, a decrease of 9.5% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 12% to 1 billion yuan [1][5]. - The company is expanding its product offerings and improving its supply chain business layout, focusing on high-growth and high-margin categories such as grains, pulp, and new energy materials [1][5]. - The company is a leading supply chain operator in China, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of over 26% in its industrial chain segment over the past three years, and the profit contribution from this segment increased from 53% in 2021 to 63% in 2023 [1][5]. - The company is leading in the construction of green energy vessels, with a backlog of 84 ships as of September 2024, and has received orders for 31 new vessels [1][5]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q3 2024, the company reported a revenue of 310.1 billion yuan and a net profit of 4.3 billion yuan, reflecting an 11.9% year-on-year growth in net profit [1]. - The company expects its industrial chain business to grow by 6.3%, 6%, and 6.9% in 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, with gross margins improving to 18%, 18.8%, and 19.4% [5][6]. Business Strategy - The company is implementing a diversified development strategy, focusing on the integration of industry and finance, and aims to fill key gaps in its existing industrial chain through investments [2][5]. - The supply chain business is expected to stabilize, with projected revenue changes of -12%, +8%, and +10% over the next three years [5][6]. Market Position - The company ranks 97th in the 2023 Fortune China 500 list, highlighting its significant market presence [1]. - The company is actively seizing opportunities in strategic emerging industries such as clean energy and ecological protection [1].
西部建设:经营业绩阶段承压,静待下游需求复苏
Southwest Securities· 2024-10-25 10:01
Investment Rating - The report does not provide a specific investment rating for the company [1]. Core Views - The company reported a total revenue of 15.02 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 8.1%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 0.1 billion yuan, down 97.3% year-on-year [1]. - The company has seen an increase in market share despite a decline in sales prices, with a total signed contract volume of 10,930 million cubic meters in the first three quarters of 2024, up 13.5% year-on-year [1]. - The company is expected to benefit from a recovery in downstream demand and has a solid order backlog, with a projected compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 3.8% in revenue from 2025 to 2026 and a staggering 273.3% in net profit [1][2]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company is a leading player in the concrete industry, established in 2001 and is the only development platform for ready-mixed concrete under China State Construction Engineering Corporation [5][10]. - It has a national presence with operations in 26 provinces and is actively expanding into overseas markets such as Malaysia and Indonesia [5][10]. Performance Analysis - The company’s performance has been under pressure due to a decline in the real estate market, with a compound annual growth rate of -24.8% in new construction area from 2021 to 2023 [10]. - The average sales price of concrete decreased by 8.8% to 339.9 yuan per cubic meter in Q3 2024, influenced by weak downstream demand and intensified competition [1][10]. - The gross profit margin fell by 2.2 percentage points to 9.6% in Q3 2024 due to declining sales prices [1][14]. Market Position and Competitive Advantage - The company has a strong competitive advantage, being the only platform for ready-mixed concrete under China State Construction, and is well-positioned to benefit from favorable industry policies and infrastructure investments [1][10]. - The company’s market share continues to increase, and it is expected to benefit significantly from the recovery of the real estate market and infrastructure projects [1][10]. Financial Forecast - Revenue is projected to decline by 5.78% in 2024, followed by a modest recovery with a growth rate of 2.59% in 2025 and 5.06% in 2026 [2][16]. - The net profit is expected to rebound significantly in the coming years, with a forecasted growth rate of 398.01% in 2025 and 176.29% in 2026 [2][16].
优利德:2024年三季报点评:业绩符合预期,盈利能力稳步提升
Southwest Securities· 2024-10-25 10:01
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1][2]. Core Views - The company's performance in Q1-Q3 2024 met expectations, with revenue reaching 850 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.9%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 150 million yuan, up 15.0% year-on-year. In Q3 alone, revenue was 290 million yuan, reflecting a 21.2% year-on-year growth, and net profit was 50 million yuan, a significant increase of 37.4% year-on-year [1]. - The company's gross margin improved to 44.8% for Q1-Q3 2024, up 2.4 percentage points year-on-year, driven by enhanced market development and product line optimization. The net profit margin also increased to 17.4%, up 0.9 percentage points year-on-year [1]. - The company is expanding its product matrix and market reach, with a focus on high-end products. The establishment of an overseas production base in Vietnam is expected to contribute to growth starting in Q4 2024 [1]. Financial Summary - For 2024-2026, the company is projected to achieve net profits of 210 million, 260 million, and 310 million yuan, respectively, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 24% in net profit over the next three years. The current stock price corresponds to price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 20, 17, and 14 for the respective years [2][6]. - The company's revenue is expected to grow from 1.02 billion yuan in 2023 to 1.60 billion yuan in 2026, with growth rates of 14.44%, 14.14%, 17.26%, and 17.10% for the respective years [3][6]. - The return on equity (ROE) is projected to increase from 13.31% in 2023 to 16.75% in 2026, indicating improved profitability and efficiency [3][6].
杰瑞股份:业绩符合预期,海外市场开拓顺利
Southwest Securities· 2024-10-25 10:01
[ T able_StockInfo] 2024 年 10 月 24 日 证券研究报告•2024 年三季报点评 买入 (维持) 当前价:32.10 元 杰瑞股份(002353)机械设备 目标价:——元(6 个月) 杰瑞股份 沪深300 业绩符合预期,海外市场开拓顺利 [Table_Summary 事件:公司发布] 2024年三季报,2024Q1-Q3公司实现营业收入 80.5亿元,同 比减少 8.1%;归母净利润 16.0 亿元,同比增长 2.2%。2024Q3 公司实现营业 收入 30.9亿元,同比减少 7.4%;归母净利润 5.1亿元,同比减少 2.0%。受油 气工程服务接单节奏影响,收入端短期承压。 国内外市场拓展顺利,合同负债大幅增长。海外市场快速拓展:2024年前三季 度,公司为中东子公司增资 1.2亿美元在迪拜建设高端油气装备制造基地;成功 斩获中亚战略客户重大天然气项目订单;完成北美首套电驱压裂装备交付,同 时与客户再次签订电驱压裂设备新订单;与伊拉克中部石油公司签署曼苏里亚 开发生产合同;9月 25日成功斩获巴林国家石油公司天然气项目,合同含税总 额约 22亿元。夯实国内基本盘:6月中标中石油 ...
东方电缆:2024年三季报点评:Q3海缆快速起量,在手订单充足
Southwest Securities· 2024-10-25 08:00
[ T able_StockInfo] 2024 年 10 月 24 日 证券研究报告•2024 年三季报点评 买入 (维持) 当前价:55.48 元 东方电缆(603606)电力设备 目标价:——元(6 个月) Q3 海缆快速起量,在手订单充足 [Table_Summary 事件:公司 202] 4前三季度实现营业收入 67亿元,同比增长 25.2%;实现归母 净利润 9.3亿元,同比增长 13.4%;扣非归母净利润 7.9亿元,同比降低 1%。 2024 年 Q3公司实现营收 26.3亿元,同比增长 58.3%;实现归母净利润 2.9亿 元,同比增长 40.3%;扣非归母净利润 2.5 亿元,同比增长25.5%。 Q3 毛利率同比上升,现金流有所改善。盈利端:2024 前三季度公司销售毛利 率/净利率分别为 22.2%/13.9%,同比-4pp/-1.5pp;24Q3毛利率/净利率分别为 21.7%/10.9%,同比+0.8pp/-1.5pp。费用端:公司 2024前三季度销售/管理(不 含研发)/财务费用率分别为 2.1%/1.4%/-0.1%,分别同比+0.2pp/-0.2pp/-0.4pp。 此外, ...
依依股份:24年三季报点评:收入增长显著,盈利能力稳中有升
Southwest Securities· 2024-10-25 08:00
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1][3]. Core Insights - The company has shown significant revenue growth, with a year-on-year increase of 33.4% in the first three quarters of 2024, reaching a total revenue of 1.32 billion yuan. The net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 72.7% to 150 million yuan, while the net profit after deducting non-recurring items rose by 61.1% to 140 million yuan [1][2]. - In Q3 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 500 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 40.7%. The net profit attributable to shareholders for the quarter was 55.74 million yuan, up 31.4% year-on-year [1][2]. - The company's gross margin for the first three quarters of 2024 was 19.6%, an increase of 3.1 percentage points year-on-year, driven by a rise in overseas customer orders and a slight decrease in raw material costs [1][2]. - The company has successfully restored orders from existing customers and expanded its client base, with notable contributions from new clients such as Sam's Club [1][2]. - The production capacity utilization has improved, with the capacity utilization rate for core products reaching efficient levels in Q3 2024. The company has added three new customized production lines, further enhancing its production capacity [1][2]. Financial Summary - For 2024-2026, the company is projected to have earnings per share (EPS) of 1.01 yuan, 1.22 yuan, and 1.46 yuan, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 14x, 12x, and 10x [2][3]. - The total revenue is expected to grow from 1.34 billion yuan in 2023 to 1.74 billion yuan in 2024, representing a growth rate of 29.84% [2][3]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to increase from 103.26 million yuan in 2023 to 187.66 million yuan in 2024, reflecting a growth rate of 81.74% [2][3].
长虹美菱:2024年三季报点评:收入加速增长,多重因素致毛利率承压
Southwest Securities· 2024-10-25 00:38
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Changhong Meiling (000521) [1][2]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 22.76 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2024, representing an 18.7% year-on-year increase. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 530 million yuan, up 6.3% year-on-year, while the net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses was 510 million yuan, a slight increase of 0.2% year-on-year [1]. - In Q3 2024, the company reported a revenue of 7.81 billion yuan, a 23.2% year-on-year growth, but the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 18% to 120 million yuan, and the net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses fell by 37.7% to 80 million yuan [1]. - The company’s revenue growth is attributed to strong external sales, which outperformed domestic sales. The report suggests that the company is aligned with industry trends, where external sales are performing better than internal sales [1][2]. - The gross margin in Q3 2024 decreased by 4.7 percentage points to 10%, primarily due to fluctuations in raw material prices and a higher proportion of lower-margin overseas sales [1]. - The report highlights that the "old-for-new" policy is alleviating competitive pressure in the domestic market, leading to a recovery in industry demand and a shift from price competition to quality enhancement [2]. Financial Summary - For 2024-2026, the earnings per share (EPS) estimates are adjusted to 0.74 yuan, 0.86 yuan, and 1.00 yuan respectively. The report maintains the "Buy" rating based on these projections [2]. - The company’s revenue is projected to grow from 24.25 billion yuan in 2023 to 35.27 billion yuan in 2026, with corresponding growth rates of 19.95%, 16.13%, 13.14%, and 10.71% [3]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to increase from 741.04 million yuan in 2023 to 1.03 billion yuan in 2026, with growth rates of 203.04%, 3.33%, 15.24%, and 17.05% respectively [3]. - The report indicates a decrease in the net profit margin, with the net profit margin in Q3 2024 at 1.5%, down 0.8 percentage points year-on-year [1].
卫龙美味:辣味故事儿时诵,中华美味飘四海
Southwest Securities· 2024-10-24 14:10
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of HKD 9.78, based on an 18x valuation for 2024 [2][7]. Core Insights - The company is positioned in the lucrative spicy snack food sector, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 22.6% expected for net profit from 2024 to 2026. The market for flavored noodle products is anticipated to see accelerated market share growth, while konjac products are entering a period of significant growth [2][7]. - The report highlights the company's strong brand recognition and innovative product development capabilities, which are expected to drive continued revenue growth and market expansion [5][20]. Summary by Sections Strategic Positioning - The company has established itself as a leading brand in the spicy snack food market, benefiting from a significant reduction in low-priced products, with the share of products priced below 1 yuan dropping from 81% to 8% over the past decade. This positions the company to potentially increase its market share to over 30% [1][20]. - The konjac product segment is experiencing explosive growth, with a market size exceeding 2 billion yuan, and the company is well-positioned to capitalize on this expansion [1][20]. Product and Channel Development - The company focuses on two core product lines: spicy snacks and vegetable products, with a strong emphasis on product innovation and brand reinforcement. The spicy snack segment, particularly the "spicy strips," remains a solid foundation for growth, while vegetable products are emerging as a significant growth driver [1][20]. - The company is expanding its distribution network, aiming for 1 million offline terminals, and has seen a doubling of its presence in snack wholesale and Douyin channels compared to the previous year [1][20]. Financial Performance - The company's revenue has shown steady growth, with a projected increase from 48.72 billion yuan in 2024 to 77.04 billion yuan by 2026, reflecting a growth rate of 12.85% [3][20]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to rise from 8.80 billion yuan in 2024 to 16.23 billion yuan in 2026, with a remarkable growth rate of 481.87% in 2024 [3][20]. Market Trends - The spicy snack food market is expected to grow significantly, with the overall market size projected to reach 697 billion yuan by 2026. The report emphasizes the distinct characteristics of spicy snacks, which cater to younger consumers and have a high repurchase rate [1][30]. - The report notes that the flavored noodle product segment is experiencing a surge in demand, driven by consumer preferences and market cultivation efforts, which are expected to lead to substantial market expansion [1][30].