Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2] Core Insights - The company has announced Wang Jiaer as its global spokesperson, enhancing its brand's global positioning. This partnership is expected to leverage Wang's international fan base and high-end brand associations [2] - The company has shown strong sales performance, with significant revenue generated from collaborations with popular influencers, indicating robust consumer purchasing power [2] - The company is focusing on a multi-brand strategy and global expansion, with plans to enter Southeast Asia and eventually North America and Europe, aiming for a long-term revenue target of 30 billion by 2030 [7] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2023: 4,191 million - 2024: 6,793 million - 2025E: 8,513 million - 2026E: 10,641 million - 2027E: 12,786 million - Year-on-year growth rates are projected at 57% for 2023, 62% for 2024, and 25% for 2025 and 2026, with a 20% growth rate expected in 2027 [4] - Net profit forecasts are as follows: - 2023: 461 million - 2024: 781 million - 2025E: 1,149 million - 2026E: 1,496 million - 2027E: 1,806 million - The net profit growth rates are projected at 213% for 2023, 69% for 2024, and 47% for 2025, with 30% and 21% expected for 2026 and 2027 respectively [4] - Earnings per share are expected to increase from 1.16 in 2023 to 4.54 in 2027, with a net asset return rate projected to be 36% in 2025 [4] Strategic Initiatives - The company is implementing a robust strategy for the Double Eleven shopping festival, focusing on high-margin products and leveraging influencer marketing [7] - The company is enhancing its competitive edge through brand development, talent acquisition, and supply chain integration, allowing for rapid product launches and cost control [7] - The multi-brand strategy includes the introduction of new brands and IP collaborations, with a clear path for expansion into various product categories [7]

Core Insights - The men's beauty market is experiencing significant growth, with L'Oréal China aiming to reach 150 million consumers by 2030, particularly targeting males aged 15 and above [1][2] - Men's grooming products have shown explosive growth in 2023, with men's hair care sales soaring by 122.75% and men's foundation sales increasing by 228.78% [1][5] - The competitive landscape is shifting, with traditional brands facing challenges while new entrants like KANS and SAZA are achieving substantial growth [1][12] Market Performance - In the first eight months of 2023, the total transaction value for men's beauty products reached 60.35 billion yuan, reflecting a 10.39% year-on-year increase, with transaction volume up by 33.47% [5][6] - The breakdown of key categories shows men's facial care at 47.35 billion yuan (2.05% growth), men's hair care at 6.75 billion yuan (122.75% growth), men's body care at 3.56 billion yuan (1.61% growth), and men's color cosmetics at 2.69 billion yuan (54.88% growth) [6][7] Consumer Trends - The demand for men's beauty products is evolving from basic grooming to more diverse offerings, including anti-aging serums and makeup products [3][18] - Social media engagement around men's beauty topics is surging, with "men's skincare" videos on Douyin reaching 12.24 billion views and "men's makeup" videos hitting 7.59 billion views [3][4] Brand Dynamics - The top 20 brands in the men's beauty sector are experiencing a divide, with 9 brands showing declining sales, while others like KANS and SAZA are achieving exponential growth [12][16] - L'Oréal, Ocean Supreme, and Left and Right Color are leading the market, with L'Oréal's sales declining by 4.16% while KANS saw a 123.79% increase [11][12] Future Outlook - The men's beauty market is projected to reach 170 billion yuan in 2024, with a compound annual growth rate of 11% expected to push the market to 292 billion yuan by 2029 [3][4] - The competition is intensifying, with brands focusing on product diversification and brand building to capture the evolving consumer preferences [28][29]

Group 1: Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index rose by 1.21%, gaining 308 points to close at 25,749 points, while the Hang Seng Tech Index increased by 1.18% [1] - Hong Kong's stock market saw a trading volume of HKD 158.6 billion in the morning session [1] Group 2: Airline Sector - Airline stocks experienced a collective rise, with growth in passenger traffic during the National Day holiday despite high base effects, indicating potential profit growth for airlines [1] - Eastern Airlines (00670) increased by 5.43%, China National Aviation (00753) rose by 4.06%, and Southern Airlines (01055) gained 3.74% [1] Group 3: Cement Sector - Cement stocks led the market gains, with a rebound expected in prices following a recent decline in several domestic markets [1] - China National Building Material (03323) rose by 6.32%, Conch Cement (00914) increased by 4.13%, and Huaxin Cement (06655) gained 3.78% [1] Group 4: Gold Sector - Lao Pu Gold (06181) surged over 7% as Morgan Stanley reaffirmed its "overweight" rating, citing a clear trend in brand value enhancement [1] - China Rare Earth Holdings (03788) rose over 5% as it completed pre-IPO fundraising and is set to list independently in Hong Kong [1] Group 5: Food and Beverage Sector - Guoquan (02517) saw a rise of over 9% as the restaurant sector's outlook improved, with expectations for store openings in Q4 [2] - Mixue Group (02097) increased by over 6%, with the brand gaining popularity and institutions optimistic about its brand expansion [4] Group 6: Consumer Goods Sector - Pop Mart (09992) rose by 3.6%, with potential to become a world-class cultural IP brand following a special gift to Apple's CEO [3] - Shangmei Co. (02145) increased by over 6%, with strong performance in domestic beauty brands in September and expectations for marginal improvement in Q4 due to the Double 11 shopping festival [3] Group 7: Gold Mining Sector - Shandong Gold (01787) fell over 5% after a profit warning, despite a potential doubling of net profit year-on-year for the first three quarters, with institutions advising caution regarding short-term adjustments in gold prices [5]

上美股份(02145)涨超8%，截至发稿，涨7.43%，报101.2港元，成交额4721.16万港元。 浙商证券表示，预计化妆品新消费品牌凭借产品升级和品牌建设有望在未来2-3年内收入及利润保持 20%-30%的复合年增长率，景气度和确定性仍具备吸引力。Q3业绩看，淡季偏淡，部分公司收入增速 环比走弱，考虑到双十一费用前置、流量成本上升，预计板块利润表现不如收入表现。该行预计毛戈 平、上美股份业绩表现领跑行业。 消息面上，据青眼情报，2025年9月抖音美妆TOP20品牌总GMV突破30亿元，市场份额为17.6%，同比 增长38.59%，韩束以超5亿元GMV继续领跑。华源证券指出，2025年9月，抖音美妆类目GMV同比增长 19.7%，环比下滑10.4%。从带货维度来看，国货品牌自营表现亮眼，TOP20美妆品牌榜单中自营大于 达人推广GMV贡献率的品牌数占比达60%，自营GMV占比超50%的品牌均来自国货，其中韩束与百雀 羚的自营GMV占比均超70%，显示国货品牌在自营渠道具备差异化竞争优势。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The new consumption concept stocks in Hong Kong have shown a significant upward trend, indicating positive market sentiment and potential growth in this sector [1]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Shangmei Holdings (02145.HK) increased by 7.43%, reaching HKD 101.2 [1] - Guming (01364.HK) rose by 7.33%, trading at HKD 26.08 [1] - Mixue Group (02097.HK) saw a gain of 6.53%, priced at HKD 443.8 [1] - Miniso (09896.HK) climbed by 5.15%, with a share price of HKD 45.32 [1] - Blukoo (00325.HK) experienced a 4.99% increase, valued at HKD 107.4 [1] - Laopu Gold (06181.HK) grew by 4.04%, trading at HKD 721 [1]

Core Viewpoint - The new consumption concept stocks have generally risen, indicating a positive market sentiment towards consumer-driven sectors amid external economic challenges in China [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - Upme Holdings (02145) increased by 7.43%, trading at 101.2 HKD [1] - Gu Ming (01364) rose by 7.33%, reaching 26.08 HKD [1] - Mixue Group (02097) saw a 6.53% increase, priced at 443.8 HKD [1] - Miniso (09896) gained 5.15%, with a price of 45.32 HKD [1] - Blukoo (00325) went up by 4.99%, trading at 107.4 HKD [1] - Laopu Gold (06181) increased by 4.04%, priced at 721 HKD [1] Group 2: Market Insights - Cathay Securities highlighted the increasing importance of boosting domestic consumption due to greater external disturbances [1] - The firm anticipates that the role of consumption in driving economic growth will strengthen under policy support [1] - Despite a short-term overheating in some areas of the Hong Kong new consumption sector, the macro trend towards personalized and rational consumer behavior remains unchanged [1] - The firm expects continued growth in consumption related to self-indulgence and cost-effectiveness, particularly in sectors like trendy toys, beauty care, and pet products [1]

Core Viewpoint - The new consumption concept stocks in Hong Kong have generally risen, indicating a positive market sentiment towards consumer-related sectors amid external uncertainties in China [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - Upme Holdings (02145) increased by 7.43%, reaching HKD 101.2 [1] - Gu Ming (01364) rose by 7.33%, trading at HKD 26.08 [1] - Mixue Group (02097) saw a 6.53% increase, priced at HKD 443.8 [1] - Miniso (09896) gained 5.15%, with a price of HKD 45.32 [1] - Blukoo (00325) went up by 4.99%, now at HKD 107.4 [1] - Laopu Gold (06181) increased by 4.04%, trading at HKD 721 [1] Group 2: Market Insights - Cathay Securities highlighted the increasing importance of boosting domestic consumption due to greater external disturbances [1] - The firm anticipates that the role of consumption in driving economic growth will strengthen under policy support [1] - Despite a short-term overheating in some areas of Hong Kong's new consumption sector, the macro trend towards personalized and rational consumer behavior remains unchanged [1] - The firm expects continued growth in self-indulgent and cost-effective consumption categories, such as trendy toys, beauty care, and pet products [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the significant growth in the beauty sector on Douyin, with the top 20 brands achieving a total GMV of over 3 billion yuan in September 2025, representing a market share of 17.6% and a year-on-year growth of 38.59% [1] - According to Huayuan Securities, the GMV of beauty products on Douyin increased by 19.7% year-on-year in September 2025, although it saw a quarter-on-quarter decline of 10.4% [1] - Domestic brands are showing strong performance in self-operated sales, with 60% of the top 20 beauty brands having a higher GMV contribution from self-operated channels than from influencer promotions, and brands like Han Shu and Bai Que Ling having over 70% of their GMV from self-operated sales [1] Group 2 - Zheshang Securities projects that new consumer brands in the cosmetics sector are expected to maintain a compound annual growth rate of 20%-30% in revenue and profit over the next 2-3 years, indicating continued attractiveness and certainty in the market [1] - The Q3 performance is expected to be weaker, with some companies experiencing a slowdown in revenue growth quarter-on-quarter, influenced by pre-Double Eleven expenses and rising traffic costs, leading to an anticipated underperformance in profits compared to revenue [1] - The company expects that brands like Mao Ge Ping and Shangmei will outperform the industry in terms of performance [1]

Core Insights - Southbound funds increased their holdings in Shangmei Cosmetics Co., Ltd. by 34,900 shares on October 14, 2025, bringing the total holdings to 41,631,900 shares, which represents 20.17% of the company's issued ordinary shares [1][2] Summary by Category Shareholding Changes - Over the past five trading days, southbound funds have reduced their holdings on three occasions, with a total net reduction of 327,900 shares [1] - In the last twenty trading days, there were ten days of reductions, resulting in a cumulative net decrease of 223,600 shares [1] - The most recent trading day on October 13, 2025, saw a decrease of 49,500 shares, representing a change of -0.12% [2] Company Overview - Shangmei Cosmetics Co., Ltd. primarily engages in the production and sale of cosmetics, with key brands including "Hansu," "Yiyezi," and "Red Elephant" [2] - The company's products cater to skincare and maternal and infant care, distributed through both online and offline channels [2] - The company mainly operates within the domestic market of China [2]

Core Insights - Up Beauty's core brand, Han Shu, has officially announced Wang Jiaer as its global spokesperson, marking his first endorsement of a domestic beauty brand [1] - In 2024, Up Beauty's founder and CEO, Lv Yixiong, stated that "Chinese beauty is entering a golden period for domestic brands" and established a new group strategy of "single focus, multiple brands, globalization" [1] - Han Shu achieved a revenue of 5.591 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 80.9% [1] - Han Shu's self-developed "环六肽-9" ingredient has been certified as the "global self-research环六肽 pioneer" by Sullivan [1] - Up Beauty's globalization strategy is accelerating its presence in countries such as Russia, Vietnam, and Indonesia through various cooperation models [1] Company Strategy - The announcement of Wang Jiaer as the global spokesperson is a significant step in Up Beauty's globalization strategy [1] - The new strategy aims to position domestic brands to compete alongside international brands on a global stage [1] - Up Beauty is committed to expanding its reach in the global beauty market with a determined approach [1]