该行按照护肤、婴童护理、洗护三大板块对公司中长期成长空间进行测算，预计韩束3年有望破百亿， 多品牌快速增长： 护肤业务：近两年韩束依托抖音渠道爆发，市占率明显提升，2024年韩束营收增长超80%，25H1受达 播渠道收缩影响营收有所降速，但Q3线上GMV依旧强劲，根据久谦数据，2025年Q3韩束GMV同比增 长50%。韩束大众、中高端产品线齐头并进，3年维度营收有望破百亿，一叶子营收有望企稳加速。 婴童护理业务：一页品牌依托独特的"医研共创"模式正处于高速增长阶段，过去两年市占率快速提升， 一页凭借高端定位和差异化代言人享有竞争优势，预计未来三年复合增速超50%。红色小象自2023年转 型中大童市场后仍在调整，预计营收增速先降后升。 洗护业务：有望诞生大品牌。1）垂类赛道较多，定位清晰且善于建设消费者心智的品牌能够脱颖而 出，公司极方、2032等洗护品牌有望复刻韩束、一页等品牌的方法论。2）公司切入功效防脱等增速更 快的赛道，且行业集中度较高，有助于孵化大品牌。 智通财经APP获悉，国金证券发布研报称，上美股份(02145)为我国美护行业领先企业，旗下拥有在护 肤、婴童护理、洗护等赛道的多品牌矩阵。公司以线上 ...

国金证券发布研报称，上美股份(02145)为我国美护行业领先企业，旗下拥有在护肤、婴童护理、洗护 等赛道的多品牌矩阵。公司以线上渠道为主，考虑到多品牌增长势能强劲，无论是韩束未来的发展以及 新品牌培育都具备较强的确定性，给予公司2025年PE30倍估值，目标价109.78港元，首次覆盖，给 予"买入"评级。 国金证券主要观点如下： 洗护业务：有望诞生大品牌。1)垂类赛道较多，定位清晰且善于建设消费者心智的品牌能够脱颖而出， 公司极方、2032等洗护品牌有望复刻韩束、一页等品牌的方法论。2)公司切入功效防脱等增速更快的赛 道，且行业集中度较高，有助于孵化大品牌。 盈利预测估值 复盘公司发展的历程，该行认为公司多品牌拓展方法论与运动龙头安踏体育有几个主要相似之处 1)市场化主导。公司旗下品牌定位精准，可以快速发掘消费者痛点，推出针对性产品的同时进行魄力营 销，绑定顶流IP，助力品牌快速破圈。主品牌韩束成功后将这一方法论推广到其他品牌。 2)渠道精细化运营趋势。随着内容电商成为化妆品消费的核心场景，公司以抖音为核心重构渠道战略， 通过创新营销玩法与提升自播比例等精细化运营，实现收入与利润的双高增长。 3)人才内部输 ...

Group 1 - The new national standard for electric bicycles has been implemented since December, enforcing a speed limit of 25 km/h that cannot be unlocked [1] - Manufacturers face strict penalties for violating the new regulations, leading to the complete closure of speed unlocking channels [1] - Multiple electric bicycle brands confirm that the speed limit is secured by a triple anti-tampering mechanism, making it impossible to unlock [1] Group 2 - The new standard includes built-in Beidou positioning systems in electric bicycles to monitor speed, replacing previous brand-specific navigation systems [1] - Industry insiders indicate that consumers needing higher speeds must switch to electric motorcycles, which require a license and registration [1] - Due to price increases in electric bicycles, some users may consider directly purchasing electric motorcycles instead [1]

公司亮点 公司为我国美护行业领先企业，旗下拥有在护肤、婴童护理、洗护 等赛道的多品牌矩阵。公司以线上渠道为主，25H1 线上占比接近 93%，近两年主品牌韩束发力抖音渠道实现快速破圈，2024 年实现 收入 55.91 亿元，同比增长 80.90%，占比超 82%，25H1 营收同增 14.3%至 33.44 亿元。新品牌如一页快速破圈，23/24 全年/25H1 增 速分别为 498%/146%/147%。复盘公司发展的历程，我们认为公司 多品牌拓展方法论与运动龙头安踏体育有几个主要相似之处： 1)市场化主导。公司旗下品牌定位精准，可以快速发掘消费者痛 点，推出针对性产品的同时进行魄力营销，绑定顶流 IP，助力品 牌快速破圈。主品牌韩束成功后将这一方法论推广到其他品牌。 2)渠道精细化运营趋势。随着内容电商成为化妆品消费的核心场 景，公司以抖音为核心重构渠道战略，通过创新营销玩法与提升自 播比例等精细化运营，实现收入与利润的双高增长。 3)人才内部输血+合理引才。公司通过自主培养+外部引才双轨并 进的方式保障核心管理人才的稳健，同时通过人才妥善委任为旗 下各品牌的差异化发展提供坚实保障。 投资逻辑 我们充分 ...

Core Viewpoint - The implementation of the new national standard for electric bicycles, effective December 1, 2025, marks a significant regulatory shift aimed at enhancing safety and efficiency for approximately 380 million electric bicycle users in China, while also leading to increased production costs and market restructuring [3][4][19]. Regulatory Changes - The new standard limits the maximum speed of electric bicycles to 25 km/h and introduces stricter requirements for fire resistance and traceability of vehicles [3][4][6]. - Non-compliant "old standard" models will be banned from sale, pushing manufacturers to adapt quickly to the new regulations [4][19]. Impact on Users - Commuters and delivery personnel will need to adjust to the slower pace mandated by the new regulations, which may affect their efficiency [3][15]. - The new regulations are expected to increase production costs by approximately 600 to 900 yuan per unit, potentially raising the market price of many economical models previously priced under 3000 yuan [15][19]. Industry Dynamics - The transition to the new standard is anticipated to accelerate industry consolidation, as companies like Yadea, Aima, and Ninebot report significant revenue growth due to the dual stimulus of the new regulations and trade-in subsidies [14][19]. - The new regulations also include provisions for tracking and monitoring vehicles throughout their lifecycle, enhancing regulatory oversight [6][8]. Public Reaction - The introduction of the new standard has sparked widespread debate among users regarding the balance between safety and speed, with many expressing concerns about the practicality of the new speed limit [17][19]. - Discussions on social media highlight users' worries about battery safety and the overall impact of the regulations on their daily commuting experiences [17][19].

Group 1 - The potential for national income doubling is expected to open a "golden decade" for new consumption development, with a theoretical target of nearly doubling per capita GDP by 2035, from $13,300 in 2024 to approximately $20,000 [16][17][33] - The growth of the middle-income group is crucial for driving consumption, with a target of over 800 million middle-income individuals in the next 15 years, which will significantly influence the scale and quality of domestic consumption [42][49] - The report emphasizes the importance of promoting common prosperity to activate domestic consumption potential, highlighting that increasing the income of low-income groups can effectively convert new income into consumption [20][23][49] Group 2 - The beauty and personal care sector is expected to see growth driven by new materials in the medical beauty segment, with companies like Lepu Medical focusing on innovative materials that fill market gaps [4][5][15] - The beauty industry is entering a low-growth phase, where brand group operations and market share enhancement will be critical for sustainable growth, with companies like Mao Ge Ping and Shangmei Holdings being highlighted for their potential [4][5][15] - The pet care market is experiencing both consumption upgrades and intensified competition, with a focus on high-end, health-oriented products [4][5][15] Group 3 - The service consumption sector, particularly tourism and sports, is expected to benefit from policy encouragement, with companies like Sanxia Tourism and Lansi Co. being recommended for investment [4][5][15] - The report notes that the tourism sector is poised for growth due to increased interest in flexible vacations and the aging population, which is expected to drive demand for river cruises [4][5][15] - The sports service sector is highlighted as a core growth area, with event-driven economic activities expected to boost related industries [4][5][15] Group 4 - The IP and trendy toy market is entering a new phase with a surge in supply, and companies like Pop Mart are expected to maintain their leading positions through effective IP management [4][5][15] - The report indicates that the emergence of new designers and retail platforms is likely to sustain high demand for IP products, with a focus on companies that can effectively monetize potential IP [4][5][15] Group 5 - The gold and jewelry sector is facing short-term demand pressure due to tax reforms and seasonal fluctuations, with a focus on brands that can maintain pricing power amid these changes [5][15]

Core Viewpoint - The implementation of the new national standard for electric bicycles, effective December 1, 2025, marks a significant regulatory shift affecting approximately 380 million electric bicycle owners in China, emphasizing safety and efficiency over speed [5][8][25]. Regulatory Changes - The new standard limits the maximum speed of electric bicycles to 25 km/h and introduces stricter requirements for battery safety, including flame retardancy and traceability throughout the vehicle's lifecycle [9][8]. - Key components such as non-metal materials and electrical circuits must meet enhanced fire resistance standards, and the total mass of plastic used in the bicycle must not exceed 5.5% of the total vehicle weight [9][8]. - The standard allows for a transition period, with vehicles produced under the old standard permitted to be sold until August 31, 2025, and consumers will not be forced to discard non-compliant vehicles [9][10]. Market Impact - The new regulations are expected to lead to an increase in production costs by approximately 600-900 yuan per unit, which may result in higher retail prices for electric bicycles that were previously available for under 3000 yuan [21][19]. - The dual impact of the new standard and the "old-for-new" subsidy policy is anticipated to drive rapid growth in the electric bicycle industry, with companies like Yadea, Aima, and Ninebot reporting significant revenue increases [18][19]. User Behavior and Demand - Electric bicycles are a primary mode of transportation for many, with about half of users relying on them for commuting and shopping, valuing economic efficiency, convenience, and reliability [21][25]. - The new speed limit and safety features may affect the efficiency of delivery workers and commuters, who prioritize speed and endurance in their daily operations [21][25]. Public Reaction - The introduction of the new standard has sparked widespread discussion among users, focusing on technical performance, safety concerns regarding battery reliability, and the reasonableness of the 25 km/h speed limit [23][24]. - Despite mixed opinions, the overarching sentiment acknowledges the necessity of the new regulations as a transformative step towards a safer and more regulated electric bicycle market [26][27].

致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 上海上美化妝品股份有限公司 (於中華人民共和國註冊成立的股份有限公司) 呈交日期: 2025年12月4日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 H | | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 02145 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 206,354,542 | RMB | | 1 RMB | | 206,354,542 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | 0 | | | RMB | | 0 | | 本月底結存 | | | 206,354,542 | RMB | | 1 RMB | | 206,354,542 | 股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年11月30日 狀態: 新提交 | 2. 股份 ...

Core Viewpoint - The stock of Shangmei Co., Ltd. (02145) has risen over 6%, currently trading at 89.7 HKD, with a transaction volume of 41.05 million HKD, reflecting strong performance in the beauty sector during the recent Double Eleven shopping festival [1] Group 1: Industry Performance - The 2025 Double Eleven shopping festival saw e-commerce retail sales reach nearly 2.4 trillion CNY, marking a year-on-year growth of over 10% [1] - The beauty market during Double Eleven exhibited characteristics of "steady overall growth, with high growth concentrated in specific subcategories and core channels" [1] - Taobao and Tmall channels led the beauty market with a GMV share of 61.3% [1] Group 2: Company Performance - Shangmei Co., Ltd. reported significant growth in its Double Eleven performance, with its total sales across all channels increasing by 145% year-on-year [1] - Sales on Tmall increased by 52%, while sales on Douyin surged by 268% [1] - According to Dongfang Securities, Shangmei Co., Ltd. ranked first in the beauty brand category on Douyin across various metrics, indicating a strong brand presence and momentum [1]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the strong performance of Up Beauty Co., Ltd. during the 2025 Double Eleven shopping festival, showcasing significant growth in sales and market share within the beauty sector [1]. Company Performance - Up Beauty Co., Ltd. saw its stock price increase by 6.03%, reaching HKD 89.7, with a trading volume of HKD 41.05 million [1]. - The company reported a 145% year-on-year increase in total sales across all channels during the Double Eleven event, with specific growth rates of 52% on Tmall and 268% on Douyin [1]. Industry Insights - The overall e-commerce retail sales during the 2025 Double Eleven period reached approximately CNY 2.4 trillion, marking a year-on-year growth of over 10% [1]. - The beauty market during this event demonstrated a trend of "steady overall growth, with high growth concentrated in specific subcategories and core channels" [1]. - Tmall's channel dominated the beauty market with a GMV share of 61.3% [1]. - Key beauty brands, including Up Beauty Co., Ltd., experienced significant growth rates on Tmall, with increases of 65.5%, 86.2%, 13.0%, 21.1%, and 42.7% for various companies [1].