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国联民生证券:8月空调内销平稳外销好转 相对估值处于历史低位
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-09-23 06:35
Core Viewpoint - The air conditioning market shows stable domestic sales with slight growth in August, driven by policy support and the implementation of local replacement standards for 2024, leading to a narrowing of the sales decline [1][2]. Group 1: Domestic Sales Performance - In August, the production of household air conditioners reached 12.88 million units, a year-on-year increase of 9.43%, while sales totaled 13.02 million units, a slight decline of 1.04% year-on-year [1]. - Domestic sales amounted to 7.74 million units, up 1.22% year-on-year, while exports were 5.29 million units, down 4.18% year-on-year [1]. - Major manufacturers showed varied performance: Gree's sales decreased by 3.39%, Midea's by 9.21%, Haier's increased by 15.63%, and Hisense's by 6.71% [1]. Group 2: Future Outlook - The air conditioning market is expected to see a year-on-year sales increase of 20% from September to December 2024, although the base is high, leading to a projected decline of 6%-7% in domestic sales during this period [2]. - The overall performance of the white goods sector has been weak since Q3, with pricing strategies and policy impacts likely having been fully reflected in current valuations [5]. Group 3: Export Sales Trends - In August, external sales of household air conditioners decreased by 4%, but the decline is narrowing, indicating a potential recovery phase [4]. - The recent suspension of the 24% tariff increase for 90 days may positively impact export orders, with expectations of a 47% year-on-year increase in external sales from September to December 2024 [4]. Group 4: Industry Recommendations - The air conditioning sector maintains a "stronger than market" rating, with a focus on leading companies such as Midea, Haier, Hisense, and Gree, which are expected to perform well due to their resilience and high dividend yields [5].
三耐环保终止北交所IPO 原拟募资3.29亿国联民生保荐
Zhong Guo Jing Ji Wang· 2025-09-21 07:17
Core Viewpoint - The Beijing Stock Exchange has decided to terminate the review of Hangzhou Sanai Environmental Technology Co., Ltd.'s application for public stock issuance and listing [1][2]. Group 1: Company Overview - Sanai Environmental is a national high-tech enterprise focused on providing integrated electrolysis system solutions for the non-ferrous metal smelting industry [2]. - The company's main products and services include vinyl resin casting electrolysis tanks, complete electrolysis systems, and integrated electrolysis/electrodeposition process services [2]. Group 2: Shareholding Structure - As of the signing date of the prospectus, Lin Jianping directly holds 30 million shares, accounting for 82.64% of the total share capital, while Jiang Yuling directly holds 3.3 million shares, accounting for 9.09% [2]. - Lin Jianping, as the controlling shareholder, along with Jiang Yuling, collectively controls 94.93% of the company's shares [2]. Group 3: Initial Public Offering (IPO) Details - Sanai Environmental originally planned to publicly issue no more than 12.1 million shares, with a potential total of 13.915 million shares if the overallotment option was fully exercised [3]. - The company aimed to raise approximately 329.1941 million yuan, intended for the construction of an environmental electrolysis equipment production base, a research and development center, and to supplement working capital [3][4]. Group 4: Investment Projects - The total investment for the projects includes: - Environmental electrolysis equipment production base: 191.0712 million yuan - R&D center construction: 63.1229 million yuan - Supplementing working capital: 75 million yuan - The total planned investment is 329.1941 million yuan [4].
国联民生证券:25H1地产行业利润率改善拐点或现曙光 调结构优土储成主流
智通财经网· 2025-09-19 06:38
Core Viewpoint - The real estate industry is experiencing a divergence in performance among different types of companies, with state-owned enterprises showing resilience while private and mixed-ownership firms face significant losses. The industry is expected to enter a bottoming phase after a rapid decline in gross profit margins [1][2]. Performance Analysis - In the first half of 2025, the 50 sample real estate companies reported total revenue of 1,204.9 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 16.1%. State-owned enterprises saw a revenue increase of 4.9%, while private and mixed-ownership firms experienced declines of 32.1% and 26.1%, respectively [1]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was a loss of 87 billion yuan, representing a 39% increase in losses year-on-year. State-owned enterprises maintained positive profitability, while private firms reported losses of 97.7 billion yuan and mixed-ownership firms lost 9.8 billion yuan [1]. - The gross profit margin stood at 11.68%, down 0.29 percentage points from the full year of 2024, indicating that the industry may have exited the rapid decline phase and is now stabilizing [1]. - The selling and administrative expense ratio was 4.89%, a decrease of 0.62 percentage points compared to 2024, reflecting ongoing cost reduction efforts [1]. Sales and Investment Trends - In the first half of 2025, the total sales amount for the top 100 real estate companies was 1,782 billion yuan, down 11% year-on-year. However, leading improvement-focused firms like China Jinmao and CIFI Holdings showed positive growth [2]. - The number of private enterprises in the top 30 decreased from 21 in 2020 to 7 in the first half of 2025, indicating a consolidation trend [2]. - Real estate companies are adopting a sales-driven investment strategy, focusing on core cities and regions, with land acquisition intensity showing signs of recovery. The land acquisition intensity for 14 typical firms from 2021 to the first half of 2025 averaged between 0.21 and 0.47, with some firms exceeding 0.6 [2]. Asset Management - In the first half of 2025, 16 typical real estate companies reported total assets of 10,187.5 billion yuan, a decrease of 2.9% from the end of 2024. The interest-bearing debt increased by 0.4% to 2,714.6 billion yuan, while the asset-liability ratio decreased by 0.8 percentage points to 71.5% [3]. - Short-term debt remains a concern, with 30.4% of total interest-bearing debt being short-term, down 1.8 percentage points from the end of 2024 [3]. - The average financing cost was 3.63%, a decrease of 30 basis points compared to the full year of 2024, with several firms achieving the lowest financing costs in the industry [3]. - Improvement-focused firms demonstrated higher asset liquidity, with companies like CIFI Holdings and China Jinmao having less than 15% of their total inventory as completed stock [3]. Investment Recommendations - The current real estate market shows a divergence between new and second-hand housing, with quality new projects in core cities performing well. Companies are encouraged to actively reduce old inventory and enhance liquidity through quality land reserves [4]. - In the context of a transitioning housing market, competition among firms will focus on asset quality, product quality, service, and brand influence. Recommendations include leading firms that continue to acquire land in core urban areas, such as Greentown China, CIFI Holdings, and China Overseas Land & Investment [4].
三孚新科连亏3年半 2021年上市募2.54亿国联民生保荐


Zhong Guo Jing Ji Wang· 2025-09-19 06:12
中国经济网北京9月19日讯 三孚新科(688359.SH)日前披露2025年半年度报告。 三孚新科上市发行费用为5134.26万元,其中保荐与承销费用3650.94万元。 | | | (责任编辑:魏京婷) | 主要会计数据 | 本报告期 | 上年同期 | 本报告期比上年同 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | (1-6月) | | 期增减(%) | | 营业收入 | 227, 299, 034. 98 | 296, 184, 209. 84 | -23.26 | | 利润总额 | -32.199.379.73 | -486. 324. 08 | 不适用 | | 归属于上市公司股东的净利润 | -22, 310, 520. 99 | -5.871.023.24 | 不适用 | | 归属于上市公司股东的扣除非经 常性损益的净利润 | -24, 398, 324. 56 | -20, 087, 780. 87 | 不适用 | | 经营活动产生的现金流量净额 | 10. 840. 163. 13 | -29, 378, 604. 57 | 不活用 | 三孚新科于2021年5月21日在上交所科 ...
国联民生:维持理想汽车-W(02015)“买入”评级 毛利率韧性强劲
智通财经网· 2025-09-19 02:08
Core Viewpoint - The report from Guolian Minsheng indicates that due to intensified industry competition, the sales and profitability of Li Auto are under pressure, with projected revenues and net profits showing fluctuations from 2025 to 2027 [1][2]. Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, Li Auto delivered 111,000 vehicles, a year-on-year increase of 2.3%, with total revenue of 30.2 billion yuan, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 16.7% but a year-on-year decrease of 4.5% [2][3]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company for Q2 2025 was 1.09 billion yuan, with a non-GAAP net profit of 1.46 billion yuan [2]. Revenue and Profit Forecast - For the years 2025 to 2027, Li Auto's projected revenues are 123.9 billion yuan, 190.3 billion yuan, and 220.8 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of -14.3%, 53.6%, and 16.0% respectively [1]. - The projected net profits for the same period are 6.74 billion yuan, 12.4 billion yuan, and 14.85 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of -16.1%, 84.0%, and 19.8% respectively [1]. Margin and R&D Investment - Li Auto's gross margin for Q2 2025 was 20.1%, a year-on-year increase of 0.6 percentage points, while the automotive business gross margin was 19.4% [4]. - The company maintained high R&D investment, with R&D expenses and SG&A at 2.81 billion yuan and 2.72 billion yuan respectively, representing 9.3% and 9.0% of revenue [4]. Infrastructure Development - As of August 31, 2025, Li Auto has established 543 retail centers across 156 cities, with 3,190 charging stations and 17,597 charging piles in operation [5].
国联民生:维持理想汽车-W“买入”评级 毛利率韧性强劲
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-09-19 02:08
Core Viewpoint - The company faces challenges in sales and profitability due to intensified industry competition, with projected revenue and net profit showing fluctuations over the next few years [1][3]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the company delivered 111,000 vehicles, a year-on-year increase of 2.3%, with total revenue of 30.2 billion yuan, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 16.7% but a year-on-year decrease of 4.5% [2][3]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders for Q2 2025 was 1.09 billion yuan, with a non-GAAP net profit of 1.46 billion yuan [2]. - The projected revenues for 2025-2027 are 123.9 billion, 190.3 billion, and 220.8 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of -14.3%, 53.6%, and 16.0% respectively [1]. Group 2: Margin and Cost Management - The gross margin for Q2 2025 was 20.1%, showing a year-on-year increase of 0.6 percentage points, while the automotive business gross margin was 19.4% [4]. - The company maintains strong cost control and has a well-established production management system, contributing to its robust gross margin performance [4]. Group 3: Research and Development - The company invested 2.81 billion yuan in R&D and 2.72 billion yuan in SG&A for Q2 2025, with R&D and SG&A expense ratios of 9.3% and 9.0% respectively [4]. - High R&D investment is expected to accelerate the company's progress in AI, which may be crucial for future growth [4]. Group 4: Market Position and Infrastructure - As of August 31, 2025, the company has established 543 retail centers and 536 authorized service centers across 222 cities, enhancing its market presence [5]. - The company has deployed 3,190 charging stations and 17,597 charging piles nationwide, contributing to the development of its electric vehicle ecosystem [5].
国联民生获易方达基金增持9.15万股
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-19 00:04
| 股份代號: | 01456 | | --- | --- | | 上市法國名稱: | 國聯民生證券股份有限公司 - H股 | | 日期 (日 / 月 / 年): | 19/08/2025 - 19/09/2025 | 格隆汇9月19日丨根据联交所最新权益披露资料显示,2025年9月12日,国联民生(01456.HK)获易方达基金管理有限公司在场内以每股均价6.45港元增持9.15 万股,涉资约59.02万港元。 增持后,易方达基金管理有限公司最新持股数目为5763.1万股,持股比例由13.00%上升至13.02%。 | 表格序號 | 大股東/董事/最高行政人員名 作出披露的 買入 / 賣出或涉及的 每股的平均價 | | | | | 持有權益的股份數目 佔已發行的 有關事件的日期 相 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 原因 | 股份數目 | | | (請參閱上述 * 註 | 有投票權股 (日 / 月 / 年) 材 | | | | | | | | | 份百分比 | | | | | | | | | 1.9/a | | CS202 ...
国联民生(01456.HK)获易方达基金增持9.15万股

Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-09-18 23:57
来源:格隆汇APP 格隆汇9月19日丨根据联交所最新权益披露资料显示,2025年9月12日,国联民生(01456.HK)获易方达基 金管理有限公司在场内以每股均价6.45港元增持9.15万股,涉资约59.02万港元。 | 麦植座壁 | 次股東/鹽事/產園日放人員名 作出該擔的 寶入 / 費出或涉及的 細胞的平均價 | | 持真假益的股份數目 佔已發行的 為關事件的目開 相關注意核份資權證權益 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2011 | 野田新目 | | (磷香類上持*基 南投票權服(日/月/年) 概益 | | | | | | 司目分比 | | | CS20250917E00325 男方达基金管理有限公司 1101(L) | | 91 500(L) | HKD 6 4500 57,631,000(L) 13.02(L)12/09/2025 | ECHNER | 增持后,易方达基金管理有限公司最新持股数目为5763.1万股,持股比例由13.00%上升至13.02%。 | 股份代號: | 01456 | | --- | --- | | 上市法國名稱: | 國聯民生體券股 ...
易方达基金增持国联民生9.15万股 每股作价6.45港元
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-09-18 12:59
Group 1 - E Fund Management Co., Ltd. increased its stake in Guolian Minsheng (01456) by 91,500 shares at a price of HKD 6.45 per share, totaling approximately HKD 590,200 [1] - After the increase, E Fund's total shareholding in Guolian Minsheng reached 57.631 million shares, representing a 13.02% ownership stake [1]
易方达基金增持国联民生(01456)9.15万股 每股作价6.45港元
智通财经网· 2025-09-18 12:57
智通财经APP获悉,香港联交所最新数据显示,9月12日,易方达基金管理有限公司增持国联民生 (01456)9.15万股,每股作价6.45港元,总金额约为59.02万港元。增持后最新持股数目为5763.1万股,持 股比例为13.02%。 ...