Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs reports that the performance of China CRRC (601766) and Times Electric (03898) in the first half of the year is generally in line with guidance, showing a mixed but stable status in railway and emerging businesses [1] Group 1: Company Performance - Goldman Sachs raised the target price for CRRC's H-shares from HKD 6.2 to HKD 6.8 and for Times Electric's H-shares from HKD 35.3 to HKD 37, maintaining a "Buy" rating for both [1] - The Ministry of Railways has cumulatively tendered for 278 high-speed trains and 455 EMUs this year, exceeding Goldman Sachs' forecasts of 230 and 400 respectively, which is expected to provide solid support for the companies' annual profits [1] Group 2: Earnings Forecasts - The earnings per share (EPS) forecast for CRRC from this year to 2030 has been raised by 8% to 12% [1] - The EPS forecast for Times Electric from 2026 to 2030 has been increased by 4% to 7%, although the EPS forecast for this year has been reduced by 1% due to lower-than-expected profit margins [1]

Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs reports that the performance of China CRRC (01766) and CRRC Times Electric (03898) in the first half of the year is generally in line with guidance, showing a mixed but stable situation in railway and emerging businesses [1] Group 1: Company Performance - Goldman Sachs raised the target price for CRRC's H-shares from HKD 6.2 to HKD 6.8 and for CRRC Times Electric's H-shares from HKD 35.3 to HKD 37, maintaining a "Buy" rating for both [1] - The Ministry of Railways has cumulatively tendered for 278 high-speed trains and 455 electric multiple units this year, exceeding Goldman Sachs' forecasts of 230 and 400 respectively, which is expected to provide solid support for the companies' annual profits [1] Group 2: Earnings Forecasts - The earnings per share (EPS) forecast for CRRC from this year to 2030 has been increased by 8% to 12% [1] - The EPS forecast for CRRC Times Electric from 2026 to 2030 has been raised by 4% to 7%, while the EPS forecast for this year has been reduced by 1%, reflecting lower-than-expected profit margins [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for China CNR Corporation (601766) [1] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 119.76 billion, a year-on-year increase of 32.99%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 7.25 billion, a year-on-year increase of 72.48% for the first half of 2025 [1] - The second quarter revenue was 71.09 billion, a year-on-year increase of 22.85%, with a net profit of 4.19 billion, a year-on-year increase of 31.32% [1] - The report highlights rapid growth in railway equipment and emerging businesses, with significant increases in various segments [7] Financial Performance Summary - Total revenue for 2024A is projected at 246.46 billion, with a year-on-year growth rate of 5.2%. For 2025E, revenue is expected to reach 279.22 billion, reflecting a growth rate of 13.3% [3] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be 12.39 billion for 2024A, with a growth rate of 5.8%, and 14.14 billion for 2025E, with a growth rate of 14.2% [3] - The report indicates an increase in gross margin and net margin, with gross margin at 21.81% and net margin at 7.45% for the first half of 2025 [7] Business Segment Performance - Railway equipment business revenue reached 59.71 billion, a year-on-year increase of 42.21%, with specific increases in various types of trains [7] - Urban rail and infrastructure business generated 17.40 billion, a year-on-year increase of 6.27%, while new industry business revenue was 40.73 billion, a year-on-year increase of 35.59% [7] - The report notes a positive trend in railway passenger flow and fixed asset investment in railways, with a 6.7% increase in passenger volume and a 5.6% increase in fixed asset investment year-on-year [7] Investment Recommendations - Given the strong performance in the first half of 2025, the report raises the company's earnings expectations, projecting revenues of 279.22 billion, 313.78 billion, and 351.98 billion for 2025-2027, respectively [7] - The target price is adjusted to 10.60 yuan, based on a 20x PE ratio for 2026, maintaining the "Strong Buy" rating [7]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report indicates that China CNR's revenue increased by nearly 33% year-on-year in the first half of the year, with net profit growing by 72.5% [1] - The railway equipment business experienced significant growth, and the introduction of new high-speed trains and advanced repairs is expected to support the steady growth of the rail transit equipment industry [1] - As a leading player in the rail transit equipment sector, China CNR is anticipated to benefit from the ongoing positive trends in the industry [1] Group 2 - The forecast for China CNR's high-speed train revenue has been revised upward, with earnings per share projections for 2025 to 2027 adjusted from 0.47, 0.51, and 0.54 to 0.51, 0.53, and 0.57 respectively [1] - The target price for China CNR has been raised from 6.44 HKD to 7.42 HKD, while maintaining a "buy" rating [1]

Core Viewpoint - China CRRC Corporation Limited (601766.SH, 01766.HK) reported significant growth in its half-year performance for 2025, with revenue reaching 119.76 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 32.99%, and net profit attributable to shareholders of 7.25 billion yuan, up 72.48% [1][3]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, China CRRC achieved a revenue of 119.76 billion yuan, marking a 32.99% increase year-on-year [3]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 7.25 billion yuan, reflecting a 72.48% growth compared to the previous year [1][3]. - The company's net profit excluding non-recurring items reached 6.66 billion yuan, showing a remarkable increase of 98.25% [3]. Group 2: Orders and R&D Investment - China CRRC signed new orders totaling approximately 146 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, with overseas orders accounting for about 30.9 billion yuan [2][4]. - The company invested 6.78 billion yuan in R&D during the same period, which is a 16.99% increase year-on-year [2][4]. - A total of 1,630 new patent applications were filed, including 1,216 invention patents and 37 overseas patents [2][4]. Group 3: Business Segments - The railway equipment business generated 59.71 billion yuan in revenue, up 42.21%, making it the largest revenue contributor at 49.86% of total revenue [6]. - The new industries segment reported revenue of 40.73 billion yuan, a 35.59% increase, representing 34.01% of total revenue [6]. - The urban rail and infrastructure business achieved revenue of 17.40 billion yuan, growing by 6.27%, while the modern services segment saw revenue of 1.92 billion yuan, up 16.39% [7]. Group 4: Market Position and Growth Strategy - China CRRC maintains its position as a leading global supplier of rail transit equipment, with its sales scale consistently ranking first worldwide [5]. - The company is focusing on optimizing its layout and structural adjustments to enhance its competitive edge in the market [3]. - New emerging industries, including wind power equipment and new materials, are becoming significant growth drivers for the company [6][7].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [9]. Core Views - The company reported significant growth in its H1 2025 performance, with a revenue of 1197.58 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 32.99%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 72.46 billion yuan, up 72.48%, and the net profit excluding non-recurring items was 66.61 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 98.25% [6][2]. - The outlook for 2025 indicates continued growth in the high-speed train business, improvement in locomotive operations, and development in urban rail and new industries, suggesting a sustained upward trend in the company's operations [2][11]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved a total revenue of 1197.58 billion yuan, a 32.99% increase year-on-year. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 72.46 billion yuan, marking a 72.48% increase, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items reached 66.61 billion yuan, up 98.25% [6][2]. - The railway equipment business generated revenue of 597 billion yuan, a 42% increase, driven by growth in high-speed trains and freight cars. Urban rail and city infrastructure revenue was 174 billion yuan, up 6%, and new industry revenue was 407 billion yuan, reflecting a 36% increase [11][11]. Profitability Metrics - The overall gross margin for H1 2025 was 21.81%, an increase of 0.40 percentage points year-on-year. The gross margins for railway equipment, urban rail, new industries, and modern services were 25.17%, 18.86%, 17.74%, and 30.86%, respectively [11][11]. - The net profit margin for H1 2025 was 7.45%, an increase of approximately 1.3 percentage points compared to H1 2024 [11]. Market Outlook - The railway passenger and freight transport sectors are experiencing high demand, with passenger volume reaching 2.691 billion, a 6.7% increase year-on-year. Freight transport also showed a positive trend, with 4.52 million tons transported in July, up 4.5% [11][11]. - The company is committed to international expansion, leveraging opportunities from the Belt and Road Initiative and enhancing its global market presence [11][11]. Dividend Policy - The company announced a mid-term cash dividend of 1.1 yuan per 10 shares, totaling 31.57 billion yuan, which represents 43.57% of the net profit attributable to shareholders for H1 2025 [11][11]. Future Projections - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 147 billion yuan and 164 billion yuan for 2025 and 2026, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 15.0 and 13.4 [11][11].

Core Viewpoint - The company reported strong mid-year performance for 2025, with significant growth in revenue and net profit, driven by robust demand in the railway equipment and new industries sectors [1][2]. Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 1197.58 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 32.99% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 72.46 billion yuan, up 72.48% year-on-year [1] - The net profit excluding non-recurring items was 66.61 billion yuan, reflecting a 98.25% year-on-year growth [1] - For Q2 2025, the company reported revenue of 710.87 billion yuan, a 22.85% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 41.93 billion yuan, up 31.22% year-on-year [2] Segment Performance - Railway equipment revenue was 597.06 billion yuan, a 42.21% increase year-on-year, with significant contributions from passenger and freight transport [2] - New industries revenue reached 407.33 billion yuan, growing by 35.59% year-on-year, driven by demand in wind power and energy storage [2] - The modern services segment generated revenue of 19.17 billion yuan, reflecting a 16.39% year-on-year increase [2] Profitability and Cost Management - The company's gross margin for H1 2025 was 21.81%, an increase of 0.40 percentage points year-on-year [3] - The railway equipment segment had a gross margin of 25.17%, up 2.46 percentage points year-on-year [3] - The sales net profit margin improved to 7.45%, a year-on-year increase of 1.32 percentage points [3] - The company effectively managed its expenses, with sales, management, financial, and R&D expense ratios showing improvements [3] Market Outlook - The railway sector is expected to continue benefiting from strong passenger and freight demand, with significant orders for high-speed trains and locomotives [4] - The new industries sector is projected to maintain growth momentum due to favorable market conditions in wind power and energy storage [4] - The company anticipates achieving net profits of 140.20 billion yuan, 140.99 billion yuan, and 155.88 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [4]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the strong financial performance of CRRC Corporation Limited in the first half of 2025, with significant year-on-year growth in revenue and net profit [1] - The company achieved operating revenue of 1197.58 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 32.99%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 72.46 billion RMB, up 72.48% [1] - The revenue from the railway equipment business reached 597.06 billion RMB, growing by 42.21%, driven by strong demand in passenger and freight transport [1] Group 2 - In the first half of 2025, CRRC's overseas revenue reached 132.34 billion RMB, marking an 8.43% increase, with new overseas orders amounting to 309 billion RMB [2] - The company signed significant international projects, including the Dubai Metro Blue Line, and received positive feedback for its operations in the Jakarta-Bandung High-Speed Railway and the China-Laos Railway [2] - CRRC invested approximately 69.40 billion RMB in R&D, accounting for 5.79% of its operating revenue, maintaining a high level of research intensity [2] Group 3 - The company plans to distribute cash dividends of 1.1 RMB per 10 shares, totaling 31.57 billion RMB, to enhance shareholder returns [1] - CRRC showcased 22 innovative products at the High-Speed Rail Conference, including the CR450 train and a hydrogen-powered tram, highlighting its commitment to technological innovation [2]

Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - On August 25, a total of 200 stocks received buy ratings from brokerages, with 34 stocks announcing target prices, indicating a positive sentiment in the market [1]. Group 1: Stock Performance - The stocks with the highest target price increases are Yuyue Medical, CRRC Corporation, and Juchip Technology, with target price increases of 56.27%, 41.85%, and 41.85% respectively [1]. Group 2: Rating Adjustments - Out of the 200 stocks, 196 maintained their ratings, while 4 stocks received their first ratings. Additionally, 28 stocks attracted attention from multiple brokerages [1]. Group 3: Brokerage Attention - Yuyue Medical, Hualu Hengsheng, and Huadian Technology received the most ratings, with 4, 3, and 3 brokerages respectively providing ratings [1]. Group 4: Industry Analysis - The sectors with the highest number of stocks receiving buy ratings are Materials II, Capital Goods, and Semiconductors and Semiconductor Equipment, with 37, 34, and 22 stocks respectively [1].

来源：金吾财讯 花旗发表研报，中国中车今年次季盈利按年增长31%至41.9亿元，超出初步业绩中点3%，还因中国国家 铁路集团(CSRG)210组高铁动车组招标，使2025年至今动车组招标(278组)较2024年全年总量(245组)高 出约14%。 花旗将中国中车2025及2026年盈利预测分别上调9%和10%，以反映上半年好于预期的业绩及下半年乐 观展望，后者得益于上述强劲的动车组招标；将目标价从5.4港元上调至7.3港元，评级从"中性"上调 至"买入"。 金吾财讯 | 中国中车(01766)反复上扬，盘中一度高涨逾6%，截至发稿，仍涨3.26%，报6.34港元，成交 额2.87亿港元。A股中国中车(601766)今日收涨3.13%，报7.91元。 ...