、 销售环比回落，仍待政策加码 -房地产行业点评 [Table_Main] 评级：增持（维持） 分析师：由子沛 执业证书编号：S0740523020005 Email：youzp@zts.com.cn 分析师：侯希得 执业证书编号：S0740523080001 Email：houxd@zts.com.cn 分析师：李垚 执业证书编号：S0740520110003 Email：liyao01@zts.com.cn [Table_Profit] 基本状况 上市公司数 103 行业总市值(亿元) 9,036.45 行业流通市值(亿元) 4,141.76 [Table_QuotePic] 行业-市场走势对比 -50.00 -40.00 -30.00 -20.00 -10.00 - 10.00 20.00 23-0523-0623-0723-0823-0923-1023-1123-1224-0124-0224-0324-0424-0524-0624-0724-0824-09 公司持有该股票比例 [Table_Report] 相关报告 [Table_Finance] 重点公司基本状况 [投资要点 Table_Summar ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [2]. Core Insights - The company is recognized as the first stock in the smart mining sector on the Beijing Stock Exchange, focusing on intelligent upgrades in three main areas: smart mining, IoT, and smart municipal services [2][10]. - The company has shown consistent revenue growth, with a projected increase in revenue from 563 million yuan in 2024 to 923 million yuan in 2026, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 29% [2][30]. - The net profit is expected to rise from 75 million yuan in 2024 to 94 million yuan in 2026, with a notable growth rate of 15% in 2026 [2][30]. Company Overview - The company has been deeply involved in the smart mining sector for over 20 years and has established itself as a leader in the field [2][10]. - It has developed a comprehensive smart mining solution based on CPS (Cyber-Physical Systems), which includes a range of standardized intelligent products and 365-day technical services [10][24]. Financial Overview - The company reported a revenue of 440 million yuan in 2023, with a year-on-year growth of 27% [2][11]. - The net profit for 2023 was 55 million yuan, showing a slight decrease of 3% compared to the previous year [2][11]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is projected to increase from 0.97 yuan in 2024 to 1.22 yuan in 2026 [2][30]. Market Potential - The smart mining market is expected to grow significantly, with the market size for newly built smart mines projected to reach 724.72 billion yuan by 2028, reflecting a CAGR of 33.6% [3][18]. - The company is well-positioned to capitalize on this growth due to its strong technological foundation and low current penetration of smart technologies in traditional mining operations [3][16]. Business Expansion - The company has expanded into the charging and battery swap service sector, developing a comprehensive management system for new energy vehicles [4][26]. - It has also ventured into the smart water management sector, collaborating with Longxin Zhongke to create innovative products, with the smart water market expected to grow to 565 billion yuan by 2027 [4][28]. Investment Recommendations - The report forecasts that the company's revenue will reach 563 million yuan in 2024, with net profits of 75 million yuan, leading to a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 10.7x [4][30]. - The recommendation to "Accumulate" is based on the company's strong growth prospects and its strategic positioning in the smart mining and related sectors [4][30].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) with a market price of 127.45 CNY per share [1]. Core Views - The company has shown significant revenue growth, with a forecasted increase in new orders for 2024, indicating a strong upward trend in performance [4][10]. - The company is experiencing pressure on net profit margins due to increased R&D expenses, but the overall order growth and production capacity suggest a positive outlook for future earnings [6][10]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first half of 2024 (24H1), the company reported revenue of 3.448 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 36%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders was 517 million CNY, a decrease of 48% year-on-year [5]. - The gross margin for 24H1 was 41.32%, down 2.59 percentage points from the previous year, primarily due to fluctuations in customer and product mix [5]. - The company expects new orders for 2024 to be between 11 billion and 13 billion CNY, representing a growth of 32% to 56% compared to 2023 [5]. Orders and Production - The company signed new orders worth 4.7 billion CNY in 24H1, a 40% increase year-on-year. The total new orders for the first three quarters of 2024 exceeded 7.5 billion CNY, up over 50% year-on-year [6]. - The company’s contract liabilities (prepayments) at the end of 24H1 were 2.535 billion CNY, showing a significant increase from 772 million CNY at the end of 2023 [6]. R&D and Technological Advancements - The company has made significant breakthroughs in advanced equipment development, including successful validation and mass production of high aspect ratio etching equipment [7]. - The R&D expenses for 24H1 reached 568 million CNY, a 95% increase year-on-year, accounting for 16.47% of revenue [6]. Profit Forecast - The net profit forecast for 2024-2026 has been adjusted to 1.8 billion, 2.42 billion, and 3.34 billion CNY respectively, reflecting the impact of fluctuating gross margins on net profit [10].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) with a market price of 15.35 yuan [1]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 28.19 billion yuan in H1 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 7.17%. However, net profit decreased by 9.75% to 1.89 billion yuan [4]. - The company's system integration business saw a significant revenue increase of 53.80%, while software-related revenue declined by 1.63% due to reduced IT budgets from insurance clients [4]. - The company is focusing on technological innovation, particularly in AIGC vertical applications, with R&D expenses amounting to 4.49 billion yuan, which is 15.93% of its revenue [5]. - Revenue forecasts for 2024-2026 are projected at 68.58 billion yuan, 73.43 billion yuan, and 80.27 billion yuan, with corresponding net profits of 7.20 billion yuan, 8.32 billion yuan, and 9.87 billion yuan [5]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue (million yuan): 2022A: 6,705; 2023A: 6,503; 2024E: 6,858; 2025E: 7,343; 2026E: 8,027 [1]. - Net Profit (million yuan): 2022A: 639; 2023A: 655; 2024E: 720; 2025E: 832; 2026E: 987 [1]. - Gross Margin: 29.10% in H1 2024, down 4.23% year-on-year [4]. - Cash flow from operating activities: -8.87 billion yuan in H1 2024, an increase of 2.33 billion yuan year-on-year [4].

主业快速增长，自研品种不断推进 [Table_Industry] [Table_Title] 评级：买入(维持) 市场价格：30.88 元 [Table_Finance] 公司盈利预测及估值 指标 2022A 2023A 2024E 2025E 2026E 营业收入（百万元） 676.61 932.12 1197.90 1492.91 1878.87 增长率 yoy% 37.06% 37.76% 28.51% 24.63% 25.85% 净利润（百万元） 156.47 184.76 240.76 303.32 397.01 增长率 yoy% 48.09% 18.08% 30.31% 25.98% 30.89% 每股收益（元） 1.40 1.65 2.15 2.71 3.54 每股现金流量 0.93 0.83 1.89 1.61 2.43 净资产收益率 17.45% 17.76% 19.07% 19.89% 21.14% P/E 22.10 18.72 14.37 11.40 8.71 PEG 0.46 1.04 0.47 0.44 0.28 P/B 3.86 3.33 2.74 2.27 1.84 备注：截止 ...

[Table_Industry] [Table_Title] 评级：买入（维持） 市场价格：79.88 元/股 [Table_Finance 公司盈利预测及估值 1] 指标 2022A 2023A 2024E 2025E 2026E 营业收入（百万元） 1,071 691 835 1,075 1,323 增长率 yoy% 22% -35% 21% 29% 23% 净利润（百万元） 526 252 307 431 551 增长率 yoy% 20% -52% 22% 40% 28% 每股收益（元） 3.89 1.86 2.27 3.18 4.06 每股现金流量 2.91 2.37 1.48 2.54 3.36 净资产收益率 17% 8% 9% 11% 12% P/E 20.6 43.0 35.2 25.1 19.7 P/B 3.4 3.2 3.1 2.8 2.4 备注：每股指标按照最新股本数全面摊薄，股价按 9 月 9 日收盘价进行计算 [Table_Profit] 基本状况 总股本(百万股) 135 流通股本(百万股) 135 市价(元) 79.88 市值(百万元) 10,819 流通市值(百万元) 10,81 ...

Core Insights - The report estimates that the current adjustment space for existing mortgage rates is around 50 basis points, which will impact the net interest margin (NIM) of listed banks by approximately -5.6 basis points, revenue by -3.1 percentage points, and pre-tax profit by -7 percentage points for 2025 [2] - Considering both the adjustment of existing mortgage rates and deposit rates, the comprehensive impact on NIM for 2025 is projected to be -4.4 basis points, with revenue affected by -2.4 percentage points and pre-tax profit by -5.4 percentage points [2] - The adjustment of existing mortgage rates is expected to help alleviate the growth pressure on retail assets and the repayment burden on residents, thereby maintaining banks' NIM and optimizing asset quality in the long term [2] Summary by Sections 1. Impact of Existing Mortgage Rate Adjustments - By the end of 2023, over 23 trillion yuan of existing mortgage loans had been adjusted, accounting for 60% of the total existing housing loan scale, with an average reduction of 0.73 percentage points, resulting in a weighted average interest rate of 4.27% [2] - The expected decline in existing mortgage rates by early 2025 is projected to be below 3.9%, considering the current LPR reduction of 35 basis points and the historical trend of new loan rates being lower than existing rates [2] 2. Effects of Deposit Rate Adjustments - The reduction in deposit rates has a lagging effect on supporting NIM, with costs starting to decline from Q4 2023 and a more significant drop in Q2 2024 [2] - If deposit rates are further reduced during the current mortgage rate adjustment cycle, it is estimated to support NIM by 2.86 basis points for 2024 and 1.14 basis points for 2025, with corresponding revenue and pre-tax profit impacts [2] 3. Comprehensive Analysis of Mortgage and Deposit Rate Adjustments - The simultaneous consideration of existing mortgage rate reductions and further deposit rate cuts suggests a manageable impact on NIM for 2025, with a comprehensive effect of -4.4 basis points on NIM, -2.4 percentage points on revenue, and -5.4 percentage points on pre-tax profit [2] - The report highlights that while mortgage loan issuance in 2023 is higher than in 2022, the balance has decreased due to high early repayment rates, indicating that lower existing mortgage rates could stabilize the mortgage loan scale and improve banks' retail asset quality [2]

1 证券研究报告：大宗商品观察系列 中 泰 证 券 研 究 所 专 业 ｜ 领 先 ｜ 深 度 ｜ 诚 信 全球制造业景气度跟踪：8月持续走低 谢鸿鹤（ SAC证书编号：S0740517080003 ） 安永超（ SAC证书编号：S0740522090002 ） 2024年9月9日 时间 月份 上行↑下行↓ Jul-09 Feb-11 20 ↑ Mar-11 Aug-12 18 ↓ Sep-12 Feb-14 18 ↑ Mar-14 Feb-16 24 ↓ Mar-16 Dec-17 22 ↑ Jan-18 Jul-19 19 ↓ Aug-19 May-21 22 ↑ Jun-21 Dec-22 19 ↓ Jan-23 - 20 ↑ 全球制造业景气（库存周期）刻度：上行通道受阻 全球8月制造业PMI指数录得49.5，环比明显回落0.2个百分点，月度值持续处于收缩区间； 若以2023年1月份为启动点，2024年1月份全球制造业PMI进入扩张区间，本轮周期累计运行20个月。 图表： 全球制造业PMI指数与库存周期滤波图 -0.15 -0.10 -0.05 0.00 0.05 0.10 0.15 40 42 44 ...

[Table_Industry] Q2 利润同环比翻倍，规模效应推动盈利能力显著改善 圣邦股份(300661.SZ)/电子 证券研究报告/公司点评 2024 年 09 月 10 日 | --- | |-----------------------------------------------| | | | | | [Table_ 评级：买入 Invest] [Table_Industry] | [Table_ 分析师：Authors 王芳 ] 执业证书编号：S0740521120002 Email：wangfang02@zts.com.cn 分析师： 杨旭 执业证书编号：S0740521120001 Email：yangxu01@zts.com.cn 分析师： 王九鸿 执业证书编号：S0740523110004 Email：wangjh07@zts.com.cn | --- | --- | |---------------------------|--------| | | | | | | | [Table_Profit] 基本状况 | | | 总股本 ( 百万股 ) | 472 | | 流通股本 ( 百万 ...

招商积余（001914.SZ）/房 地产行业 证券研究报告/公司点评 2024 年 9 月 9 日 [Table_Industry] | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |--------------------------------------------------------------------|-------|--------------------------------------------|-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|------------------------------------------------------------ ...