2025 年 8 月 26 日 公司研究 动车组大规模招标打开市场空间，功率半导体业务新产能投产持续贡献增量 ——时代电气（688187.SH、3898.HK）2025 年半年报点评 A 股：买入（维持） 当前价：50.18 元 H 股：买入（维持） 当前价：40.76 港元 作者 分析师：陈佳宁 执业证书编号：S0930512120001 021-52523851 chenjianing@ebscn.com 分析师：黄帅斌 执业证书编号：S0930520080005 0755-23915357 huangshuaibin@ebscn.com 分析师：汲萌 执业证书编号：S0930524010002 021-52523859 jimeng@ebscn.com 分析师：李佳琦 执业证书编号：S0930524070006 021-52523836 lijiaqi@ebscn.com 分析师：庄晓波 执业证书编号：S0930524070018 0755-25310400 zhuangxiaobo@ebscn.com 分析师：夏天宇 执业证书编号：S0930525070006 021-52523805 xiatian ...

机构：第一上海 研究员：陈晓霞/黄晨 25H1 业绩回顾，扣非净利润环比提速：收入122.1 亿元，同比增长17.9%；归母净利润16.7 亿元，同比 增长12.9%；扣非净利润15.9 亿元，同比增长37.0%，相比25Q1 的29.5%进一步提速。分业务看：轨道 交通业务实现收入69.1 亿元，同比增长12.6%；新兴装备业务实现收入人民币52.4 亿元，同比增长 25.9%，其中基础器件收入24.2 亿元，同比增长29.1%，新能源发电收入10.5 亿元，同比增长42.9%，新 能源汽车电驱10.0亿元，同比增长1.3%。上半年公司各板块业务毛利率均有所提升，叠加收入结构变 化，综合毛利率同比提升4.4 个百分点至32.0%。公司每股派息0.44 元人民币（含税），派息比率 35.75%。 轨交业务增长乐观，维保占比持续提升：国铁客运畅旺，客运量屡创新高，带动25 年动车组招标超预 期。以旧换新政策推动老旧内燃机车陆续退出市场，给机车带来持续增量需求。25H1维保业务占轨交 收入比例约23%，相比去年同期高速增长，看好未来国铁和城轨的维保需求释放。此外，公司在轨交领 域持续拓展新领域，通信信号、其他轨道 ...

11 时代电气（3898） 更新报告 买入 2025 年 8 月 25 日 轨交业务持续向好，半导体进入产能爬坡期 陈晓霞 852-2532 1956 xx.chen@firstshanghai.com.hk 黄晨 852-2532 1954 chen.huang@firstshanghai.com.hk | 行业 | 电气制造 | | --- | --- | | 股价 | 39.08 港元 | | 目标价 | 51.3 港元 | | | (+31%) | | 总市值 | 530.7 亿港元 | | 已发行股本 | 13.58 亿股 | | 52 周高/低 | 39.12 港元/23.99 港元 | | 每股净资产 | 29.93 元人民币 | 中车株洲电力机车研究所 44.21% 主要股东 盈利摘要 股价表现 | 截止日12月31日 | 2023实际 | 2024实际 | 2025预测 | 2026预测 | 2027预测 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 收入 (百万元人民币) | 21,799 | 24,909 | 27,435 | 30,298 | 33 ...

Core Insights - Hunan's total import and export value reached 307.87 billion yuan in the first seven months of the year, ranking 18th nationwide [1] - Exports amounted to 187.73 billion yuan, while imports were 120.14 billion yuan [1] - In July, Hunan's import and export value was 45.38 billion yuan, showing a growth of 0.9% [1] Group 1: Trade Performance - Changsha's total import and export value was 162.73 billion yuan, growing by 1.5%, accounting for 52.9% of the province's total [2] - The number of enterprises with import and export performance reached 7,258, an increase of 311 from the first half of the year and 592 from the same period last year [1] - The export of electric vehicles saw a significant increase, with July exports reaching 1.81 billion yuan, a growth of 337.2% [2] Group 2: Regional Trade Growth - Hunan's trade with ASEAN, Africa, and the Middle East grew, with respective import and export values of 59.52 billion yuan, 33.89 billion yuan, and 20.42 billion yuan, reflecting growth rates of 17.9%, 11.3%, and 9.7% [1] - Trade with the EU also increased, with a total of 26.95 billion yuan in the first seven months and an 8.2% growth in July [1] - Notably, Malaysia surpassed the United States to become Hunan's second-largest trading partner after Hong Kong [1] Group 3: Product Export Trends - The export of mechanical and electrical products reached 106.46 billion yuan, accounting for 56.7% of total exports, with significant growth in specific categories [2] - Exports of "new three items" (electric vehicles, etc.) grew by 83.5%, while exports of rail transit equipment increased by 47.5% [2] - Agricultural product exports totaled 10.15 billion yuan, indicating a diverse export portfolio [2]

Core Viewpoint - China CRRC (601766) has shown a positive stock performance, with a closing price of 7.48 RMB on August 8, 2025, reflecting a 2.33% increase from the previous week [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - The highest intraday price for China CRRC on August 8 was 7.5 RMB, while the lowest price on August 4 was 7.28 RMB [1] - The current total market capitalization of China CRRC is 214.668 billion RMB, ranking 1st in the rail transit equipment sector and 57th among all A-shares [1] Group 2: Dividend Announcement - China CRRC announced a cash dividend of 0.21 RMB per share (before tax) for the fiscal year 2024 [1] - The total cash dividend distribution amounts to approximately 6.027 billion RMB, based on a total share capital of 28,698,864,088 shares [1] - Key dates include the equity registration date on August 13, 2025, and the dividend payment date on August 14, 2025 [1]

Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - China CRRC (601766) reported a closing price of 7.41 yuan on August 7, 2025, with a slight decline of 0.13% and a trading volume of 724,700 shares, amounting to a total transaction value of 538 million yuan [1]. Trading Information - On August 7, the capital flow for China CRRC was as follows: - Net outflow of main funds was 67.6553 million yuan, accounting for 12.58% of the total transaction value - Net inflow of retail funds was 37.4033 million yuan, representing 6.95% of the total transaction value - Net inflow of individual investors was 30.252 million yuan, making up 5.62% of the total transaction value [2][4]. Company Announcements - China CRRC announced its 2024 annual equity distribution plan, which includes: - A cash dividend of 0.21 yuan per share (before tax) - The plan was approved at the annual shareholders' meeting on June 18, 2025 - The total cash dividend distribution amounts to 6.026761458 billion yuan, based on a total share capital of 28,698,864,088 shares - Key dates include the A-share registration date on August 13, 2025, and the ex-dividend date and cash dividend payment date on August 14, 2025 - The distribution method includes the direct payment of cash dividends to China CRRC Group Co., Ltd. by the company [2][4].

Group 1 - The stock price of Times Electric closed at 43.73 yuan on July 31, 2025, down 2.37% from the previous trading day, with a trading volume of 280 million yuan [1] - Times Electric operates in the transportation equipment sector, with main business activities covering rail transit equipment and new energy equipment, widely applied in railways, urban rail transit, and power systems [1] - The company announced a cash dividend distribution plan for 2024, proposing a cash dividend of 1 yuan per share (tax included), with the record date on August 7, 2025, and the ex-dividend date and dividend payment date on August 8 [1] Group 2 - On the same day, the net outflow of main funds was 61.0542 million yuan, accounting for 0.5% of the circulating market value [1]

Group 1: Suzhou's Foreign Trade Performance - Suzhou's total import and export value reached 1.3 trillion yuan in the first half of the year, a year-on-year increase of 5.7%, marking a historical high for the same period [1] - Exports amounted to 818.7 billion yuan, growing by 7.7%, while imports were 477.2 billion yuan, increasing by 2.5% [1] - Foreign-invested enterprises contributed 741.3 billion yuan to Suzhou's trade, growing by 4.4%, accounting for 57.2% of the total [1] Group 2: Wuxi's Foreign Trade Growth - Wuxi achieved a total import and export value of 388.6 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 7.1%, surpassing the provincial average by 1.9 percentage points [2] - Integrated circuit products saw a significant increase in trade, with a total value of 76.4 billion yuan, up 27.2% year-on-year [2] - High-tech enterprises in Wuxi experienced a 22.2% increase in export value, representing 40.8% of the total export value [2] Group 3: Changzhou's Foreign Trade Development - Changzhou's total import and export value reached 179.0 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 13.4%, ranking third in the province [3] - Private enterprises in Changzhou reported a continuous increase in trade for nine months, with an import and export value of 113.2 billion yuan, growing by 24.7% [3]

Core Viewpoint - The central government has prioritized the development of the central region of China, which consists of six provinces, emphasizing its strategic importance in national economic growth and modernization efforts [1][2]. Group 1: Economic Growth and Development - Since the implementation of the strategy to promote the rise of the central region in 2004, the economies of the six provinces (Shanxi, Anhui, Jiangxi, Henan, Hubei, Hunan) have experienced sustained rapid growth, solidifying their roles as key contributors to national economic development [2][3]. - The GDP of the central six provinces is projected to grow from less than 15 trillion yuan in 2015 to approximately 28 trillion yuan by 2024, with a compound annual growth rate of 7.5%, outpacing the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region and the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macau Greater Bay Area [6]. Group 2: Industrial Structure and Modernization - The central region is focusing on building a modern industrial system, with an emphasis on advanced manufacturing and high-tech industries, while also optimizing its industrial structure [3][8]. - The region has established several advanced manufacturing clusters, including rail transit equipment in Zhuzhou, engineering machinery in Changsha, and optoelectronic information in Wuhan, showcasing its competitive edge in various sectors [8][9]. Group 3: Innovation and Technology - The central region aims to enhance its R&D investment to reach the national average by 2025, targeting a ratio of R&D expenditure to GDP of approximately 2.5% [4]. - Cities like Hefei and Wuhan are leveraging their educational and research institutions to foster innovation, particularly in emerging industries such as quantum computing and laser technology [9]. Group 4: Urbanization and Population Dynamics - The urbanization rate in the central six provinces is increasing at a pace faster than the national average, with projections indicating that by 2024, the urbanization rate in Henan will be 59.2% and the other five provinces will exceed 60% [6][7]. - The demographic structure is favorable, with a lower proportion of the population aged 65 and above compared to the national average, indicating a robust labor supply and long-term consumption potential [7]. Group 5: Agricultural and Energy Security - The central region plays a crucial role in ensuring national food security, contributing 28.92% of the total grain production in China in 2024, with a total output of 204.318 million tons [10]. - Shanxi, as a major coal-producing province, is also pivotal in energy security, with a coal output of 1.269 billion tons in 2024, accounting for 26.7% of the national total [10]. Group 6: Policy Support and Future Directions - The implementation of policies aimed at promoting the rise of the central region is expected to provide strong support for future development, with a focus on high-quality growth and sustainable development [7][12]. - The central provinces are encouraged to enhance their advanced manufacturing capabilities, innovate in production processes, and support the transformation of traditional industries through new technologies and business models [11][12].

Core Points - Nanjing Railway New Technology Co., Ltd. was established as a joint-stock company in accordance with Chinese laws, with its registration approved by the China Securities Regulatory Commission on May 18, 2021, and listed on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange on June 30, 2021 [3][4]. - The company's registered capital is RMB 218.4 million (approximately USD 33.5 million) [4]. - The company aims to become a leading supplier in the global rail transit industry, focusing on quality and technology [5]. Company Structure - The company is governed by its articles of association, which serve as a legally binding document for the organization and behavior of the company, shareholders, and management [4]. - The company has a board of directors, supervisors, and senior management, with the chairman serving as the legal representative [4][5]. - Shareholders are entitled to rights and obligations based on their shareholdings, and the company is responsible for its debts with its total assets [4][5]. Business Scope - The company specializes in the research, manufacturing, sales, and technical services of rail transit equipment, electromechanical integration equipment, and related components [5]. - It also engages in the development and sales of new composite materials, railway-specific equipment, and various electronic and mechanical products [5]. Share Issuance and Management - The company issues shares in the form of stocks, with each share having a par value of RMB 1.00 [6]. - The total number of shares issued is 218.4 million, all of which are ordinary shares [6]. - The company has regulations in place for the increase, decrease, and repurchase of shares, which require shareholder approval [7][8]. Shareholder Rights and Responsibilities - Shareholders have the right to receive dividends, participate in meetings, and supervise the company's operations [11][12]. - Shareholders holding more than 5% of shares must report any pledges of their shares to the company [13]. - The company has provisions to protect the interests of minority shareholders during significant decisions [29][30]. Shareholder Meetings - The company holds annual and extraordinary shareholder meetings, with specific procedures for calling and conducting these meetings [40][42]. - Shareholder proposals can be submitted by those holding more than 3% of shares, and the company must notify shareholders of meeting details in advance [52][54]. - Voting at shareholder meetings is conducted based on the number of shares held, with provisions for cumulative voting in certain cases [75][76].